Albert L. Lord
Analyst · Barclays Capital
Thanks, Steve, and good morning to all of you. I appreciate the opportunity to -- I think there are some 140-plus on the call -- the opportunity to speak with you and appreciate your interest in the company. So I will have a few -- I have a few brief comments on the fourth quarter and I'm going to talk to you a little bit about the full year '11 and our look at 2012. I'm sure you've all seen at this point that we earned $0.51 in the quarter. The onetime items -- the repeating onetime items added slightly more than they subtracted, but by and large, $0.51 is a pretty good number. The quarter came out very much as we expected it, although I do want to point out that the Congress, in some legislation during the quarter, gave us the option to earn our FFELP income based on 30-day LIBOR. There won't be much earnings effect from that, certainly not after the first quarter, but the real value of that legislation for our shareholders is that it removes the volatility from our 20-year FFELP earnings stream. Jon Clark will talk in more detail about our fourth quarter earnings components. Let me talk to you a little bit about 2011 and 2012. I'm actually quite pleased with the year 2011 and our performance. As you're probably well aware, I'm not particularly pleased with the way the share price has reacted. I think the official numbers were that we were up some 8% on the year, but the fact is that stock is still quite a bargain. We earned $1.83, which is better than we expected going into the year. This is our first full year as a new business, if you will. It's the first year without any FFELP origination income, and that earned us some $300 million in 2010. So we've begun our new life as a private lender, and it was a good year. Our volume was up in private lending for the first time since 2007. These are highly unofficial numbers, but we think our market share is approaching 50%. During the year, we got help from just the low absolute rates of interest rates, which helped our floor income. We also had some very favorable financings and refinancings during the course of the year, which has helped reduce our cost of funds in some areas. We, of course, reduced our share count during the year and are obviously reducing the denominator, and we bought some debt and had some gains in there. Also in the year 2011, we continue to reduce our operating costs and have gotten ourselves to a more sustainable OpEx level given our new business. I'm projecting a stronger 2012. I'll throw this in that I and I think my associates remain wary about the economy, but we expect to earn $2 nonetheless. We also expect to originate $3.2 billion of private credit, which is going to be a stretch, but the private credit business is evolving into a very nice business for Sallie Mae. We're looking at a business that has 750 FICO scores, 90% plus cosigner rates and less than a 6% life of loan loss rate. 2012, we expect the income to be relatively flat with our growth businesses offsetting the declines in fee income from FFELP businesses. Our operating expenses in '12 will be roughly $100 million below where they were in 2011. We are still tightly managing those costs. There will be less, fewer aggregate cost cuts in 2012 than there were in '11, but there'll be -- continue to be a changing mix in those costs as we try to take out FFELP fixed costs and replace that with spending in our growth businesses. Credit quality continues to improve, although certainly not as we would have expected several years ago as the economy remains slow. Our provision and charge-offs in 2012 will be likely to roughly match one another, and we'll continue to do so, so long as the economy remains under pressure. But like our operating expenses, now we expect both the charge-offs and provision to be under $1 billion in 2012. 2012 earnings, therefore, will benefit from better asset quality but not from -- not as a consequence of us bringing reserves back into earnings. Of course, some -- at some point, we will be reappraising our reserves and the adequacy of them but not with the economic uncertainty that we continue to see. We left the year 2011 with a very strong balance sheet. Our GAAP capital reached $5.3 billion, which is very close to a high watermark for that number. GAAP capital understates our actual economic capital, which is calculated as our earnings, reached some $7 billion. We left the year with a loan loss reserve of $2.2 billion. Together, reserves and capital equate to some 24% of our risk assets, risk assets which each year become less risky. These are, I believe, remarkable coverage. We've built a fortress balance sheet here, and I would reiterate that I don't believe the word fortress is an overstatement. Of course, such a balance sheet is appropriate to the times in which we find ourselves. Management remains frustrated but determined about increasing improving its debt rating. We will sustain current balance sheet strength. In 2011 also, we returned capital to shareholders. We reintroduced the dividend. It was something slightly in excess of 20% of our earnings. We also used $300 million of those earnings to buy about 5% of our shares outstanding. As I have indicated in previous remarks, that we will update both those numbers this quarter. Let me just wrap up with a final word on the increased media attention that private student lending is getting. And I'm -- and I so -- I often see that -- the term student loan bubble and frankly, asked about it from time to time. I suppose the term student loan bubble is a headline grabber. I -- and I'll tell you, I do not see it on the private side of student lending. We believe we are the largest private lender, and our principal competitors are companies like Wells Fargo and Discover and JPMorgan Chase. These are seasoned professional lenders. Sallie Mae has been in this business for 40 years. We believe we're pretty good at, and in fact, we like to think ourselves to some extent as the authors of responsible lending. We are well aware that defaulted loans hurt 2 parties. They surely don't help the lender, and they don't help the borrower. I'd also remind our constituents of a few basic facts, that each year, some $110 billion of student loans are made. 91% of those are made by the government and are not underwritten. Of that $110 billion, some $2.7 billion are made by -- were made by Sallie Mae in the year 2011, every dime of which was underwritten to a less than 6% loss rate. 95% of those loans were cosigned and had something on the order of 750 FICO scores. And then as another measure, we direct each of those borrowers to the non-underwritten federal program first before they borrow from us. We actually feel quite proud of the lending that we do. We're proud of our 40 years in this business, and we are quite proud of our 2011 achievements. At this point, I'm going to turn it over to Jon.