Operator
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to The Scotts Miracle-Gro 2016 Second Quarter Earnings Conference. Today's conference is being recorded. And at this time, I'd like to turn things over to Mr. Jim King. Please go ahead. Jim King - Senior Vice President, Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs & Chief Communications Officer: Thanks, Greg. Good morning, and thanks everybody for joining us this morning at The Scotts Miracle-Gro second quarter conference call. With me this morning are Jim Hagedorn, our Chairman and CEO; Randy Coleman, our CFO; and Mike Lukemire, President and Chief Operator. We're going to start in a few minutes with prepared comments from Jim, who will update you on our strategic plan as well as provide an overview of the consumer activity we've seen in our U.S. business so far this season. Randy will then go through the numbers including a review of our new reporting segments. We've got a lot of things to cover this morning, so when we get to the Q&A I'd like to ask everyone to ask one question and one follow-up. I have already set up follow-up calls with many of you for later in the day and I have set most of day aside tomorrow to do the same. Before I get started or we get started, I want to remind everyone that our remarks today will include forward-looking statements and as such actual results may differ materially from what we say. We encourage investors to familiarize themselves with the risk factors that could impact our business, a complete description of which can be found on our Form 10-K which is filed with the SEC. Today's call is being recorded. A replay will be available later in the day as will a transcript and a call will be archived on our Investor Relations website as well. So let's get started this morning. And to do that, I'll turn things over to Jim Hagedorn. James Hagedorn - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer: Thanks, Jim. Good morning, everyone. As we were preparing for this call, Jim and I were laughing that the first few lines of the initial draft of my script sounded just like they did last quarter and the one before that and the one before that. However, if you're the CEO of a public company and you begin every quarterly conference by talking about how pleased you are with the business, I guess that that's a good thing. So let me tell you, I'm pleased with where we are right now. Q2 was a record quarter for us even when you strip away all the tailwinds related to the shift in our fiscal calendar. We have a high degree of confidence in our full year guidance for sales, for gross margin rate, and for adjusted EPS. Consumer purchases were outstanding through the first half and have been solid all season when weather didn't cause a disruption. The fact that we're up 1% entering May is in line with our guidance and keeps us on plan for the full year. Remember, April was a month of extremely difficult comps and the weather wasn't that great either. May and June should be easier. Even though the comps get easier, we know that some of the most critical weeks of the year are staring us in the face, so we can't let up when it comes to focus and execution. More importantly, we need to continue balancing our execution for 2016 while simultaneously implementing our long-term strategic plan, which we're calling Project Focus. So let me start there, and then I'll go into some more details about what we're seeing so far this season. As a reminder, Project Focus is all about putting our emphasis on our U.S. Consumer business, specifically in areas like organics, live goods, hydroponic gardening, the support of water-positive landscapes, and bringing Internet-enabled technology to the garden. Each of these areas provides us with an opportunity to achieve incremental long-term growth. Moreover, shifting our focus to the U.S. Consumer business will allow us to improve our operating margins to roughly 18% over time, and allow us to generate significant operating cash flow, which we'll use to reinvest in our business, most likely by repurchasing shares. We've made great progress in each pillar of Project Focus over the past 90 days. So let me fill you in. The first steps we've taken relate to our reconfiguring of our portfolio. To that end, in mid-April, we closed on the joint venture of Scotts LawnService and TruGreen, giving us roughly one-third of the combined business. We continue to be big believers in the service industry, and that's what drove this deal. Our choice of being a perpetual number two, or being a 30% owner of the market leader was an easy one for us. Contributing our business to the JV not only is a path to future growth, but also the best way to drive our shareholder value. Both SLS and TruGreen had a solid start to the year, and the integration got off to a strong start. We remain confident that the business will achieve the $50 million in cost synergies we outlined when the deal was announced. Both Scotts and Clayton, Dubilier believe there is great opportunity to accelerate the growth of this business. Remember, the economics of the deal itself were based solely on the cost synergies. We see the growth potential as real, and all of it would be upside to the business case. We also told you we've been pursuing a transaction in our European business. Discussions with the partner we had been in talks with were terminated a few weeks ago. Here's what happened. As our talks progressed, it became clear our business was outperforming others in the industry to a greater extent than we had realized. So to do a deal we had envisioned, there was going to be a value gap that would have forced us to chase a deal that we didn't think was worth chasing. Our potential partner had another opportunity that we never would have replicated, so both of us have moved on. That said, our business in Europe continues to perform well again this year. In saying that, I want to emphasize that our bias for Europe has not changed. Our first choice remains to find a potential partner that would allow us to expand both the reach and profitability of our existing business. From there, our bias is to exit. But we've been in Europe for 18 years, and we're not going to get impatient. We're going to pursue a path that makes the most economic sense for our shareholders. As it relates to our focus on the U.S. business, we're making great progress. We expect to announce in the next few weeks a further expansion of our hydroponic gardening business, which is a foundational pillar of The Hawthorne Gardening Company. We've made great progress in pursuing opportunities to expand Hawthorne's product offering, and to become a house of brands for hydroponic retailers and gardeners. We told you in December we expected to invest another $200 million to $300 million against these goals, and that guidance still holds. In live goods, we're also making great progress. We completed the transaction with Bonnie Plants during Q2, and now have a 25% stake in that business. If you visit major retailers this spring, you'll see a noticeable improvement in the cross merchandising of Bonnie and Miracle-Gro products. These improvements are being made without a great deal of planning, since the deal wasn't done until after the start of the season. But our soils business is off to a great start this year, and we think the Bonnie deal is contributing to that success. In natural and organics, our progress has been even better. At our three largest retailers, consumer purchases of natural, organic products are up 36% so far this year. What's more encouraging is what we're seeing in R&D. We continue to make great progress against a multi-year effort to develop truly innovative technology focused on bringing effective control release organic fertilizers to the consumer market for the first time. While it will take time, our ultimate goal is to transition the majority of the Miracle-Gro business to organic without compromising on performance. In the world of water, there are several things to report. First, we're days away from announcing a series of strategic partnerships with a network of environmental groups around the United States that are committed to both water quality and conservation. We'll support the work of those organizations over the next several years and use their input to help shape our own thinking. Over the last several months, we've also been working with universities, landscape architects, and environmental consultants to help us better understand the landscape of the future. That knowledge is being put to use to explore partnership or investment opportunities in precision irrigation and in growers of drought-tolerant plant varieties that can redefine the yard. We've also begun examining opportunities to reengineer our existing products, or develop new ones with water consumption and quality issues in mind. And finally, our efforts to bring Internet technology to the garden got off to a great start last month. We launched our concept of the Connected Yard during the South by Southwest Conference in Austin by unveiling our new Gro app. Interest by technology writers across the country far exceeded our expectations, and reinforced our belief that we're on the right path here. The Gro app aggregates data relevant to what's happening in your own backyard, helping homeowners better understand when to water, when to feed, and how to care for their lawn and garden. The app also provides product information to users, giving us direct opportunity to market to them. While TV remains a critical medium for us, we know that digital marketing will be more and more important going forward. The Gro app is just one of the steps we're taking to support the Connected Yard, and I'm confident we'll be the leader in this space. Speaking of being leaders, I want to spend a few moments explaining our announcement last month to exit a classification of pesticides called neonics. While the science is still being debated, many believe that neonics are one of several things potentially contributing to colony collapse amongst honeybees. In fact, several states are currently considering a ban on neonics for consumer use. I want to be clear: I'm not an authority on the science, and our decision wasn't about science. I'm the CEO of a consumer products company that happens to sell pesticides, and this is what I do know. When consumers buy our products, they are physically interacting with the environment. They care about the environment, and they expect us to care as well. We can't simply play lip service to the issue. They need to know that we have their back. While others in the industry continue to defend neonics, for us, it just wasn't worth the fight. Consumers preferred a different solution. The financial impact is immaterial to our P&L, and our replacement products will fill the gap. But this was not a decision about making money. It was a decision about corporate responsibility and acting like a leader. While our decision has been applauded by environmental groups, some in the industry are less than happy and have let us know. I'll just say this. If we had the choice to make again, we would do the same thing. My only regret is we didn't do it sooner. I want to transition to talk about the results from the quarter. I'm not going to spend time on the P&L; it's a good story, but I'm going to leave that to Randy. I want to focus on what we're seeing with consumers and retailers. Before I do that, I want to provide some context about consumer activity. You've heard me say many times that lawn and garden is not for the faint of heart. So before anyone gets alarmed about 1% POS going into May, I have one word for you, relax. The last month has looked like a rollercoaster around here. We've got a tough comp this week, and easy ones after that. But when all is said and done, we remain confident that we'll finish right where we predicted, somewhere in the low-single-digits. As always, May will be critical, and so will June. We are now entering the peak weeks of gardening. In fact, this weekend, which is Mother's Day, is historically the biggest weekend of the year for lawn and garden retailers. So we feel we're in a good place right now, especially considering the slow start we've had in Texas, our second largest state for total POS and most important market for fertilizer sales. While El Niño provided some drought relief to California, it's had a terrible impact on Texas, which for the second straight year is seeing record flooding. The good news for us is the heavy rainfall nearly brought our Texas business to a standstill last May, so our comps are pretty easy over the next month. And we also believe we'll have some pent-up demand that should break loose when the rain subsides. On a category basis, we're especially pleased with what we're seeing in our gardening business. Consumer purchases of soil are up 5%, and we still haven't hit the peak weeks of the gardening season. I've told you already that organic and natural products are leading the way, as we've seen tremendous interest in brands like Nature's Care, EcoScraps, and Whitney Farms. Both of the last two are craft brands being managed by the Hawthorne Group. In fact, POS for the entire Hawthorne line is up 270% from last year, off an admittedly low base. That notwithstanding, we're pleased by our craft portfolio, and also with the progress we're seeing with General Hydroponics. We don't get POS data for the GH brand, but our shipments on a year-to-date basis are up nearly 20% against a strong comp a year ago. Our Scotts Cleaner line, which we introduced last year, is up more than 65% so far this year, as we continue to get strong in-store support from our retail partners. The success we've seen with TOMCAT continues, with POS up roughly 40% on a year-to-date basis. Roundup is up more than 6% already and is coming off a solid year in 2015. In Ortho, we're down slightly from last year, with both weed and insect products off in the low-single-digits. Again, the timing could be misleading. Ortho was up on a year-to-date basis just a week ago. Mulch is down about 5%, but this too is weather-related. Shipments are up 15%, and we still have a significant portion of the season still ahead of us. Retailer support has been strong again, and we've done a much better job this year managing inventory and distribution challenges that come with this category. This has helped us avoid some of the margin challenges we've seen in mulch over the past two seasons, so hats off to our supply chain team. We've had a solid bounce-back with our grass seed business, which is up 12% so far this year. The category picked up a lot of momentum last fall, which has continued with the break of the new seasons. One area of decline worth noting is lawn fertilizers, which are off 8% so far. Headwinds from Texas have been tough to overcome, but we have an easy comp in May for Texas, and the month is an important one for fertilizer in the Midwest and Northeast, so we expect to narrow the gap for the year. So we're seeing some categories are stronger than others, but that's always the case. However, the overall level of growth across the portfolio is consistent with what we had projected. And as always, we have solid contingency plans in place that are designed to absorb any unexpected weakness. So when we look at our full-year guidance, all of us have a high degree of confidence. More importantly, all of us remain confident in our ability to deliver the year while also delivering on the future. Executing our plans will drive shareholder value, I'm convinced of it, and allow us to position our business for the next-generation of growth. I look forward to your questions in a few minutes. Right now, let me turn things over to Randy to discuss the numbers. Randy Coleman - Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer: Thank you, Jim, and good morning, everyone. I'll start by building upon Jim's remarks. The year is off to a very strong start. Our margins are in great shape, and I share his confidence in the guidance that we provided for the full year. In addition, the integration of the SLS joint venture has gotten off to a good start, the early results from the Bonnie partnership are encouraging, and the deals making their way through our M&A pipeline will give us new avenues of high growth. As it relates to our full-year guidance, my biggest concerns are things that we can't control. All of you saw the negative impact that weather had on our business last May and early June. In theory, that should make for some pretty easy comps going forward. But then again, we can't do much to control the weather. But we remain focused on the things we can control, and with keeping our consumers engaged. Given our positive start, and contingency plans we've put in place every year, I am confident we'll be fine. With that, let me jump into the quarter, admittedly a very confusing one. With the shift in our fiscal calendar, two new minority ownership positions, new reporting segments, and further changes anticipated in the second half, our financial statements are going to be pretty confusing for a while. Given that complexity, my bias is going to be to over-communicate to make sure you understand how I'm looking at the underlying performance of the business. Accordingly, I'm going to cover the numbers like this. First, I'll walk you through the P&L on an adjusted basis, just like we do every quarter. This excludes the impact of restructuring impairment and other one-timers. Next, I'll jump to adjusted numbers on a pro forma basis. This format is a new non-GAAP reporting convention for us. Our intention is to use it for the next year until we anniversary the TruGreen joint venture. It is intended to represent both historic and current results, bridging our former 100% ownership of Scotts LawnService, and our new 30% ownership of TruGreen. While there's no reference to TruGreen in this quarter's P&L, beginning next quarter you will see it in the line titled "Equity in Net Earnings of Unconsolidated Affiliates". The pro forma numbers are important, given the timing of the SLS transaction. On a purely adjusted basis, we essentially get a double benefit on the P&L in 2016. First, the accounting rules require us to exclude the losses from the first half, since SLS is now in discontinued operations. However, we will then include the benefits from our 30% ownership in the TruGreen business during the second half, when the business makes money. Since we did own SLS in the first half, however, and it reported a loss during that period, just like it does every year, I believe the pro forma format will give you a more complete understanding of the business over time. This is also the approach we used at our December Analyst Day, when we told you that we expected the SLS transaction to result in $0.10 of EPS dilution in 2016, but would be offset by share repurchase activity and a higher-than-expected gross margin rate. Finally, I'm going to cover the GAAP numbers, which are significantly higher than the adjusted and pro forma results. I'll explain the reasoning when we get there. Why three sets of numbers? Each serves its own purpose. The GAAP numbers, obviously, are required. The adjusted numbers are used on a leverage calculation with our lenders, and will once again become the primary focus for all stakeholders by this time next year. And the adjusted pro forma numbers, they remove all the noise and, therefore, we believe, provide investors with the best year-over-year assessment of the business. In the interest of brevity and clarity, I'm going to stick with primarily discussion results from the quarter. I'll touch on year-to-date results only in the context of our outlook for the full year. Before I get started, one more thing. SLS sales are excluded from everything we're discussing today, except pro forma EPS, in our new reporting segments, our U.S. Consumer and European Consumer, which are pretty self-explanatory, as well as Other, which is comprised of Hawthorne Gardening Company, Canada, and Asia-Pac. Depending on the pace of acquisitions for Hawthorne, it could become its own reporting segment by the end of Q3. Okay. Let's start with sales in the quarter, which aren't necessarily black-and-white either. Sales were $1.25 billion, up 16% from last year. Recall that our reporting convention is based on a 4-4-5 calendar. In other words, the first and second months of each quarter have four weeks, and the third month has five weeks. This convention results in a six-day shift in our calendar every six years. So in years like 2016, there are six more days in Q1 and six fewer days in Q4. Q2 and Q3 both start and end six days later than a year ago. Given the seasonal nature of our business, that shift is definitely material to our results in both Q2 and Q3. Of the $173 million improvement in company-wide Q2 sales, approximately $103 million is attributable to this shift. Last quarter, I told you we expected that number to range from $75 million to $100 million. As Jim already said, we had a great start to the season in March, which increased shipments roughly $30 million or so in the quarter. When you take out all the noise from the calendar, sales growth in the quarter would have been roughly 7%. From a segment perspective, sales in U.S. Consumer were up 16% in the quarter, European Consumer declined 3%, and Other improved by 50%. The strength in the U.S., aside from the calendar shift, was obviously due to the strong POS numbers through March. In Europe, currency in the closing of a business there led to the decline. And in Other, the results were mostly driven by acquisitions and, as Jim said, strong organic sales growth from General Hydroponics. So, on an apples-to-apples basis, sales in the quarter were on the high-end of our internal goals, driven by the strong consumer engagement through the first six months. We gave some of that benefit back in April, which I expected, and we continue to believe sales growth in the low-single-digits is an appropriate estimate for the full year. For your modeling purposes, based on what I know today, I would anticipate the calendar shift could go up $100 million in the opposite direction in Q3. Obviously, on a full-year basis, the shift has no impact at all. Let's move on to gross margin. The rate improved 220 basis points in the quarter to 41.9%. There are a lot of good stories here. The benefit from our new Roundup Agreement added 90 basis points. Improved material and distribution costs, as well as fixed cost leverage, all had a relatively equal role in the improvement. Recall that our new agreement with Monsanto added $20 million to our results in 2016, and also 2017 and 2018. That number is not spread out over the year. Given the structure of the Roundup profit sharing, the entire benefit occurs the moment we begin to make money on the business, which is typically in Q2. On a year-to-date basis, the gross margin rate is up 300 basis points, essentially twice the rate of improvement as we indicated in our full-year guidance. I've said since the outset that gross margin guidance could be conservative. But if you're sitting in my shoes, it's still too early to make that call due to several factors. Right now, our product mix is slightly negative, though we are anticipating a strong May and June for our fertilizer business given the comps from last year. But that rebound is largely dependent on what happens in Texas, which is one of the few markets that has been negatively impacted by weather all season long. If we don't have a strong balance of the year in lawn fertilizer, I would expect to see some negative impact on the margin rate. Also, as I just discussed, the benefit from Roundup on the gross margin rate will diminish over the balance of the year due to timing. Additionally, the benefit from fixed-cost leverage is expected to decrease as shipments eventually dovetail with POS. Finally, our Q4 comps and gross margin are extremely difficult, and will likely be down on a year-over-year basis. On the positive side, however, incremental pricing will have a much larger impact in the second half of the year. Given all these moving pieces, I'm keeping the guidance where it is right now with an admission that it's an area for potential upside. I want to stress that any upside on gross margin could mean downside in SG&A, so let me move there. For the quarter, SG&A is up 6%, which is in line with our internal targets and driven by SG&A from historic acquisitions, deal cost renew acquisitions, and expected increases in compensation. The tie to gross margin is an indirect one, and is related to potentially higher variable compensation expense. If we over-deliver on gross profits, those dollars flow down to the bottom line, but then get offset somewhat by higher variable compensation expense. It's a circular equation of sorts, and one that we won't have a firm handle on until late in the fourth quarter. But it's another reason to keep our adjusted EPS guidance where it is. So let's start to bring all this to the bottom line. On an adjusted basis, which excludes impairment, restructuring, and other charges, income from continuing operations was $196 million, or $3.15 per share, compared with $142 million, or $2.29 per share. Of that amount, we estimate the calendar shift had a positive impact of roughly $0.40 per share. Remember, the adjusted number treats SLS as a discontinued operation, so the loss we would normally see from the business in Q2 has been excluded. So with that, adjusted pro forma results, and these include the loss from SLS, would have been roughly $3 for the quarter. And you still have the benefit of the calendar shift. So if you include the SLS loss in the quarter and exclude the calendar shift, we would have delivered roughly $2.60 for the quarter, versus $2.06 last year. So let me describe things on pure GAAP basis, all one-timers included and SLS treated as a discontinued operation. On a company-wide basis, income attributable to controlling interest from continuing operations was $226 million, or $3.64 per share, compared with $139 million, or $2.24 per share, for the second quarter of 2015. Those results include impairment, restructuring, and other charges. In Q2, that means a benefit of approximately $50 million of reimbursements from insurance providers. You'll recall that we booked significant expenses in the second half of last year related to problems with our Bonus S product in the South. We treated the cost of repairing and replacing consumer lawns as an adjustment to earnings at that time. Our insurance providers have reimbursed us for the vast majority of the costs we incurred last year, and we still expect additional dollars from them later in this year. Just as we excluded the initial expense from our results last year, we are excluding the reimbursements this year. I know there are a lot of moving pieces here. I'll try to cover them in Q&A. We're also be participating with Jim King throughout the day on follow-up calls, so we'll try to make sure everyone is on the same page. Let me cover a few other quick items. There's no news of note on the balance sheet, but you will see that our long-term debt continues to increase, as planned. At the end of the quarter, our leverage ratio on a rolling four-quarter basis stood at 2.5 times. Given the M&A pipeline, I continue to expect December to reach 3 times by the end of the fiscal year, and up to 3.5 times in the quarters to follow. At that time, our intent is to maintain that ratio into the foreseeable future. During the quarter, we purchased roughly $43 million worth of shares, at an average price of $66.50. Our intent is to remain an active purchaser in the months ahead, and I'm targeting a total repurchase amount of roughly $100 million to $125 million by the end of the fiscal year. I'll wrap things up by coming full circle. I'm pleased with the results we're seeing so far this year, and feel extremely confident in our guidance. But we told you back in December, our real focus would be Project Focus, which is all about putting the company on the right trajectory for the next several years. On both fronts, I'm pleased with what I'm seeing, and confident we're taking the right steps to drive shareholder value. So with that, let's open up the call and address your questions. Thank you.