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Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited (TEN)

Q4 2015 Earnings Call· Tue, Mar 15, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to Tsakos Energy Navigation conference call on the fourth quarter 2015 financial results. We have with us Mr. Takis Arapoglou, Chairman of the Board, Mr. Nikolas Tsakos, President and CEO, Mr. Paul Durham, Chief Financial Officer and Mr. George Saroglou, Chief Operating Officer of the company. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. There will be a presentation followed by a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. I must advise you the conference is being recorded today, Tuesday, March 15, 2016. And I now pass the floor to Mr. Nicolas Bornozis, President of Capital Link, Investor Relations Advisor of Tsakos Energy Navigation. Please go ahead, sir.

Nicolas Bornozis

Analyst

Thank you very much and good morning to all of our participants. This is Nicolas Bornozis of Capital Link, Investor Relations Advisor to Tsakos Energy Navigation. This morning, the company publicly released its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2015. In case you do not have a copy of today's earnings release, please call us at 212-661-7566 or email us at ten@capitallink.com and we will email a copy to you right away. Please note, that parallel to today's conference call, there is also a live audio and slide webcast which can be accessed on the company's website on the front page at www.tenn.gr. The conference call will follow the presentation slides, so please we urge you to access the presentation on the webcast on the website. Please note that the slides of the webcast presentation will be available as an archive on the company's website after the conference call. Also please note that the slides of the webcast presentation are user controlled, that means that by clicking on the proper button you can move to the next or to the previous slide on your own. At this time, I would like to read the Safe Harbor statement. This conference call and slide presentation of the webcast contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Safe Harbor provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Investors are cautioned that such forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties which may affect TEN's business prospects and results of operations. Such risks are more fully disclosed in TEN's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Ladies and gentlemen, at this point I would like to turn over the call to Mr. Takis Arapoglou, the Chairman of the Board of Tsakos Energy Navigation. Mr. Arapoglou, please go ahead sir.

Takis Arapoglou

Analyst

Thank you, Nicolas. Good morning everyone. The 2015 full year results we published today are really outstanding in all fronts. Massive organic earnings growth, reduction in operating costs, a solid balance sheet, historically low leverage, high liquidity, fully funded newbuilding program, accretive sale and purchase activity, optimizing asset allocation and 33% dividend increase to be further boosted by a major stock buyback program. Just to name a few. With a pro forma revenue of $1.5 billion and an average contract duration of over 2.7 years, excluding newbuildings and is presently positioned to continue offering shareholder value to its investors. Above all TEN greatly benefits from the stability and long-term perspective offered by solid anchor investor and the hard work and commitment to excellence of its management team and people. We are certain that all these unique attributes are distinguishing TEN from its peers would be appreciated and rewarded by our shareholders accordingly. Once again, congratulations to Nikolas Tsakos, his management team and the company people for a spectacular performance. And over to you, Niko.

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Chairman, thank you very much. Thank you for your good words. And I have to say, we are all very glad to be brought here. It's the beginning of our 23rd year and we continue to grow the company from four ships to where we are today. And it's really rewarding that the underline business is strong and as we speak today we are able to also notice a significant, again a rebound, positive rebound on our spot rates. We are seeing VLCCs again approaching the close to the triple, the six-figures and I think this is all very positively going forward. TEN is, as we have said, it's a company that has simple stated and tried strategy and vision and this is something we have been continuously following and it has served us right. We are not the flavor of the month on every quarter and we are certainly not everybody's cup of tea for investors because we are a diversified large, growing, traditional long-term operator. But I think our results gives us the satisfaction and we hope that also the long-term long value investor who also appreciates a significant return and a dividend would identify this. In the meantime, the management, the anchor investors are always very supportive of the company by continuously buying our shares and we are looking forward for 2016 to be another year. It is going to be for us a pivotal year. We are going to have the largest growth we have had since the inception of the company 23 years ago. And we believe that this will also be finally reflected on our share price. If we have to choose, I think as long as our underline business if going from strength to strength, I think the share price will find its own way. If it was the opposite, I would be very worried having a ballooning share price and a very negative underline business. So I think it's a luxury problem to have right now and let's hope that our business will continue to grow and I am sure the share price will catch up. And with that, I will ask Mr. George Saroglou to give us the details for the last quarter, of course, which was another very exciting quarter and for the highlights of 2015. George?

George Saroglou

Analyst

Thank you, Niko. The company reported today another strong quarter and profitable year, the best year since 2009. We are coming strong after outperforming the recent market downturn. 2015 was another profitable year, the 20th in the company's history since inception in 1993. For those of you who are connected to the Internet and our website, there is an online slide presentation which format we will follow during the call. Let's turn to slide number three. In early November, we took delivery of the 2009-built Suezmax, Pentathlon and immediately took advantage of the strong spot freight market environment. This vessel partially replaced two of our older tankers, a 2002-built Suezmax and a 2004-built handysize product tanker, which were sold during last year. The sister vessel to Pentathlon, the 2010-built Suezmax, Decathlon was also acquired and in delivered to TEN in early February 2016. Decathalon also commenced trading in the spot market. During the year, we also acquired two newbuilding VLCCs that will deliver to TEN later in 2016. Overall, TEN operated on average 48.6 vessels during the course of last year. As a result of this transaction, we have a pro forma fleet of 65 vessels excluding the through the option for a fourth Shuttle tanker. Thanks to the modernity of the fleet and the balanced employment strategy, we continue to operate the fleet at a very high utilization rate, 98%, for the year which is effectively full employment, considering that all vessels in the fleet and in any fleet have to periodically undergo scheduled repairs. We should highlight that in order to capture the healthy rates that are currently available for time charter business as a result of a sustained strong spot market, TEN has gradually fixed more vessels on time charter with or without profit sharing. With the…

Paul Durham

Analyst

Thank you George. Well, quarter four represented a robust ending to an outstanding year for the tanker industry and especially for TEN. TEN achieved net income of $39.6 million, three times more than in quarter four 2014. 2015 net income, including $2 million gains on the sale of two vessels was over $158 million. As George has mentioned, a five times increase over the previous year. Low oil prices kept tanker demand up and resulted in a 60% decrease in bunker prices, which contributed to a significant reduction in voyage expenses. Revenue after voyage expenses was 13% from the prior quarter four. Despite the sale of two vessels in the year $109 million more net revenue was generated than in 2014. Quarter four daily average TC per vessel was $26,000, a 17% increase over quarter four 2014, while 2015 average rates increased 31% to $25,940. Our Aframaxes, mostly on spot, turned average daily TCE rates in quarter four at nearly $28,000, a 22% increase over quarter four 2014. While our Suezmaxes earned average TCE rates at nearly $35,000, a 32% increase. Panamax, Handymax and handysize daily TCE were in approximately the same range as in the previous quarter four and generated for the most respectable earnings unless undergoing drydock. Quarter four generated $75 million EBITDA, 35% up from the prior quarter four. All vessels had positive EBITDA, apart from two product carriers in drydock. In the year, EBITDA increased by 63% to $292 million. Quarter four OpEx fell by 15% due to a 16% appreciation of the dollar against the euro, the sale of two vessels and savings achieved by our technical managers. Daily average OpEx per vessel for quarter four was $7,500, down $900 from the previous quarter four, an 11% reduction. For the year, daily OpEx per vessel…

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Thank you Paul. Thank you. I think this is a very good messenger for the results and as I said we are glad to say that whereas 2015 was a very strong year, it seems that 2016 is shaping to be another strong year. This week the markets in almost all segments are going from strength to strength. And with this, we would like to open the floor for any questions. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Your first question from Wells Fargo comes from the line of Mike Webber and your line is now open.

Donald Bogden

Analyst

Good morning. This is Donald. Congrats on the quarter and thank you taking my questions. I will kick if off with a question on the market. You mentioned this briefly earlier, but looking at the very sharp run up in VLCC rates moving from about $38,000 a day to close to $90,000 a day, do you think this run up is purely seasonal on the back of the unwanted refinery maintenance or there are larger more structural factors at work here?

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

I think that what George mentioned before, he posed the point that the market is very well balanced. I don't think that anything structurally happened in the last couple of weeks. Other reports that more exports coming out of places like Iran. So there is more oil. However, it's so that every small change goes straight into the market. So I think the market is well balanced. The market absorbing any new supply quite carefully. It takes a new supply of tonnage in. So I think overall we are in a well balanced market. We are seeing more storage coming up in China. So that's another. We have delays in ports there. And of course, that's another factor that will help the market, plus we are getting finally a cold spell here in Europe which I think we didn't have and that also helps.

Donald Bogden

Analyst

Thanks for the color on that. And then just a follow-up on the balance sheet. You have about $305 million in cash. Can you comment on your cash flow optionality moving forward as you think about your toolkit consisting on further deleveraging, additional growth, distribution increases or additional share buybacks? Or I guess, is there a preference for one option above the others?

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Well, I think we feel quite, we should never say never, but we feel quite satisfied right now that we have reached a level of growth with the new ships. 2016 is going to be our most active year in new vessels, almost most of them with long term accretive employments and the rest being the two VLCCs of course are going to be I think right now, very, there is a huge appetite for them in the market and we are negotiating deals. So I think unless some opportunities might arise in the secondhand market, I think we have reached our growth. We are where we wanted to be at this stage. Of course we are looking to deleverage our balance. As you have seen, we have I think the lowest leverage ever at around 43.5%. However, we have our preferred there and that's the why buying back our common shares, buying back our preferred and of course our preferred distribution is the dividend. So as long as the market maintains this momentum, we would expect to see some of this actions to be taken by the Board.

Donald Bogden

Analyst

All right. Well, thank you for that color and congrats again on the quarter.

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. Now from JPMorgan, your next question comes from the line of Noah Parquette. Your line is open. Mr. Parquette.

Noah Parquette

Analyst

Thanks for taking my questions. I wanted to ask about charter coverage. You said that pretty high at 60% this year. When you looking forward to 2017, do you have a target rate that you want to get to in terms of charter coverage? And then I guess what are you seeing in your discussions? Are there, you have got some competitors saying there is not liquidity for period after one year, but what are you guys seeing? Thanks.

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Well, I think there is not magic number. But historically, we were always take two-thirds with long employment and one-third spot. I think we will go close to that. I think we will be approaching that level, perhaps exceeding it a little bit but our aim is always to have long-term employment. There is long-term employment out there. And I think in the next couple of days we will be announcing another major strategic transaction. We are waiting for subjects to be lifted. I think that will add to that percentage. So I hope that before we see you next week in New York we will have to share good news also. So that will further increase and bring us closer to our target.

Noah Parquette

Analyst

Okay. Looking forward to seeing that. And then I guess on the LNG, your vessel and the newbuild, can you give some update on where you are in terms of chartering that and how that fits in to your strategy? Thanks.

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Yes. I think we are looking for delivery in the later part of the third quarter, beginning of fourth quarter. As you know, this market is going through, I would say, a difficult period. But of course, our delivery gives us time to look forward. We are believers in the long-term prospects of gas. We are, I think, satisfied that we have not overstressed ourselves. We only have two vessels in that part of the business but we will be looking to expand when the time is right. Right now we are discussing for flexible contracts for that delivery. There is a lot of requirements for vessels like our vessels starting in 2017 and 2018. So I think our aim is to bridge the gap between our deliver and the period that most of the trains, the infrastructural projects come online and the demand for shipping will be there. So we are believers. However, we are glad it's still a small percent of our diversified fleet.

Noah Parquette

Analyst

Okay. That's very helpful. Thank you. That's all I have.

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much indeed. Now from Morgan Stanley, your next question comes from the line of Sherif Elmaghrabi and your line is now, sir.

Sherif Elmaghrabi

Analyst

Yes. Hi. Congratulations on a strong quarter. I think you touched on my first question earlier, but with such a large cash balance and as you fix more of your fleet on these long-term contracts, have you given any thought to another dividend increase this year or a special payout, perhaps even transitioning to a folding model similar to some of your peers or is the repurchase program your primary avenue for returning capital?

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Well, as I said, we have a strong cash balance, but of course we have one of the largest newbuilding programs in the company's history so far. So I think we will be using part of it, we are already using some of it in taking over our ships, because we are conservative and we do not want to over leverage ourselves. So we are using quite some equity together with very, I would say, competitive terms. We are getting very competitive terms on bank finance and for us this is important. Being the major shareholders, an increase in dividend when the time is right, is always our preference. And I think we will be looking after the half of the year to see how the year is going. But it's something that we always consider favorably.

Sherif Elmaghrabi

Analyst

Okay. And just to follow-up, what's your total remaining CapEx and how much of it is equity CapEx?

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Paul?

Paul Durham

Analyst

Right. So at the moment, we are looking at paying another $700 million towards our newbuilding program. But much of that, over $600 will be paid by already arranged debt. Equity exposure at the moment is about $100 million, including estimated extras.

Sherif Elmaghrabi

Analyst

All right. That's very helpful. Thanks. One last question. In the press release you talked about the sale of your first generation vessels. I was wondering if you think that vessel values have already past their peak and where you see them going from here? It seems that the price doesn't really reflect what these vessels have been earning?

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Yes. As I said, those ships are serving as us very well, as we speak. They are well depreciated. We look at anything which is 10 years or older as, I would say, first generation. And we are discussing with buyers for the sale of those ships. It's true that because of the limited finance and the problems that are very evident in most of the segments of the shipping business other than tankers, such as dry cargo container, the appetite for shipping from banks and investors is not there. But of course our aim is to find the right channel and renew our fleet.

Sherif Elmaghrabi

Analyst

Okay. Helpful. That's it for me. I will turn it over.

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Thank you.

Sherif Elmaghrabi

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much indeed, sir. And your next question from UBS Securities comes from the line of Spiro Dounis and your line is now open, sir.

Spiro Dounis

Analyst

Hi. Good morning everyone. Thanks for taking the question. Just wanted to follow-up. Nikolas you mentioned an accretive deal, I guess, coming in the next few days and I am sorry if you touched on this, but in terms of the form it's going to take, is it something that maybe it's going to be newbuilds backed by a contract? Or is it that you are chartering vessels that you already own.

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Chartering vessels that we already own.

Spiro Dounis

Analyst

Got it. That's helpful. And then just maybe sticking on that point, you are obviously out there talking to all the oil majors and big trading houses and I guess I am just wondering, in terms of inbound calls that you are getting maybe what vessel class are you seeing the most interest in right now, broadly speaking.

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

I think right now Suezmaxes and VLCCs seem to be the vessels that come first in line. But of course having a diversified fleet, we are able to talk to them on all segments. But I would say today, the VLCCs and Suezmaxes is where the biggest interest for long-term business is.

Spiro Dounis

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And then just two housekeeping ones. I think just piggybacking on those question on the LNG carriers, I think you mentioned the Maria, but maybe just addressing Neo Energy I think comes off-charter, I guess this quarter or maybe what the plans are there to recharter that vessel?

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Yes. I think the Neo has been performing very good since we built the ship. It has been almost on its entire life on long-term very accretive business. I think right now we are discussing again with a more flexible businesses which means perhaps a conversion in charter and conversion of the vessel into FSRUs, because there is quite an appetite for vessels like these.

Spiro Dounis

Analyst

Yes. Certainly. That's interesting. And then last one from me. I see HMM is obviously on your top list of customers, I guess their tanker division. Just wondering, with the financial difficulties going on there, we are hearing they are trying to cut charter rates. Just wondering if you are impacted by that at all.

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Well, we have a long relationships with HMM. We are not seeing any effects. We are on a long-term employment with a minimum and profit-shares with them and I think right now there is so much in the money, I don't think they are bothering. But we never had any issues with them.

Spiro Dounis

Analyst

Yes. Makes sense. Just making sure. Thanks guys. I appreciate your time.

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much indeed, sir. And your next question from AXIA Capital Markets comes from the line of Robert Perri. Your line is now open, sir.

Robert Perri

Analyst

Gentlemen, a good quarter. Congratulations on a good quarter. Spiro just sort of took over one of the questions I wanted to ask you, but I guess just quickly, I know someone mentioned it before that all the vessels are financed now, the big one being the LNG carrier. Is there any terms you could disclose on that now? Or is it something you can't talk about at this stage, the financing for that vessel, the new one coming on?

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Well, as I said, we try to always finance our vessels with a conservative profile. So it's going to be, we are not looking for 70% or 80% finance. We have always tried to be conservative in financing. But in exchange of that, we get very good terms on the duration of the finance and of course on the pricing. So you have other companies that are, I would say, more aggressively financing their fleet that might go up to 70%, 75%. We have never been, even if you look in our presentation, even in the worst times when the market was very poor, we were still, I think always under 60% debt to equity finance. So that's the reason we keep a little bit more extra cost, because I think it carries us a long way.

Robert Perri

Analyst

Understood. And I guess just touching on that briefly, I mean what are you seeing from the lenders these days? Granted, I know you guys have always been very good customers, but is it tougher out there do you think nowadays? Or is it finally leveling off?

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Well, they are always tough with me. So Paul I think should answer this question. He is the one that is nice to them.

Paul Durham

Analyst

For us, we have lived in a kind of a privileged situation over the past few years, through the bad times and the good times. There are a certain number of banks and we are talking about as many as a dozen or more, that recognize us as payers. We service our debt. We have got a perfect record in that respect. And therefore whenever announce that we are looking at a project or we are going to build a ship with a charter, they are knocking on the door and offering us very good terms. So I know it's sounding a bit over-proud in that respect, but I think that's the situation we are in, that we are very fortunate to have excellent banks who recognize our quality and are prepared to provide debt to us at very good terms. And when I talk about terms, we are talking about a reasonable tenure in this day and age. The days of the 12-year tenures have gone, but yes, we are still getting six, seven years. We are getting margins which are very, very reasonable and it keeps our overall cost of debt, I mean it's still around the 2.5% mark. So I think, in that respect, we are in a very good position.

Robert Perri

Analyst

No. I appreciate the color there. That's all from my end. Good going, guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much indeed, sir. [Operator Instructions]. As there are no further questions, I shall pass the floor back to you for closing remarks.

Nikolas Tsakos

Analyst

Well, thank you very much. Looking forward to visit with a lot of you in the next week in New York. I think we have to look forward to the CMA, the Capital Link and the Deutsche Bank Conference and the management will be there on the back of the results and answering any questions. In general, I think it has been a very good year. It looks to be shaping up to be another positive year. We are placing the company to be able to take advantage of that situation. And as I said, we are really and I think like most tanker companies, as we mentioned in our press release, not happy or I would say disappointed with the performance of our shares, but we would rather have that than have the underlying business going from strength to strength rather than the opposite. I think that at the end of the day, the investors who are right now most of them recovering from low oil prices, many of them being long and many of them investing in other segments of our industry, I think that will identify that the tanker market still have legs and it will give its dues. But in the meantime, our aim is to keep a tight ship literally, keep costs under control, make sure that our vessels are utilized, as George said, at least 98% for the year and I think the results will talk for themselves. Looking forward to see all of you next week or as many you next week in New York. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much indeed and many thanks to all our speakers today. That does conclude the conference. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect. Thank you, Mr. Arapoglou. Thank you, gentlemen.