Mike Eastwood
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead
Thank you, Steve, and thanks to all of you for joining us today. As a reminder, I will talk to revenue growth before currency and on an organic basis. Let me start by providing some color on the revenue performance of our Big three segment. Revenue growth for the Big three was up 3% for the quarter and increased 2% organically both within the ranges we provided in the first quarter. For the quarter, Legal Professionals revenues increased 3% and organic revenues were up 1%. Recurring organic revenue growth of 3% was partially offset by a 19% decline in transaction revenues, which I will discuss in more detail in a moment. Our Government business had another strong quarter with revenue growth of 11% and our global Legal businesses grew 3%. And despite COVID-19, Westlaw Edge again contributed over 100 basis points to organic growth and maintain a healthy premium. In our Corporate segment, revenues were up 6% including confirmation, which was acquired in July 2019 and organic revenues were up 5%, driven by our legal and tax solutions. And finally, Tax & Accounting revenues were down 4% in part due to divesting our government business in November 2019. On an organic basis, Tax & Accounting professionals revenues were flat for the quarter. This was due to a 300 basis point negative impact due to the delay in pay per return filings resulting from the extension of the U.S. federal tax filing deadline to July 15. This was timing related and we saw those revenues recorded in the first two weeks of July. We expect Tax & Accounting's revenues to rebound in the third and fourth quarter to 5% plus. Moving to Reuters News. Revenues were flat in the second quarter with organic revenues down 11% mainly due to the cancellation of in-person conferences at Reuters Events due to COVID-19. This performance was slightly better than we had anticipated due to the conversion of six in-person conferences to virtual events. I will discuss this in more detail in a moment. And Global Print revenues declined 17% in the quarter with organic revenues also down 17% as expected due to the temporary delay in shipments of content. We continue to believe we will be able to recoup most of this revenue in the second half of the year as law firms and government agencies continue to reopen and we can again chip. So on a consolidated basis, second quarter revenues were flat with organic revenues down 2%. Before turning to profitability, let's look closer at recurring and transaction revenue results for the first half. Starting on the left side, total company organic revenue for the first half of 2020 was flat as compared to 4% growth in the first half of 2019. However, organic revenues for the Big three increased 3% for the first half of this year, a good performance. And as you can see on the top right of the slide, the recurring revenue growth continues to be very encouraging as organic revenue for both total company and the Big three grew about 4%, slightly less than last year's half year period. The recurring revenue decline was especially evidenced in Tax & Accounting, which was partially impacted by the shift of the Ultratax state software release to Q4 2019 from Q1 2020, which we mentioned last quarter. Adjusting for the permanent UltraTax software release change, Tax & Accounting's recurring revenues would have been up 6% for the first half and the Big three recurring revenues would have grown 5%. Turning to the graph in the bottom right of the slide, transaction revenues were down over 1,000 basis points year-over-year. This was driven by the delay in four items. Installations in our legal segment; Tax & Accounting paid for return filings shift into Q3; a slowing of transaction-type sales and the cancellation of some events. We believe much of this is timing related and will be realized as companies and firms return to office. So despite the COVID-19-related disruptions, we are encouraged by our first half results especially for recurring revenues giving us confidence in the trajectory of the business. Similar to last quarter's call, we thought it was important to provide more granularity around our expectations for the third quarter. Starting with the total TR chart on the top left, we estimate third quarter total revenues and organic revenues will grow between 1% and 2% and will continue to be negatively affected by Reuters News and Global Print. The Big three total and organic revenues are forecast to grow 3% to 4% in the third quarter. Growth will benefit from a rebound in Tax & Accounting's revenue, partly due to a projected increase in transaction revenues of between 15% and 20% related to the shift of the pay per return revenues from Q2 to Q3. Moving to Reuters News. We forecast third quarter total revenues to decline between 2% and 4% and all Reuters Events in-person conferences have been postponed through Q3. This will have a nominal impact in the third quarter since few events were held during these months. The events team is aggressively working to host virtual events for the second half of the year, although this is expected to recruit only a small portion of the planned lost revenues. We continue to assess when we can resume in-person events based on the local health expert's advice and feedback from our customers. And lastly, Global Print third quarter revenues are expected to decline between 7% and 15%. This is primarily due to an expected continuing delay in shipping some of our print materials, as customers are unlikely to be at their offices to accept shipments due to the pace and pause reopening of the U.S. and various other countries. We continue to believe we will be able to recruit most of this revenue in the second half of the year as the economy begins to return to normal. As a reminder, these print materials have historically been considered critical content by law firms and government agencies. We expect print revenues to decline between 7% and 11% for the full year. Turning to our profitability performance in the second quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the Big three segments is $426 million, up 10% from the prior year period and the margin was up over 300 basis points reflecting the cost savings programs implemented late in the first quarter related to COVID-19. Legal professionals adjusted EBITDA margin in the second quarter grew 310 basis points to 40.9% compared to the prior year period due to higher revenues and COVID-19-related cost mitigation efforts. Corporate adjusted EBITDA margin was up 500 basis points to 35.9%, mainly driven by revenue growth and COVID-19-related cost mitigation efforts. And finally Tax & Accounting adjusted EBITDA margin decreased 40 basis points to 31.9% due to the decline in revenue. Moving to Reuters News. Adjusted EBITDA was $25 million, $6 million more than the prior year period, mainly due to some onetime items and currency. Global Print's adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter declined by about 360 basis points due to the decline in revenues, but remained strong at above 40%. And although corporate costs were only $59 million year-to-date, we did have some timing benefits in the first half that are not expected to continue. Therefore, we continue to expect corporate costs to range between $140 million to $150 million for the full year. So, in aggregate, reported adjusted EBITDA was $479 million, up 35% benefiting from not having incurred stranded or one-time costs that had been the case in the prior year period and also to our cost savings initiatives. This next slide provides a bit more color on the various factors impacting our adjusted EBITDA margin in the second quarter. As you can see, our reported 2020 second quarter adjusted EBITDA margin was 34.1%. There were several factors in the quarter that contributed to the significant increase. M&A activity and lower revenues related to COVID-19 combined for about 300 basis points negative impact on margin. However, the savings from the $100 million cost savings initiative we announced last quarter led to a 490 basis point benefit more than offsetting the dilution from M&A and the COVID-19 impact. We are about two-thirds of the way through this program and we are confident we will achieve the full $100 million savings by year-end. And lastly, currency added about 70 basis points to the quarter. So, on an underlying basis excluding, stranded and one-time costs in the prior year the adjusted EBITDA margin expanded about 300 basis points which was primarily related to the cost-saving measures as a response to COVID-19. We believe these savings will be permanent. We encourage you to focus on our adjusted EBITDA margin on an annual basis. Overall, we continue to believe we have good visibility into the levers at our disposal to achieve the upper end of our margin target of 31% to 32%. We believe we're on track to complete the savings targets, while still preserving the flexibility to make the necessary investments in 2020 to accelerate organic revenue growth and margin improvement in 2021. Now, let me turn to our earnings per share and free cash flow performance. I will also provide an update on our capital structure. So, starting with earnings per share, adjusted EPS increased by $0.15 to $0.44 per share during the second quarter. The increase was driven by higher adjusted EBITDA, partially offset by four items: an increase in depreciation and amortization mainly related to acquisitions; new product releases; higher interest expense, largely due to lower interest income; and higher income taxes. Finally, currency had a $0.01 positive impact on adjusted EPS in the quarter. Let me now turn to our free cash flow performance for the first half. Our reported free cash flow was $340 million versus a negative $176 million in the prior year period, an improvement of just over $500 million. Consistent with previous quarters, this slide removes the distorting factors impacting free cash flow performance. Working from the bottom of the page upwards the Refinitiv-related component of our free cash flow was better by $112 million from the prior year period. This was primarily due to costs incurred in 2019 including residual employee-related costs and tax expenditures related to the operations of our former F&R business. Also in the first half, we made $76 million in payments for separation costs incurred in 2019 related to our transformation program. This $76 million compares to $372 million in the prior year period for the transformation program and a pension contribution. So, if you adjust for these items, comparable free cash flow from continuing operations was $381 million, $63 million better than the prior year period. This increase was primarily due to higher EBITDA and lower income taxes, slightly offset by higher CapEx and unfavorable working capital movements. As we did last quarter, we want to provide an update on our capital structure and liquidity. And as you can see on this slide, our capital structure and liquidity position remains strong. We expect to generate about $1 billion to $1.1 billion of free cash flow this year. We had over $900 million of cash on hand at June 30th and we had an undrawn $1.8 billion revolving credit facility and we also have a $1.8 billion commercial paper program. So from a liquidity standpoint, we believe we're in a very strong position. And we remain in a very strong position from a capital structure standpoint as we are modestly leveraged with a net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.9 comfortably below our 2.5 times internal target and our credit facility ratio is 1.7 times well below the credit line maximum of 4.5 times and we have no debt maturing until 2023. I am pleased to report that in June, Moody's affirmed our credit ratings and raised our outlook to stable to negative citing the strength of our business and strong liquidity position. Let me point out that in May, we completed a five-year CAD1.4 billion bond offering. We swapped it into the equivalent of about $1 billion. The bond carries an interest rate of 2.25% and matures in 2025. Now an update on our investment in Refinitiv. The agreement to sell Refinitiv to the London Stock Exchange Group is still expected to close by the end of 2020 or early in 2021. Regarding our investment stake when the proposed deal closes, our expected interest was worth about $9.1 billion pretax as of the market close yesterday. Our future equity interest in the LSE will represent a store value which can be monetized over time. We believe it will provide us with a significant level of financial flexibility in the foreseeable future. As a reminder after the deal closes, we expect to receive annual dividends from the LSE estimated at $60 million per year based on the LSE's current annual dividend payout. Now let me turn to our outlook for the balance of the year. As Steve mentioned, we are reaffirming our 2020 full year outlook for both total TR and the Big 3. We anticipate being in the upper end of the adjusted EBITDA margin guidance of 31% to 32% for total TR. Also, we are increasing our guidance for free cash flow for the full year from $1 billion to a range of $1 billion to $1.1 billion. Let me now hand it back to Frank Golden.