George Saroglou
Analyst · the line of Noah Parquette. And your line is open, sir
Thank you. Thank you, Nikolas. We reported today another profitable quarter following strong performance in the tanker market that remains robust following three weak years, 2010 to 2013. The operating performance year-to-date and the organic growth that is coming as a result of the company's newbuilding program that gets delivered, we believe will produce another profitable year in 2016. For those of you who are connected to the internet and our website, there is an online slide presentation, the format we will follow during the call. Let's turn to slide number 3, with the key operating highlights. In early February we took delivery of a 2012-build suezmax tanker, sister vessel to a 2009 build suezmax we took delivery late last year. Both vessels upon delivery started operating in the spot market, taking advantage of a strong freight market environment. In May we also took delivery of our newbuilding VLCC Ulysses, which immediately entered into a short-term time charter, before waiting for this to be committed to a longer period charter. This year marks the busiest growth year since 2007 for the company with nine newbuilding vessels expected to enter the fleet. With the exception of the LNG vessel Maria Energy, all other newbuilding vessels have committed long-term charters at accretive rates. During the first quarter of 2016, TEN operated an average 49.6 vessels. On a pro forma basis we have a fleet of 65 vessels, excluding the option for a fourth shuttle tanker. Thanks to the modality of the fleet and the balanced employment strategy, we continue to operate the fleet at a very high utilization rate, 95.3% for the quarter, which is almost full utilization considering that this number incorporates three scheduled drydockings. As you know, all vessels in the fleet have to periodically undergo scheduled repairs. We would also like to highlight that in order to capture the healthy rates that are currently available for time charter business, as a result of a sustained strong spot market, TEN has gradually fixed more vessels in time charters with or without profit-sharing, or renewed terminating charters at higher rates. Five panamax tankers had their charters extended for two more years between minimum $18,500 and maximum rate $28,500 per day with a starting rate for the first six months of $22,000 per day. The increase in the five vessels' combined annual revenue compensates for the low income the Neo Energy that is expected to have during 2016 compensating - competing in a challenging LNG market after completing a very successful four-year time charter. The Neo Energy trading in the spot market is now fixed on up to two months at a rate that produces positive EBITDA. With the company's newbuilding vessels that we gradually enter the fleet during the year, we expect the annual contracted coverage of the fleet to go to 70%. The low oil price environment continues to impact the crude sector in TEN in a very positive way. World oil demand continues to be strong. For 2016 the International Energy Agency expects oil demand growth to be 1.2 million barrels per day. However, demand during the first quarter of 2016 has been stronger at 1.4 million barrels per day, thanks to stronger than forecasted demand from India and China. Despite the spike in the price of oil since February at $50, the price of oil is still 50% below the average brent [ph] price for 2014. The low oil price continues to stimulate demand and encourages strategic and commercial stockpiling. On the supply side, OPEC produces at record levels reaching 33.2 million barrels per day neighbor. After the lifting of sanctions, Iran has returned to the pre-sanction production levels of about 3.5 million barrels per day. Iraqi production is also at record levels at 4.3 million barrels per day. Production outside OPEC continues to decline. US crude oil production has fallen as a result of the lower price of oil. And the slowdown in production has so far a positive impact on US crude oil imports. Supply of oil is expected to remain at elevated levels going forward. And this is positive for tanker demand and tanker earnings. Fleet growth is managed. The order book for the next two-plus years currently stands at 15.6%. However 12% of the fleet is currently over 15 years and natural fleet replacement should gradually reduce the effect of the new tonnage in the market. Main shipyards in the Far East are in financial distress, which could lead to structuring and capacity cuts. In addition, lack of access to capital has resulted in very few orders so far in 2016. If these trends continue, global fleet growth will be low after the current quarter book delivers in 2016 and 2017. Overall we expect 2016 to be another strong year for crude tankers, thanks to the growing global oil demand, high supply of oil, relatively low oil price, and moderate fleet growth. Slide number 4 has the main financial highlights of our press release, which Paul will present in more detail. I would like to highlight the strong profitability for both for the quarter and more particularly, net income of $5.4 million, EBITDA of $60 million and a very strong cash reserves of $276 million. The next slide is the fleet, and we see here pro forma fleet of 65 vessels, which currently includes 51 vessels in operation and a newbuilding program, which out of the 15 vessels, 12 are already in very long and accretive time charter business and are fixed on superior employment with minimal five year duration, excluding any optional period. When the effect of the full newbuilding program into the fleet will add the company's EBITDA approximately another $100 million. Predominantly the heating engagement as we've seen further transportation, the sizeable number of vessels engaged in transporting products was five vessels of specialized vessels covering the LNG and the offshore shuttle tanker sector. The fleet is very modern, with the average age of the operating fleet at 8.5 years, vessels almost 10 years for the world tanker fleet. We are a very low cost base operator, as you see from the next slide, as most of the fleet has been built and acquired before the rise of newbuilding prices. The freight market has been strong and is expected to remain strong during the year, as the relative low oil price environment stimulates demand for stockpiling, especially from oil important countries and additional energy spending from consumer in both developed and developing economies. We continue to see how - we continue the balance employment strategy of the corporate fleet through a mix of spot charters, COAs and pulling arrangements and period charters with fixed rates and minimal rates that have profit-sharing arrangements. This is the next slide, the employment slide. 31 vessels in the operating fleet are in secured employment, including 9 vessels in profit-sharing arrangements covering 60% of the 2016 operating base. The average charter for a vessel today is 2.4 years, 29 vessels, including the 9 on profit sharing, are on flexible employment whose earnings are affected by the spot market. As you can see, for every $1000 increase in the spot rates, the annual effect for TEN is an increase of $0.08 in EPS. In the secured employment charters we have the long-term time charter of a newbuilding vessel that will enter the fleet later in the year in 2017, from where TEN expects a minimum revenue backlog of $1.5 billion and an additional annualized EBITDA of $100 million. On the oil demand, just to highlight a few things again. 2016 oil demand is expected to grow at least by 1.2 million barrels per day, which is closer to the long-term trend, although have been pleasantly surprised by the demand numbers in the fourth quarter which has come higher at 1.4 million barrels per day. The global economy, despite headwinds in some regions, continues to grow. And the lower oil prices are supporting strong demand, especially in high consuming countries like the United States and developing economies like China and India. This supply driven drop in the price of oil benefits the tanker markets because we have rising volumes, longer distances and manageable fleet growth for crude tankers. And all these factors expect to play favorably for us in 2016 and beyond. The next slide is basically the history of our cash distributions. We have increased the dividend distribution in 2016 from $0.06 to $0.08 per quarter, which is a 33% increase. And we paid in total $0.24 a share in 2015, while this year we will pay $0.32 per share. The first dividend for 2016 was paid on April 7. The next dividend which we announced today is scheduled for August 10. We have two more dividend payments in October and December, dates that will be announced during the course of the year. The company likes to reward shareholders with sustainable and growing dividends. In total since 2002 TEN has paid $10.28 in cash dividends, or approximately $430 million, and this compares with a listing price in our IPO of $7.50. So the average yield if one goes back to 2002 is 5.25%. In addition to the dividend distribution, the company has a $20 million buyback program in place that so far has repurchased 2.2 million common shares at an all-in cost of $5.84. The next slide has the most recent NAV calculation and the analysts that cover TEN. The division of the management of the company is to continue growing TEN responsibly, and at the same time have the reality being reflected in the company's share price. At the same time, believing in the company's value and the business in which we operate, management continues to increase their holdings in the company, as the relating filings indicate. That concludes the operational part of our presentation. Paul will walk you through the financial highlights of the first Q. Paul?