Adrian Ding
Analyst · Michelle from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead, your line is open
Thank you, Joey. Let me start with KFC. In the first quarter, KFC delivered solid sales and profit growth. We added 295 net new stores, bringing our total to 11,943 stores. New store payback remained healthy at two years. System sales increased 3% year-over-year. Same-store sales index amounts to 100% of prior year level for the first time since the first quarter of 2024, fueled by same-store transaction growth of 4%. We observed strong growth in smaller orders, driven by wider price ranges, lower delivery fees, and rapid growth in coffee. The ticket average for quarter one was RMB40, 4% lower than the prior year period, similar to the trend in the second half of 2024. There may still be some short-term fluctuations, but we expect the TA to be relatively stable over the long run. Despite a lower TA, restaurant margin improved by 50 basis points year-over-year to 19.8%. Operating profit grew 5% year-over-year to $386 million. We innovated by adding fresh twist to our classic menu items to excite customers and fulfill the changing needs. KFC launched a spicy flavor of original recipe chicken for the first time since we entered China in 1987. The classic taste pairs well with an exotic spicy flavor. Sales mix of original recipe chicken increased 50% during the promotion period. We also introduced the spicy original recipe chicken burger, which of course comes with mashed potatoes. These innovative new products resonate well with our consumers, not just regionally but nationwide, attracting new traffic. Serving buckets has been a Chinese New Year tradition for KFC. This year, we enhanced the Golden Bucket by including our popular whole chicken, making it even more ideal for sharing. To address the trend of smaller gatherings, we also offered a variety of smaller buckets. Total sales of our Chinese New Year buckets grew over 50% year-over-year. Let's now move on to Pizza Hut. For four consecutive quarters, Pizza Hut has achieved significant progress, marked by sequential improvement in the same-store sales index and year-over-year margin expansion. Operating profit also grew 29% year-over-year in quarter one. In quarter one, system sales increased 2% year-over-year. Same-store sales index amounts to 100% of prior year level, also for the first time since the first quarter of 2024, up 2 percentage points versus quarter four last year. Same-store transactions grew substantially by 17% year-over-year, driven by rapid delivery growth, increased popularity of pizzas below RMB50 and the successful launch of our new menu. The ticket average was RMB78, 14% lower year-over-year, consistent with our strategy and driven mainly by better value-for-money offered by our new menu. Again, despite the lower TA, restaurant margins improved 190 basis points year-over-year. Our new menu allowed for simpler preparation at our stores. We also automated key kitchen processes. Additionally, Pizza Hut's all-you-can-eat campaign that took place in quarter one last year was shifted to quarter two this year, and this accounted for nearly half of the year-over-year margin improvements. Pizza Hut has expanded to 3,769 stores with a net addition of 45 stores in quarter one. This number is lower than last year due to the timing of store openings and closures. For the full year, we expect double-digit percent net-new store growth for Pizza Hut. The payback period for new stores remains healthy at two to three years. Pizza Hut has made tremendous efforts to improve its menu and widen its addressable market. The new menu launched in December 2024 bolstered Pizza Hut's value-for-money perception and significantly boosted consumer traffic. In March, we further upgraded the menu with new products such as expanded selection of Pizza dough burgers and more one-person meal options. For a limited time, consumers enjoyed our Super Supreme pizza at just RMB39, half the regular price. Consumers love our flagship Super Supreme flavor. So we extended it from a pizza platform to other platforms such as burgers, pasta, and rice. Let me now go through our quarter one P&L. For quarter one, system sales grew 2% year-over-year, and same-store sales index was 100% of prior year level. System sales growth was moderate this quarter for three reasons. First, 2025 has one fewer business day as 2024 was a leap year, a 1% impact. Second, we had slightly more temporary closures during the Chinese New Year holiday this year compared with the prior year. We carefully evaluated holiday traffic patterns and we adjusted our store operations. This enabled us to serve our consumers' needs better and more efficiently. In quarter one, net-new units contributed 4% to sales growth. We're opening more smaller stores and expanding into lower-tier cities. Also, we strategically closed more stores to enhance the strength of our store portfolio for better overall performance. This led to lower sales growth in quarter one, which will normalize as the year progresses. Our restaurant margin was 18.6%, 100 basis points higher year-over-year. Savings in cost of sales and occupancy, and other costs offset increases in cost of labor. Cost of sales was 31.2%, 90 basis points lower year-over-year. Cost of sales improved through favorable commodity prices and continued benefits from Project Red Eye. We continue to pass these savings from these initiatives to our consumers, offering excellent value-for-money. The timing shift of Pizza Hut's all-you-can-eat campaign also positively impacted quarter one cost of sales. Cost of labor was 25.7%, 30 basis points higher year-over-year due to higher rider cost as a percentage of sales. While cost per delivery order lowered, increased delivery volume led to higher overall rider costs. Non-rider costs as a percent of sales remained stable year-over-year. Simplified operations helped offset low-single-digit wage inflation for our frontline staff. Occupancy and other was 24.5%, 40 basis points lower year-over-year, as a result of the cost optimizations in a number of areas, notably utilities and simplified operations. G&A expenses were 4.6% of revenue and 10 basis points lower compared to 4.7% in the prior year. Closure and impairment expenses increased year-over-year due to our strategic store optimization. Our OP margin was 13.4%, 80 basis points higher year-over-year, mainly driven by improved restaurant margin. Operating profit was $399 million, growing 8% year-over-year. Core OP also grew 8% year-over-year. Effective tax rate was 27.8%, 90 basis points higher year-over-year. Net income was $292 million, growing 3% year-over-year. As a reminder, we recognized $12 million less interest income this year due to a lower cash balance as a result of the cash used for shareholder returns. Our mark-to-market equity investment also had a positive impact of $2 million in quarter one compared to a positive impact of $6 million in quarter one last year. Diluted EPS was $0.77, growing 10% year-over-year or 12% excluding the mark-to-market equity investment impact. Let's now move on to capital return to shareholders. We are on track to return $3 billion to shareholders in 2025 through 2026. This is on top of the $1.5 billion in cash we returned in 2024. The average annual amount of capital returned over the three years is around 8% to 9% of our current market cap. In quarter one, we returned $262 million with $172 million in share repurchases and $90 million in quarterly cash dividends. Our cash position remains healthy. We ended the quarter with $2.8 billion in net cash. Finally, moving on to our 2025 outlook. We're operating in a complex and evolving landscape. Consumer spending remains rational. Our strategy is to offer innovative food and great value to drive traffic to our stores. We're working hard to achieve 10 consecutive quarters of positive same-store transaction growth in quarter two. That said, we remain cautious about potential fluctuations in same-store sales index. Even with many moving parts, we reiterate our 2025 full-year guidance of mid-single-digit system sales growth. We expect to ramp up net store openings as the year progresses. For the full year, we're on track to open 1,600 to 1,800 net-new stores. In quarter one, we opened 247 net new stores with franchise stores accounting for 41% of KFC net new opens and 33% for Pizza Hut. Franchise net new store mix for the 2025 full year is expected to be lower. Mid-to-long-term, our outlook is unchanged. We expect the franchise net new store mix to reach 40% to 50% for KFC and 20% to 30% for Pizza Hut over the next few years. We also target to maintain or slightly improve core OP margins for the full year. On the cost-of-sales front, we anticipate modest year-over-year improvements compared to 2024, remaining between 31% and 32%. We expect no material impact from tariffs as over 90% of our procurement is sourced locally. The direct impact from U.S. imports on our cost is expected to be minimal. Additionally, we have evaluated the indirect impact of tariffs on upstream suppliers. Alternative raw material solutions are available on our supply chain. So we are protected at the moment, but we will monitor the situation closely. Moving on to cost of labor, we continue to face pressure on the total rider cost driven by rapid delivery growth. Our goal for non-rider cost is to keep them stable by offsetting the wage inflation of our frontline staff through more automation, simplification, and centralization. In terms of occupancy and other as a percentage of sales, these are likely to stay relatively stable year-over-year. We continue to explore optimization opportunities to offset cost increases. By brand, we expect restaurant margin at KFC to be healthy and stable year-over-year, and Pizza Hut's margin to improve in the mid to long run. Lastly, we expect our G&A expenses as a percentage of revenue to slightly decrease and the effective tax rate to be in the high 20s. In terms of quarterly phasing, we expect tougher year-over-year margin comparisons later in the year. More meaningful benefits started to trickle in from Project Fresh Eye in quarter two of 2024 and from Project Red Eye in the second half of 2024. Overall, we're working hard towards our full-year targets. Let me pass it back to Joey for her closing remarks.