Robert Daleo
Analyst · UBS
Thank you, Tom, and good morning, everyone. Today, I will discuss the results of the first quarter and briefly provide an update on our integration initiatives and going to end with some detail on our recent debt restructuring and our current capital structure. And as Tom mentioned, we certainly are pleased with our performance in the first quarter. We're tracking to our expectations with few surprises and results thus far are consistent with the full year guidance we presented in February. While our revenue growth rates in the first quarter certainly slowed relative to last year, underlying trends remain encouraging across our markets. Law firm layoffs have subsided and financial services firms have begun hiring again. And our geographic diversity, our market diversity and our product diversity have all combined to soften the impact of the headwinds we have been dealing with. As Tom mentioned, our net sales trends continue to show improvement particularly in the Markets division where they were the most suppressed in 2009. Accordingly, we believe our reported results have bottomed down, which is supported by the sequential revenue growth Markets recorded in the first quarter. Given these trends, we believe we're well positioned to return to growth in the second half of this year. Lastly, we continue to make progress with our integration and legacy savings programs and are confident we will achieve our targeted savings of $1.6 billion by the end of next year. Now let's turn to the first quarter. Let me remind you that I will speak to revenue growth before currency for the reasons Tom mentioned. Reported revenues are highlighted on each slide. Foreign exchange had a favorable impact on our revenues in the first quarter versus the prior period and had about a 50 basis point benefit to our consolidated margins. Consolidated revenues in the first quarter were $3.1 billion. They were down 2% versus the prior year with 1% benefit from acquisitions. Underlying operating profit fell 6% and the margin decreased primarily due to the flow-through on lower revenues, product mix and the previously announced investments in new product launches. These factors more than offset integration savings, tight cost controls and the number of efficient initiatives across the businesses. Now I'd like to discuss the operating performance for the businesses starting with the Professional division, and the division recorded revenues of $1.3 billion, up 1% against the prior-year comp, growth of 5%. Organic revenues declined 1% and acquisitions contributed 2%. Let me remind you that Q1 is historically a small quarter for the division with about 23% of the year's revenues and 20% of its annual operating profit generated in the quarter. Operating profit declined 8% as anticipated, and the corresponding margin fell 240 basis points to 22.3%. Benefits from several ongoing efficiency initiatives and cost controls across the division were not enough to offset the negative impact of lower revenue growth, revenue mix and continued investments in the business. It's worth noting that we continue to implement efficiency initiatives across Professional division including shifting resources to lower-cost locations. Let me repeat what I said the last quarter to help set the context for the division's margin performance this year. I said for 2010 that we expect the Professionals margin to decline compared to 2009 and particularly in the first and second quarters of the year. Since these quarters are traditionally smaller, we're likely to see nominal revenue growth due to product mix and flow-through from the weaker sales of 2009. While the division will also experience a front-ended investment spending. We expect both margins and revenues to ramp up in the second half of the year. We expect margins to further rebound in 2011 as top line growth improves and the level of investments begin to taper off. Now turning to our perspective on the revenue mix and the dynamics for the Professional division were very similar to what we talked about in previous quarters. The Healthcare & Science and Tax & Accounting and Legal Subscription businesses continue to generate solid growth, and by implication, take market share. In fact, on a combined basis, these businesses grew 5% while representing 80% of the division's total revenues. However, this impressive growth was offset by a 70% decline in Legal print revenues and an 8% decline on Legal's non-subscription businesses. While the decline in print and non-subscription revenues are having a negative impact on reported results, we believe the first half of this year will be the bottom of the cycle. Print revenues in both the first and second quarters of last year did benefit from some favorable revenue timing and may well which they will not have to grow over in the second half of this year, which will provide for some easier comparisons. Therefore, given the trends we are seeing across Professional businesses, we expect to see a pick up in the business revenue growth rates in the third and fourth quarters. Similarly, we expect easier comparables and a stabilizing market to lead the better performance in non-subscription products for the remainder of the year. Now let's talk about the segments within the Professional division starting with Legal, where revenues declined 3% and that was all organic. As mentioned, our subscription revenues grew 3% in the quarter led by 15% growth in FindLaw. Our U.S. Westlaw subscriptions grew 1% while our International businesses declined 1%. Non-subscription revenues declined 8% primarily driven by Westlaw ancillary revenues which were down 19%. Perhaps very importantly, our Trademarks business, which historically is a leading indicator of economic activity, returned to growth in the quarter. By customer type, large law firms and government customers experienced the largest declines while corporates and small law firms were slightly negative. Operating profit, as anticipated, declined 13% and the margin was 25.5%. This margin was negatively impacted by lower revenues particularly from high-margin print and non-subscription products and currency. These dynamics were more than offset by several efficiency initiatives implemented throughout the business. Tax & Accounting revenues grew 6%, 2% was organic and 4% was acquisitions. And effective January 1 this year, Tax & Accounting reorganized around two major segments. The first is Workflow & Service Solutions (sic) [Workflow & Software Solutions], which consists of our tax products and services such as ONESOURCE. The second is Business Compliance & Knowledge Solutions, which includes our Research Compliance and Print businesses such as Checkpoint. Now both of these are not defaults they're for ease. I will refer to these businesses as Workflow Solutions and Business Compliance Solutions. Workflow Solutions represents 2/3 of Tax & Accounting revenues in the first quarter, and it grew 10% led by good growth in income tax products, including InSource and our creative solution suite of products. And the Global Tax segment, which is represented by businesses like Digita in the U.K. Business Compliance Solutions declined slightly as a 6% growth in Checkpoint was not enough to offset a 12% decline in print. Now print represents about 9% of Tax & Accounting's revenues, but obviously is a larger part of this segment's revenue base. We expect growth to improve as the year progresses. Operating profit decreased 15% for the quarter and the corresponding margin declined to 13.4%. These anticipated declines are largely due to the dilutive impact of 2009 acquisitions. Now I will remind you again that Tax & Accounting is historically a seasonal business with almost 50% of its operating profit generated in the fourth quarter of each year. Healthcare and Science revenues grew 9%, 6% organic with 3% from acquisitions. Performance was solid across the business and was led by our Scientific & Scholarly Research business which was up 13% in the quarter, benefiting from acquisitions and strong outright sales. Our Payer business also continued excellent performance growing 10% on good sales into the federal government channel. Operating profit increased 42%, and the margin rose sharply to 21.2%. Margin gains were attributable to revenue flow-through, continued focus on expense management and a one-time technology cost that were in the prior period that are not repeated. The Markets division, revenues declined 4% in the quarter to $1.8 billion impacted by the negative net sales we've talked about from the prior year. While the year-to-year decline is fairly consistent with the fourth quarter of last year, on a sequential basis, the first quarter performance improved versus the fourth quarter of last year. And I will discuss it a bit further in a moment. Also, as we stated when we announced the Reuters acquisition, there would be some disynergies and that is occurring as we continue to integrate the two businesses. For example, we're migrating customers' new products as we sunset products such as ILX, Stock Bound [ph], PDM, GlobalTopic, ReutersPlus, Trader and the FX. Migrating customers' platforms is resulting in some lost revenue, but is the right thing to do for the long-term and will ultimately contribute to improved margins. By revenue type, recurring subscription revenues declined 3%, transactions were down 2%, and recoveries and outright both declined double digits. By geography, Asia revenues were flat while EMEA and the Americas declined 4% and 7% respectively. Operating profit was $323 million, down 4% from last year. The margin decline as expected to 17.5% primarily attributable to decline in revenues. Now let me review the performance of Markets divisions per segment. Sales & Trading revenues declined 7% due to double-digit declines in recoveries revenues and the impact of desktop reductions particularly in fixed income and Exchange Traded Instruments. We did see growth from our Commodities & Energy segment, which rose 4% on the heels of a good market. And although treasury revenues were down 3% due to fewer desktops, FX transaction revenues grew 4% on the backs of improving volume. Investment & Advisory revenues declined 4%, 5% was organic and we had a positive impact of 1% from acquisitions. The Investment Banking business grew 6%, benefiting from improving market condition and strong sales of ThomsonONE.com as well as there were such certain timing effects in the quarter. The Corporate segment grew 6% primarily due to the acquisition of Reuters. Investment management revenues declined 9% in the first quarter as weak first half 2009 net sales flow through to reported results. Now revenues were stable in this first quarter versus the fourth quarter of last year. Wealth Management revenues declined in the quarter due to fewer desktops resulting from bank mergers and the sunsetting of several products including ReutersPlus and ILX. Enterprise revenues grew 3% in the quarter, 2% organic and 1% from acquisitions. And this is against a very challenging comp a year ago where the revenues grew 11%. Recurring revenues for the year were up a solid 5% but overall growth was dampened a bit by the declining outright and transaction revenues. Enterprise Information, which represent 60% of the business, grew 4% from continued strong demand for pricing and transparency data, somewhat offset by this decline in outright revenues. Information Management Systems, which represent 15% of the revenues, grew about 14% and Risk Management revenues were flat in the quarter. And we do expect the Enterprise growth to improve as the year progresses. And finally, Media's revenue declined 5%. The Agency business was down 6% as it continues to be impacted by tight customer budgets and media consolidation. A smaller consumer segment did return to growth in the quarter. Now turning to this slide, during the past few quarters, we have been reviewing the performance of Markets business by revenue type since it's a good way to depict trends in the business. This quarter, we thought it would be helpful to show sequential revenue growth, meaning Q1 2010 growth over Q4 2009. That will show quarter-over-quarter result rates since this year is a bit more realtime in terms of our performance indicator. Note that we've excluded outright revenues since they are truly seasonal with over 40% of annual revenues recorded in the fourth quarter, and they represent only 3% of Markets' total revenues last year. There are several things worthy of pointing out. First, the current transactions and recoveries revenue each show sequential improvement in the last two quarters with Q1 showing growth. I'll note that Q1 did benefit from a price increase relative to Q4. However, the yield is less than 2%, meaning the increase did not change the underlying pattern outlined in the graph. Second, transactions were the first to turn red, and were the first to turn green, which is not surprising given that there is no lag effect on transaction revenues. Third, the third quarter of 2009 appears to have been the bottom of the sequential decline trough, which is what one would expect given that Q2 was the slowest net sales quarter. To be clear, each of these revenue categories did decline on a reported-revenue basis versus the prior-year period. But this usually gives us confidence that we're trending in the right direction. Now let me turn to the adjusted earnings per share, and earnings attributable to common shares in the quarter was $127 million. Now to arrive at adjusted earnings, we made the following adjustments. First, we removed the $63 million of expense listed as other finance expense, which in 2010 refers to the expense associated with our recent bond redemption. Second, we moved the amortization of intangible assets, which is a non-cash expense. And third, we normalized for an anticipated full year tax rate, which we have estimated to be between 20% and 24% for the full year. This resulted an $18 million reduction to adjusted earnings in the quarter. The net result is $304 million of adjusted earnings or $0.36 per diluted share, which is a decline of $0.04 versus a year ago. Let me point out that we did benefit slightly from timing in the quarter, given that we are running a bit behind on planned integration spend, and we have favorable on core corporate cost versus last year. We expect these trends to reverse themselves as we move throughout the year. Now just as a point of information, integrated related cost represented $0.10 per share in this quarter versus $0.09 in the previous year. Turning to free cash flow. As you know, the first quarter is always the weaker free cash flow quarter for Thomson Reuters, and this year was no exception. Underlying free cash flow for the quarter was $107 million. This represents a $35 million decline versus the prior period primarily due to higher tax payments. For the full year, we again expect to generate strong levels of free cash flow. Now let's turn to a brief update on our integration and synergy programs. As Tom mentioned, we continue to make progress on our synergy projects and have currently achieved a run rate savings of $1.2 billion. The incremental $125 million in savings in the quarter was attributable to content consolidation and organization realignment in the Markets division and the leveraging of the Thomson Reuters global footprint by the professional division. We remain on track to achieve our savings target of $1.6 billion by the end of next year. In the quarter, we incurred $97 million of integration-related expense, and these costs pertain to severance, cost consulting fees and technology cost. Before I conclude, let me spend a moment updating you on our recently completed bond redemption and subsequent debt offering. Our current net debt outstanding is $6.7 billion. In March, we announced the combined tender offer redemption of $700 million of debt due in 2012. We simultaneously issued a $500 million 30-year bond to fund the majority of the redemption. Now there were three benefits resulting from the transaction. We reduced our gross debt by $200 million by utilizing cash on hand. We extended our average maturity to approximately eight years, and we reduced our average interest rate to below 6%. We were again proactive. And since September of 2009, we have replaced $1.3 billion in near-term maturities with $1 billion of longer-term debt at attractive rates. Our capital structure and balance sheet remains strong, and our net debt to EBITDA ratio is approximately 2x. In summary, we are pleased with the first quarter performance including the trends in the business and we are tracking to our expectations. We have a good understanding of our business and our markets, particularly given our leading position in the markets we serve. And for the past year, our expectation have proven to be recently accurate despite some unprecedented period of uncertainty. And we have began to realize the benefits of our investment initiatives including net sales, including a strong start to WestlawNext. That is why we believe that we are positioned to return to growth in the second half of this year. The key investments we have been making position us well for sustained growth in revenue and margins in 2011 and beyond. With that in mind, as Tom mentioned, we are reaffirming our 2010 full year outlook. Now let me turn it over to Frank for questions.