Robert Daleo
Analyst · TD Newcrest
Thank you, Tom, and good morning, and good afternoon, everyone. Today I'm going to discuss the results for the second quarter, provide a brief update on our integration initiatives, and review our outlook for the full year as Tom mentioned. And moving to this first slide, Tom did note, we are pleased with the performance in the second quarter and through the first half of this year. We're tracking to our expectations with few surprises and results, thus far, for us are consistent with the full year outlook we presented in February. While revenue in the quarter was negative, the trend continues to improve, which is clearly reflected in this slide. The encouraging net sales performance that Tom outlined and a more constructive environment in our markets, lead us to believe this trend is likely to continue and to have expectations to achieve revenue growth in the third quarter. Now I will speak to revenue before currency, as Frank noted. Reported revenues are also highlighted in each of these slides. In the second quarter, while foreign exchange had a small unfavorable impact on our revenues, it led to 120 basis point negative impact on our consolidated margin. Now I remind you that our business mix is such that we are long on euros, meaning we have more revenues than expense, and short on sterling, meaning we have the opposite. The current environment, with the weak euro and essentially strong pound, negatively impacts both revenues and costs. Now this is most significant in our Markets division. Consolidated revenues for the first quarter were $3.2 billion, down 1% versus the prior year, with 1% benefit from acquisitions. Underlying operating profit was $655 million in this quarter and the corresponding margin decreased, primarily due to the flow-through on lower revenues, product mix, the previously announced investment in new product launches and the aforementioned impact of currency. These factors more than offset integration savings, our continued tight cost controls and efficiency initiatives across the business. Now excluding currency, underlying operating profit declined 12%. On a year-to-date basis, revenues are down 2% with the 1% contribution from acquisitions. Underlying operating profit was down 12% and the corresponding margin is 19%, down about 50 basis points due to currency. Now I'd like to turn to the operating performances of the individual businesses. The Professional division's revenues in the quarter of $1.4 billion, up 2%, attributable to acquisitions. Organic revenue growth was essentially flat for the quarter. The operating profit declined 10% as we had expected, and the corresponding margin declined to 27.7%. Margins continue to be pressured by a combination of lower revenue growth, revenue mix, unfavorable acquisition accounting and the higher depreciation and amortization costs from new product launches and the acquisitions. Currency had a negligible impact on Professional's margins. On a year-to-date basis, revenues were up 1%, with organic growth down 1%. Operating profit at $675 million and the corresponding margin is 25.1%, as again with FX having negligible impact. We expect the Professional division's revenue growth to ramp up in the second half of the year, which will lead to strengthening margins. Now turning to this slide, which I think is a helpful way to look at the revenue performance and the dynamics for the second quarter. The Tax & Accounting, Legal Subscription and Healthcare & Science businesses continue to generate solid growth and to take market share. In fact, on a combined basis, these businesses grew 5%, while they represented 75% of the division's total revenues. Offsetting this performance was a continued decline in Legal's Print revenues, which were down 9% versus 17% in Q1, with both periods impacted by unfavorable timing. In addition, Legal Non-Subscription revenues declined 5% versus 8% decline in Q1. Print attrition has significantly improved from the prior year and is now nearing normalized levels, a meaningful step towards stabilization. In fact, we do expect Print revenues to be flat to slightly up in the second half of the year, in part due to timing and favorable comparison. Non-subscription businesses achieve good growth from Elite and trademark. However, we continue to experience double-digit declines in the ancillary revenues as customers continue to monitor spending outside their base contracts. Given these trends we are seeing across Professional business, we expect to see a pick up in the division's revenue growth rates in Q3 and Q4. Now let's turn to the performance for the business units in the second quarter. Legal's revenues overall were unchanged from the prior year and down 1% on an organic basis. As mentioned, our Subscription revenues grew 5% in the quarter led by a 17% growth in FindLaw and a 12% growth in our Intellectual Property businesses. Our international businesses grew 2%. Corporate business grew 2%, and government-related revenues declined 4%, primarily on the backs of state spending. Tax & Accounting revenues grew 8%, which was 3% organic and 5% from acquisitions. Workflow Solutions represented nearly 2/3 of Tax & Accounting's revenues in the quarter and grew 12%, led by good growth in income tax products including InSource and our creative solutions suite of products and the Global Tax Technology segment. Business Compliance Solutions revenue were flat despite an 8% increase in Checkpoint revenues, which were not enough to offset declines in the remaining segments of the business including Print, which fell 5%. As I stated in the previous quarter, we expect growth for Tax & Accounting to continue to improve as the year progresses. Health & Science revenues grew 3% in the quarter. Organic revenues were actually flat. The Payer business grew 6%, on the strength of strong performance within the Health Plan segment. The Scientific & Scholarly Research business grew 10%, benefiting from the continued solid growth in our core information offering, the Web of Knowledge, Web of Science, and the benefit of Discovery Logic , a recent acquisition. Partially offsetting growth was an expected decline in the Provider business, which was down 6%. Growth in this segment was impacted by a series of timing issues. We always encourage measuring performance of our businesses on an annual basis, particularly when we're looking at the smaller SBUs like Health & Science. I'll point out that the year-to-date revenue was up 6%, including 3% organic. Now let's turn to the operating profit within the Professional division segments. In Legal, Q2 operating profit again as expected declined 10%. Margin was 32.7%. We estimate that the impact of product mix alone had impacted margins by approximately 200 basis points, effectively neutralizing the benefits of our efficiency initiatives. Lower revenue growth and continued investments in the business also contributed to the profit and margin declines. Over time, as we return to revenue growth, margins are expected to return to more historical levels in this segment. Year-to-date, our operating profit is down 11%, and the margin is 29.3%. Tax & Accounting operating profit decreased 11% for the quarter, and the corresponding margin declined to 13.2%. Now these were anticipated declines are largely due to the dilutive impact of last year's acquisitions, as well as incremental depreciation and amortization associated with the product investments that we've made. Year-to-date operating profit is down 13%. Margin is 13.3%. Now this is certainly not indicative of the full year, and I'll remind you that Tax & Accounting is historically a seasonal business, where nearly half of its operating profit is generated in the fourth quarter alone. Health & Science operating profit declined 8% to $48 million, and the related margin fell to 22.4% due to timing and some difficult prior year comparables. Now as I continue to mention, when discussing Health & Science revenues, quarterly figures are impacted by small timing shifts in the quarters. In this case, it's a loss of small numbers. And year-to-date, the operating profit is up 11% and the margin is up 100 basis points. Now turning to the Markets division, where revenues declined 3% in the quarter to $1.8 billion due to the impact of negative net sales from last year, and some onetime revenues in the period and the impact of revenue dis-synergies associated with the integration that I discussed actually last quarter. The year-on-year quarterly trend continues to improve, and the Q2 represented the second quarter of sequential revenue growth for Markets, and I'll talk about that in a moment. By revenue type, recurring subscription revenues declined 4%. Recovery has declined 7%. The revenue categories not subject to the lag effect of lower net sales, meaning transactions and outrights increased 4% and 15%, respectively. By geography, Asia revenues were down 1%, while EMEA and the Americas declined 3% and 4%, respectively. Operating profit was $319 million, and the corresponding margin declined to 17.5% due to lower revenues and a 200-point negative impact from currency. Excluding currency, operating profit declined 15%. In the quarter, we also faced particularly difficult margin comparisons versus the prior year, when we identified the quarter's margin as a high watermark in this business cycle. And I'll remind you that, that quarter, the margin increased over 400 basis points from the prior year. Year-to-date revenues are down 4%. Operating profit is $642 million, and the related margin is 17.5%. On a year-to-date basis, currency had a 50 basis point impact. Now let's review the performance of the Markets division's four segments. Sales & Trading revenues declined 5% organically. The decline was driven by a 9% decrease in revenues from recoveries and a 5% decline in recurring revenues, primarily desktops in the ETI and Fixed Income businesses, where revenues have been impacted by the strategic decision to sunset some low-margin products. We did see growth from our Commodities and Energy segment, which was up 3%. Tradeweb delivered 4% growth on the heels of stronger treasury volumes. The Treasury segment declined 1% in the quarter due to weaker 2009 net sales despite a significant increase in FX volumes, which led to a 6% growth in Sales & Trading's overall transactions. Investment & Advisory revenues declined 6%, 7% organic with the benefit of 1% from acquisitions. The Corporate business grew 9% in the quarter, primarily on the strength of the Hugin acquisition. The remainder of the business was impacted by late-cycle impact of negative net sales in 2009. Investment Management revenues declined 10% resulting from the 2009 buy-side cost-cutting initiatives, and Wealth Management fell 7% due to a onetime revenue benefits last year and fewer desktops resulting from product closures including ReutersPlus and ILX. It's worth noting that we are seeing positive momentum in this business segment in June net sales, with being the best since the fall of 2008. Enterprise overall grew 6% in the quarter, and this was all organic. The Enterprise Information segment, which represents 60% of the business, grew 9% on strong performance in both realtime and historic data fees. Risk Management, which represent another 15%, grew 6% on strong outright software sales, and our Platform business also grew 6% on sales of recurring products. Omgeo was flat in the quarter. Now finally, Media's revenue declined 3%. 4% was organic, and we had an increased benefit of 1% from acquisitions. The Agency business was down 6%, as it continues to be impacted by tight customer budgets. However, a major contract win in the quarter with CNN propelled sales into the positive territory. The smaller Consumer segment grew 19% in the quarter and successfully launch several new mobile applications, including News Pro for the iPad. Now last quarter, we showed a chart, this chart, that highlighted sequential revenue growth for the Markets division in Q1 as the means to provide a more, what we will call, realtime performance metric. This view effectively removes the inherent lag effect from year-over-year results. And the trend we saw in the first quarter continues into the second quarter. Recurring subscription revenues grew 0.2% in the quarter, and this is fairly consistent with the first quarter, which also had the benefit of a price increase contributing about 1.5% of growth. Recoveries revenues declined slightly versus last quarter, and I'll remind you that these revenues are low margin pass-through revenues, which were generated actually by third-party vendors, primarily exchanges. Transaction revenues continue to accelerate growing 6% versus the prior quarter on the heels of strong foreign exchange volumes, primarily related to the eurozone credit concerns. Now you'll note that we've excluded outright revenues. Despite its strong performance in the quarter, since they're extremely seasonable, with over 40% of the annual revenues recorded in the fourth quarter. Now let's move on to some of the corporate areas. Our corporate costs totaled $104 million in the quarter. Our core corporate costs were $50 million, down $11 million versus the prior period due to tight cost controls. Overall corporate costs in the quarter were down $151 million. It's primarily due to $123 million favorable swing in fair value adjustments, which I'll remind you are noncash foreign exchange accounting adjustments made quarterly, when we mark-to-market certain customer contracts. Integration costs were also down $17 million in the quarter, and I'll speak a bit more about this in a moment. Year-to-date, our core corporate costs are down $14 million through the above noted reasons. Now let me turn to adjusted earnings per share. Earnings attributable to common shares were $290 million in the quarter. To arrive at adjusted earnings, we make the following adjustments: We deduct $39 million of income listed as other finance income, which in 2010 refers to the foreign exchange impact on hedging instruments. This is a noncash item. We move the amortization of intangibles and other non-cash items, and we normalize for anticipated full year tax rate, which we have estimated to be between 20% to 24% for the full year, and these results in a $7 million addition to adjusted earnings in the quarter. The net result is $395 million of adjusted earnings or $0.47 per diluted share. This is a decline of $0.11 versus a year ago. This decline is largely due to declining underlying operating profit, which we've been talking about. Year-to-date, our adjusted EPS figure is $0.84 per share versus $0.98 a year ago. Now let me remind you, there's a complete reconciliation of adjusted earnings in the press release, which we issued this morning. Turning to cash flow, our year-to-date reported free cash flow is $637 million. Underlying free cash flow, which removes the integration-related spending, is $858 million. Declines relative to the prior year were driven by the lower operating profit and some higher cash taxes. For the full year, we again expect to generate strong levels of free cash flow. Now let's turn briefly to an update on the integration synergy programs. We continue to make progress on our synergy projects and have currently achieved run rate savings of $1.3 billion. The incremental $75 million in savings in Q2 was related to communication expense savings and content and data center consolidations within the Market division. We remain on track to achieve our target of $1.6 billion by the end of next year. In the quarter, we incurred $90 million of integration-related expense, primarily related to severance costs, consulting fees and technology costs. Year-to-date, we have recorded $187 million of onetime costs. We could potentially see about a $25 million shift to these costs into 2011. This is strictly timing-related. Before I wrap up, I want to briefly discuss our 2010 outlook, which we continue to affirm. On a year-to-date basis, revenues were down 2% before currency. As we have discussed, we believe that revenues will turn positive in the third quarter, and ultimately end the year to flat to down only slightly. Our year-to-date margin before currency, and that is at last year's rates, is 19.4%, and this is behind last year's mark by about 2.2%. However, Q2's underlying margin was actually 21.6% before currency. As we return to revenue growth, we expect to see improved margin performance in the second half. As previously stated, we expect the full year margins to fall short of last year's 21.3% but will remain above the 20% margin. And free cash flow generation for the full year will continue to be strong, but it will be slightly lower than last year's. And finally, I'd like to conclude by saying our performance is tracking to our expectations. Based on the investments we've made, the positive trends we've seen in net sales and the improving economic environment in our markets, we believe the business is on a path to return to revenue growth in the third quarter and beyond. This growth will provide a tailwind for margin improvement and continued strong free cash flow generation. That, combined with our strong capital structure, will continue to allow us to invest for growth, while providing good returns for our shareholders. With these points in mind and as Tom mentioned, we are reaffirming our 2010 outlook. Now let me turn over to Frank for your questions.