Operator
Operator
Please standby, ladies and gentlemen, we are about to begin. Good day and welcome to Sirius XM's First (sic) [Second] (00:06) Quarter 2015 Results Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. A question-and-answer session will be conducted following the presentation. [Operator Instructions] At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Hooper Stevens, Vice President, Investor Relations and Finance. Mr. Stevens, please go ahead. Hooper Stevens - Vice President, Investor Relations & Finance, Sirius XM Radio Inc.: Thank you and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Sirius XM's second quarter earnings conference call. Today, Jim Meyer, our Chief Executive Officer, will be joined by David Frear, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. At the conclusion of our prepared remarks, management will be glad to take your questions. Scott Greenstein, our President and Chief Content Officer, is also be available for the Q&A portion of the call. First, I would like to remind everyone that certain statements made during the call might be forward-looking statements as the term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These and all forward-looking statements are based on management's current beliefs and expectations and necessarily depend upon assumptions, data or methods that may be incorrect or imprecise. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. For more information about those risks and uncertainties, please view Sirius XM's SEC filings. We advise listeners not to rely unduly on forward-looking statements and disclaim any intent or obligation to update them. As we begin, I would like to advise our listeners that today's results will include discussions about both actual results and adjusted results. All discussions of adjusted operating results exclude the effects of stock-based compensation, certain one-time items and historically purchase price accounting adjustments. I will now hand the call over to Jim Meyer. James E. Meyer - Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thank you, Hooper. The exceptional results we've produced in the second quarter of 2015 should leave no doubt that demand is strong for SiriusXM, and we are once again raising guidance across the board on the back of great performance in the quarter. We grew net subscribers by an astounding 692,000. The total paid subscriber base reached a record, 28.4 million, up 8% over this time last year. Even more importantly, we grew self-pay net subscribers by 519,000, the most in a second quarter since 2007. Total self-pay subscribers now reached a record 23.4 million, also up 8% from the second quarter of last year. Our churn rate and new car and used car conversion were very strong. Self-pay churn was just 1.6%, one of the best results in the company's history. Vehicle related and non-pay deactivations were up slightly year-over-year, but this was offset by a huge decline in voluntary churn. Put quite simply, fewer people called us to cancel. When you have a subscriber base as big as ours, every tenth of a point change in monthly self-pay churn equals the difference of about 70,000 subscribers in a quarter or 280,000 net subscribers in a year. So this improvement in churn of nearly 20 basis points drove a lot of upside in the quarter. We believe our retention performance will continue to be extremely solid in the back half of 2015 although we don't see 1.6% churn as the new normal. Our new vehicle penetration rate in the second quarter was 72%, up from 69% a year ago. With growing confidence, we now see long-term penetration rates settling near 75% of total production, up from our previous expectation of around 70%. More automakers like Toyota and Honda are increasing penetration rates and these long-term plans are the best statement that – or are the best statement that OEMs believe satellite radio is a must-have feature for the future car market. SAAR was $17.1 million in the second quarter, up 4%. As auto sales touch new highs, we continue to set new records for convergence, and our second owner business is booming. By partnering with more dealer management system providers, going into more dealerships, now, over 17,000, getting more timely leads from non-dealership sources, and accelerating our Service Lane Program, which is now, by the way, over 7,000 dealers. Used car conversions once again set a record in the second quarter. And record high trial starts, up 33% from the last year's second quarter bode well for future growth and conversions as well. Bottom-line, in the second quarter, when looking at combined new and used car conversions, more people than ever before chose to become satellite radio subscribers after purchasing a car with a trial included. More of our subscribers than ever are also moving their subscriptions from one car to another. Our service continuity program has not only greatly improved our retention of these subscribers, but has also found great success in adding another active subscription to the household. And of course, we are helped by the improving economic client – climate. Growing employment and lower gas prices, down 25% year-over-year in June, are likely helping generate new demand and contribute to higher retention. With the upside in the second quarter, we are raising full-year guidance for the second time this year to approximately 1.8 million net sub-additions, with approximately 1.6 million of those being net self-pay subscribers. Remember that when we gave you our initial guidance in January, we projected 1.2 million net subscribers this year. Our performance has been so strong that we've already done 94% of the original full year net add projection in only six months. New and used car trial starts totaled a record 4.8 million in the second quarter. And the all-important trial funnel is now at an all-time high of 8.2 million, and retention trends look strong. Put simply, we feel confident that we can deliver our new higher subscriber guidance this year. With record quarterly revenue of over $1.1 billion, up 8.5% in the second quarter, coupled with the upside of subscriber growth, we're also raising our 2015 revenue guidance to approximately $4.5 billion. Again, our results demonstrate the scalability of our model. We grew revenue at a faster clip than expenses in the second quarter, sending adjusted EBITDA up 12% to a quarterly high of $415 million, and margins up 120 basis points to a record high 37%. This margin expansion was quite an accomplishment, particularly given the significant increase in SAC expense associated with higher auto sales and production. Remember we have again and again stressed that business models matter. Scalability and high variable margins remained a key reason why we love SiriusXM's business model so much. So with a strong first half under our belts, we now see full-year adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.62 billion, which includes approximately $19 million of incremental expense for the settlement we struck with the major record labels relating to pre-1972 recordings. That amount will be reflected in the second half of 2015. Apples-to-apples, this means we see higher adjusted EBITDA of about $40 million compared to the guidance we gave you in late April. The vast majority, about 80% of our incremental EBITDA versus last year's second quarter went straight to free cash flow, which was also a quarterly record high of $371 million. This was up 11% on an absolute basis, but on a per share basis jumped 25% to $0.067 as weighted average diluted shares declined by 11% to 5.5 billion from 6.2 billion shares, thanks to our capital return program. Our new increased guidance calls for free cash flow of approximately $1.3 billion, about $50 million higher than our previous guidance, which will exclude the cash payment we expect to make this month under our settlement with the major record labels. The $210 million settlement we reached with the major record labels regarding pre-1972 recordings ensures we can keep playing approximately 80% of the pre-1972 recordings we used through the end of 2022. In my opinion, this deal is a win-win, and David will speak more about this settlement in a moment. At a time when competition in the audio entertainment space has reached new heights, we are witnessing yet again that demand for our differentiated, curated and expertly presented content remains very high. Our unique bundle of content and services is what sets us apart from our competitors. Our quarter included more exclusive radio broadcast of major events for our music fans. Many people couldn't trek to Chicago for the historic Grateful Dead concerts. But we brought to the nation nightly broadcasts of the three-day event, adding expert commentary before and after the shows. We've made acquiring the radio broadcast rights to all the major music festivals a high priority. In the second quarter, we broadcast the performances from Coachella, Bonnaroo and the Electric Daisy Carnival, and we also presented two live exclusive subscriber concerts at Harlem's epic Apollo Theater, the first with Pitbull to launch his new SiriusXM channel. The second, with James Taylor as part of his exclusive limited run channel, which we created to celebrate his new album, which debuted at number one. In sports, we brought boxing back to radio with exclusive broadcast of the acclaimed Premier Boxing Champion series. We hired Soccer Hall of Famer, Michelle Akers, for our Women's World Cup coverage, and we continue to create buzz around the sports world with timely and news making commentary and interviews on many of our channels. Looking ahead to the fall, we will bring our subscribers, Radio Andy, a new exclusive channel created by the talented Andy Cohen. It will be fun, uncensored entertainment and talk channel, featuring Andy himself, and meant for anyone who loves pop culture, celebrities and lifestyle. We will be announcing several new hosts for this channel soon. Another area I'm very excited about is later this fall, we will also debut the all-new exclusive FOX News Headlines 24/7 channel, a fast-paced digest of the latest news, entertainment, sports, business, weather and more, available only to SiriusXM subscribers. Our next generation series, SiriusXM 17 and connected vehicle platforms, continue to develop. SiriusXM 17, which marries two-way IP connectivity with satellite broadcasting to deliver unmatched audio experience is continuing to resonate well with automakers. It will give our subscribers a best-in-class experience with more content and more personal control of that content. We planned to show a full demonstration of SiriusXM 17 at the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas this January, so stay-tuned. Our connected vehicle business, which adds a strategically important vertical of safety, security and convenience services for the automakers and their customers, is also seeing increased traction. Our second quarter launch of NissanConnect Services powered by SiriusXM has gone off without a hitch and we look forward to working with Nissan and rolling out these services to more and more vehicles. We also continued to work with other significant global automakers on several new enhanced deals and we expect to have more to say on this in the coming months, again stay-tuned. Our moves to take better advantage of connected vehicles by enhancing our audio service and providing new non-audio services are a long-term play that will take many years to develop. Of course, streaming and smartphone makers move faster with new services. Quite honestly, most of them copy cats, launch all the time. But don't forget just how big terrestrial radio still is and how much listener and revenue share it still attracts. It is quite simply a huge industry that presents plenty of growth opportunities for newer entrants like SiriusXM and streaming players. When a listener doesn't convert to a self-paying subscription or cancels our service, it's almost always because they don't want to pay. Today, most of these listeners migrate back to the default-free option, which is terrestrial radio. There will be additional free options in the future, but our fundamental challenge really doesn't change. Quite simply, as the satellite equipped fleet grows, that challenge is convincing more and more people to switch from free to pay. We are going to find long-term success by producing great content and offering a variety of packages and price points to go after free radio's massive audience. Our hardware is already installed in 32% of the vehicles on the road or approximately 76 million, but with our long-term penetration rate settling in the mid 70s as a percentage of new vehicles built, our addressable market will double over the coming years. This is a big deal. Finally, during the second quarter, we repurchased 144 million shares of our stock for $560 million. So far this year through yesterday, we have spent about $1.3 billion to repurchase 338 million shares. This is a massive return of capital that we think benefits our shareholders long-term, and we will remain disciplined and diligent with our use of our shareholders' money. We also continue to maintain prudent leverage and the flexibility to pursue value creating strategic options that may arise. With that, I'll turn it over to David. David J. Frear - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Thanks, Jim. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for participating today. I thought our first quarter was pretty hard to beat, but the second quarter was even better. Self-pay sub additions were up nearly 37% and revenues up 8%, adjusted EBITDA 12% to a margin of 37%, free cash flow is up nearly 11%, and free cash flow per share is up 25%. So, it's an extraordinary performance. For the third quarter in a row, we have been pleasantly surprised by the strength of our subscriber performance. Similarly to the prior two quarters, we performed a little better than we expected on all fronts, resulting in a lot better than we expected in total. All acquisition channels, new car, used car, win-back and aftermarket are performing well, and with improved churn, it was the best second quarter for self-pay net adds that we have had in eight years. You have to go back to the second quarter of 2007 to find a bigger second quarter for us. 519,000 self-pay nets bring our self-pay base to over 23.4 million, 692,000 total net additions bring the total paid subscriber base to over 28.4 million. Based on our new guidance, we'll exceed 29 million subs by the end of the year. Our new guidance for net additions of approximately 1.8 million is up 50% from our original guidance of 1.2 million. Additionally, we expect 1.6 million of these 1.8 million net adds to be self-pay subscribers with about 200,000 of the additional net adds coming from expansion in pay trial inventories, driven by higher auto sales and higher penetration. With auto sales near 17 million, our penetration rate up a record high OEM trial balance and low self-pay churn, and we are well-positioned to hit our increased subscriber guidance. Second quarter revenue was up 8% to more than $1.1 billion and we are taking up our revenue guidance to approximately $4.5 billion, once again advertising outperformed overall revenue growth in the radio ad market with a gain of 13% in the second quarter. You'll find the continuation of our cost disciplined, efficient growth as we make substantial investments to grow our business by building up the used car business, new programming, the streaming platform and connected vehicle services. Contribution margin expanded 10 basis points to 71%. After considering pre-1972 cost going forward, we continued to maintain our long-term expectation of a contribution margin of about 70%. SAC per install improved 3% to $32, while overall SAC costs were up 10% on higher installation volumes, and our fixed costs were flat year-on-year, producing an adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 120 basis points to 36.9%, tying the first quarter for a record high margin. Adjusted EBITDA of $415 million in the quarter was the highest amount ever for a single quarter. We converted nearly 90% of that adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow at $371 million, up almost 11% from last year. As Jim discussed in June, we agreed to settle litigation brought by the major record labels on pre-1972 music for $210 million. The settlement covers about 80% of the pre-1972 recordings we play. As part of the settlement, we have the right to enter into a license with each of the labels to continue broadcasting pre-1972 recordings from 2018 through 2022. The royalty rate for each license will be determined by negotiation or binding arbitration if we can't reach an agreement on the rate, and as Jim said, it assures our continuation of pre-1972 programming for the next seven years to eight years. The accounting for the settlement attributes $107.7 million to the past, and the balance of $102.3 million will be amortized over the next 10 quarters to the end of 2017. So you can think of the annualized cost of the settlement we announced as about $40 million or less than 1% of revenue. The $210 million settlement to be paid this month will be excluded from free cash flow calculations when we report the third quarter, we feel comfortable with our new higher guidance of $1.3 billion in 2015 free cash flow. In the last 12 months, we have repurchased over 633 million shares driving free cash flow per share up by 25% in the second quarter. Since we started the capital return program, we have repurchased more than 1.5 billion shares in an average price of $3.49. In June, we extended and expanded our revolving credit facility, which was completely undrawn at the end of the second quarter from $1.25 billion to $1.75 billion. Total debt now stands at a shade above $5.1 billion with no maturities in the next five years, leverage is at 3.2 times trailing EBITDA, we have lots of liquidity. The second quarter ended with $294 million in cash, and as I mentioned, an undrawn $1.75 billion revolver, we feel very good about the momentum of our business. Operator, let's open it up for questions.