Adrian Ding
Analyst · Michelle Cheng from Goldman Sachs
Thank you, Joey. Let me start with KFC. In quarter 2, KFC system sales increased 5% year-over-year. Same-store sales grew 1%. Our same-store transaction index remained even with last year. The ticket average increased by 1% to CNY 38. Strong growth in smaller orders caused a downward trend in the ticket averages for both delivery and dine-in. This was offset by the higher delivery mix, which carries a higher ticket average, resulting in a slight increase in overall ticket average. KFC expanded its restaurant margin by 70 basis points through favorable commodity prices driven by supply chain efficiency gains and through streamlined operations. Operating profit grew 10% year-over-year to $292 million. We added 295 new stores in quarter 2, bringing our total to 12,238 stores. New store payback remained healthy at 2 years. New stores bring us closer to our customers. And our side-by-side module KCOFFEE Cafe increases the number of patients we can serve them. This quarter, we opened 300 KCOFFEE Cafes, bringing our total to 1,300 locations nationwide. Average cups sold at KCOFFEE Cafes continued to increase in the quarter, altered by our menu innovations and growth in delivery. This summer, our Iced Sparkling Americano became increasingly popular, representing over half of beverage sales in June. We offered a wide range of sparkling flavors, from our signature Apple flavor to our new Lychee brandy flavor. KCOFFEE Cafes have been effective in driving incremental traffic, sales and profit. Given the progress we have achieved in the first half of the year, we're raising our 2025 target from the previous 1,500 to 1,700 locations. Let's now turn to Pizza Hut. Pizza Hut has sustained its growth trajectory since reaching an inflection point in 2024. Same-store sales growth turned positive to 2%. Same-store transactions grew significantly by 17%. The ticket average was CNY 76, 13% lower year-over-year. These results align with our strategic focus on mass market positioning and are supported by healthy margin expansion. System sales in quarter 2 grew by 3%. Pizza Hut's moderate system sales growth relative to its same-store sales growth was due primarily to the strategic optimization of the brand store portfolio. We closed some larger underperforming stores and opened new smaller stores. The total store operating weeks were also affected by the timing of the closures and openings. Store closures came earlier while store openings for later. We expect both factors to normalize in the second half of the year. Quarter 2 marks the fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year margin expansion for Pizza Hut. Our enhanced operational efficiency offset the impact of All-You-Can-Eat campaign. Restaurant margin expanded slightly to 13.3% and operating profit grew by 15% year-over-year. Pizza Hut reached 3,864 stores with the addition of 95 net new openings in the second quarter. New store payback remained healthy at 2 to 3 years. We remain confident in achieving double-digit percentage net new store growth for Pizza Hut in 2025. Pizza Hut WOW stores are making progress. We saw a meaningful improvement in profitability for the converted WOW stores. We also opened new WOW stores in over 10 new cities where Pizza Hut has no existing presence. The latest CapEx per store ranged from CNY 650,000 to CNY 850,000 with streamlined operations and lower entry price points, our WOW model broadens Pizza Hut's addressable market, enabling it to enter low-tier cities more effectively. Let me now go through our quarter 2 P&L. System sales grew 4% year-over-year, within the range of our full year target. Same-store sales grew 1%, turning positive. Our restaurant margin was 16.1%, 60 basis points higher year-over-year. Savings in cost of sales and occupancy and other costs offset increases in cost of labor. Cost of sales was 31.0%, 50 basis points lower year-over-year. Ongoing benefits from Project Red Eye along with favorable commodity prices contributed to the improvement. We pass some of the savings on to customers, offering great value for money. Cost of labor was 27.2%, 90 basis points higher year-over-year due to higher rider cost as a percentage of sales. While we continue to lower rider cost per delivery order, the higher delivery mix led to higher rider costs overall. Non-rider cost as a percent of sales remained stable year-over-year, and our efforts to optimize operations offset low single-digit wage inflation. Occupancy in other was 25.7%, 100 basis points lower year-over-year. As a result of cost optimization in a number of areas, notably utilities and streamlined operations. G&A expenses were 4.7% of revenue and 30 basis points lower compared to 5.0% in the prior year. Project Fresh Eye generated incremental benefits year-over-year. Our OP margin was 10.9%, 100 basis points higher year-over-year, driven by improved restaurant margin and G&A. Operating profit was $304 million, growing 14% year-over-year. Core OP also grew 14% year-over-year. Effective tax rate was 25.8%, 60 basis points higher year-over-year, primarily due to the increased cash repatriation resulting in higher withholding tax. Net income was $215 million, growing 1% year-over-year. As a reminder, we recognized $6 million less in interest income in quarter 2 this year due to a lower cash balance resulting from the cash we returned to shareholders. Our mark-to-market equity investments also had a negative impact of $14 million in quarter 2 compared to a positive impact of $6 million in quarter 2 last year. Diluted EPS was $0.58, growing 5% year-over-year or 15% excluding mark-to-market equity investment impact. Let's now move on to capital returns to shareholders. In the first half of the year, we returned a total of $536 million to shareholders, including $356 million in share repurchases and $180 million in dividends. For the second half of 2025, we announced our share repurchase agreements totaling $510 million, a 43% increase from our share repurchases in the first half. Assuming a quarterly dividend of $0.24 per share, we expect to return at least $1.2 billion in 2025. We remain committed to returning $3 billion to shareholders from 2025 through 2026, on top of the $1.5 billion in cash we returned in 2024. The average annual capital return is around 8% to 9% of our market cap. We maintain flexibility regarding the split of the capital returns to shareholders between the 2 years, taking into account factors such as stock price, market conditions and our cash needs. Our cash positions remain healthy with $2.8 billion in net cash as of the end of the quarter. Finally, turning to our 2025 outlook. Despite the complex and fluid market conditions, we are reiterating our full year target for the net new store openings and system sales growth. We are revising our full year outlook on restaurant margin and core OP margin to reflect our first half performance and our latest expectations for the second half. Let me provide additional color. In terms of store openings, overall, we anticipate the ramp-up in net new store openings in the second half of the year with more gross openings and fewer store closures. We have a solid pipeline and remain confident in achieving our target of 1,600 to 1,800 net new stores in 2025. We expect the franchise store mix of the net new openings for the full year 2025 to be similar to the first half, which was 41% for KFC and 26% for Pizza Hut. That means we'll meet our guidance of 40% to 50% for KFC and 20% to 30% for Pizza Hut ahead of schedule. We anticipate the franchise mix of our net new stores to further moderately increase within these ranges over the next few years. With our store expansion plans unchanged, our target of mid-single-digit system sales growth for the full year 2025 remains in place. This range is also applicable to the second half. Predicting same-store sales growth is more difficult as consumer spending remains rational. For quarter 3, we're working hard to achieve 11 consecutive quarters of same-store transaction growth. The ticket averages for both delivery and dine-in continue to show a downward trend due to an increase in smaller orders. We aim to achieve steady same-store levels year-over-year in the second half. Regarding delivery, we maintained a disciplined approach to capturing sales. We leverage delivery platforms to enhance visibility and increasing traffic, especially for our emerging businesses. While sales from smaller ticket beverage orders grew nicely, the overall impact on our business is more limited. Additionally, higher delivery mix results in higher rider costs. Our balanced and nimble approach enable us to drive sales while preserving price integrity and protecting margins. Let me now go through our margin expectations for the second half. All comparisons are stated on a year-over-year basis. While we continue to enhance operational efficiency, we faced tougher comparisons as more meaningful benefits from Project Fresh Eye and Red Eye were already in last year's space in the second half. Additionally, rider costs driven by higher delivery mix continued to be a headwind. For KFC, our aim is to maintain relatively stable restaurant margins. For Pizza Hut, we expect restaurant margin to slightly improve year-over-year. Considering the impact of streamlining operations, partially offset by higher delivery costs and a higher base versus the first half. With G&A percentage improving a bit, we expect Yum China's core OP margin to also slightly improve. As quarter 4 is traditionally our low season with smaller sales and profits margins may be a bit more volatile. With our outperformance in the first half, for the full year 2025, we expect the restaurant margin for KFC and Pizza Hut as well as the company's core OP margin to moderately improve. On the CapEx side, we are revising our full year CapEx guidance down from around $700 million to $800 million to $600 million to $700 million, mainly due to lower CapEx per store. With that, let me pass it back to Joey for her closing remarks.