Robert Daleo
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets
Thank you, Tom, and good day, everyone. I'm going to cover the following topics with you: as usual, the fourth quarter and full year results for the company; an update of our integration programs, which Tom touched on; and an update on our capital position; and a discussion of today's dividend announcement. Now as this slide shows, back in October, we reported encouraging net sales performance and a more constructive environment in our markets led to the first quarter of positive growth for us since the second quarter of 2009. As expected, this positive growth trend continued and accelerated in the fourth quarter. Our performance has tracked to our expectations and is consistent with the revised full year outlook that we presented to you in October. Following a year of investment in and the launch of five significant new product platforms and improving environments in our markets, we're now positioned to accelerate that growth into this year. Now as in prior quarters, I'm going to speak to revenue growth before currency. Now reported revenues are highlighted in each of these slides. In addition, for consistency and comparability with our previous reported results and because we managed these businesses for the entire year, two plan disposals are included in the results that I will discuss with you today. As Frank mentioned, appended to this presentation on our website are a set of slides which exclude these disposals and help you understand the ongoing business. The two disposals in professionals generated $158 million in revenue this year and provided $68 million in operating profit. Now for the Consolidated businesses, revenues in the fourth quarter were up 4% versus the prior period, with a 2% benefit from acquisitions. Growth accelerated during the quarter in both the Professional and Markets divisions achieved organic revenue growth. For the full year, revenues were up 1% to $13.1 billion with a 2% contribution from acquisitions. Underlying operating profit was up 1% in the quarter. For the full year, underlying operating profit was down 7%, as we expected, and the corresponding margin was 19.6%, down 170 basis points, which I will explain further on this next slide. Now the new products which we launched in 2010 will provide a strong platform for growth in this year and beyond. However, they were a 90 basis point drag on margins in 2010. These investments will also drive efficiency as the Markets division consolidates on to two platforms from a myriad of platforms we are currently operating. Now margins were also impacted by business mix, primarily lower revenues from the highly profitable Legal Print business. And excluding acquisitions and foreign exchange, our operating margin was 20%, nearly spot on what we expected. Now I'll turn to the operating divisions starting with Professional. The Professional division recorded fourth quarter revenue growth of 7%, 4% organic, 3% from acquisitions. This was driven by solid performance from our Legal subscriptions, Tax & Accounting and Healthcare and Science products as well as our acquisitions. Fourth quarter operating profit was flat compared to the prior year. However, the operating profit margin was down 200 basis points to 27.3%. There was a 90 basis point impact on professional margins from strategic growth investments, primarily in Legal. Acquisitions that have lower initial margins resulted in an additional 110 basis points of margin dilution in the quarter. For the full year, revenues rose 4% to $5.6 billion. This is up 1% organic and 3% from acquisitions. Full year operating profit declined 5% with a corresponding margin of 26.1%. Business mix, continued product investment, acquisitions and currency more than offset savings from quite a number of efficiency initiatives. Now for the segment, I'm going to limit my comments to the fourth quarter. In Legal, fourth quarter revenues were up 3% on an organic basis and 8% including acquisitions. The corporate business grew well at 22% aided by the acquisitions of Serengeti and government-related revenues increased 5%. Revenues from small and solo offerings were up 4% aided by WestlawNext. Print also increased in the quarter, largely due to timing. Tax & Accounting's fourth quarter revenues grew 6%, with 4% organic growth, due to growth in income tax software products and property tax services. Healthcare and Science's fourth quarter revenues grew 8%, of which 5% was organic, driven by the payer [ph] business which was up double digits. Scientific & Scholarly Research grew 4% and Life Sciences was up 5% in the quarter, of which 3% was organic. Now in Legal, the fourth quarter operating profit, as expected, declined 5% and the margin was 26.3%. This margin decline in the fourth quarter is representative of the full year performance. I'm going to spend a few minutes discussing the transition of Legal's margin and the broader expectations for the Professional division over the next few slides. Now Tax & Accounting's operating profit increased 9% for the quarter, and the corresponding margin was up 80 basis points to 33.3%. Importantly, EBITDA increased 11% in the quarter and the related margin increased 170 basis points to 40.9%. Now this was the second consecutive quarter of significant double-digit EBITDA growth as 2008 and 2009 acquisitions and organic investments translate into strong profit growth. Healthcare and Science's operating profit was up 8% for the quarter and the related margin increased 20 basis points to 23.4%. Now this slide shows of the major items impacting the Legal margins this past year. There was a 150 basis point impact on margins from strategic growth investments including the launch of WestlawNext and the higher related depreciation and amortization expense. This impact was anticipated in our 2010 outlook where we expected a 100 basis point decline for the company as a whole. Now the next point, business mix, refers to a slight shift in sources of revenue growth which have different profitability profiles. The recent slowdown in the core business, which was compounded by the 6% decline in print, has partly been compensated by growth in areas like FindLaw, Elite and our international businesses. These businesses all have very good margins, but they are lower than those of the U.S. Legal Research business. Consequently, we experienced margin erosion of some 120 basis points from this shift in revenue sources. Before acquisitions, as you can see, the operating profit margin for our core Legal business was 29.5%. Acquisitions accounted for 70 basis points of margin dilution and resulted in reported operating profit margin of 28.8%. Now over the next few years, as the market continues to improve, as WestlawNext reaches maturity and as our newly acquired businesses fill out, we fully expect gradual but consistent margin improvement. Over the longer term, this segment's margin will remain a leader for us and for the industry it serves with margins probably in the low-30s. Now let's take a moment to discuss the growth in margin dynamics in the Professional division as a whole. For the past years, the division has been executing a strategy of expansion into higher-growth markets and businesses. This strategy is reflected in the recent acquisitions in Legal, such as the Revista dos Tribunais giving us a strong position in the rapidly growing Brazilian Legal market. We acquired Complinet in the U.K. to expand our presence in the global risk governance and compliance market. And the acquisitions of Pangaea3 and Serengeti, improve our reach in the corporate Legal space. Now while we view the profit potential of new growth opportunities to be consistent with our long-term objectives, they do not initially come with 30% margins. However, they do permit us to reasonably set our sights on the Legal segment with mid- to high-single-digit growth potential. And as margins for these newer businesses improve over time, we expect to see Legal margins improve as I discussed on the previous slide. Equally important, expanding margins in our Tax & Accounting and Healthcare and Science units which we began to see 2010 will complement Legal's expected margin rebound and drive overall professional margin improvement. As a consequence, we do expect the division as a whole will return to its historic high margins of around the high-20s. And perhaps most importantly, Thomson Reuters mid-term outlook for overall operating margins, that Tom and I talk about in the mid-20% range is based on the Legal and Professional scenarios which I've just outlined. Now turning to the Markets division. In the fourth quarter, the Markets division revenues grew 2%, 1% organic, continuing an improved trend from both the prior year and the prior quarter. This improvement was driven by a 1% growth in recurring revenues, which account for 74% of the Markets division revenues, 5% growth in outright and 13% growth in transaction; this more than offsetting a 3% decline in recovering. As a reminder, these recoveries are low margin pass through revenues generated by third-parties, largely exchanges. The segment operating profits in the quarter grew 4% and the margin rose 60 basis points from the prior period to 17.5%. For the full year, Market division revenues were down 1%, primarily due to negative net sales in 2009 and in the first quarter of 2010. Full year operating profit declined 8%, as expected, and the margin decreased 130 basis points due to a decline in revenues and investments in new product initiatives, which more than offset integration savings and tight cost controls. Now let's turn to the individual segments within Markets. Sales & Trading revenues were up 2% in the quarter. You'll recall that the third quarter revenues were flat, so there was significant sequential improvement in growth rates in this segment. Transaction revenues were up 27%, driven by higher volumes at Tradeweb. The Commodities & Energy segment was up 12%, 4% organic; and the Treasury business grew 1% as the flow through from our 2009 subscription cancellations offset a 5% increase in transaction revenues driven by growing foreign exchange volumes. Investment and Advisory revenues declined 3% in the quarter as a 2% increase in both Wealth Management and Corporates business was not sufficient to offset a weak performance in Investment Management. Investment Management's performance has been affected by competitive pressure but has seen an improvement in the sales performance since September of last year. Enterprise continued to perform extremely well, growing 8% in the quarter, all organic, driven by continued strong customer demand for its innovative data distribution platform, Elektron. And Elektron now has 11 hosting centers around the world. And finally, Media's revenues increased 2% in the quarter driven by strong new sales. Reuters America was launched in December, helping to better position the Reuters news agency as a one-stop shop for content and capability. Now turning to the overall consolidated results. I'll start with adjusted earnings. Our underlying profit for the fourth quarter was $669 million. To arrive at adjusted earnings, we make the following adjustments: we deduct $173 million for integration program expenses; we deduct $96 million in interest expense; and we deduct $34 million in interest income. Our tax rate in the quarter was 13.4% versus 15.4% last year. But I want to remind you that the rate that's set is the full year rate and we back into the quarter, and the full year rate was at 19%. The net result is $364 million of adjusted earnings or $0.43 per diluted share in the quarter, a decrease of $0.01 versus a year ago. This decrease is due to higher integration costs and higher interest expense, which offset the increase in underlying operating profit I discussed earlier. Now a complete reconciliation from net income to adjusted earnings is available in the press release which you have this morning. Now on this slide, you'll note that excluding currency, our adjusted EPS, and including the disposals, which we have mentioned before, for the full year was $1.78. Foreign exchange had a $0.02 negative impact and so on a reported basis, adjusted EPS was $1.76. Now BAR/BRI and Scandinavia, for the full year, generated $0.06 of EPS. So excluding disposals, our adjusted EPS was $1.70. Now 2010's underlying free cash flow, as Tom noted, was a strong $2 billion. It was $1.6 billion on a reported basis after integration costs. Now in the year, we saw some very good benefits, one-time benefits from working capital of about $100 million as we continued to aggressively manage this important asset. Now as I mentioned, a brief update on our integration and synergy programs. We continue to make progress on our synergy project and achieve run rate savings of $1.4 billion at the end of 2010. An incremental $70 million in savings in Q4 was largely attributable to the retirement of legacy products such as ReutersPlus and the execution of our sales and customer service transformation programs in the market. In the fourth quarter, we incurred $173 million of integration expense primarily related to severance costs, consulting fees and technology costs. For the full year, we incurred $463 million of cost, a bit less than we anticipated at the beginning of the year. Now as Tom mentioned, we expect to save an additional $100 million in run rate savings by the end of this year resulting in final full synergy savings of about $1.7 billion. And we also expect to spend about $200 million on integration programs this year, which is about $75 million above our previous estimate. And I'll remind you, as Tom and I have said previously, that the integration program does end at the end of this year. From a capital structure perspective, we continue to strengthen our position. We took advantage of favorable capital markets to refinance $2 billion of debt over the past 15 months, resulting in an average interest rate below 6% and an average duration of maturity of eight years. We have untapped credit lines totaling $2.5 billion and our net debt to EBITDA ratio is at 2.1x. And we continue to have a solid liquidity position with $850 million of cash on hand after having spent $850 million on acquisitions and paid down $200 million in debt. Now given this strong capital structure and our ability to generate significant levels of free cash flow, the Board today approved an $0.08 per share dividend increase for 2011, raising the annual dividend to $1.24 per share and proudly this marks the 18th consecutive annual dividend increase for the company. Now over the past two years, as we integrated the two companies and continue to invest in new products, such as Eikon and WestlawNext, our capital expenditures, as you know, have increased in relative terms as a percentage of revenue and in absolute dollar terms. 2010 we believe should represent the high watermark for this investment with capital of $1.1 billion and 8.4% of revenues. We do expect our capital expenditures will decline over the next several years. However, we will see higher depreciation and amortization charges through the P&L, resulting from the flow-through of our investments. Therefore, we believe it is useful to also look at EBITDA as a leading indicator of our improving profitability and cash generation capabilities. We expect EBITDA growth and margin expansion will exceed that of operating income. And this is reflected in our 2011 outlook. As Tom has already discussed, we certainly look forward to accelerating growth this year. This is based on our new products gaining momentum, our markets recovering and we expect our revenues will grow in the mid-single-digit range. We expect EBITDA margins to increase by at least 300 basis points this year as we return to growth and as the integration programs wind down. Now we expect our underlying operating profit margin, which excludes the impact of integration, to increase by at least 100 basis points this year. And this increase comes after absorbing a 70 basis point impact from higher depreciation and amortization related to the prior year's investments in these launches and from after a 30 basis point impact of dilution from acquisitions. We also expect that strong EBITDA growth will contribute to 20% to 25% growth in free cash flow. Now I just want to mention two other things which aren't on the slide but are certainly of interest to you. First is, I want to mention that in this past year, our core corporate costs came in at about $250 million, which is right on the guidance that we provided at the beginning of the year. Now as a result of higher health care and insurance costs, we expect core corporate costs to increase to around $290 million this year. Now these higher costs are reflected in our above margin guidance. Also on the positive side, our full year 2010 tax rate, as I said, was around 19%. Going forward, we expect the tax rate to be sustainable between 20% to 22%, down from, as you know, our previous expectations and guidance was always in the 20% to 24% range. And this will translate to long-term sustainable cash generation and earnings benefit. So just to wrap up, I would add that 2010 was a year which was marked by us returning to growth, by our markets beginning to improve, by the products that we launched and how they've gained momentum, and we've made several foundational acquisitions in high-growth segments and high-growth markets. And I think it has also marked the end of a heavy investment period with a high CapEx and integration. And I believe we are well positioned to accelerate growth, deliver strong returns on investments and deliver strong free cash flow. Now let me turn it back over to Frank to open up to Q&A.