Robert Daleo
Analyst · Vince Valentini representing TD Newcrest
Thank you, Tom, and again, thank you all for joining us on the call today. I'm going to discuss the results for the third quarter, and I'm going to provide a brief update on where we are on integration issue. Now you will recall that in the second quarter, we anticipated that based on encouraging net sales performance, and a more constructive environment in our markets, we've return to growth in the third quarter and we had. We're tracking to our expectations with few surprises, and three quarters of the way into the year the results are consistent with the full year outlook, which we presented to you all in February. The encouraging net sales performance that Tom outlined had an improved market environment. We wish to believe this trend is likely to continue into 2011. Now as of prior quarters, I'm going to speak to the revenue growth before currency. The reported revenues are also highlighted on each of the slides. In the third quarter, foreign exchange had a negative impact on both revenues and the consolidated margin for the company. Our overall revenues in the third quarter were $3.3 billion. This is up 3% versus the prior year, with 2% of that benefit coming from acquisitions. Let me point out that we provide organic revenue growth rates for each of our business segments on the P&L, found in today's earnings release. Both Professional and Markets division achieved organic revenue growth in the quarter. Underlying operating profit was $681 million in the quarter. The corresponding margin decreased primarily due to previously announced investments in new product in which is the product mix from our current sale of revenues and the dilutive impact of acquisitions, which at the company level was 50 basis points. Each factors more than offset integration savings and initiatives across the business. On a year-to-date basis, our revenues are flat with 2% contribution from acquisitions. Underlying operating profit is down 10%, corresponding margin is 19.7%. About 20 basis points of decline is due to currency. Now I'd like to turn to the performance of the businesses. The Professional division revenues were $1.4 billion, up 5%, of which 4% was attributable to acquisitions. Organic revenue growth was 1%. Operating profit declined 4% as anticipated and the corresponding margin declined to 26.7%. Margins continued to be impressive by a combination of the investments that we've made and acquisition cost, lower revenue growth and the revenue mix from the current year. I'll discuss more detail when we get to each of the segments and again, while the currency had a negligible impact on professionals margins. Year-to-date, the divisions revenues are up 2% with flat organic growth. Operating profit is $1.1 billion, and the corresponding margin is 25.7%, with really no impact on foreign exchange. We expect the Professional divisions revenue to continue to improve into the fourth quarter. And the revenue dynamics for the third quarter of Professional circuit demonstrate improving results and our consistent, really, with what we've talked about in prior quarters. Tax & Accounting, Legal Subscription and Healthcare & Science businesses all continue to generate solid growth. In fact, on a combined basis, these business segments grew 8%, and represents 77% of the divisions overall revenues. These businesses are growing faster and becoming a larger share of the Professional business. Offsetting this performance was the continued decline in Legal's print revenues, down 4% versus the 9% decline in Q1, and a 17% decline -- 9% decline in Q2 and a 17% decline in Q1, and both periods have been impacted by unfavorable timing on a year-to-year basis. In addition, Legal Subscription revenues declined 4% versus a 5% decline in Q2, and an 8% decline in Q1. So we are seeing improvements in both these segments although they still are declining. Penetration has significantly improved in the prior year. We're now in our normal levels, and it's a meaningful step towards stabilizing the business returning to growth. Now Subscription business has achieved good growth in trademarks. However, we continue to experience double-digit declines in ancillary revenues, as customers continue to monitor spending above and beyond their base contracts. Now let's turn to the revenue performance for the business units in the third quarter. Legal revenues were unchanged on an organic basis, and up 3% including acquisitions. As mentioned, subscription revenues grew 8% in the quarter, led by a 23% growth in FindLaw, 14% growth in international revenues both helped by acquisitions and a 7% growth in our IP business. Now our subscription revenues declined 4%, print products declined 4%, the Corporate business grew 9%, and government-related revenues increased by 4%. Tax and accounting revenues grew 9%, 4% of which was organic. Workflow & Service Solutions represented nearly 2/3 of Tax & Accounting revenues in the quarter and grew 15%, led by through organic growth in income tax products, which include InSource and our creative solutions suite of products and Global Tax technology segment, which includes tax provisioning with tax trading and transfer pricing across border business, and we had the benefit of acquisitions. Business compliance and Solutions revenues were down 1%. This is despite a 9% increase in Checkpoint revenues, which were not enough to offset the decline in Print, which comprised 9% of Tax & Accounting overall revenues, and a significant portion of these segments revenues. As I stated last quarter, we expect growth in margins for Tax & Accounting to continue to improve, as the year progresses. Now turning Science revenues grew 7% in the quarter, of which 4% was organic. The payer business grew 11% on the strength of continued demand for healthcare spending analytics. The Scientific & Scholarly Research business grew 14%, driven by acquisitions and a solid growth in our core informations offerings, web of knowledge and web of science, which actually grew 6% organically in the quarter. Partially offsetting this was a modest growth in the Provider business, which was up 1% and an expected decline in our Life Science segment, which was down 2%. Now let's turn to our segment operating profit for our Professional division. In Legal, third quarter operating profit, as expected, declined 6% and the margin was 30.4%. Now lower margins, lower revenues from high-margin print and non-subscription products contributed 30 basis points of decline. the impact of acquisitions here contributed about another 100 basis points, and our investment in strategic growth initiatives and the higher depreciation and amortization contribute 160 basis points of the year-to-year decline. This more than offset in the efficiency savings for the growth in other businesses. Year-to-date, our operating profit is down 9% and the margin is 29.7%. Now we do expect a rebound in margins in this Legal segment as growth returns. Tax & Accounting operating profit decreased 8% for the quarter, and the corresponding margin remained flat at 16%. Operating profit growth was driven by revenue slow-through, partially offset by the dilutive impact of the higher depreciation and amortization from 2009 acquisitions. Now to point a note here, the dividend increased 15% for Tax & Accounting in the quarter. And we continue to expect continuing operating profit growth and margin expansion in the fourth quarter, as the segment exits a heavy face of investment and we seen the benefits of these investments. Year-to-date operating profit is down 6% and the margin is 14.2%. This is not indicative of the full year. Let me remind you that Tax & Accounting is historically a seasonal business, with nearly half of its operating profit generated in the fourth quarter. Healthcare & Science operating profit was unchanged from the prior year at $50 million, and we marked the related margin fell to 22.7% due to timing, and difficult prior year comparables and foreign exchange, which impacted this business by 90 basis points. As I mentioned, when discussing Tax, Healthcare & Science revenues, quarterly figures can be impacted by really the small timing shifts between quarters. This is really a case of a lot of small numbers. On a year-to-date basis, the operating profit is up 7%, and the related margin is 10 basis points higher on a reported basis. And if you include that currency impact, they're up 30 basis points. Now turning to the Markets division. Revenues increased 1% in the quarter to $1.8 billion. Revenue trends continued to improve. Revenue growth in the third quarter marked the first quarter of growth in more than a year. The modest price is due to strong transaction and discreet revenues, offset by the impact of revenue dis-synergies, which we have talked about associated with integration, and I've discussed these in previous quarters. By revenue type, recurring subscription revenues was flat, and recoveries declined 2%. The revenue category is not subject to a lag effect of lower net sales of 2009. Transactions and outright increased by 5% and 22%, respectively. By geography, Asia revenues were up 4% and EMEA was up 3%, but the Americas declined 2%. Operating profit of $359 million was down 3% and the corresponding margin declined as expected, 19.4%, due to higher expenses related to investments, supporting our new product platforms, Eikon and Elektron. The current quarter included some one-time benefits, and these were timing benefits that amounted to about $25 million and we do report them, but let me remind you that these come up from time to time. In fact, we get similar one-time benefits in last year's numbers as well. Excluding the impact of currency, operating profit declined 2%. Internet revenues are down 2%, operating profit is $1 billion, and the related margin is 18.1%. The currency had gained 30 basis point negative impact on this margin. Now let's turn to the performance of the business segments. Sales & Trading revenues were flat in the quarter, but they were actually up 2% when you exclude the recoveries. We recorded second quarter revenues declined 5%, so there has been a significant sequential improvement in growth rates. Transaction revenues were up 8%, driven by trade lift. We continue to see strong growth from our Commodities & Energy segment, which was up 13%, which about half was related to an acquisitions. And Tradeweb delivered 9% growth on the heels of stronger treasury and mortgage-backed security margins. The Treasury business remained flat versus prior year as flow-through from 2009 subscription cancellations offset a 2% increase in transaction revenues, driven by growing foreign exchange volumes. Investment & Advisory revenues declined 2%, with organic revenue down 3% and a 1% contribution from acquisitions. The Corporate business grew 6% on the quarter on the strength of acquisitions. The remainder of this is affected by late cycle impacts of the negative net sales from last year. Investment management revenues declined 9% as a result of the flow-through of cancellations from by private side customers seeking to cut costs or exit the business entirely. Wealth Management grew 4% due to strong desktop and add-on solutions and feeds growth, which offset the plan retirement of products including ReutersPlus and ILX. It's worth noting that we're seeing good momentum in the business with positive net sales across corporate, investment banking and wealth management. Enterprise grew 10% in the quarter, all organic. Foreign exchange had a negative 3% impact. Enterprise Real Time Solutions, which represents about 40% of the business, grew 10% on strong performance in consolidated feeds and tick history. Risk Management which represents about 14% of the business grew 15% in the quarter, and the Platform business grew 17% on sales of recurring products. Omgeo was down 5% in the quarter on the back of weak equity volumes. And finally, Media revenue declined 3%, driven by 2009 cancellations in the Agency business, which continues to be adversely affected by tight customer budgets. The Consumer business was essentially flat compared to the prior year. However, recent product introductions, including mobile and the iPad applications are going to new sources of advertising revenues. Now the revenue dynamics for the third quarter in Legacy division continues serves to demonstrate the improving results. Recurring subscription revenues, which represent about 77% of the divisions overall Q3 revenues were flat, as the weaker 2009 sales and planned phaseout of low margin products offset positive 2010 sales and our lower cancellations. Outright revenues were up 42%, driven by strong performance in Enterprise and the I&A. There was some timing issues with Q3 that aided that comparison. Transaction revenues, which are 9% of the overall revenue base increased 5%, driven by trade weather, as I said, growth of 9% to which I noted previously. Given the trends we're seeing across the Markets business, we expect to continue to see improvement in the Divisions revenue growth rates into the fourth quarter. Now let's turn to Performance compared to the previous quarter. In the plans we show in these chart that highlight sequential revenue growth for the Markets division as a means to provide a more realtime performance metric. This view effectively moves the inherent lag effect from our year-to-year results. Recurring subscription revenues grew two tenths of a percent in the quarter, fairly consistent with the second and first quarters, which also had the benefit of price increase of about 1.5 points. Recoveries revenues declined slightly versus the last quarter and I'll remind you that these are very low margin and past-due revenues generated by third-party vendors minus the exchanges. FX volumes were lower than Q2 due to an unusual spike in trading related to the euro zone credit concerns in the last quarter, and which led to a sequential decline in transaction revenues during the quarter. However, we feel quite good about transaction revenues overall. They were up 5% on year-on-year and recent events including the talk of currency wars had supported higher transaction volumes in September and October, and may provide a tailwind to this segment. Now that we've excluded outright revenues despite their strong performance in the quarter, since they're extremely seasonal, with over 40% of them adding the revenues recorded to the fourth quarter, although it represented less than 4% of consolidated Markets revenues this quarter. Now let's turn to our Corporate cost, which totaled $259 million in the quarter. Our core corporate cost were up $5 million versus the prior year. Overall, corporate cost were up $15 million primarily due to a $55 million increase in fair value adjustments, which I'll remind you are non-cash FX accounting adjustments made quarterly in the mark-to-market certain customer contracts. This is partially offset by the $45 million favorable swing integrated-related expenses. Year-to-date, our core corporate cost are down $9 million, which highlights that the $5 million increase in the quarter was really a timing related issue. Now let's turn to the adjusted earnings per share, and earnings attributable to common shares were $268 million in the quarter. To arrive at adjusted earnings, we make the following adjustments, we deduct $44 million of income listed as other finance income, which in 2010 refers to gains realized from FX changes on an intercompany funding arrangements, offset by FX losses to on revenues instruments. All of this is non-cash. We removed the amortization of intangible assets, again, non-cash. And we normalized for anticipated full year tax rate, which we have estimated to be between 20% and 24% for the full year. This results in $11 million lower adjusted earnings in the quarter. The net result is $406 million of adjusted earnings of $0.49 per diluted share, an increase of $0.06 versus a year ago. This increase is largely due to lower integration costs, lower taxes and interest expense, offset by a decline in underlying operating profit, which we've noted. Year-to-date, our adjusted EPS figure is $1.32 versus $1.41 last year. Now a complete reconciliation to adjusted earnings is available in the press release, which we issued this morning. Turning to free cash flow, year-to-date, our free cash flow is $852 million. Underlying free cash flow which removes integration related cash spending is $1.2 billion. The decline relative to the prior were driven by lower underlying EBITDA and higher cash taxes. For the full year, we again expect to generate strong levels of free cash flow, but slightly lower than last year. I'll provide you with a brief update on our integration synergy programs. We continue to make progress on these projects, and have achieved a run rate savings of $1.35 billion. The incremental $75 million in savings in the quarter which related to communications, expense savings and content data center consolidation within the Markets division. I'll reiterate we remain on track to achieve our targeted savings of $1.6 billion by the end of 2011. In the quarter, we had incurred $103 million of integration related expenses, primarily related to severance costs, consulting fees and technology cost. Year-to-date, we've recorded about $290 million of one-time cost. We could potentially see about $25 million to $50 million of our anticipated spending this year actually shift to 2011, strictly a timing issue. Over the past year, we've taken advantage of an historically low interest rate environment to further strengthen in our already strong capital structure. We proactively refinanced about $2 billion in debt maturities at some very attractive rates. In September, we closed the public offering in Canada of $750 million, which is about $730 million in U.S. terms, and our over to our 10-year notes with a coupon of 4.35%. The proceeds from this offering will be used to repay our 500 million euro principle medium-term notes upon their maturity in November. This is the last of the Reuters that we inherited on the acquisition. Our net debt to EBITDA is just over 2x, and these refinances have stretched our duration to eight years. In addition to the cash on the balance sheet, we had $2.5 billion in non-cash credit lines. I've added this slide this quarter because as you all know, acquisitions have always played an important role in our overall corporate growth strategy. In order to strengthen our strategic focus on providing electronic solutions to our business and professional markets, we always continue to assess our portfolio. This process assures that we are investing in areas that offer the greatest opportunities to achieve higher growth and returns. In 2010, we had made six acquisitions greater than $20 million. In February, the Markets division acquired Aegisoft, a provider of electronic trading platforms, and we'll enhance our ability to provide clients broker sponsored direct market access. In June, the division acquired Point Carbon in a region-based business that is a leader in information for the energy markets, including the emerging carbon trading markets. In May, Professional division acquired Revista dos Tribunais, the leading legal publisher in Brazil. This acquisition gives us exposure to the legal market in one of the world's fastest-growing economies, and builds on the strength of our Mac-based technology platform. In June, we acquired Complinet, the U.K.-based financial services GRC business that along with our GRC assets formed our new group in Legal that is attacking the large global and growing governance risk and compliance market. In August, we closed on Canada Law book, expanding our global content base in Canada, alongside our leading Carswell Legal and Tax Publishing business. Finally in October, the compliance group in Legal closed on the acquisition of -- I should say the Corporate group in Legal, closed on the acquisition of Serengeti, greatly expanding our capabilities for serving the Corporate General Counsel. These acquisitions will contribute revenue growth for the full year. However, they will have a dilutive impact on operating margins, which I have already noted, which is why we're not raising our margin guidance for the full year. Now turning to our 2010 outlook, as Tom mentioned, we have reaffirmed our full-year outlook but with an upward realization for growth. Year-to-date revenues are flat before currency. For the full year, we now expect revenues to be flat to up slightly rather than our original expectation of being flat-to-down slightly. And this improvement is based upon a slight improvement in organic revenues and the benefit of acquisitions. On a year-to-date basis, margin before currency, that it's at last year's rates, is 19.9%. However, Q3's underlying margin was 21%. As previously expected, we expect full-year margins to fall short of last year's 21.3%, but remain above 20%, despite the dilutive impact of acquisitions. And free cash flow generation for the full year will continue to be strong, but slightly lower than last year. So in closing my comments, let me reiterate that our performance is tracking to our expectations and the trends we expected to see are coming to pass. Based on the investments we have made, the positive trends we see in net sales, the improving economic environment on markets, we believe the business is on an upward trajectory. This growth will provide a tailwind for margin improvement and continued strong free cash flow generation. And our strong capital structure will continue to allow us to invest for growth, while providing good returns to our shareholders. Now let me turn it over to Frank for your questions.