Mike Eastwood
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thank you, Steve. And thanks to all of you for joining us today. As a reminder, I will talk to revenue growth, before currency and on an organic basis. Let me start by providing some color, on the revenue performance of our Big 3 segments. Revenue growth for the Big 3 was up nearly 5%, with organic revenues also up nearly 5% for the quarter, both above the ranges we provided, in the second quarter. For the quarter, Legal Professionals revenues increased 4%. And organic revenues were up 3%. Recurring organic revenue growth of 4% was partially offset by a 4% decline in transaction revenues. This decline was due to a timing delay, in our FindLaw business. And Westlaw Edge continues to contribute over 100 basis points to Legal's organic growth, while continuing to maintain a healthy premium. Our Government business had another strong quarter, with total revenue growth of 12%, of which 9% was organic growth. In our Corporates segment, both total revenues and organic revenues were up 5%, driven by our legal and tax solutions. And finally, Tax & Accounting's total revenues grew 3%, with organic revenues up 10%. The difference between total growth of 3% and organic growth of 10% was mainly related to the sale of our Government Tax business, in November 2019. Also, Tax & Accounting's organic revenues were boosted 380 basis points, due to the shift in pay-per-return filings to Q3 from Q2, related to the extension of the U.S. federal tax filing deadline, to July 15. Excluding this benefit, organic revenues were still up, a healthy 6%. We expect Tax & Accounting's organic revenues will increase between, 5% and 7% in the fourth quarter. Moving to Reuters News, revenues declined 1%, with organic revenues down 2%, mainly due to softness in the agency business. This performance was slightly better than we had anticipated, due to the conversion of 16 in-person conferences to virtual events. As a result, we now anticipate Reuters, full year revenue to decline between 2% to 4%, and organic revenue to decline between 6% and 8%. And Global Print revenues declined 7% in the quarter, with organic revenues also down 7%. This performance was at the better end of the range we provided last quarter of minus 7% to minus 15%. We expect full year Global Print revenue to decline between, 7% and 11%. And on a consolidated basis, third quarter revenues grew 3% with organic revenues up 2%. Before turning to profitability, let's look closer at recurring and transaction revenue results for the third quarter. Starting on the left side, total company organic revenue for the third quarter in 2020 was up 2.5% compared to 3.6% growth in the third quarter of 2019. But if we delve deeper and look at the Q3 2020 performance for the Big 3, you will see organic revenues increased nearly 5%, a strong performance and in line with the performance in Q3 2019. And as you can see on the top right of the slide, the recurring revenue growth continues to be very encouraging as organic revenues for total company grew 4% and the Big 3 grew 5%, slightly less than last year's third quarter. Turning to the graph on the bottom right of the slide. Transaction revenues were up over 600 basis points year-over-year, mainly due to the pay-per-return timing that was recorded in Q3 and which I previously mentioned. So despite the COVID-19-related disruptions, we continue to remain encouraged by the momentum we carry into the fourth quarter and 2021, especially for recurring revenues giving us confidence in the trajectory of the business. Turning to our profitability performance in the third quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the Big 3 segments was $439 million, up 22% from the prior year period. And the margin was up 560 basis points, reflecting strong revenue growth and the cost savings programs implemented late in the first quarter related to COVID-19. Legal Professionals adjusted EBITDA margin in the third quarter grew over 600 basis points to 42.8% compared to the prior year period due to higher revenues and COVID-19-related cost-mitigation efforts. Corporates adjusted EBITDA margin was up 300 basis points to 36.0%, mainly driven by revenue growth. And finally, Tax & Accounting's adjusted EBITDA margin increased more than 800 basis points to 28.5% also due to COVID-19 cost-mitigation efforts and the sale of the lower-margin Aumentum business in November of last year. Moving to Reuters News. Adjusted EBITDA was $23 million, $7 million more than the prior year period mainly due to COVID-19 cost-mitigation efforts. Global Print's adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter declined about 120 basis points due to decline in revenues but remained strong at about 41%. So in aggregate, adjusted EBITDA was $491 million, up 42%, benefiting from revenue growth, cost savings initiatives and not having incurred onetime costs as had been the case in the prior year period. This next slide provides a bit more color on the various factors impacting our adjusted EBITDA margin in the third quarter. As you can see, our reported 2020 third quarter adjusted EBITDA margin was 34%. There were several factors in the quarter that contributed to the significant increase over the prior year period. M&A activity had a 50 basis point positive impact on margin in the quarter, and lower revenues related to COVID-19 had a 230 basis point negative impact on margin. However, the savings from the $100 million cost savings initiative we announced in the first quarter led to a 500 basis point benefit, more than offsetting the dilution from the COVID-19 impact. We have now exceeded our $100 million target but anticipate reinvesting the additional savings in the fourth quarter. Therefore, our full year net savings in response to COVID-19 will be approximately $100 million. And lastly, currency negatively impacted margin by about 40 basis points in the quarter. So on an underlying basis, excluding stranded and onetime costs in the prior year, the adjusted EBITDA margin expanded about 400 basis points in the quarter. So, on an underlying basis, excluding stranded and one-time costs in the prior year, the adjusted EBITDA margin expanded about 400 basis points, which was primarily related to the cost savings measures as a response to COVID-19. We continue to expect these savings will be permanent. With the completion of our $100 million cost savings initiative, we believe we're making the necessary investments in the fourth quarter to accelerate organic revenue growth and margin improvement in 2021. We continue to encourage you to focus on our adjusted EBITDA margin on an annual basis. Overall, we believe we have good visibility into the levers at our disposal to achieve the new adjusted EBITDA margin target of about 32%, Steve mentioned earlier. Now let me turn to our earnings per share and free cash flow performance. Starting with earnings per share, adjusted EPS increased by $0.12 to $0.39 per share during the third quarter. The increase was driven by higher adjusted EBITDA, partially offset by three items: first, an increase in depreciation and amortization, mainly related to acquisitions and asset impairment charges related to office closures in Q3; second, higher interest expense largely due to lower interest income; and third, higher income taxes. Finally, currency had a $0.01 negative impact on adjusted EPS in the quarter. Let me now turn to our free cash flow performance for the first nine months. Our reported free cash flow was $881 million versus a negative $50 million in the prior year period, an improvement of over $900 million. Consistent with previous quarters, this slide removes the distorting factors impacting free cash flow performance. Working from the bottom of the page upwards, the Refinitiv-related component of our free cash flow was better by $145 million from the prior year period. 2019 included residual payments for employee cost and tax expenditures related to the operations of our former F&R business. Also in the first nine months, we made $87 million of payments for separation costs incurred in 2019 related to our transformation program. In the prior year period, we made a pension contribution and other payments totaling $542 million, primarily related to the Refinitiv transaction. So if you adjust for these items, comparable free cash flow from continuing operations was $840 million, $190 million better than the prior year period. This increase was primarily due to higher EBITDA and lower income taxes, slightly offset by higher capital expenditures. Now, an update on our investment in Refinitiv. The agreement to sell Refinitiv to the London Stock Exchange Group is now expected to close in the first quarter of 2021. Regarding our investment stake, when the proposed deal closes, our expected interest was worth about $8.8 billion pre-tax as of the market close yesterday, and we now expect to incur a tax of about $600 million at closing due to the continued rise in the LSE stock price. I will remind you we have several options available regarding how we will fund the tax payment aside from free cash flow, cash on hand or drawing under our revolver, including some non-core minority investments. Our future equity interest in the LSE will represent a store value, which can be monetized over time. We believe it will provide us with a significant level of financial flexibility in the foreseeable future. As a reminder, after the deal closes, we expect to receive annual dividends from the LSE estimated at $60 million per year based on the LSE's current annual dividend payout. Now let me turn to our outlook for the balance of the year. As Steve mentioned, we are reaffirming our 2020 full year guidance for consolidated revenue growth and organic revenue growth for the Big 3, and we are revising four guidance metrics. First, we are increasing our adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to 32% for total TR. We are also increasing our margin guidance for the Big 3 to between 37% and 38%. Second, we are increasing our free cash flow guidance to $1.1 billion for the full year, up from $1 billion to $1.1 billion. Third, just as we're making additional operating expense investments in Q4, we also plan to make additional CapEx investments. Both are intended to better position us for 2021. CapEx as a percentage of revenue is now forecast to range between 8% and 8.5%. As I've said before, we continue to expect CapEx to decline as a percentage of revenue over the next several years beginning in 2021. And fourth, guidance for depreciation and amortization is increasing by $25 million, primarily due to asset impairment charges related to the office closures I previously mentioned. These closures reflect our intention to continue to shrink our global real estate footprint. Finally, we are reaffirming our effective tax rate guidance of between 17% and 19%. Let me now hand it back to Frank.