Operator
Operator
Good morning and welcome to SiriusXM's Third Quarter 2015 Results Earnings Call. Today's conference is being recorded. A question-and-answer session will be conducted following the presentation. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Hooper Stevens, Vice President, Investor Relations and Finance. Mr. Stevens, please go ahead. Hooper Stevens - Vice President, Investor Relations & Finance, Sirius XM Holdings, Inc.: Thank you and good morning, everyone. Welcome to SiriusXM's earnings conference call. Today, Jim Meyer, our Chief Executive Officer, will be joined by David Frear, our Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. At the conclusion of our prepared remarks, management will be glad to take your questions. Scott Greenstein, our President and Chief Content Officer will also be available for the Q&A portion of the call. First, I would like to remind everyone that certain statements made during the call might be forward-looking statements as the term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These and all forward-looking statements are based on management's current beliefs and expectations and necessarily depend upon assumptions, data or methods that may be incorrect or imprecise. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. For more information about those risks and uncertainties, please view SiriusXM's SEC filings. We advise listeners not to rely unduly on forward-looking statements and disclaim any intent or obligation to update them. As we begin, I would like to advise our listeners that today's results will include discussions about both actual results and adjusted results. All discussions of adjusted operating results exclude the effects of stock-based compensation. I will now hand the call over to Jim. James E. Meyer - Chief Executive Officer & Director: Good morning. We had an extremely strong third quarter. We are increasing our full year subscriber guidance for the third time this year and also increasing our revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance on the back of another great quarter. Here at SiriusXM, we remain incredibly focused on what we do best. We simply make great radio. A diverse offering of highly valuable news, talk and spo5rts content combined with curated commercial free music, radio that's worth paying for. And by the look of our subscriber growth, many, many Americans agree. We added 381,000 net self-pay subscribers, taking the self-pay base to a record high of 23.8 million. So far this year we've grown self-pat subscribers by 1.3 million, almost as much as we did in 2014 during the entire year. And boosted by strong new car sales, we added 525,000 total net subscriber additions, pushing the paid subscriber base to a record high of approximately 29 million. While first half auto sales were quite good, the third quarter was exceptional. SAAR in the third quarter was $17.7 million, up 6% from last year's $16.7 million and up from $17.1 million in the second quarter. The September rate of $18.1 million was even higher. Time will tell how long this pace of sales can be maintained. Our penetration rate reached a record of about 75%, up nearly 4 points from the third quarter of 2014, resulting from gains at virtually all of our OEMs. This is a strong indicator that satellite radio is a must have feature for most cars sold in the United States. As we mentioned on our last call, we see long term penetration rates settling around the current level, which is up from our previous expectation of around 70%. The strong sales numbers this year combined with our growing penetration rate and new cars produced increased trial starts and conversion opportunities. And, here too, we've done a good job. Our new car conversion rate was 41% in the quarter. And, I think, maintaining this in the low 40%s is exceptional because the rising penetration rate means our radios are being deployed in an increasing number of lower-priced models interim packages. Our long history of steadily growing new car penetration has led to a sizable satellite radio-enabled fleet of today approximately 79 million vehicles or about 33% of the total vehicles in operation in the United States. We continue to see this growing by a couple percentage points a year for the next decade. And the SXM-enabled fleet should eventually approach a massive 180 million. This also means the fastest growth in our radio distribution will happen in the previously owned segment. This segment produced exceptional growth during the quarter. Approximately 18,000 dealers now offer three-month trials of SiriusXM to all of their used car buyers who acquire an enabled vehicle. Also, improving our marketing efforts, over 8,000 of these dealerships run our Service Lane Program. This program lets us selectively offer trials and obtain ownership information when car owners get their cars serviced at participating dealers. With the conversion rates steady in the low 30%s and more conversion opportunities than ever before, we produced our highest ever quarter of used car additions. So far, most of our effort in the pre-own market has been focused on offering trials via dealerships, but there are still many new areas for us to explore. For instance, nearly everyone insures their vehicle and the majority of car purchases are financed. During the quarter, we signed an agreement with a major insurer to pursue co-marketing of SiriusXM subscriptions to previously owned cars. Stay tuned for more about this exciting program and other efforts we are making in this area. The previously owned segment is an incredibly significant long-term opportunity for us, which we will capitalize on. So, with subscribers up 8%, strong growth in advertising, and other revenue streams, we grew revenue double digits to a record $1.17 billion for the quarter. On the expense side, I feel we did a particularly fine job considering both the additional SAC to accommodate higher auto installations, and the absorption of new pre-1972 music royalty expenses. Excluding these, our cash operating expenses were up just 3%. Fixed expenses actually declined 1% during the quarter. The combination of double-digit revenue growth and tight management of expenses produced expansive growth in adjusted EBITDA to $447 million, an increase of 17% year-over-year. But even more notable for me, was the EBITDA margin of 38.2%, up almost 220 basis points from last year's third quarter, and easily the highest single quarter margin in our company's history. We've long said that business models matter and we have one of the best models in media today. Just as we told you years ago, we are moving steadily towards 40% plus adjusted EBITDA margins. SiriusXM's powerful and scalable model has become the envy of our competitors and other media companies. With de minimis cash taxes and CapEx of only $30 million in the quarter, the bulk of this adjusted EBITDA flowed into our free cash flow, where we produced $369 million, up 38% year-over-year. One key reason we attract so many paying subscribers and the reason we're able boost about these financial results rest heavily on our outstanding content. It's our mission to deliver to subscribers the best line-up of audio entertainment available anywhere. Our original, exclusive, and easy to access programming are our hallmark and differentiate us from almost everyone else. And our focus on programming excellence was demonstrated again this quarter. We renewed our longstanding agreements with the NFL and NHL. We can bring live sports to subscribers in the car or wherever they have internet access and surround it with exclusive expert and very often news making sports talk programming. SiriusXM provided wall-to-wall coverage when Pope Francis made his historic visit to the U.S. Re-branding our Catholic Channel as Pope Radio, I kind of liked that one. We've gotten an early start doing much the same for the 2016 election with half a dozen channels dissecting the news and broadcasting headline making interviews and conversations with top candidates. We are making our bundle of great programming bigger and even better. This quarter, we successfully launched FOX News Headlines 24/7, an exclusive new channel that gives busy listeners an entire update on news, business, sports, weather and even social media in less than 15 minutes, anytime day or night. This is the first time this format has ever been created for national radio. We also launched another fulltime talk channel, Andy Cohen's Radio Andy featuring Andy himself as well as an assortment of his talented friends. We also enhanced our already strong comedy offering with the launch of SiriusXM Comedy Greats, our eighth channel devoted entirely to comedy. Live and exclusive music performances are important for our fans and SiriusXM took our subscribers to America's top music festivals all year long. Just this quarter, we broadcast from Austin City limits and Lollapalooza and we held exclusive Town Halls and interviews with music's biggest stars including Don Henley, Keith Richards, and U2. We have also led the way in creating innovative new radio formats by adding several new fulltime music channels such as Velvet and FLY as well as special pop-up music channels like Yacht Rock and Road Trip Radio!. These expertly curated channels address the evolving case of our subscriber base and satisfy the next generation of core subscribers. The one question many of you ask me about frequently is Howard Stern and whether he will be staying with the service in the coming years. We certainly hope so. Most of you would agree that his show has never been bigger or better. You should assume we speak quite often and stay tuned for updates. And of course, the best way to hear any news regarding his renewal is to turn into Howard's show every morning, heck, that's what I do. Since 2008, our programming costs have fallen by about a third, even as our revenue has nearly doubled. That reflects the power and efficiency of merging Sirius and XM, but those pre-merger contracts have all been renegotiated. And as we've said a couple of times, we do expect programming costs to begin rising next year. We still have a great position as the destination for premium nationwide audio content and this is not going to change. We will continue to invest more in content to further our programming leadership. In addition to our focus on new programming, we are also growing our connected vehicle service business and investing in the next-generation of SiriusXM designed for the connected car. In CV services, I'm thrilled that we signed a new and expanded long-term agreement to be the telematics provider to Toyota. We look forward to delivering new and enhanced services and higher penetration rates for Toyota with our platform over the many coming years. You should expect to see more announcements with additional automakers this year, as we solidify our position as the leading provider of connected vehicle services. We are also investing significant resources in our program called SXM 17. I am very excited about this platform, which I've told you before will marry two-way mobile connectivity with our satellite broadcast platform. Our team is pushing ahead rapidly and we look forward to reaping major benefits of two-way connectivity for our business and for our subscribers. As I've said, we plan on detailing more about this platform next year. We also have a vision to enhance the value of our spectrum and this should be a very significant long-term value driver for our shareholders. Today, we are well into migrating all of our OEMs on to a single chipset technology and we are developing flexible wideband chipsets for deployment in cars towards the end of this decade. This technology could allow us to add up to 400 new audio channels, deploy video services or use that spectrum to make it easier for autonomous or self-driving vehicles to operate in harmony or some combination of these and other applications. The bottom-line is that we are taking significant steps now to ensure that our technology remains relevant and to maximize the long-term value of our network, our technology, and our spectrum. In August, our Board of Directors authorized an additional $2 billion of share repurchases, taking our total authorization to a massive $8 billion. We have used the growing free cash flow, I talked about earlier, to return an excess of $0.5 billion of capital to our shareholders for the sixth quarter in a row. Last week, we passed a cumulative total of $6 billion in buybacks, since we began repurchasing stock in early 2013. Put in other terms, we have removed 1.7 billion shares from circulation. The effect on our free cash flow per share, which we think drives the ultimate value of our company is remarkable. During the first nine months of 2012, before the capital return program began, we generated $6.4 per diluted share of free cash flow. During the first nine months of 2015 just three years later, we have delivered free cash flow of $18.5 per diluted share, an incredible increase of 188% in just three years. The growth and underlying cash flow, massive share shrink and the resulting huge growth and free cash flow per share is an astounding accomplishment, especially given that we've done it while maintaining extremely reasonable leverage of just 3.3 times. The players sometime change, but the game for SiriusXM remains the same. Terrestrial radio remains our biggest competitor, but it's languishing today with no growth. While, Internet radio continues to grow, I feel that growth is slowing and profitability remains a distant dream. We, at SiriusXM will keep marching to the beat of our own drum. We have a plan to grow our subscribers and revenue, continue scaling our margins and generate more free cash flow, which we will use in a very focused way to benefit our shareholders. We always look for opportunities to invest inside and outside of our business and I remain committed to do that today. With that, I'll hand it over to David. David J. Frear - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Thanks, Jim. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for participating. Our third quarter results continued along the strong trajectory started in the first half of the year. Revenue grew 11%, adjusted EBITDA grew 17%, free cash flow 38% and free cash flow per share grew a whopping 54%. We feel this is just extraordinary performance. We're also pleased by the strength of our subscriber performance. In the third quarter, we added 525,000 net new subscribers, 21% growth over the third quarter of last year, bringing us within a stone's throw of 29 million paid subscribers. Self-pay net subscriber additions in the quarter were 381,000, in line with last year, and taking us close to 24 million self-paying subscribers. Both new and used car trial starts set records in the third quarter. New car trial starts were up nearly 15% on the higher sales volume in the auto industry as well as the higher penetration rate that we achieved. And third quarter trial starts in the previously owned segment were up 24%. Both of these figures bode extremely well for future subscriber growth. Churn was 1.9% in the quarter, unchanged from the prior year's quarter and consistent with the range of 1.8% to 2%, we've seen as a long-term trend. We did battle a regulatory headwind in the quarter. In July, the FCC issued new rules, effective, believe it or not, the day they were issued governing outbound telemarketing calls to cell phones. For us and many other companies in the direct marketing business this meant a temporary cessation of calling efforts while we and our vendors ensured that our calling complied with the new regulations. We are increasing our subscriber guidance for the third time this year. Our new guidance for net additions of approximately $2 million is up nearly two-thirds from our original guidance of $1.2 million. We expect more than $1.6 million of these $2 million net ads to be self-pay subscribers with between 300,000 and 400,000 of the additional net ads coming from expansion in pay trial inventories driven by the higher auto sales and higher production penetration. With auto sales running at $17.7 million during the quarter and our penetration rate of approximately 75%, we have a record high $8.3 million OEM trials in the funnel. We have consistent self-pay churn and we exited the third quarter in a great position to achieve our increased subscriber guidance. With a little bit of a tailwind here we have a shot at delivering sub growth that is equal to or greater than any other year we had since the merger of Sirius and XM. Third quarter revenue up above 1% to $1.17 billion and we are taking up our full year revenue guidance to approximately $4.53 billion. Once again advertising outperformed overall revenue growth in the radio ad market and I'd have to say outperformed is an understatement. We had a gain of 31% in the quarter and we could not be more pleased with the efforts of our ad sales team. Contribution margin declined 30 basis points to 70.8% as higher royalty rates were partially offset by lower customer service and billing expenses. We continue to expect the contribution margin in the neighborhood of 70% going forward. SAC per install improved by 3% to $34, while overall SAC costs were up 11% on the higher installation volumes. Overall fixed costs declined by nearly 1% on savings and G&A, insurance recoveries and our general tight expense management. All this produced an adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 220 basis points bringing EBITDA margin to 38.2%, a record high for the company. Seven of our nine cash expense line items improved as a percentage of revenue over last year. In eighth SAC was up only 4 basis points despite strong auto sales and record high production penetration and that leaves just one, revenue share and royalties as the sole line item that increased as a percentage of revenues. We add it all up in adjusted EBITDA of $447 million in the quarter was our best ever. It's up $66 million after absorbing $13 million of increased SAC, which will obviously benefit subscriber growth in the future. Based on this strength, we're taking up our full year EBITDA guidance up $30 million to approximately $1.65 billion. In the quarter, we converted 82% of our adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow totaling $369 million, up 38%. We continue to feel comfortable with our current guidance of approximately $1.3 billion. In the last 12 months, we've repurchased over 601 million shares, roughly 10% of our stock. Combine that with 38% growth in free cash flow and you drive free cash flow per share up by 54%. Since we started the capital return program, we've repurchased more than 1.7 billion shares at an average price of $3.51. Total debt now stands at $5.4 billion with no maturities until 2020, leverage is still at 3.3 times trailing EBITDA. We have lots of liquidity ending the quarter with $153 million in cash and nearly $1.5 billion available balance on our revolver, we feel very good about the momentum of our business. So, operator, let's open it up for questions.