Earnings Labs

TriMas Corporation (TRS)

Q1 2012 Earnings Call· Thu, Apr 26, 2012

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to the TriMas Corporation First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Today’s conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Ms. Sherry Lauderback. Please go ahead.

Sherry Lauderback

Management

Thank you. Thank you and welcome to the TriMas Corporation first quarter 2012 earnings call. Participating on the call today are Dave Wathen, TriMas’ President and CEO; and Mark Zeffiro, our Chief Financial Officer. Dave and Mark will review TriMas’ first quarter results as well as provide details on our 2012 outlook. After our prepared remarks, we’ll then open the call up to your questions. In order to assist you with the review of our results, we’ve included the press release and PowerPoint presentation on our company website, at www.trimascorp.com under the Investors section. In addition, a replay of this call will be available later today by calling 888-203-1112 with the replay code of 2849962. Before we get started I would like to remind everyone that our comments today, which are intended to supplement your understanding of TriMas, may contain forward-looking statements that are inherently subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. Please refer to our Form 10-K for a list of factors that could cause our results to differ from those anticipated in any such forward-looking statements. Also, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as required by law. We would also direct your attention to our website where considerably more information may be found. At this point, I would like to turn the call over to Dave Wathen, TriMas’ President and CEO. Dave?

David Wathen

Management

Thanks, Sherry. Good morning. We know everyone is busy and we appreciate you taking the time to spend this morning with us. I’ll start with our review of the first quarter. Mark will share financial and segment highlights, and then I’ll summarize and update you on our outlook. And we’ll be glad to take your questions. Starting on Slide 4, TriMas had a good start to the year. In fourth quarter 2012, we increased revenue 15% and EPS 26%, despite choppy uncertainty in markets and our additional spending on projects for future growth. Earnings continued to be driven by strong productivity. Reported EPS was $0.36 per share for continuing operations plus $0.03 per share of costs related to Cequent footprint projects, identifying the special items. Within our quarterly $0.39 per share, we also absorbed more than $0.04 per share of cost related to the Arminak acquisition in the quarter. Our earnings power is allowing us to fund the programs and acquisitions to grow our future. TriMas’s revenue growth was driven by 2 things: growth driven by some positive end market dynamics and even more growth driven by our own actions. First, markets. Aircraft and energy markets are certainly strong. The aircraft manufacturers continue to ramp up their build rates and then forecast still high rates into next year. Global energy consumption is strong. Shale extraction continues to increase in the U.S. and then unusual spread between oil and natural gas prices provides us opportunity because of our mix of businesses. The additional markets TriMas serves are doing at least okay, with the exception of Europe. The U.S. appeared stock at 2% to 3% GDP, meaning we have to earn every bit of growth we get here. Asia and South America continue to show encouraging growth rates while Europe seems to…

A. Zeffiro

Management

Thank you, Dave, and good morning. Let’s start with a quick summary of our first quarter results on Slide 8. Our first quarter sales were almost $298 million, a record sales level for the first quarter and a 15% increase compared to the first quarter of 2011. This was our eighth consecutive quarter of double-digit sales increases with growth in our Packaging, Energy, Engineered Components and Cequent Asia Pacific segments. Consistent with 2011, we are getting growth on many fronts. Our innovative proprietary products are driving growth and market share gains. We are supporting our global customers and attracting new customers in the emerging and faster growing markets. On recent bolt-on acquisitions are generating expected or better than expected results. Our organic growth was approximately 9% in the quarter, excluding the impact of acquisition re-currency. Across the company, our strategies are working and our investments and growth are paying off. In February, we continued our disciplined execution of bolt-on acquisitions with the purchase of 70% of Arminak & Associates, a leading designer and supplier of foamers, pumps and fine mist sprayers for the cosmetic, personal care and household product markets. Our Q1 profitability was negatively impacted by purchase accounting adjustments and higher SG&A expenses related to this acquisition. As Dave mentioned, we also continue to fund future growth and productivity programs in the quarter, including our efforts to relocate some production to lower cost countries and consolidate manufacturing facilities in our Cequent businesses. Q1 operating profit improved approximately 7% compared to Q1 2011 excluding special items, primarily as a result of higher sales. Operating profit margin was 10.7% as margins were negatively impacted by the acquisition-related costs I mentioned, as well as unfavorable mix in the quarter as segments with lower margin comprise a greater percentage of sales in Q1,…

David Wathen

Management

Thanks Mark. Let me summarize on Slide 17, with what I believe are key takeaways from our first quarter. We had strong 15% revenue growth versus a year ago. Aircraft and energy markets delivered a few percentage points in growth for us and the bulk of the growth came from our new product programs, our projects to grow in faster growing parts of the globe and synergies from our bolt-on acquisitions. Interestingly, our revenues grew later within the quarter, which may or may not be a good indicator going forward. Productivity continued at our goal of 3 plus percent cost take out that enabled us to both fund the growth programs and grow EPS. In my travels for operating reviews, I saw multiple lean projects delivered by the team of people during the work. We once again generated double digit earnings growth. Working capital increased due to acquisition and few programs to increase inventory for customers while re-arranging our production footprint. We know how to work this down as the new changes. Our potential acquisition pipeline is attractive and we have the horsepower to pursue careful bolt-on acquisitions. Turning to Slide 18, providing our 2012 outlook. While we are encouraged by trends in our businesses there is just too much short term uncertainty in the economy to make any changes to our outlook yet. The second quarter will give us a better insight as to how the headwinds and tailwinds balance out and how well we are positioned to mitigate our risks and capture our opportunities. So at this point, we reaffirm our 2012 outlook. I’ll close with restating our strategic aspirations. No change here, and everyone at TriMas knows these well. We employ structured management processes to prioritize the actions that deliver these aspirations. Our short-term and long-term incentives tie exactly to performance of these strategies and staying focused delivers the value all of you expect and deserve in TriMas. Now we’ll glad to take your questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Now we’ll take the first question from Steve Barger with KeyBanc Capital markets.

Steve Barger

Analyst

Dave, you said you are encouraged by the progress, but there is just too much uncertainty right now to increase guidance. Is that really a Europe based comment or is it related to the U.S. consumer vis-à-vis Cequent, or kind of frame up where you see the real risks as you look at the world right now?

David Wathen

Management

Europe is the riskiest and the indicators are not good. We all see the same ones. And the products we sell in Europe, luckily not a huge part of TriMas from our standpoint, but the products we sell are heavily affected by chemical production and shipping and that kind of thing. Europe, I got to pay attention to whether it would be global bridge orders, all of the things going on. There is plenty of news that says U.S. manufacturing is recovering and then it comes right back with order rates dropping off and that’s what I said -- I just have to stay cautious about it. I got high hopes it’s going to be better, but I owe you what we can see and it still looks pretty uncertain.

Steve Barger

Analyst

Okay. Well you characterized demand as sharp and said 1Q started slowly and ramped. Has that ramp been persistent in the 2Q so far? Do things look more like March or more like January right now as you look across your business? It’s too easy. It’s too soon to tell. I wish I could but it’s too soon to tell.

Steve Barger

Analyst

Okay. I’m switching gears. We still get a lot of questions about your exposure to shale plays. Can you just give us some updated thoughts on where the real opportunities are and are there any threats that you see from that part of the world?

David Wathen

Management

Well, of course the threats tend to be regulatory and concerns about the technology and all that. We’re twice removed from that. We just ship equipment that they are using. The shale play for us is that it requires compression in general. There is a mix of gas and oil coming out of the wells. So, compressors do well -- a lot of what requires lift, physical lift out of the ground, because our engines are used to that. There is vapor recover required and our demand for the compressors that can be used for that. I said it’s outstripped demand, outstripped capacity, we thought, and if you ask Len Turner [ph], we thought we had a plenty of capacity seeing to come out of us and now we’re operating parts around. Let me add another important one. The natural gas prices are mighty low, and so that’s not attractive to pull it out of the ground, but low prices are meeting – do a search or how many plastics plants and that kind of thing are switching from oil to gas as a feedstock, and of course that gives great demand to Lamons.

Steve Barger

Analyst

Right, right.

A. Zeffiro

Management

That’s the secondary part of -- they’re coming out of all the shale gas.

Steve Barger

Analyst

So broadly speaking, even with low in that gas prices, do you see this as a positive for your business, obviously you got a backlog at aero and the Lamons?

A. Zeffiro

Management

Overall for us it winds up being a positive, but the natural gas low price means the volume is increasing.

Steve Barger

Analyst

Got it. By adding Innovative and Arminak, you’re going after targeted growth, which you’ve said you are going to kind of at the expensive margin in the near term, but can you remind us what you’re thinking of in terms of where the out margin shakes out over the next few years. Does this get back to mid-20% EBIT margin or better for the segment or how should we just kind of think about what the goal is?

A. Zeffiro

Management

That’s definitely our goal and there is a whole lot of programs underway to do that, everything from input cost to manufacturing and consolidation. It’s not a one year project.

Steve Barger

Analyst

Sure, we understand.

A. Zeffiro

Management

Steve, I’d add to that. For example the Innovative business sequentially quarter-on-quarter, the profitability of that business was up 380 bips from basically purchase-related activities. And the fact of matter is the incremental productivity we’ve got out of putting them in a world class kind of facility versus where they were as an amalgamation of bunch of different businesses has given us significant leverage there. The realities of that, that kind of effort is exactly what we expect to employ, maybe not for the manufacturing perspective but from an input cost perspective in Arminak as well. So if you look at both of those businesses and think of incremental spread in margins here that we’re expecting to see over the next 12, 18 and 24 month levels.

David Wathen

Management

Mark and I were at both Innovative and Arminak 2 weeks ago. The new Innovative facility, quite a few of you have been in our Hamilton, Indiana Packaging Plant, which is a highly automated plant. The Innovative plant is starting to get that same look to it, bright, strikethrough lines, high volume, people tending machines, driving the newer manual work and we’re getting there with it.

Steve Barger

Analyst

That’s great. That’s a....

David Wathen

Management

And we were spending some money to do it of course.

Steve Barger

Analyst

Understandable, but it’s a good opportunity. Thanks for the color.

Operator

Operator

And we’ll take the next question from Fred Buonocore with Rodman and Renshaw.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Rodman and Renshaw.

To just follow on Steve’s question about kind of momentum from Q1 and rolling into Q2. Looking at the improvement that you saw towards the end of the quarter, can you give us a sense for what areas you saw the most acceleration as we started to move towards the end of the quarter, in terms of end markets and geography in such?

David Wathen

Management

That’s a great question. The implication was in terms of total company, we had kind of a slow January and February, and saw order rates largely across the board start to increase. And that came in areas probably most notable in our energy businesses and energy related businesses, as well as I would also point to the Cequent businesses as well, both geographically here in the North America as well as in Asia. But those are the one that I point you that we saw the largest increase in velocity of orders. Now rest of the business is if you’re to point out for example Monogram, the aircraft business, it’s had a pretty strong order rate throughout the quarter. And if you were to look at the industrial gas cylinders business, that also had pretty decent orders throughout the entire quarter.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Rodman and Renshaw.

Okay, great. That’s helpful. And also just looking across the segments, can you give us some kind of review or sense for how we should look at the outlook as we progress through the year, realizing that you’ve got a lot of uncertainty and choppiness, for instance on the engineered component side of the business. You had indicated that it was great quarter, comps get tough, but I mean just in terms of this revenue level, is this sustainable or would you expect the heat there to kind of cool off little bit as we move through the year, just trying to get a sense for how you would think about the progression through the year throughout the segments?

David Wathen

Management

Yes, let’s start with the packaging business. It earned new volumes that will start to ramp in the back half of the year that we have not seen any volumes on year-to-date. So that’s going to be both Asia based as well as North American delivery, as well as the building park implementation with Arminak should provide us either very late in the year or maybe even April, beginning in Q1 2013, you will start to see volume. So, absent Europe which was really flat on the back half of 2011, we’re seeing that comparable level in the front half here. So that relative pressure should be less for us in the back half.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Rodman and Renshaw.

Okay.

David Wathen

Management

If you look at energy, there is natural seasonality associated with turnaround activities, which I wouldn’t suspect any significant deviation there. We have one additional step down in volume here come in Q2 for the aerospace and defense business, that being the defense side of it, and so therefore we should see back half of the year, see some pretty reasonable increases in terms of revenues. It’s actually -- for planning purposes, that’s the way we think about it. The engineered components business, my comment there was these guys have been on fire for 6 quarters and the question becomes in the core demand levels. As Dave said, the U.S. demand levels have largely 2% to 3% kind of GDPs, especially in natural gas cylinder space. We’re clearly taking share and there was a bit of a vacuum here, even coming out of the last slowdown in terms of real asset cylinders needed. So, I would see that retreating back to kind of a GDP level, but Arrow Engine I think is, for the foreseeable future, if there is such a thing in this choppy economy, showing us continued order rate that should help us through at least middle, to the later part of the year. In Cequent, you got the 2 pieces of the pie. You got the North American business, which was, given the fact that they had share gains in Q1 2011 as compared to Q1 2012, we saw a slight decline. But the weather actually played a decent role in terms of giving customers positive feel towards docking, maybe a bit earlier in the year. Whereas Australia is recovering from those tough April disasters, both the Tsunami as well as flooding. Australia that is front of the year is showing may be a little easier comp and then heavier tougher comps in the back half of the year. So, that’s the ocean front, if you will, on that.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Rodman and Renshaw.

Okay, great. That’s helpful. And then just finally the tax rate came in a bit lower than I’ve been anticipating. How should we think about your assumed tax rate for the balance of the year?

David Wathen

Management

We began a tax efficient strategy here about a year and half ago and we’re starting to feel the benefits associated with all that hard work. This is obviously taking our effective tax rate from mid to high 30s down to, our planning rates are in the 33 to 34 range.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Rodman and Renshaw.

Okay, so still in that 33 to 34 range.

Operator

Operator

And we’ll take our next question from Mark Tobin with ROTH Capital Partners.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · ROTH Capital Partners.

This is Joe filling in for Mark. I just had one quick question if you could. I know it will come on the queue later today, but could you talk a little bit about gross margins on a segment-by-segment basis and where you saw any sort of upside and downside risk going forward?

A. Zeffiro

Management

On gross margins in terms of total, total, you’re looking at about 26.5% as compared to previous period of 27.8%. The biggest effect in that reduction obviously, was the acquisition and cost associated with the packaging acquisition. So that’s the biggest decline in the set of portfolio. So, we expected that that’s going to improve throughout the year and recover back to more normalized levels as we get through the setup cost associated with the purchase accounting elements of that acquisition. Energy continued to have inefficiency, and you will see that it was about 26.3% for the quarter, continue to have inefficiencies associated with this significantly heightened level of demand. We’re largely on our way to improving that production level and the team spending a ton of time working on lean related efforts to make that increase throughout the year as well. Aerospace and defense 41.8%, that should show continued improvement in the back half of the year, simply because a larger portion on the overall segment will be Monogram versus the defense and eye business and the rest of the businesses should be pretty stable, that being 21.5 for Engineered Components, 22.5 for Cequent Asia Pacific; obviously, there is seasonality associated with that business and lastly 23.2% for North America.

Operator

Operator

And we will go to the next question from Scott Graham with Jefferies.

R. Scott Graham

Analyst · Jefferies.

Just a couple of questions for you, when we look at the branch adds that you’re doing here, I am just curious about that because you had tremendous success there adding another, I think you said $1.6 million this quarter. How do you do that? Is this a situation where you go out and build it and they will come, or is it a situation where the revenues are kind of already there being serviced by different branch and you feel that better service is accommodated by building a branch, how do you do that?

David Wathen

Management

It’s more the second. We’re usually selling through some distributors already, but they’re distributors in the more normal sense of when we build a branch, we put manufacture equipment into the branch so we can do the fast turnaround and the costs come down too. We tend to give more high margin business and we bring cost down, might do it on ourselves. I will say that we are, as we have been building out over the last few years it’s become clear that some branches ramp up real fast and some are slower and in general the slower ones are further away from headquarters. Not a big surprise, but it takes a while for a branch in Singapore or Spain or whatever, to come up to full speed. And that is -- we’re thinking a lot more about what are our training programs, maybe we should acquire more versus build some of our own, and we still, absolutely on the path of building out the footprint, because that’s what work for the business. But the how, we’re tweaking some. We can tell by the indicators. We’re imprinting too much, we need bolt,specialty bolt manufacturing in more locations, things like that.

R. Scott Graham

Analyst · Jefferies.

Got it. All right.

R. Scott Graham

Analyst · Jefferies.

Yes, no. Good strategy. This question is a little tougher, on the packaging side. When we excel the purchase accounting charges, the margin was about 22%. I was wondering if you could tell me how Arminak impacts that from a mix standpoint, like if we would take out Arminak altogether, what would that margin have looked like?

David Wathen

Management

If you look at the legacy businesses for the packaging business, you typically see EBITDA levels that are leading digits breaking into the leading digit three, EBITDA levels for our Arminak acquisition and at acquisition time, the EBITDA levels were mid-20s, 23, and the innovative business was on lower levels than that and probably in teens, in terms of the EBITDA levels whereby we have already improved that margin rate by 380 basis points just sequentially Q4 to Q1, with yet further improvement expected across the year.

R. Scott Graham

Analyst · Jefferies.

Okay. I think I saw that market. Let me maybe ask question that excuse me if I’m repeating something you have answered. Is the base business of packaging that maybe running at a lower margin than what we have seen in the past, it seems like it might be and if so, is it all because of the industrial closure mix or is there something else there or am I wrong in my assumption?

David Wathen

Management

No. If you were to look at the EBITDA levels and review the core business, they are still on the 30s. If you look at Arminak acquisition, you end up for the situation where if you look at the EBITDA levels, the math is nearly minus, anyway, the purchase coming after you know that. And then the innovative businesses is coming up to about 20% in terms of where we’re seeing it right now. So, yeah I know, I would tell you that the core business, the legacy business if you will, perhaps to say it’s not a good business, it’s a great business. It’s seeing a little bit of pressure, but nothing materially different, it’s held margins.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] It appears there are no further questions at his time Mr. Wathen I’ll turn the call back over to you for any additional or closing remarks.

David Wathen

Management

Well again we sure appreciate your attention. We’re hard at here keeping to drive the value of TriMas and stay tuned. This is a reminder, we are hosting an Investor and Analyst Day in New York City at NASDAQ, the morning of May 16. You will get to see our business units leaders who really run TriMas, and maybe will talk about the businesses and take a deeper dive into their businesses. It’s a great opportunity to learn more about the businesses, their growth strategies, many of them we talked about today, but again to get a much deeper dive. So if you’d like to join us, Sherry is on point for that. Contact Sherry if you could join us, we’d appreciate it. Again thanks for your attention. You can count on us, we’ll keep at it. Thanks all.

Operator

Operator

That does conclude today’s conference. Thank you for your participation.