Lucy Rutishauser
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead
Thank you, Chris. First off, I want to echo Chris's appreciation of all of our employees who have done a terrific job of navigating the current environment and enabling us to perform at a high level as a company. Keep in mind that the inclusion of the sports statement this year which was that the inclusion of the Sports segment this year, which was not in last year's first eight month numbers, is responsible for many of the larger changes in our actual results versus the same period last year. Therefore, many cases I will be speaking about results versus prior year pro forma, which is a much more meaningful comparison and assumes we own the RSNs in those periods. Before getting into the results, let me walk you through the accounting for the distributor and team rebates and the sports rights amortization as a result of the fewer professional games played. Pursuant to GAAP, we are required to accrue the total estimated rebate amount owed to the distributors across Q2 through Q4 of this year, which will reduce distribution revenue in each quarter. The cash outlay to the distributors, however, is not expected to occur until after 2020. On the team side, the rebate associated with the overpayment for the fewer games to be played in this season is expected to be realized in part in the third quarter with the majority in the fourth quarter of this year as lower sports rights payments. Therefore, adjusted EBITDA for the year is expected to reflect both the team rebates to us and our rebates to the distributors. And as Chris mentioned, we do expect rebates from the teams to be greater than what we pay out to the distributors. However, there will be a timing as it pertains to the cash flow with us rising the benefit of the lower sports rights payments this year in advance of the distributor rebates being made in - after 2020. Sports rights amortization which is included in the media and programming production expense line and which is noncash and not factored into the calculation of adjusted EBITDA gets recognized over the applicable sports season. So, in the second quarter, there were no professional games played. And therefore, sports rights amortization was minimal. We expect sports rights amortization for the third quarter to increase nearing the high level of sports games currently scheduled in the period. For fourth quarter, the sports rights amortization is expected to be much lower with baseball's regular season likely completed and with NBA and NHL games for the 2021 season likely starting later in the quarter than normal. All right. So, turning to the consolidated company results. Consolidated media revenue for the second quarter increased $539 million due to the inclusion of the Local Sports segment, which was not in last year’s second quarter results. On a pro forma basis, total media revenues of $1.260 billion were down versus last year’s second quarter media revenues of $1.710 billion due to a number of factors which we have previously discussed. Most notably, the weakness in the advertising market due to the pandemic, the absence of live sports, the associated accrual for the distributor rebates and the absence of these carriage fees. As compared to guidance, media revenues came in below the range we gave on our last earnings call $519 million. However, this is important. This is due to the $124 million of the distributor rebates that we accrued during the quarter which was not included in our guidance last quarter because at that time we didn't know how many games were - the leagues were going to schedule. So, if you exclude the accrued rebate, we - our revenue would have been within our guidance range. Media revenues of $669 million for our broadcast and other segments which excludes the RSNs were within our guidance range with both advertising and distribution revenues coming in as expected. As Chris mentioned, the advertising market improved as we move through the quarter. June ended with our broadcast and other segments declining 26% over the same period last year which was a significant improvement over the 43% drop in April. July has seen the improvement continuing finishing down 20% for the month. And even as political ramps up in the third quarter and it's expected displace other advertising categories, we still expect to finish the third quarter down 15% to 22% in core advertising which is an improvement over the second quarter performance. Subscriber churn in the second quarter across all of our segments was 7% on a year-over-year basis that's slightly higher than the trend over the past few quarters but understandable given the impact of COVID-19 on the economy and the number of people that are unemployed in the country. Consolidated median operating expenses of $569 million were down 50% on a pro forma basis compared to last year's $1,139 million and that's due to the absence of the live games, the lower sports rights amortization and proactive cost controls. Our focus on managing our expenses during the quarter drove the $11 million positive variance to guidance. Adjusted EBITDA on a consolidated basis increased 31% to $254 million due to the inclusion of the Local Sports segment. On a pro forma basis, adjusted EBITDA declined $391 million driven by a $330 million decline at the Local Sports segment. And a $61 million decline at the Broadcast and Other segments. The Sports segment adjusted EBITDA of $110 million was down from last year's pro forma $440 million and that's due to the distributor rebate accrual, the absence of Dish, which was in last year's numbers, and the impact of COVID on the number of games. It is important to keep in mind that unlike GAAP results for the Sports segment, which included minimal amortization due to no live sports being played, Local Sports adjusted EBITDA reflected the continuation of sports payments made during the quarter. So, just to put this simply, the sports segment results during the quarter reflect the accrual for the rebates to the distributors, but no benefit from the expected rebates from the teams, which are expected in the second half of the year. Again, excluding the accrued rebate, we beat total company adjusted EBITDA on additional cost controls at the Broadcast and Other segments. Consolidated adjusted free cash flow excluding the nonrecurring legal litigation, COVID, transaction, and regulatory items of $9 million was $46 million. That’s $79 million below the lower end of our guidance, but again excluding the rebate accrual, we have - we exceeded our guidance slightly. For the first six months of 2020, adjusted free cash flow was $156 million; and using our estimated share count through yesterday of approximately 79 million shares outstanding, that reflects additional shares that we bought back here in the third quarter, that results in free cash flow per share of $2.11 in the six-month period. Diluted earnings per share on 81 million weighted average common shares at June 30th was $3.12 in the quarter or $3.21 when adjusted for nonrecurring items. Our liquidity position in both credit silos is strong with neither silos’ revolver drawn and both silos having ample cash on hand. During the quarter, we launched an exchange for all of the outstanding Diamond 6.625% senior notes. $66 million of the aggregate principal amount or approximately 4% of the outstanding issue was exchanged for $31 million of new 12.75% notes and cash payments of approximately $10 million. In total, the transaction reduced our debt by $35 million. Now, while we would have liked to have exchange more of the bonds, the feedback we received was that the noteholders agreed with us that the bonds are undervalued and so chose to hold on for the future upside. And as Chris said, that is a strong message for all holders of our cap structure. We continued our stock buyback program during the quarter repurchasing over 5 million shares of our common stock at an average price of just over $16 per share. So far, for the third quarter to-date, we have repurchased over 4 million additional shares. Since the start of the year, 21% of the total shares outstanding and 29% of the float had been bolt back. During the quarter, we continue to execute on our plan to reduce cost with savings going for the short term and the longer term. We continue to scrutinize all spending, delaying or eliminating non-essential expenses including open positions, medium promotional spend, G&A, and CapEx in addition to the variable expenses to come with fewer gains and lower revenues. And we continue to look for additional opportunities. We are confident that we can handle a prolonged period of weakness by executing the opportunities identified as well as additional steps we could take if necessary. Turning to segment details for the broadcast and other segments. Media revenues decreased 7% versus the same period a year ago as advertising revenue was significantly impacted by the pandemic. A 36% decline in core advertising revenue was partially offset by higher political revenue and an increase in distribution revenue. The Broadcast segment’s revenue also benefited from $25 million of management incentive fees paid by the Local Sports segment that was not in last year's Q2 results and gets eliminated in consolidation. We came in at the middle of our revenue guidance range and $12 million over the high end of our adjusted EBITDA guidance. For the Sports segment, media revenues of $616 million, decreased 38% versus pro forma results of $992 million in the second quarter of last year. Much of the decline was expected and was due primarily to the absence of DISH, the lack of advertising revenues related to the postponement of the games, subscriber churn and the cruel distributor rebate and the accrual distributor rebate. Diluting the accrued rebate, we were very close to guidance. Media expenses in the second quarter were $106 million and 84% decline to last year's pro forma $659 million. As explained, this is primarily the result of minimal sports rights amortization being booked in the quarter due to no professional games being played. As compared to guidance, media expenses were slightly higher as a result of slightly higher than expected production programming expenses. Local sports adjusted EBITDA of $110 million for the quarter was below pro forma results of $440 million last year and below our guidance range of $190 million to $202 million, again, due to the distributor rebate accrual and if you exclude the rebate accrual, we would have beat our local sports adjusted EBITDA guidance. So, hopefully, you're seeing a trend here as it relates to the distributor rebate accrual. If you back that out, we were - we either met or exceeded all of our guidance in the second quarter. So, now turning to the consolidated balance sheet. The consolidated cash at the end of the quarter was $622 million, that includes $171 million at STG and $436 million at Diamond. Total debt at the end of the second quarter was $12.399 billion and the net leverage ratio for consolidated Sinclair at quarter-end was 6.4 times. Sinclair Television Groups first-lien indebtedness ratio on a trailing eight quarters with 2.6 times on a covenant of 4.5 and 4.5 times on a net leverage basis through the bonds. Diamond’s first lean indebtedness ratio on a trailing four quarters with 6.5 times on a covenant of 6 in a quarter, which again only springs if the revolver is drawn over 35%. On a total net leverage basis through the bonds, Diamond was levered 8.5 times. In terms of guidance, there is still much uncertainty around the resilience of the economy in COVID’s impact. Our guidance will therefore be limited to the third quarter. Keep in mind that any change to the expected plans in the sports leagues could cause our reported Local Sports results to deviate meaningfully from our guidance. For our Broadcast and other segments, our third quarter media revenue guidance is $777 million to $805 million that is up approximately 6% to 10% from last year's pro forma $733 million. This is driven by higher political and distribution revenue, which is partially offset by a projected 15% to 22% decline in core advertising. Adjusted EBITDA for the Broadcast and other segments is expected to be between $187 million and $211 million compared to $216 million pro forma last year. For the Sports segment, third quarter media revenue is expected to be $718 million to $727 million. That's down 15% to 16% of last year's pro forma $858 million. The projections include the impact from the distributor rebate accrual. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $402 million to $410 million as compared to $425 pro forma last year with the decline primarily due to the distributor rebate accrual, the absence of DISH carriage fees and subscriber churn offset by lower rights payments to the teams. I do want to point out that there is a sizable increase in GAAP media expenses in Q3 that is as a result of MLB, NBA, and NHL sports rights amortization be an expense in the quarter again reflecting when the games will be played. While this increase is expenses on a GAAP basis, it is a noncash item that does not impacted adjusted EBITDA which is based on sports rights payments not the rights amortization. Mentioned before the sports rights payments reflect the offsetting benefit from the teams on the fewer games with some of that partially reflected in Q3 and the majority in Q4. For the consolidated companies, third quarter media revenues are expected to be a $1,460 million to a $1,497 million. Adjusted EBITDA of $589 million to $621 million, and a just a free cash flow of $374 million to $411 million. Based on our current share count of approximately 74 million shares, this equates to free cash flow per share of approximately $5.05 to $5.55 in the third quarter. So with that, I would like to open it up for questions. Operator?