Operator
Operator
Good day, everyone, and welcome to the 2016 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Jim King. Please go ahead, sir. Jim King - Senior Vice President, Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs & Chief Communications Officer: Thanks, Shannon. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Scotts Miracle-Gro first quarter conference call. With me this morning in Marysville, Ohio is our Chairman and CEO, Jim Hagedorn, and our CFO, Randy Coleman. Joining by phone from the West Coast is Mike Lukemire, our Chief Operating Officer. In a moment, Jim and Randy will share some prepared remarks. Afterward, we'll open the call for your questions. In the interest of time, we ask that you keep to one question and to one follow-up. I've already scheduled time with many of you later in the day to fill on any gaps that we have and anybody else who wants to set up some Q&A time can call me directly at 937-578-5622. One bit of housekeeping before we start. I want to let everybody know that Randy and I will be presenting at the Raymond James Conference in Orlando on March 9. We also have set aside a day and a half for one-on-one meetings at this event. The presentation itself will be webcast. And so, we'll provide more detail when we get closer to the date. With that, let's move on to today's call. As always, we expect to make forward-looking statements this morning. So I want to caution everyone that our actual results could differ materially from what we say. Investors should familiarize themselves to the full range of risk factors that could impact our results. Those are filed on our Form 10-K which is filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. I also want to remind everyone that today's call is being recorded and an archived version of the call will be available on our website. With that, let's get things started, and I'll turn things over to Jim Hagedorn. James Hagedorn - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer: Thanks, Jim. Good morning, everyone. Just before I get going, we got some money on the table here. So I'm getting over a pretty wicked cold, so I asked Randy if he'd lead the Q&A. So, don't direct questions to me, direct them at Mike and Randy. Nobody believes me here that I could actually take a backseat role during the Q&A, but we're going to prove them wrong, right? I'll split the money with you guys. Jim King - Senior Vice President, Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs & Chief Communications Officer: There's $1 on the table, by the way. James Hagedorn - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer: Hey, listen, that's better than best man. Anyhow, so just heads-up. The first quarter usually doesn't make a lot of headlines for us, and I want to be careful I don't overstate things this morning because Q1 results are less than 10% of our full-year results. But, clearly, the quarter was strong, putting us in good footing as we get ready for the season. But more than just our Q1 results, I'm most encouraged when I step back and look at the big picture. Not only are we poised to have another solid year in 2016, but we're taking the right steps to position this business for the long term. In terms of our 2016 outlook, the team is excited about the prospects for the season. Weather has been favorable so far, and the days are already getting longer. So, spring is right around the corner. And as I'll explain in a bit, the macro economy continues to be our friend, and our retail partners are clearly committed to our category and our brands as they prepare for the spring. In terms of the long-term outlook, whether it's been our board, our associates, our retail partners, our vendors, or many of you listening today, the feedback we've been getting regarding Project Focus has been extremely positive. We're convinced this is the right plan at the right time, and we're executing against it with energy and enthusiasm. As you saw from the press release, we took the next step in executing Project Focus with our minority investment in Bonnie Plants. I'll elaborate on Bonnie later and tell you why I think it offers us such great potential. I'll also fill you in on the status some of the other strategic initiatives that are underway. For now, let me spend a few minutes talking about the results we announced this morning. I'll let Randy cover the P&L. I want to start with consumer purchases, up 14% with double-digit increases at each of our major retail partners. You recall that our lawn business, that is grass seed and fertilizer was down 8% in 2015. Once the fall lawn care season broke, we saw a high level of consumer and retailer engagement. Consumer purchases were up 13% with most of that activity occurring earlier in the quarter when consumers were still actively engaged. But it wasn't just lawn care that did well; soils were up 12%, mulch up 8%, outdoor insect up 12%, indoor insect up 10%, Roundup was up a solid 7%. In our rodent business, which is the Tomcat brand, was up 38% in the quarter. Unlike the rest of our portfolio, Q1 is a critical time for Tomcat. Since we acquired this business two years ago, consumer purchases are up more than 50%. Our Dead Mouse Theatre advertising campaign has caught the attention of both consumers and the advertising industries. We continue to receive more awards and recognition for the effectiveness of this unusual campaign. At Hawthorne Gardening, we're aided by the acquisition of General Hydroponics, which we made last April. Beyond the impact of the acquired growth, GH sales in Q1 on a pro forma basis were up 40%. So this business continues to exceed our initial expectations. And Europe had a solid quarter, too. All of this led to a 14% increase in sales within the Global Consumer segment. And our gross margin rate on a company-wide basis was up almost 600 basis points. Yes, it's early and the numbers are kind of small. But this is a great way to start the year. Clearly, we're well positioned as the season starts to unfold. Let me transition to talk about the macro environment for a moment, as well as our 2016 plans. I appreciate that our shares have been pretty volatile lately, but so is the overall market. But I want to repeat some of the same comments I made during our Q1 call last year. In short, the macro economy is our friend right now. For us, oil is a tailwind. We had already assumed about $10 million benefit from fuel savings this year and that number probably has some upside these days, both in terms of cost of goods, but in the top line as well. History has shown that discretionary income is critical to our consumers, especially those who shop at mass retail. So, gas prices below $2 a gallon should help us as well. Last year, investors were worried about currency issues, which didn't impact us that much in 2015 and should impact us even less this year. Since the focus is now on China, the story is even better when comparing Scotts to other CPG companies. A slowing market in China has almost zero direct impact on our business. Another macro tailwind is that retailer support for the U.S. or in the U.S. remains extremely strong for us. The top-to-top meetings we've been having, many within the last two weeks, give us even more confidence that our retail partners continue to see lawn and garden as a destination category for them. And continuously our brand is helping them drive the foot traffic that they need to be successful. I've been in this business far too long to start making promises this early in the season. Weather has been a headwind in some shape or form over the last several years. So, for all we know, we could be shoveling snow in May, but absent factors that are beyond our control, I'm extremely optimistic of the way that the season is setting up. As we prepare for spring, we've been especially focused on building inventory and starting to activate our marketing and sales plans. Randy will provide the details, but our inventory levels are deliberately higher right now as we work to get ahead of the season. Frankly, this is an area we could have done better in each of the past two years. With strong early season demand for our soil and mulch products, we found ourselves having to ship further than we planned. While we never missed a shipment, our commitment to customer service cut into our margins. To prevent this from happening again, we've decided to build our inventory earlier this year, though I've challenged the team to improve on this area going forward. On the marketing side, you should begin to see some of our new advertising in the weeks to come. We'll have an entirely new creative approach for our lawn fertilizer and our Roundup businesses. We've improved our product offerings this year in our lawn fertilizer business as well. Our weed and feed product is 40% more effective based on new granulation technology and that's using the same active ingredient applied at the same levels. In our gardening business, we're extremely well positioned for the second full year of Nature's Care in the marketplace. We've expanded our marketing approach to help consumers better understand the difference in product quality and efficacy between Nature's Care and other competitive organic products on the market. And our sales and promotional support will be even greater. As you heard us say at length in December, the organic space is one we're extremely focused. We remain committed to converting the majority of our gardening business to organic. But we'll do so without asking the gardeners to sacrifice product quality or performance. We also told you in December we wanted to have a direct interest in the live goods space. And that brings me to the investment in Bonnie Plants that we made this week. While it's a minority investment, the deal is structured in a way that gives us the ability to increase our ownership over time. The entire team here, as well as the Bonnie team is excited about this opportunity. Those of you who followed us for a while know that we've experimented with our own brands in live goods on several occasions, but we're never able to build the momentum that we wanted. This deal with Bonnie is far different. Bonnie has the leading brand in the segment of live goods that we like the most, edible gardening. And Bonnie has the leading share, by far, of the edible gardening category. So the opportunity for growth is both real and significant. The growth rate in edible gardening has been in the mid to high-single digits over the past five years. It's also a space that's extremely popular with millennials. But we're convinced we can further accelerate the growth and popularity of edible gardening. Most gardeners don't know the difference between a big boy, a better boy, or a roma tomato, and, yes, those are all real varieties of tomatoes. But our consumers would like to know which of those is best in a sandwich, in a salad or in spaghetti sauce. They want more help understanding what plants to put in their garden versus a clay pot on their patio or their balcony. That's where we believe that our expertise in sales and marketing coupled with Bonnie's expertise as growers makes for a very exciting combination. We believe we can help change the conversation in gardening and make it more accessible to more people and we can make it fun. There are real similarities between what we did with Tomcat and the opportunity that exists in live goods. Tomcat was already a great product just like Bonnie. We applied our expertise as marketers in new and creative ways that resulted in increased demand and improved retailer support. That cycle keeps feeding on itself which has led to the POS increases that I mentioned earlier. As for live goods, we think we can do the same. That's why some of our most talented marketing people will be dedicated to the Bonnie business. In addition to helping grow the Bonnie business, we believe this partnership can help us grow our own business, too. Working with Bonnie, we can do a much better job of cross promoting and cross merchandising in retail stores. Part of our goal is to help gardeners understand they can greatly enhance their success if they start by using the right soil, soil amendments, or plant food. If we're successful, that obviously helps our Miracle-Gro business too. Listen, I can go on. But probably the best way to get the point across is to sponsor some store walks later in the season. So expect to hear from Jim King in the weeks ahead and we'll work to get some of those put in place. The Bonnie partnership is an important part of Project Focus and that's why we spent so much time talking about live goods with you back in December. But as you know, there are other elements to that plan as well. We continue to make good progress on the JV between Scotts LawnService and TruGreen. The integration plans are moving forward as we expected, and both sides are targeting a closing later this month. Obviously, the goal for both businesses is to move forward with as little disruption as possible so that we can start the season with a strong customer count and execution plan. We also continue to explore opportunities that would expand our product offering in hydroponics, getting us closer to our goal of offering a full range of products, just like we do in the core business, to consumers and retailers in this space. It might even be possible to have further news related to our hydroponics portfolio by the time we announce our Q2 results. As for the other major elements of our plan, opportunities to improve our operations in Europe, we continue to make progress. We told you in December that we're exploring potential partnership opportunities and those discussions continue to go well. We'll provide updates where we can, but I wouldn't expect any big news for Europe until the second half of the year. So, before I turn things over to Randy, I'm going to touch on another recurring theme. At the risk of sounding like a broken record, I want to congratulate my team for the progress we're making. Fiscal 2016 will mark the first plan that this team is solely responsible for building and then executing. The plan for this season is outstanding and the execution, so far, has been equally good. This team is also responsible for helping to architect, Project Focus. And I've already stated repeatedly how I feel about that plan. I'm seriously enjoying my work and I think every member of my team would say the same thing. But it's not just about having fun, it's about winning. We're confident our plans will strengthen Scotts Miracle-Gro in both the near and long term. And we're confident we'll do so while driving shareholder value. With that, let me turn things over to Randy. Randy Coleman - Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer: Thank you, Jim, and good morning, everyone. My comments will be fairly brief today as Q1 is a pretty small quarter for us. Looking at the results in our P&L, everything is either in line with what we expected or slightly better, as was the case with the gross margin rate. Before I go further, it's worth reminding everyone that Q1 results are easily skewed on a percentage basis. For example, the six extra days in the quarter alone accounted for a 7% increase in sales from last year, but the dollars at play, $15 million, would be less than a half days' worth of sales once we get to the end of the second quarter. So I would urge everyone to focus on the absolute dollar changes and not the percentages. Let me also point out that our POS growth numbers cited earlier by Jim are on an apples-to-apples basis and were adjusted for the extra days in the quarter. Still, I agree with Jim's assessment that this Q1 had a different feel than most. The warm fall weather kept both consumers and retailers engaged and we wound up having slightly better top-line results than we expected. Sales in the quarter were $246 million compared with $216 million last year. Setting aside the fiscal calendar impact, roughly one-third of the increase was due to improved unit volume and the rest from acquisitions. Pricing had no impact as our price increases didn't take effect until January as is the norm in lawn and garden. Gross margin of 580 basis points is another good story and one that could have actually been better. Lower fuel prices at the end of the quarter resulted in a mark-to-market adjustment of roughly $4 million. Obviously, we don't plan our budget for those adjustments, or we wouldn't be hedging our fuel. However, the adjustment in Q1 a year ago was $8 million. So we actually saw improved gross margins from a smaller unfavorable mark on our fuel hedges. Improved distribution costs also provide a significant boost to the gross margin rate as did favorable product mix. That mix is not just within the core product portfolio as we also benefited from acquired growth. As Jim said, General Hydroponics had a strong quarter, and the margin on this business is accretive during Q1. Finally, fixed cost leverage, mostly from warehousing also helped the gross margin rate in the quarter. Moving on to SG&A, the $139 million in Q1 compares to $127 million a year ago. Higher sales, marketing, incentives expense from Scotts LawnService, SG&A from newly acquired businesses; the timing of expenses in the U.S. core business; as well as planned increases in areas like associated compensation also impacted the number. The company-wide adjusted operating loss in the quarter was $107 million versus $106 million last year. In the Global Consumer segment, the operating loss was $63 million, a 15% improvement from $74 million last year. And SOS reported an operating profit of $500,000 compared to $1.5 million last year. Again, no real news below the operating line. As expected, interest was at nearly $7 million to $16 million as a result of higher borrowings from acquisitions. The tax rate was 35.5% and the share count was 61.5 million. So that gets you to an adjusted loss in the quarter from controlling interest and continuing operations of $69 million, or $1.13 per share. That's essentially flat with last year. Currency was the non-issue for us in the quarter and we expect it to only impact us by a couple pennies per share on a full-year basis. On a GAAP basis, the loss in Q1 was $81 million or $1.32 per share, compared with a loss of $75 million or $1.23 per share last year. Remember, this year's numbers will include reimbursements we received from insurance providers related to last year's Bonus S consumer claims. This was not a big issue in Q1, but it will become more pronounced as the year progresses. The GAAP numbers also include deal cost related to the JV with SLS and TruGreen, as well as our ongoing efforts to potentially reconfigure our European business. Speaking of SLS, I want to remind everyone that our P&L will look much different in Q2. Assuming that SLS deal is completed during the quarter, that reporting segment will disappear. At that point, the income we received from TruGreen, based on our 30% ownership in the business, will flow through the other income line. In addition to the movement related to SLS, we'll have the addition of Bonnie in Q2. But the biggest impact in the quarter will be related to our fiscal calendar. As I said earlier, because of our accounting convention, we picked up six days in Q1. This calendar reset happens every six years for us. The days added to Q1 are subtracted from Q4, so there's no impact to the full year. However, our quarterly splits could create some confusion, so let me provide some clarity on what to expect from here. The biggest impact from the shift will be in Q2. We'll have the same number of days as last year, but the calendar shift means our Q2 close will be six days later than last year. That shift alone could add $75 million to $100 million to Q2 sales. At this point, I can't tell you the exact impact on gross margin because it will be impacted by product mix. In terms of SG&A growth, it should track sales growth. The third quarter shift picks up the first weekend of July. Since those days are much lighter than the days lost at the beginning of the quarter, the calendar shift will be a negative in Q3. The shift will be an obvious headwind in Q4 since we'll have six fewer days. Let me quickly touch on the balance sheet and fill in the gaps around some of Jim's comments. As you can see, inventory is up $76 million compared to last year for the reasons Jim discussed. But assuming the season comes together as planned, we expect year ending inventory to be fairly flat on a year-over-year basis, so it should be neutral to full-year working capital. You also see that long-term debt is up $385 million due to acquisitions, taking our leverage ratio to 2.8 times based on a four-quarter average. When you include the $72 million associated with the Bonnie transaction, as well as the likely impact from some of the other deals that we are pursuing, total debt could increase another $250 million to $300 million this year. But it would still keep us below our internal goal of less than 3.5 times leverage. As we stated several times now, we're comfortable living at those levels. Once we complete the acquisitions we're pursuing, probably later this year, then our focus on uses of cash will shift toward returning it to shareholders. We're already doing some of that with an active repurchase program now underway. We expect to repurchase roughly $50 million of shares this quarter. At the end of the day, all these moving parts don't affect the real story, that our business is doing extremely well right now. And the moving pieces have no impact on how we're doing our full-year guidance, which we are reaffirming again today. We still see sales growth of 4% to 5%, and gross margin rate improvement of 125 basis points to 175 basis points. Recall that in December we increased the range of our expected gross margin rate improvement by 25 basis points to reflect an improved commodity outlook. As both fuel and resin prices continue to improve, the potential benefit from that, though small given the fact that the vast majority of our cost are now locked for the year, gives me an even higher level of confidence in this range. As I said earlier, SG&A growth is expected to be in line with sales growth and we're guiding to adjusted EPS of $3.75 to $3.95 compared with $3.53 last year. Operating cash flow should fall in the range of $275 million to $300 million, driven by the growth of the business and the benefit of reimbursements from our insurance providers related to Bonus S. I'll close by reiterating Jim's comments about our preparedness for the upcoming season. Our planning for this season was as smooth as it has been a long time and so far, our execution has been equally smooth. We are well-positioned going into the season and we really like the macro economic landscape right now. So I'll conclude simply by stretching my confidence in our outlook, and by telling you that I expect 2016 to be a record year for us. Let's open up the call now and we'll take your questions. Thank you.