Sandra Bell
Analyst · Wexford Capital. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Michael. We begin on Page 5, where we highlight our GAAP results along with adjusted EBITDA. For the quarter, we reported a GAAP net loss of $6.4 million for the operating company and $4.6 million for Tiptree Financial. Adjusted EBITDA at the operating company level for the same period was $4.9 million. Year-to-date at the operating company, GAAP net income was $11.4 million, which includes $23.3 million related to PFG, which is included in discontinued operations for the first-half of 2015. Year-to-date, the total adjusted EBITDA for the company was $49.9 million. Results from continuing operations for both the quarter and year-to-date were primarily driven by improving profitability, due to the inclusion of Fortegra, growth in specialty finance volumes and margins, increased rental revenue at Care from both the growth in our portfolio and improving results at our existing properties, partially offset by higher depreciation and amortization driven by the investments in real estate and the impact of purchase accounting at Fortegra, realized marks on the sale of our CLO subordinated note in Q2 net of tax benefits received, the one-time gain at Care in 2014 that did not occur again in 2015, unrealized fair value marks as the credit markets pricing higher expected default rate, and higher corporate expenses associated with our effort to improve our controls over financial reporting. Moving to the next page, we highlight our segment’s contributions to our nine months total revenue, which grew more than three times from $108 million in the nine months of 2014 to $355 million in the nine months of 2015. This total does not align directly with the revenue on the face of our income statement, because in order to allow for better comparisons, the slide includes the proportion of revenues attributable to PFG in both periods, which have been reclassified to discontinued operations in our financial statement. In addition, income attributable to consolidated CLOs have also been included in both years. The drivers of this growth were the addition of Fortegra and its $239 million in revenue, which more than offset the $58 million in revenues previously generated by PFG in the comparable period in 2014, along with improvements in volume and margins in our Specialty Finance segment and increased rental revenues from our larger senior housing portfolio at Care. Our increased revenue was dampened somewhat by a combination of a reduction in asset management fees, as our older CLOs amortized, the realized and unrealized fair value losses in our CLO investments, and the one-time gain of $7.9 million at Care in 2014. Turning to Page 7, adjusted EBITDA also grew year-over-year. The primary driver is the addition of Fortegra, which contributed $30.5 million of adjusted EBITDA for the nine months of 2015. Excluding the one-time gain of $7.9 million at Care in 2014, growth in adjusted EBITDA results are driven by growth in revenues at Care and in Specialty Finance. In addition to the dampening effects mentioned earlier of the fair value marks at are principal investment, adjusted EBITDA was negatively impacted by higher corporate expenses, associated with our effort to improve our controls in financial reporting infrastructure. Whist the growth in top line revenue are important strategic step for Tiptree, all of Tiptree’s businesses are highly scalable, with revenue being the primary driver of our ability to improve profitability and can take advantage and leverage an improving U.S. economy. On Page 9, as we did last quarter, we again reviewed the trends in the U.S. economy. Overall, the economy is showing signs of improving fundamental, with lower unemployment, a stronger dollar and low oil prices, the U.S. consumer appears to be more confident and is spending and saving more. Consumer confidence index is up, GDP continues on a positive trend, and businesses are beginning to increase their investments both through acquisitions and organic initiative. We highlight the specific key economic factors impacting each of our businesses results beginning with our insurance and insurance segment. On Page 11, we highlight the market dynamics, which we believe are providing support to Fortegra’s revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth. The improving consumer confidence mentioned earlier is underpinning expansion of consumer credit, particularly for moderate income earners and in areas such as auto finance, consumer electronics, and consumer durable. Fortegra’s business model is leveraged to this improving economic picture, as the provision of credit life insurance is an important component to supporting access to credit for moderate income Americans, while there is a growing demand for warranty and other insurance products in conjunction with sales of cars, consumer electronics, and other big ticket items, such as appliances. On Page 12, we present two revenue bridges showing the contribution of each of Fortegra’s key products to both the quarter and the nine months. Revenues of $30.1 million for the third quarter were up 5.1% year-over-year, while revenues for the nine months of $85.1 million were flat compared to 2014. The quarter-over-quarter improvement in revenue was largely attributable to growth in credit protection products combined with improvement in both specialty products and warranty products other than the cellphone warranty product, which continued to experience competitive pressure. On Page 13, we show the unaudited pro forma financial information of Fortegra to allow investors to compare Fortegra’s year-over-year performance with financial statements that Fortegra had filed with the SEC before our acquisition. The pro forma information for 2015 presented here and in our MD&A in more detail is provided without the purchase price adjustments reflected in our consolidated financial statements. Net income for the three months improved from $4.8 million in 2014 to $8.5 million in 2015, and for the nine months from $16.1 million in 2014 to $16.5 million year-to-date. In addition to the revenue story we described on the previous page, the company began an aggressive program to cut costs with both net income and adjusted EBITDA benefiting from this disciplined approach to expense management moving into the second-half of the year. Continued expense management and revenue contributions from credit products going forward are expected to drive growth into the fourth quarter. In addition, the fourth quarter tends to be a strong quarter for Fortegra, as their business benefits from increased spending by consumers as the holidays approach. Our Specialty Finance segment has also benefited from macroeconomic factors. On Page 15, we highlight some of those positive trends. Home affordability continues to be attractive relative to renting with near-term interest rate increases still expected to keep rates low by historic standards. In addition, improving job prospects combined with home price improvement in many areas of the country are driving positive growth in home sales and the mortgage market. In addition, the GSEs and the FHA have added products and improved pricing to encourage first-time home buyers to look at buying a home. Housing starts are up and the mortgage market is benefiting, particularly purchase origination. Fannie Mae is forecasting mortgage growth year-over-year for 2015 and 2016 with the momentum concentrated in the purchase market. The mortgage business, positive revenue, and earnings year-to-date are clearly reflective of those trends. Even with gradual rate increases on the horizon with a current base of historically low interest rate, affordability factors are not anticipated to change dramatically. On Page 16, we show the improving volume and margin picture for the Specialty Finance segment. Mortgage volumes more than doubled year-over-year in the nine months ended September 30, 2015. With the addition of Reliance and its higher mix of FHA/VA and agency volumes, we also saw net revenue margins increased from 160 basis points in 2014 to 286 basis points in 2015, and we’re well-positioned to take advantage of expanding margins to drive continued improvement in profitability. Small to mid-sized businesses are growing more confident in the economic picture for their products and services and as such have begun to invest. Increasing investment is fueling demand for credit and in the case of small businesses away from the commercial bank market. As the chart on the left-hand in this page illustrates, Siena has benefited from these trends with year-over-year loan balance growth of 61% from $35.4 million at the end of 2014 to $56.7 million at the end of September. Turning to Page 17, the growth in volume and margin serve to expand the revenue pie in this segment as well. The increased mortgage volumes along with Reliance is focused on higher margin FHA/VA mortgage loans and agency businesses with a primary driver of this segment’s pre-tax income of $1.3 million for the quarter, compared with a pre-tax loss of $703,000 in the prior year period. Siena also contributed to the revenue growth through a combination of higher average balances and higher termination fee income, as several clients prepaid their loans early. The U.S. demographic picture favors growth in senior housing, as the baby boomers continue to age. On Page 19, we highlight these trends. The combination of aging U.S. population and an improving economy continue to support positive investment dynamics for our real estate segment. Leveraging its trend, as we have shown on the next page, Care has more than doubled its senior housing properties and joint venture investments during the latter part of 2014 and the first quarter of 2015 growing its portfolio by $123.8 million to a total of $232.9 million. 14 out of our 24 facilities representing 53% of our real estate portfolio by purchase price were acquired at the end of 2014 and the beginning of 2015. These newer facilities are undergoing comprehensive capital expenditure outlays and enhancements to allow them to operate more efficiently, and as they ramp up and stabilize, we expect our results to reflect such improvement. The increase in the number of properties generated higher rental and other income in 2015 compared with 2014. However, the company also incurred additional depreciation, amortization, and interest expense as a consequence of the growth in Care’s property portfolio. As shown on Page 21, excluding the one-time gain of $7.9 million at Care in 2014, we saw year-over-year growth of 125% in revenues from $14.9 million to $33.3 million and 70% in adjusted EBITDA from $2.3 million to $3.9 million, both as a function of the addition of new properties and management actions to improve operations at existing properties. The growth and the demand for business credit that we discussed earlier is also supporting growth in our asset management segment and in our principal investments. On Page 23, we have provided statistics, which highlight the fact that demand for business credit is generally growing the U.S. economy. To be able to take advantage of this growing trend, we deployed $40 million into Telos 7 in the quarter to supplement the $25 million we contributed to our Telos managed credit opportunity fund in the prior quarter. Telos 7 is a new loan warehouse to replace older CLOs, where the investment period ended and amortization and therefore deleveraging had begun. When combined with leverage, these two investments added $239 million to our exposure to corporate credit. Turning to Page 24, net income and adjusted EBITDA attributable to the asset management component of the CLOs was down slightly year-over-year from $7.2 million to $6.7 million and from $9 million to $8.2 million respectively. The principal reason to the modest decline was the reduction in CLO management fees driven by a combination of amortizing assets under management in our older CLOs and lower fees on more recent CLOs. The sale of subordinated notes of Telos 2 and 4 in the prior quarter also reduced distributions in the third quarter year-over-year, but also generated tax losses of approximately $12.5 million to the company. Until we launch Telos 7, we will see a reduction in asset management fees, partially offset by an – by increased interest income on the warehouse, which will be recorded in principal investments in our corporate and other segment. On Page 25, we highlight some of the key drivers impacting our corporate and other segment, which incorporates revenues from the company’s principal investment activities and expenses, including interest expense on the Fortress credit facility and head office payroll and other expenses, including those related to greater investment in controls and reporting infrastructure, as well as RFP. We reported a pre-tax loss through the third quarter of $14.5 million and $31.6 million for the nine months, which was primarily driven by realized and unrealized net losses of $18.8 million on our CLO subordinated note. As we mentioned earlier, this was offset by a $12.5 million tax loss contributing a tax benefit to the overall net income of the consolidate group. Market concerns regarding weakening credit combined with an overhang of loan assets for sale on bank balance sheet drove down the unrealized marks on the CLOs in the third quarter. On Page 26, we want to highlight the key takeaways from the quarter and things to keep in mind going forward. As we move into the fourth quarter of 2015 and look forward to 2016, we believe Tiptree is well-positioned to take advantage of improvements in the U.S. economy. Adjusted EBITDA growth is expected to benefit from continued revenue growth of Fortegra combined with disciplined expense management to drive positive improvements. Growth in the specialty finance volumes and margins from industry expansion combined with improving product mix and the result in increased margins in mortgage originations are expected to increase adjusted EBITDA in that segment. In addition, growing rental income from our senior living portfolio combined with investments to increase occupancy can drive improvements in operating income at the property level. While the fair value marks on our CLOs were impacted by credit conditions in the quarter, we expect this component of our business model to continue to improve into 2016. In conclusions, we’re confident that our strategic direction in taking advantage of positive economic trends puts the company in a strong position to drive long-term shareholder value. Thank you. And we will now open up the call for Q&A.