Steve Hasker
Analyst · Huber Research. Please go ahead
Thank you Frank and thanks to all of you for joining us today. I will begin by stating that we're very pleased with our results for the fourth quarter and the full year. Our results met or exceeded our guidance targets for revenue growth, adjusted EBITDA margin and free cash flow. Despite the enormous challenges in 2020 related to the pandemic our performance reaffirmed the resilience of our markets and businesses. We adapted and supported our customers in their evolving ways of working and I'm very proud and appreciative of how our people performed during this period. Now to our results. For the fourth quarter revenues were up 2% and adjusted EBITDA increased 33% to $525 million reflecting a margin of 32.5%. For the full year adjusted EBITDA margin was 33% and includes having spent about $70 million in the fourth quarter on initiatives to better position us for 2021 and beyond. This strong performance resulted in adjusted earnings per share of $0.54 compared to $0.37 per share in the fourth quarter of last year. Turning to the segments. The Big three businesses achieved organic revenue growth of 5% for the quarter and 4% for the full year, a very good performance particularly given the global economic environment. Legal had another good quarter and built on the third quarter's results with revenues up 5% before currency and organic revenues up 4%. Legal also recorded double-digit recurring sales in the quarter and full year. Legal's recurring revenues which are 93% of its total revenues increased 5% organically up from 4% in Q3. Westlaw Edge continues to drive strong sales growth and ended the quarter at a 52% ACV penetration. We expect to achieve a penetration rate of between 60% and 65% by year-end 2021. Edge has now been adopted by all U.S. federal government courts and 42 U.S. state court systems. Practical Law ended the year nearing $400 million in revenue and grew nearly 10%. Our government business which is managed within our Legal segment continues to seek good momentum and grew 10% organically in the fourth quarter and nearly 10% for the full year. We forecast a strong performance again for 2021. Turning to the Corporates business organic revenues grew 3% for the fourth quarter lower than expected due to an 11% decline in transaction revenues driven by lower software implementation services. Encouragingly organic recurring revenues which are 87% of Corporates total revenues grew 6%. For 2021, we expect stronger revenue growth as recurring revenue is expected to remain healthy and transaction revenues are expected to strengthen as implementations return. For the full year Corporates total revenues grew 5.5% before currency and organic revenues grew 4.5%. Tax and accountings Q4 organic revenues ended strongly posting growth of 8%. In Q4, we accelerated the release of some of our ultra tax state tax software from January to December to more closely aligned with the traditional December release of our U.S. federal software. Reuters News organic revenues were down 3% in Q4, a better than expected performance and global print organic revenues declined 10% in line with our guidance. We expect both Reuters and Print to improve their revenue performance in 2021. For the full year reported and organic revenues were both up 1% and revenues at constant currency were up 2%. Adjusted EBITDA increased 32% to nearly $2 billion reflecting a margin of 33% for the year. The combination of organic revenue growth for the Big 3 is 4% coupled with the effective cost savings measures instituted in the first quarter and not having incurred one-time costs as occurred in 2019 contributed to strong EBITDA margin improvement. This strong performance resulted in full-year adjusted earnings per share of a $1.85 versus $1.29 per share in 2019 and we're particularly pleased to report that free cash flow per share was $2.67 exceeding the target of $2.40 per share provided at our December 2018 investor day. Let me finish up on the financials by pointing out that we met or exceeded each of the financial guidance metrics we provided for 2020 which reflects the resilience of the business and visibility we have into our businesses and markets. With that let me now turn to the Change Program we announced this morning. As I said last quarter there's no doubt we have strong market positions. Our customers love our content and we're in a solid operating position as evidenced by our 2020 results. But it's imperative that we elevate our value proposition, enhance the customer experience we provide and maximize our performance. Let me explain. First on context. It's important to emphasize that we're implementing our Change Program from a position of strength. The first point I'd make is that we operate in robust and growing legal, tax and risk fraud and compliance markets. Our businesses are rock solid and we are number one or number two in our core legal, tax and accounting corporates and risk fraud compliance franchises supported by a trusted brand and a highly engaged group of associates. Point number two, prevailing tailwinds in our markets play to our strengths and will contribute to our growth. Those tailwinds are blowing in our favor and they play to our strengths and will help drive our growth. COVID-19 has changed how, when and where people work which is an opportunity for us. Additionally, our markets are healthy and growing. We operate in stable competitive environments and our markets are integral to the proper functioning of professional services ecosystems globally. More on this on the next slide. Point number three. We have two powerful levers to drive both growth and efficiencies. Lever number one is transitioning to an operating company to take full advantage of our scale in the customer experience we provide, the technologies we operate and the products we build and lever number two is building a content driven technology company extending our unique content with AI and software to create significantly expanded used cases and increased value for our customers. These two levers will expand our customer relationships and will enable us to provide a far better customer experience at a lower cost to serve. They will also enable us to expand our market size. Point number four. This is an organic growth plan and we have a seasoned team in place and we believe we can achieve our targets with the momentum we have in our current markets and businesses, bolt-on acquisitions would be additive. We've developed a well-defined plan and we've begun executing. We've been hiring high caliber, highly qualified experienced talent to help lead this transition and who successfully undertook similar programs in their prior organizations. These leaders complement the very experienced Thomson Reuters teams that successfully executed large-scale projects in the past including the separation from Refinitiv. And point number five. Our LSEG position provides substantial optionality as we will have significant capital to deploy beginning in 2023. I mentioned we're also benefiting from prevailing tailwinds which favor business information services markets and providers. Let me give you three examples. First, over the course of the past 12 months we've all learned to work in ways we could never imagined prior to the pandemic. Fundamental shifts are taking place and these changes are requiring our customers to rethink their strategies, their ways of working, where they allocate employees and how they allocate budgets. The playbook is being written in real time. We do know that trusted, always-on actionable content combined with unique data, AI and software is a must-have and companies that provide it will win. Second, these accelerated changes are enabling us to better serve customers and are opening new markets for companies like ours. It's allowing us to deliver our quality content to anyone, anywhere. Digital technologies and software are democratizing ways of working an attorney or accountant in Missoula, Montana has the same access to high quality legal and tax solutions as his or her counterpart in Chicago. Our self-serve, omni-channel offerings will enable us to reach smaller customer groups and SMB firms which we believe will contribute to higher growth. And third, we have an advantage position with exposure to high growth verticals within our core markets. Demand for solutions in areas such as direct and indirect tax, audit, legal how-to and broader workflow software tools for risk, fraud and compliance solutions are all growing in markets and we are well-positioned to serve these customers. These tailwinds are accelerating the pace for change and driving our customers to extract more value from our information benefiting them commercially and competitively which will enhance our relationships, competitive position and growth. Now to the Change Program. Lever number 1 of the Change program is the transition to an operating company. On the left side of this slide was our holding company structure and on the right is the operating company structure to which we are transitioning. Our business segments will focus on go to market and will be supported by [pan-TR] functions that will manage customer service and support, technology and product development. This will significantly enhance our customer experience and will improve efficiencies by building once and deploying many times. Our overall cost to serve will decrease which will free up investment to pursue new growth opportunities. Our objectives are to make it easier for our customers to do business with us, to significantly modernize and simplify our product portfolio and product development groups and to reduce complexity in our operations and technology organization and from a talent standpoint we will continue to simplify our organization, break down silos and shift to a more innovative culture. Level number two of the Change Program is transitioning from a content provider to a content driven technology company. Our content is a significant competitive advantage. It differentiates us and builds our brand. Our new structure positions us to achieve greater success by leveraging that valuable content, enriching it with world-class AI and best-of-breed software and delivering it in the cloud. We have started this journey with Westlaw Edge and Checkpoint Edge and we're expanding the playbook to our other solutions. This will provide a better, more modern customer experience that will enable us to reach a wider number of clients particularly in the SMB markets where we can drive higher revenue growth. Let me now discuss specifics regarding how we will better serve our customers and access new customer groups. We're confident this program will drive deep, long lasting transformation. It's designed to simultaneously drive revenue growth and improve efficiencies as we transition to a simpler, more integrated and fast company. The work streams for the four focused areas on this slide are underway and let me describe the changes for each area. Firstly, reimagining the customer experience. We're creating fast, frictionless, connected, transparent and personalized customer experiences. This includes upgrading and scaling digital marketing and driving enhanced sales and service from data and analytics. The end result in 2023 will be a significant portions of the customer experience enhanced through digitization and automation. Secondly, we're optimizing our products and portfolio. We're shifting our focus to a smaller number of higher growth product categories where synergies exist and where we can build and maintain our leadership positions. This will be supported by a concerted push to world-class product proposition and strategy, development, pricing delivery and management. The end result in 2023 will be a more focused and integrated set of products that drive valuable outcomes for customers. Thirdly, we're simplifying operations and leveraging technology. We're scaling up machine learning, re-engineering underlying processes and creating shared technology platforms that support agile product development and significantly enhance customer experience. The end result in 2023 will be a modernized, simplified technology architecture and operations footprint. And finally, we're building and strengthening an inclusive culture of world-class talent. We're implementing new talent management processes supported by external hires and increased investment in training and development. The end result in 2023 will be a self-replenishing pipeline of world-class internal talent. In parallel with the Change Program and executing against these focus areas we're also investing in seven strategic growth priorities within the Big 3 segments. These investments are expected to accelerate organic growth and contribute to achieving our growth target of 5% to 6% in 2023. We've already begun shifting our focus and investment to these seven priorities and we're expected to grow up a single digit over the next several years. We also continue to see opportunities for tuck-in M&A to accelerate our position across these three product categories and we have an active pipeline of potential acquisitions across the Big 3 business segments which we regularly review and assess. We continue to believe that there are attractive opportunities in which to invest [inorganically] in our current markets. We plan to provide a deep dive on each of these product categories at our investor day on March 16. Now to the financial targets. The Change Program is expected to take 24 months to largely complete and we've begun executing with urgency. It will require an investment of between $500 million and $600 million in 2021 and 2022. This investment is forecast to deliver additional annual revenues of $100 million in 2023, annual operating expense savings of $600 million, $200 million of which will be reinvested in growth initiatives for a net savings of $400 million and a reduction in capital spending as a percent of revenue between 6% and 6.5%. I'll also note the targets embedded in the Change Program have been fully incorporated into our annual incentive plans. I will now discuss our three-year outlook resulting from the Change Program, 2023 we forecast total company organic revenue growth between 5% and 6% and for the Big 3 between 6% and 7%. Adjusted EBITDA margin in 2023 is expected to range between 38% and 40% and with adjusted EBITDA margin in that range and lower capital expenditures we forecast free cash flow per share to range between $3.60 and $4 in 2023 substantially higher than 2020s $2.67 per share. Given the resilience of our businesses, the health of our markets and the team we've assembled I'm confident we'll achieve our goals. The net result of the Change Program will be faster revenue growth, significantly higher margins, higher free cash flow and record free cash flow per share. I will conclude by saying we're excited and energized with the roll out of our Change Program. It's truly a transformative program for the company and beyond the operational and structural changes we will make which are essential the Change Program will lead to Thomson Reuters being acknowledged as a leading content driven technology company and recognized as a leader in the markets in which we operate powering professionals in the legal, tax, risk, fraud and compliance and news markets. We also want to be acknowledged by our customers and as an innovator and builder of products that delight them. This will afford us the opportunity to expand our customer relationships from delivering accurate content to powering customers businesses and by 2023 we expect to have essentially redesigned our customer experience to match our customer’s expectations by delivering a seamless experience and enabling access to new customer groups including SMBs. And finally, our ownership interest in LSEG provides substantial optionality to further strengthen our position. We forecast we could have financial capacity of as much as $15 billion by 2025 which will allow us to assess options to further drive growth and shareholder value. That said we understand that we must successfully execute our Change Program and earn the right to deploy that capital if opportunities were to present themselves. Let me now turn it over to Mike.