Earnings Labs

Service Corporation International (SCI)

Q4 2018 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 19, 2019

$86.20

+0.06%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

-0.60%

1 Week

-1.70%

1 Month

-7.35%

vs S&P

-9.83%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2018 Service Corporation International Earnings Conference Call. My name is Sophia, and I will be your operator for today's call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to SCI management. You may now begin.

Debbie Young

Analyst

Good morning to the SCI call. Thanks for joining us as we discuss our fourth quarter and our year-end results. As usual, I'm going to go through the customary Safe Harbor language before we begin with prepared remarks from the quarter from Tom and Eric. The comments made by our management team today will include statements that are not historical and are forward-looking. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations and projections. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to those factors identified in our press release and in our filings with the SEC that are available on our Web site. In today's comment we may also refer to certain non-GAAP measurements such as adjusted EPS, adjusted operating cash flow, and free cash flow. A reconciliation of these measurements to the appropriate measures calculated in accordance with GAAP is provided on our Web site and in our press release and 8-K that were filed yesterday or early this morning actually. All right, with that over with, I'll now turn the call over to Tom Ryan, SCI's Chairman and CEO.

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Thanks, Debbie. Hello everyone, and thank you for joining us on the call this morning. Today, I would like to start by reflecting on the full-year of 2018. Then I'll get into the analysis of the fourth quarter and end with some color on our outlook for 2019. So first, some observations looking back at the year 2018, for the full-year, we were proud to report double-digit percentage growth in adjusted earnings per share and adjusted operating cash flow. The $1.79 we reported in adjusted earnings per share was a $0.24 or more than 15% improvement over 2017. Solid revenue increases, particularly in the Cemetery segment were somewhat offset operationally by higher salaries and wages from intentional adjustments made at the beginning of the year, as well as from higher self-insured health and general liability costs that were not anticipated. These increased costs impacted both business segments, as well as general and administrative expenses. In total, operations including the overhead burden contributed $0.11 to the $0.24 earnings per share improvement. Increased debt levels from acquisition funding and higher average variable rates tied to LIBOR led to higher interest expense for the year that effectively offset the favorable impact from lower average share count. So, the remaining $0.13 in earnings per share improvement for the year was from a favorable tax rate, which was primarily due to the lower federal rate from the 2017 Tax Act, as well as favorable state tax result. Comparable funeral segment operating profits for the year were over $369 million, a decrease of $3.6 million as compared to the prior year. The funeral operating margin percentage was within our guidance range at 19.9%, down by 50 basis points. For the second straight year, we saw comparable funeral volumes growth, while average revenue per case was relatively…

Eric Tanzberger

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Thanks, Tom. Good morning, everybody. Today I'd like to begin as I usually do by adjusting cash flow during the fourth quarter and then I'll like about our annual cash flow result and our capital deployment for 2018 which is a highlight for us, and finally provide some details for our outlook for 2019. So, as you saw in the yesterday's press release we reported strong adjusted operating cash flow of $164 million for the quarter which is an increase of $38 million or 30% over the prior year. This growth though was primarily driven by a decrease in cash taxes paid as positive working capital effectively offset the slight declines in EBITDA and higher interest payments quarter-over-quarter. Cash tax payments in the quarter were only $4 million compared to $45 million in the prior quarter. The prior year was affected by the timing of cash tax payments related to Hurricane Harvey. The current quarter also benefited from tax reform as well as tax planning efforts. Cash interest payments in the quarter were $67 million compared to $59 million in the prior year quarter. This increase is due to impacts from both higher debt balances as well as higher floating rates over the prior year period, while we are comfortable with our capital structure, we continue to evaluate our mix of floating versus fixed rate debt in the current interest environment and plan to manage accordingly. Lastly, as it relates to cash flow during the quarter we benefited by approximately $20 million of non-earnings, cash received mostly related proceeds from our trust funds that we're able to deploy towards our capital deployment programs in the fourth quarter. Maintenance and cemetery development CapEx for the quarter combined the two components that we defined as CapEx or our free cash flow calculation…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from A.J. Rice from Credit Suisse.

A.J. Rice

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Hi, everybody. A couple of questions if I could ask, first, the pickup you saw in the cremation rate in the fourth quarter, as you drill down, do you think that's a change in trend that seems to be an acceleration over the 50 basis point to 100 basis point pick up where -- you used to see?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Hey, A.J., this is Tom. Again, we don't have any exact measurement unfortunately, but I'd say this, if you look at the U.S. cremation rate in general, it's probably been growing around 150 basis points over the last, call it five years, and maybe even pretty consistently. If you look at SCI's business, we probably were closer to 100 until we stepped into 2018. So, while there may be a little bit of a shift from a consumer perspective, we actually think a lot of this may have a little to do with our efforts to capture cremation consumers, whether that be through the SCI direct model, whether that be through some pricing change implementation in certain markets, where we're more competitive for that, I'd say, price sensitive cremation consumer, or whether it be through our digital efforts that now through the Web site and search engine marketing that we're beginning to capture a larger share of what I'll call it again price conscious direct cremation consumers. So I kind of view this as a positive thing. Unfortunately, it translates into an average that doesn't look so great, but the truth is we're getting more business than we wouldn't have gotten. We like that. So yes, I don't see anything yet that tells me there's a definite shift in the overall numbers of those consumers.

A.J. Rice

Analyst · Credit Suisse

And would you say you've reflected that and then in your 2019 outlook a little higher conversion of cremation?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Yes, I think we have. So we're going to go forward, believing that these are the types of levels that it could grow at, again it could moderate again, I don't want to predict the future, but we believe that will continue because we'll continue to compete more effectively particularly for that consumer.

A.J. Rice

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Okay. Eric's comments around the impact of soft market particularly in the fourth quarter of December, I guess you highlighted two areas, the stuff coming out of the pre-need funeral backlog into add-need was a little bit of an impact, and then on the cemetery perpetual care, can you quantify those and will that have a lingering impact in the -- at least in the first-half and other markets rebounded somewhat, but just trying to understand whether that'll be an ongoing impact in the first-half?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Yes. I think, if you look at the first one you talked about, which was the funeral trust income comparisons, my recollection is it had a minor dampening effect on the fourth quarter to the tune of, let's say, $15 to $20 on average, if I remember it correctly. So it wasn't anything significant, and again, as time goes on, the market rebounds, those types of things will equalize. Eric will know the numbers on the other, but I'll tell you on the -- thing to understand about ECF, which I don't know that everybody understands as well, a lot of the ability to draw earnings is dictated by state laws. So you may have certain states that allow you to take "Excess Income" as defined by that certain state, and you can do it in certain period. So as an example, if -- and you would expect this to be the case, if you lived at your excess income at the end of any certain year and you could withdraw that income that is an opportunity to create cash flow and create income. Again, this is not in every state, it's just in certain states, because when you think about the fourth quarter because it died down so bad and because the year 2018 was a negative performance year, you probably aren't going to have as much excess income as you would in another year. Now I don't want to tell you that we can only take it out of year-end, I'm just telling you that there are certain days and different states were strict when you can take that out. Eric, do you have any color on…

Eric Tanzberger

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Remember that the internal care fund is split between really two separate portfolios. One is a total return portfolio, A.J., which we've been moving to over the last few years. And what as Tom has mentioned it is when you set which you can take out of their return portfolio under the state laws in 2019, it's predicated on '18, and maybe a couple of other prior years. So when December got impacted that's really set in stone for us in terms of '19's eternal care fund distributions, which means that the amount that's in our forecast is probably $2 million to $3 million less in 2019 than 2018. The flipside to that are the other trust funds such as prearrange funeral and cemetery merchandise and service trust that largely rebounded in January and made up those losses. So we do not have any type of detrimental impact built into our model that would affect funeral sales as average or the cemetery sales average during 2019 as a result of that rebound.

A.J. Rice

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Okay. Then maybe last question, just to ask you about acquisition pipeline. I know you had a very strong year in '18. '19, it sounds like you're sort of assuming a reversion to the $75 million to $100 million. Is that just conservatism? I mean, what's a piebald look like, is there prospects for another outperformance year in 2019 on acquisitions?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Yes. A.J., I think we certainly didn't mean to dampen expectations. It's just like we say every year to get to the high-end of that range. A lot of -- the deals needs to fall your way. So, I think that we're still seeing a very robust pipeline, which again the visibility probably goes out about 9 to 12 months. And so, we're optimistic about our opportunities for this year. And again, depending on few of these things and how they fall, we could end up at the high-end, we could end up in the mid-range, but we'll do them, we'll do them at the right returns for our shareholders, and we're excited about the pipeline, we'll continue to do it. The other thing I just pointed to is we're seeing more opportunities for new bills than you saw a pretty decent,I realize it's not a huge amount of money, but quite a significant increase in the amount of money that we're spending to build new locations in the right place with the right type of facilities and the amenities that our customers want. So, we're excited about both of those channels that we've reported.

A.J. Rice

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Okay. Thanks a lot.

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Thanks, A.J.

Operator

Operator

Our following question comes from Joanne from Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

Joanna Gajuk

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. So, in terms of the guidance, I appreciate the comments on the cash flow. So in terms of the guidance, so I appreciate the comments on the cash flow. So in essence right away, which I think about it is that EBITDA will grow you know to 4%, 5% and then operating cash flow, excluding taxes and sort of one-time in nature of $20 million benefit to operating cash flows, excluding those two things would kind of grow in that 4% to 5% range, right. Is that the way to think about it?

Eric Tanzberger

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

I think that's right. The only thing I would just caution a little bit, Joanna, and this kind of splitting hairs, but we talk about growing the operating profit at 4% to 6% and use the term EBITDA, probably depreciation is flat, you're not going to grow it right on the add back. So I just back to that energy, you do your math.

Joanna Gajuk

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Okay.

Eric Tanzberger

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

That's probably at the lower end of that range.

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Yes. I'd say EBITDA is more of a 3% to 5% grower at midpoint. And then you know that 4% to 6% is also our per share number, if you remember our 8% to 12% break down and part of that -- part of that is the reduction in shares helps that as well.

Joanna Gajuk

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Right. No, I was trying to get understanding of you know that EPS guidance kind of talking about you know 8% of the midpoint, but I guess adjusting for the tax is 11%, but then the operating cash flow growth, I guess it's much lower, but there's a couple of things that make the comps -- comps much more difficult, so just stripping it out. I'm just thinking that sort of the operating fair point, operating earnings growing that mid-single digits and in operating cash, so excluding taxes and this one-time benefits also growing in the same range, but obviously, the reporting operating cash is going to be down year-over-year, right. But then within that operating earnings kind of outlook, so it sounds like Q1 income is probably going to be down year-over-year in Q1, so that we imply sort of you know very robust growth, a double-digit growth in the rest of the year to get to that you know at single digit, call it a low single to mid digit single digit growth for the year. So what's driving that and how should we think about the progression? I know you -- I guess you've tried to flatten the cemetery production I guess materializing. So, is that pretty much Q4 or is there something that is going to be benefiting Q2 and Q3?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Yes. I think it will have - a couple of ways to think about it. Let's start with funeral volumes. We - if you go back to look at 2018 we had a very impactful flu season. So the volume in January was up 10%. The volume in February was up you know call it 2.5%, 3%. And the volume in March started to tick down 3%. So, we started off the month with 10% up and you ended up a year that's up 0.5%. So, again, you can get some really wild swings in these volumes. So, now if you look at where we are today you know we expensed to January that was down about 10% in volume. So we're back to 2017 numbers if it makes any sense. So, as we think about the rest of the year you say, I start off with this really bad you know beginning and what experience has told us is you build that back across the year. So as you think about the first quarter, think of it being down you know potentially history is right. Yes call it 4% or 5% down in the first quarter and you would work your way back to close to even by the end of the year. So funeral would have a very tilted year-over-year comparison, where margin should be a lot better in the last three quarter and the first quarter. The second thing I factor in is costs. As we think about costs and we've got every year we do, we tightened our belts at cost initiatives. I would tell you that the biggest been a factor cost initiatives will be in the middle and latter part of the year. So again, I'm pointing you towards the first quarter that it's a challenge and the rest you're getting better, that's going to help that you call double digit growth margin in the back nine months. And then finally cemetery, I think cemetery is where we think we're going to go production pretty consistently throughout the year. And so, the thing we don't expect about cemetery's profit is that where are going to construct these things, because you may be selling things that are unconstructed. Well, most of the completed construction occurs in the back half of the year. So again, I think in our model, the biggest chunk of political structure is going to be in the fourth quarter. So, that's really what's driving is, I call it a softer funeral environment in the first quarter, the backend way to cemetery because of construction and a little bit of this outcall the expense management fees. But that again is a smaller piece of them all. And that's really what's driving in the first quarter underperformance followed by the impressive later nine month.

Joanna Gajuk

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

And is there something to be said about, I guess the Q4 of this year or I mean 2018, I'm sorry, that was impacted by the sales force, I guess restructuring. So, is there some sort of flow through in the beginning of 2019 from the changes that were occurring of late, I guess in 2018?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Yes, Joanna, I think if you take SCI Direct on its own, and again it's just not as material as the other pieces of what sales are mentioning, we would expect that the first quarter would be a little turbulent with the onboarding, because people are focused on getting people benefits online and so there's a lot of distractions. You're probably not doing a lot of hiring. And our belief is and we're already experiencing it as this is getting better. So, we feel really good and you're right as we get to the last quarter of the year I'd expect a pretty nice bump in our production levels particularly as you look at SCI drive.

Joanna Gajuk

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

All right. And if I may last one on the guidance, so still obviously on the EPS the range I guess in terms of the growth, yearly growth is quite wide from you know going on a 3% to 13%. So I appreciate. I guess you've commented that I guess if you execute better or is that was the high end of your acquisitions that gets you to the higher end, so the lower end how should we think about that, what kind of what is backed and for the lower end of the EPS growth?

Eric Tanzberger

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Well, the 3% to 30% assumes I remember that it's a 8% growth at the midpoint of the $1.93. Of course, what we've been saying this several times this morning is a lot of that is $0.05 to $0.06 headwind in earnings per share related to the taxes gone from 23% to 25% effective tax rate. Ultimately, though the operation should grow at the upper end as we've just described it. So your question is what gets you there. I think what gets you there is that funeral volumes rebound towards the back half of the year like Tom has just described it and gets to a point and has a similar inverse effect as last year did when we were down -- when we were up 10%, but ended the year at 0.5%. As we're starting the year down 10%, we expect to get more to the same level in the end of the year. I think also is that it assumes that cemetery pre-need growth continues but to get to the higher end of those ranges, you'll be more in the mid to high-single digits or maybe get to this high-single digits percentage growth to be able to get to the high end. The low end is pretty easy, some of that stuff doesn't happen and the volume doesn't come back as we expect to the back half the year or production -- or cemetery production stays more in the middle or low end. That's what really predicates the low end of the - of the range, but we're very comfortable you know with the - with the -- what we described to you already of being in that 8% to 12% and again taking into the fact the tax rate because the operations are performed in our opinion expect to perform at the upper end of that.

Joanna Gajuk

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

I'll go back to the queue. Thank you so much for that.

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Thanks, Joanna.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Scott Schneeberger from Oppenheimer.

Scott Schneeberger

Analyst · Oppenheimer

Thanks. Good morning. I guess three questions. First one just you talked about the organic growth for 2019 guidance being 4% to 6%. And you just covered a little bit in the last question. But what are you expecting the greater in pre-need cemetery or greater in -- pre-need funeral? I assume both in that range but please elaborate a little bit more on the pre-need expectations. Thanks.

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Oppenheimer

Sure, Scott. I think we would expect them to be kind of in equivalent range I think we're guiding both to the mid-single digit range which again you can probably put your brackets around that have you like. We tend just call that 4% to 6%. Could we be above that? Sure. Could we be below it? Sure. But I think we're confident that both of those should achieve that. As the differences we've done 4% to 6% in the cemetery for a really long time. And it's not that surprising because again I think you got a product mix differential where we're putting in you know better inventories that we can charge more money for. And on the funeral side it's always been a little more challenging. We've guided to the low single digit. We were up in the mid because we believe Beacon it is very effective and our ability to increase particularly the contract count, the number of future customers that we think is grabbing market share as well. So, I'd say that's the equalizer that makes funeral the same range of cemetery this year.

Scott Schneeberger

Analyst · Oppenheimer

Hi, thanks. And then my second question is, it's good segue, so, Beacon into funeral, obviously a great trend, second and third quarter. We had the hick-up in fourth quarter here, still easy comps in the first-half of the year. I'm just kind of curious how you look at, you said, still only 75% penetrated. How much use are the sales folks. How much are they actually using it? What do you use -- is there are a lot more Beacon-driven growth there, is that's going to be the catalyst or the primary driver in the funeral pre-need?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Oppenheimer

Yes. Scott. I think you hit on the head. Yes. Let me explain that. We're in 75% of the market. If my memory serves me, about 50% of our production was up at Beacon at your end. So, it gives you an idea that says when we launch it to a market, it's more complicated. Everybody probably thinks you know we announced weekend in 100% compliance and everybody is using Beacon, a big training exercise. There's also complications, as you get into an individual funeral home versus let's say a combination facility in a state is again member state laws driving a lot of particulars around how we present the contract, how we price it. So, a lot of times we may launch in a stay, I mean California is a great example. We launched in California, but we're not a 100% up and running in California. So, I just don't want anybody to take away that this is some automatic then we get into you know as you roll into a state, you might find a bug in the software that we need to take and go back. So it's our belief that even within the 75% market, if we didn't go to another market, we've got big lift, you know as we move into 2019. So we want to do it right, because I think the other things got you know do you understand we've talked about this is getting a buy and you're having a lot of people this year, you're trying to train and get them bought into why is this great. Well, the results are tremendous. I mean, so we can put counters in front of them and say, "Look, how much more productive," "Look, how much more money they're making." That's the best thing in the world. The worst thing in the world is roll it out and somebody go, "This doesn't work, I'm going to put it aside and pull out my manual contract, because I have a customer in front of me, and I don't want him to be embarrassed." So, because it's customer-facing, we're making sure that the bugs are worked out, it's right, the pricing is correct. The worst thing in the world is that our counselors say, "I can't use the software, it's too cumbersome, it's too challenging." So I promise you this, we're going to do it right. It's going to be very impactful I believe continuing in the funeral and it's our belief while it's going to be harder and a little more complicated, it's going to have an impact on cemetery as well, but probably in 2020.

Scott Schneeberger

Analyst · Oppenheimer

All right, thanks, that's helpful. Now my last question is on first quarter specifically, I don't know if you want to actually get too much in the weeds with providing guidance, but $0.47 last year EPS, it feels like you could be significantly below that in 2019 and obviously, you've talked about the progression of the year. A lot of puts and takes there, but and maybe you want to get into some of the - some of the particularly the cost items, but you know might we be below a $0.40 number in the first quarter entering the year. I just want to get a sense of how we should be modeling this case and as we progress back.

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Oppenheimer

Yes, Scott. Again, we don't give quarterly guidance, so I hesitate to get too specific. But I think you're thinking of with volumes down, let's pretend they're down 4% or 5% from the quarter, which is historically the inverse of 2018. And you model that through and say okay, and a variable cost rate. How much of that drops to bottom line. That impact, you could probably back out of $0.47. I think it probably would get you close to the number that you quoted. So, that's not an unfair assumption. But again, I think there're scenarios whereas a little bit better than 40, and I guess, there's scenario were a little bit worse. But that's ballpark of what you probably should expect, and then again kind of ramping up in the back half of the year, like Joanna mentioned in a double-digit types of earnings per share growth rates, particularly in the back half of the year.

Scott Schneeberger

Analyst · Oppenheimer

Thanks. I appreciate that color.

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Oppenheimer

Thanks, Scott. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The following question comes from John Ransom from Raymond James.

John Ransom

Analyst · Raymond James

Hey, good morning. Just going back to the cremation issue, when you sell a cremation to your direct channel versus through your funeral channel, what is the difference in ASP? And did I hear right to say that the direct channel is growing faster than the traditional funeral channel?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Raymond James

Yes. I mean, the direct channel, John, first of all on the pricing differential, remember, we sell a pre-need to our non-funeral home. So, we're probably averaging of around let's call it $2,200 for a round sake. And within that spend there's a way for home protection an insurance product that we might sell that also could include in earn. So when you look at the service itself it might be closer to $1,100 or $1,200, that's going to flow through your income statement when somebody is [indiscernible] because we've pre-sold the other products and delivered them. When you think about our core channel, the average spend of a cremation consumer is probably closer to $3,700 to $3,800. Now what I was describing, John, before is we're getting better at going what I call the price sensitivity, because that $3,700 is probably will end up, if people going to spend a $3,700. So it's more direct cremation consumer might average $2,500 to $2,600. I'll say that I think we're competing more specifically paid than we have historically for that consumer via the Internet, via price changes that we've made at certain locations where we believe it was opportunistic. And again, I think just a general awareness of being a more competitor. So that's the way I think about cremation, or the way we think about cremation and we think we're growing through both channels today.

John Ransom

Analyst · Raymond James

So what you're saying, just to make some clear that when the event actually happens on the direct channel the incremental revenue is only $1,100, you've already recognized some other revenue from an insurance [indiscernible] probably sold?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Raymond James

That is correct, if you're coming -- will end up what's coming out of pre-need backlog, right we're delivering somebody we previously spook, we also have add new business and that's probably a little bit higher than the average that we're out there. So, it's probably close. So, you're exactly right. The lending average, channel of servicing a funeral is probably about $1,100, $1,200.

John Ransom

Analyst · Raymond James

Okay. Just kind of switching gears, if you look at the capital markets effect on your P&L, not the cash flow from your trust and that's not always get to you P&L, but Eric, what was the bad guy in the fourth quarter from weak capital markets from EBITDA standpoint versus what do you think would be the offsetting good guy in the first quarter assuming the market hold knock on wood where they are now? How do we think about that?

Eric Tanzberger

Analyst · Raymond James

I mean, I think for the -- if I think ultimately the effect of the fourth quarter in terms of the markets when you think of prearranged funeral turn in net need and cemetery being delivered, the markets really got hammered in December. And so, it really didn't have a very immaterial effect at the end of the day to the financials in the fourth quarter. And of course, as I said before when you go into 2019, in terms of that same average, coming out of backlog, those markets have generally rebounded. So, we're not really predicting much of an effect, but we were describing earlier was an internal care fund situation that ultimately had a lot to do with some withdrawals that we had last year and that was probably a $3 million to $4 million issue, if you use the word "Bad guy," but it was a $3 million to $4 million detriment quarter-over-quarter, and that hit cemetery revenues and cash flows directly into the fourth quarter.

John Ransom

Analyst · Raymond James

Okay.

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Raymond James

John, I would just add [technical difficulty] the volatility of what's happened in this quarter versus what happened last quarter under this calendar based approach, back to 2018 for a minute, January was a rocket ship, Mark has got presence in February. So as I think about it, we can continue strong for the quarter, and you might have an actual nice comparison is to about the first quarter 2019 versus first quarter 2018, we could use a good comparison.

Eric Tanzberger

Analyst · Raymond James

As it relates to bridge coming out of the backlog, that's right.

John Ransom

Analyst · Raymond James

They're kind of in that $3 million to $4 million range, something like that?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Raymond James

Yes, for cemetery, yes.

John Ransom

Analyst · Raymond James

Yes. Okay. And then lastly, I'm curious about the restructuring of your sales force. I mean, we've certainly seen other companies have kind of protracted material downturns when they restructure comp, and what have you -- what gives you the confidence that these guys are back in the saddle and that this is just a blip and not something more structural?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Raymond James

I think one because we're getting feedback directly from the leadership of SCI Direct. I think it's on quite a bit better, and I think of ultimately, John, this is better for everybody because these sales counselors now by being employees enjoy some of the benefits of being employee of SCI from insurance to retirement opportunities whereas before they didn't have those. So, I think we think in the end, it's a better proposition. It's just turmoil while it's happening because there's a lot of uncertainty. And like I said, you've got managers that are out there dealing with the existing key employees versus let's say hired and particularly in this one, it's about finding counselors to sell; and we're not doing that a lot of that while you're onboarding.

John Ransom

Analyst · Raymond James

So, do you think ultimately you have a lower turnover? So that's -- so that was our main goals?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Raymond James

I do. I believe that will occur. Yes.

John Ransom

Analyst · Raymond James

Yes. Okay. Thank you. That's it from me.

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Raymond James

Thanks, John.

Eric Tanzberger

Analyst · Raymond James

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Following question comes from Duncan Brown from Wells Fargo.

Duncan Brown

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Hey, good morning. Most of my questions have been answered, but just wanted to follow-up, trying to get a better sense on what's going on in funeral core revenue service down 1.4% and it sounds like a trust fund impact was a little bit, but the vast majority of it was the cremation change. Is that correct and maybe could you size that?

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Yes. So if I recall correctly at the customer level before you take away mix for the quarter, we saw 70 basis points of improved, so think of it as we got inflationary pricing at 70 basis points, which isn't exciting, but positive. And now I go back and I say 40 basis points of that was currency believe it or not, because again, Canadian currency hurts us and you can correlate that with the oil market, right. Oil prices crash in the fourth quarter, Canadian currency crashes. So for the year, Canada is not a big deal, but for the quarter, it's a pretty big deal. There's probably 20 basis points of trust income difference. So now I've got 60 basis points offsetting 70 basis points. So to get to my 150 bps problem, I got a 160 basis point decrease, because of the cremation mix change if that makes sense. So by far the biggest is the cremation mix change, it was all about markets rebounding in the first quarter, I think currency is probably not going to be as big of an issue as we think about the year right now. So the big thing to think about is that interest income is just a minor part, but it will probably always be big you know to really think about as always a cremation mix change and how big it is year-over-year.

Duncan Brown

Analyst · Wells Fargo

That's perfect. Thanks for sizing that.

Operator

Operator

And we have a follow-up from Joanna from Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

Joanna Gajuk

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

If I may just squeeze in on the Beacon discussion that was happening a while ago or so, is there some sort of stats you can give us in terms of the performance in those markets where the utilization of the beacon system is getting better traction in terms of, I don't know, market share or some stats on the pre-need sales or anything else you can give us that would be helpful? Thank you.

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Sure, Joanna. I don't have any in my fingertips, we're happy to try to share more of that, but I'd tell you this, like I said, market share is hard to define yet because it's such a new product, and again this view is on a premium basis, and we don't have good market share data for pre-need. But I will tell you that within places where we've implemented this, and maybe the great example was, we first launched this I think in, you know, at the second or third quarters, we saw a significant, if you put top markets against each other, I want to say Steve it was 400 basis points or 500 basis points differential, Gerry is that right where as far as growth rates within the markets where we've implemented it versus not implemented it, 500. So, Joanna, 500 basis points to take it, I'd say typical market and forgive me for rounding, if we're going to 2% by putting beacon in place, we're getting 7% growth, is the types of things that we saw. And again, those were in every market is going to be a little bit different, what's your take-up rate, how your sales force, you know pricing change as far as technology in certain areas is more than others. So there's a lot of factors, but generally that's the kind of difference. And quite honestly what's really impressive is most of it's - is the number of contracts. The average sales, you know, pretty normal as we think about it. So we're really seeing -- we're getting in front of more people, we're capturing more market share, and that's what's exciting to me is that eventually turns to add new revenue that will benefit the company.

Joanna Gajuk

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Great. Thank you.

Tom Ryan

Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch

You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

I would now turn the call back over to the SCI management team.

Debbie Young

Analyst

Thank you so much everybody for being on the call. We look forward to talking to you for our first quarter earnings at the end of April. Thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.