Operator
Operator
Good morning and welcome to the SiriusXM Full Year and Fourth Quarter 2015 Results Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. A question-and-answer session will be conducted following the presentation. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Mr. Hooper Stevens, Vice President, Investor Relations and Finance. Mr. Stevens, please go ahead. Hooper Stevens - Vice President, Investor Relations & Finance, Sirius XM Radio Inc.: Thank you, Chris, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to SiriusXM's earnings conference call. Today, Jim Meyer, our Chief Executive Officer, will be joined by David Frear, our Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. At the conclusion of our prepared remarks, management will be glad to take your questions. Scott Greenstein, our President and Chief Content Officer, will also be available for the Q&A portion of the call. First, I would like to remind everyone that certain statements made during the call may be forward-looking statements as the term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These and all forward-looking statements are based on management's current beliefs and expectations and necessarily depend upon assumptions, data, or methods that may be incorrect or imprecise. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. For more information about those risks and uncertainties, please use SiriusXM's SEC filings. We advise listeners not to rely unduly on forward-looking statements and disclaim any intent or obligation to update them. As we begin, I would like to advise our listeners that today's results will include discussions about both actual results and adjusted results, all discussions of adjusted operating results exclude the effects of stock-based compensation. I will now hand the call over to Jim Meyer. James E. Meyer - Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thanks, Hoover. Good morning. 2015 was an incredible year for SiriusXM. We exceeded all of our original operational and financial goals, and we are predicting continued growth in subscribers and all of our financial metrics this year. Last January, we told you to expect 1.2 million net new subscribers. We actually delivered 2.3 million, taking our paying subscriber base to an all-time high of approximately 29.6 million. Lower-than-expected churn and higher auto sales were the primary drivers, and both new and used car conversions set new records for the fourth quarter and the full year. We told you that we would do approximately $4.4 billion of revenue in 2015, and we actually reached nearly $4.6 billion. We told you we would attain $1.6 billion of adjusted EBITDA and our final result was $1.66 billion. And we told you we would deliver $1.25 billion of free cash flow, and we exceeded that too with $1.3 billion. Quite frankly, 2015 was a remarkable year, and we did what we said we would do and more. And this year, you should expect more of the same. We expect continued growth, even as we make substantial investments across many areas of our business. We expect to end 2016 with about 31 million subscribers and about $4.9 billion of revenue. We expect to produce about $1.78 billion of adjusted EBITDA and to convert the vast majority of that or about $1.4 billion to free cash flow. Continued share repurchases will mean that free cash flow per share should grow even faster. While margin expansion in 2016 is certainly tougher because of the increased investments I'll talk about in a moment, our business model remains very predictable and highly leverageable. We continue to produce industry-leading contribution margins, and we expect to resume margin growth in 2017. We are also extremely confident that we will produce 40%-plus margins over the long-term. The key indicator of the importance of satellite radio to automakers and consumers is our penetration rate; the rate at which our product is incorporated into new cars. In 2015, this was up more than seven points to 74.5% for the year. In the fourth quarter, we recorded our highest ever penetration rate of nearly 78%. Clearly, automakers find having satellite radio in new cars to be an extremely useful and valuable feature. You should assume a mid-70% penetration rate for many years to come. We ended 2015 with 82 million enabled vehicles on the road, meaning that 1/3 of the car fleet in America has a factory-installed satellite radio. As the fleet of satellite radio-enabled cars will only continue to grow, our used car business becomes a more and more important channel for growth. In 2015, we estimate that our radios were in 28% of the used cars that were sold, up from about 24% in 2014. Over time, as the fleet turns over, that 28% will continue growing to approach the new car penetration rate. This channel alone will yield a predictable arc of subscriber growth for many years to come. To address this opportunity, we are focused on lead generation and our ability to offer trials and convert trialers into paid subs in the used car business. We now offer used car trials at approximately 19,000 dealers. We are also attacking the private sale arena with all kinds of new and innovative approaches, including affinity marketing and working with disruptive start-ups. And our early work in the insurance segment has yielded some encouraging results. I'm very excited about our prospects for growing used cars – growing used car additions over the years to come. The story of SiriusXM over the past few years has been simple, extreme focus and execution in our core business. We have avoided the common traps that businesses fall into when they become very successful and generate lots of excess cash. We have been very selective in our M&A strategy and very disciplined when it comes to spending our cash on new investments. This focus will remain a hallmark of our company. But that isn't to say we haven't been investing in our business. The investments we are making are substantial and designed to position our business for long-term success. We are investing to enhance our marketing capabilities through improved methods of identifying subscribers, differentiating their marketing treatment, driving more transactions online, and improving efficiency within our marketing and call center operations. We are committed to continuously improve our best-in-class direct marketing capability. We are also investing in our connected vehicle business as we roll out new OEM programs and in SXM17 to give us an unmatched technology platform in future cars. We are developing a wideband chipset that will create long-term value as we continue to optimize the use of our spectrum and we are procuring new satellites over the coming years. And last, and certainly not least, we continue to invest to ensure our content lineup remains unmatched, not just now, but well into the next decade. I have stated many times that we will ensure we maintain our content leadership. In 2015, we continued to bring new, vibrant voices to radio and expanded our lineup of exclusive music and talk programs. We also brought our subscribers special moments that could be heard only on SiriusXM. And I don't need to tell you, we renewed several big programming agreements that are at the core of our offering. In December, we signed a new far-reaching deal with Howard Stern that expands our relationship with him. Howard had a world of competitive choices to consider. But in the end, he chose SiriusXM as the best creative home for his vast talents. Howard is at the top of his game, and I am very pleased he will be with us exclusively for many years to come. He will continue to host his radio show for at least the next five years. In addition, we secured the exclusive rights to all of his archives in audio and video for the next 12 years. The new agreement also provides for SiriusXM to offer Howard Stern Video. We are working closely with Howard and his team in this area, and we will announce firm plans later this year. We also extended our agreement with the NFL through the Super Bowl in 2022. SiriusXM subscribers will continue to get access to every NFL game, plus our popular NFL radio channel. NFL content is now also available on demand giving this content to our subscribers where and when they want it. With the renewal of Howard and the NFL coupled with recent long-term renewals of Major League Baseball, the NBA and FOX News, we have secured much of our content at a fixed rate for many years to come. We hosted Town Halls with several presidential candidates and interviews with candidates on SiriusXM themselves have become major news-making events. Last night, we were on the ground with multiple channels and shows to cover Hillary Clinton's, I think, and Ted Cruz's close victory in the Iowa caucuses. Next week, we will be in New Hampshire to give listeners every side of Election 2016. We also continue to launch special, exclusive music programming with major stars and continue to be a leading destination to discover new music. In November, we announced the launch of Tom Petty Radio. Tom is using his own channel to debut entirely new songs he has written and recorded just for SiriusXM. And we recently launched a limited run 24/7 channel with Billy Joel, featuring shows hosted by Billy himself. SiriusXM continues its leadership in music discovery. When Adele launched her new album, her first interview in America took place at SiriusXM studios, where our subscribers asked her face-to-face as part of our – or asked her questions face-to-face as part of our acclaimed Town Hall series. On the technology front, we are making steady progress in the development of our SiriusXM17 platform, and it continues to gain traction with automakers. Some of you may have seen our demonstration in Las Vegas at CES, which was very positively reviewed by analysts that saw it, I might add. For those of you who don't know, SiriusXM17 is our next-generation platform for audio services that combines the benefit of satellite radio with two-way LTE connectivity in future cars. It enables the seamless mixing and matching of satellite and IP-delivered content. It allows us to obtain usage data from the radio in the car and let the users have a more personalized experience, including search and recommendations. All of this will make our world-class content more discoverable and accessible in the car while maintaining ease of use. Today, we're doing significant in-field user testing and working with the engineering teams at various OEMs to implement SiriusXM17. Believe me, we know better than anyone the changes in the OEM world take a long, long time and to build up meaningful numbers in the fleet of enabled vehicles for SiriusXM17 will take many years. But we are extremely pleased with the progress of SXM17 and excited to better understand our customers by having a return path from future cars. We are also growing the footprint of our connected vehicle service business, which has become a leading provider of safety, security and convenience features across numerous automakers. Later today, I'm pleased to announce a new long-term agreement with Honda that will see SiriusXM powered services going into more and more next-generation Honda and Acura branded cars. We are also in discussion with several additional large automakers about providing them connected vehicle services as well. We expect the CV business to eventually be a significant additional revenue driver. But it will grow slowly near-term as we develop new technology and build scale in this area. This business is extremely important, because it allows us to get involved much earlier in the OEM product development cycle. The connected business also makes us more important to the automakers and will give us further insight into how consumers use their vehicles. Change in the auto business, as I said earlier, can take a long time. An example, seven years ago or eight years ago, the biggest discussion in the auto industry was about electric and hybrid vehicles. Yet even now, electric and hybrid are less than 5% of all the vehicles built. Similarly, today, there is much debate on the timing of autonomous vehicles, which are still years away. But the connected vehicle transition is already well underway. And that transition is clear. I am confident that most vehicles built at the end of this decade will include embedded-LTE modems. This capability will allow many new services, including collecting an unprecedented amount of data, steering a clear path and strategy through this technology transition is a key initiative of ours. Of course, it helps in delivering our excellent results that the economy and in particular auto sales were humming along nicely in 2015. New auto sales were up 5% to $17.3 million in 2015. Current analyst expectations are that this will continue in 2016 with a slight increase in auto sales. The key economic indicators we track continue to point to strong auto sales. But, clearly, due to recent events, particularly in China, there is heightened uncertainty in the financial markets. We feel very good about our business climate, but as always, we will take a prudent and conservative approach. In 2015, we continued capital returns as we purchased $2 billion of our stock from the public. That enabled us to take in about 524 million shares or nearly 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Since we started the share repurchase program three years ago, total repurchases have reached an astounding 1.8 billion shares for $6.5 billion. We clearly believe SiriusXM stock remains a great value. Yet, we retain ample flexibility to continue large capital returns or the ability to make strategic acquisitions, even as we invest growing sums internally with some of the new initiatives I discussed earlier. Our leverage remains modest. Our access to the capital markets remains strong, and we certainly have the capacity to increase that leverage should the right opportunities present themselves. I'm looking forward to another year of great performance and growth at SiriusXM, and with that, I'll turn it over to David.