Lucy Rutishauser
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Please proceed
Thank you, Chris. We at Sinclair hope that everyone is safe and healthy. And as Chris pointed out, we'd like to give a shout out to our employees who have ensured we remain on the air and keep you, our viewers informed and entertained. We'd also like to thank our staff for a quick and smooth transition to work from home. Your positivity, creativity and commitment had been inspiring.Despite the impact COVID-19 had on revenue towards the end of the quarter, we still exceeded our EBITDA and free cash flows guidance. Keep in mind that the inclusion of this fourth segment this year, which was in last year's first eight months numbers is responsible for many of the larger changes in our actual results versus the same period last year.Therefore in many cases, I will be speaking about results versus prior year pro forma, which is a much more meaningful comparison and assumes we own the RSNs in those periods. Our Q1 actuals and much of our guidance is in this morning's earnings Release, so rather than spend time on the call repeating those numbers, our focus on key financial metric of the consolidated company and each silo.For the consolidated company, immediate revenues for the first quarter increased about $900 million, due primarily to the inclusion of the Sports segment. On a pro forma basis, total media revenues were down versus last year's first quarter media revenues of $1.618 billion. As higher political and digital ad growth, as well as higher distribution revenue at our legacy business, only partially offset the absence of DISH revenues in this Sports segment and COVID impacts on ad revenues in March across all segments.As a reminder, our legacy business consists of our local news and marketing services segment as well as our corporate and other segments. While January and February advertising gains were strong, ending out mid-single digits. In mid March, we began to see the effects of COVID-19 with the postponement of professional basketball, hockey, and baseball games, and the cancellation of advertising commitments.Subscriber churn in the quarter was mid single digits on a year-over-year basis. The churn rate continues to be effective by one large MVPD and as we stayed at last quarter, excluding that distributor subscribers were flat. It's still too early to tell due to the reporting lags to know what's COVID has had any impact on subscribers either up or down, but we know that in 2008 during the great recession, subscription-based businesses fared better than ad-based businesses.And with the stay in place rules in many States, TV is one of the few entertainment options available to people. The consolidated media expenses of 1,38 million were better than our guidance and flag on a pro forma basis compared to last year and that's on lower sports expenses due to the postpone games as well as cost savings in the wake of COVID, which all set the higher network programming cost and SG&A.Adjusted EBITDA on a consolidated basis increased 69% to 281 million with the inclusion of the Sports segment contributing 58 million. Pro forma adjusted EBITDA was down from Q1 last year, 415 million with the largest driver being the absence DISH in the Sports segments and higher network cost. However, EBITDA exceeded our guidance as lower than forecasted expenses more than offset the lower revenues.Consolidated adjusted free cash flow excluding non-recurring legal mitigation transaction and regulatory items of 20 million was a 110 million, which was 37 million higher than the top end of our guidance. Please keep in mind that there are timing events that occur in the first quarter, which historically have made it one of the lowest EBITDA and free cash flow quarters of the year.Diluted earnings per share on 91 million weighted average common shares was $1.35 in the quarter where a $1.53 when adjusted for non-recurring items. As Chris mentioned earlier, we took steps to win the quarter to enhance our liquidity out of an abundance of caution and not as a result of pressing liquidity needs in the short term. We borrowed 225 million of Diamond's revolver and 648 million of STG. However, in April, we repaid a portion of the STG revolver bringing the current outstanding balance down to 225 million. The revolver draws are sitting as cash on both silos balance sheets.In March, we also elected to pay in kind Diamond's first quarter preferred stock dividends, which were preserved 13 million of cash. We also eliminated our non-essential travel delayed open positions, reduced media spending and deferred non-essential CapEx. In total, we have identified approximately a hundred million of discretionary and sales-based expenses for this year, including 14 million of savings realized in Q1. There's also another 30 million of non-essential CapEx, which is expected to be saved this year.I do want to emphasize that while we currently do not anticipate liquidity constraints, should there be a prolonged period of economic weakness. There are additional measures we could take to further control cost, slow our working capital needs and generate cash. But we do not believe, we need to take these steps at this time. So in the quarter, we took advantage of a steep drop in the prices of our publicly traded securities. We repurchased nearly 10 million shares of Sinclair stock at an average price of $17.65.In the second quarter, we have repurchased another 3 million shares. Since the start of the year, 14% of the total shares outstanding have been repurchased. Our buy back creates approximately $10 of share price accretion. Our dividend now yields over 5% annualized, which on an after tax cost basis is more expensive than STG's debt and represents the best use of STG's free cash flow.Turning to the statements for the legacy business, media revenues increased 17% on strong advertising revenue growth in the first two and a half months for the quarter before COVID-19 slowed the economy and resulted in ad cancellations towards the end of March. The early quarter strength was across both political and core advertising. We ended the quarter with total advertising up 12% or down 1% ex political.Political advertising of 40 million was first quarter record for Sinclair. Distribution revenue increased 15%, the legacy business also benefited from 23 million of management incentive fees paid by Diamond. This revenue as a reminder is eliminated in consolidation. Adjusted EBITDA for the legacy business increased 34% at 223 million. This was near the high end of our guidance due to the higher net distribution revenue and cost controls that all set the lower COVID advertising impact.In the Sports segment media revenues of 812 million decreased 14% versus pro forma results of 948 million in Q1 of last year. The decline was expected was due primarily to the absence of DISH as well as lower advertising revenues related to the postponement of profession league games.Sports adjusted EBITDA of 58 million for the quarter was above our guidance range of 30 million to 33 million due to lower direct game costs, cost controls and timing of sports rights payments that more than offset that decline in advertising. On a pro forma basis the decline from Q1 last year's adjusted EBITDA of 231 million was due to the absence of DISH as well as higher sports rights payments and the incentive fee paid to STG. Sports rights payments of 612 million in the quarter were 221 million higher than the sports rights amortization for the quarter, which is a timing item within the year. As a reminder, right payments are typically highest in the first and fourth quarters.Turning to the balance sheet, consolidated cash at the end of the quarter was 1,342 million including 844 million at STG and 483 million of cash at Diamond. Again, keep in mind that STG's cash balance included the 648 million of drawn revolver and Diamond included the 225 million on drawn revolver. STG, I just want to remind you again, we had since repaid a large portion of that such that there's only 225 million outstanding.Total debt at the end of the first quarter was 13,302 million, and the net leverage ratio for consolidated Sinclair at quarter end was 5.7 times. Sinclair Television Group's first lien indebtedness ratio on a trailing eight quarters was 2.5 times on a covenant of 4.3 and 4.3 times on a net leverage basis through the bonds. Diamond's first lien indebtedness ratio on trailing four quarters was 5.4 times on a covenant of 6.25.And I want to remind everybody that maintenance covenant only springs into effect, if the revolver is strong over 35%. On a total net leverage basis, Diamond was seven times. In terms of guidance for the second quarter and the rest of the year, obviously, the outlook right now is uncertain with it unknown how long the economy will continue to be impacted by COVID and how long professional sports leagues will postpone their seasons.Therefore, we are suspending our full year guidance until we have more visibility into the rate of improvement in the economy, relaxation of stay in place, restrictions and resumption of league the play. For the second quarter, we continue to see advertising declines as a result of the game suspensions and general weakness in the economy and our underlying advertiser businesses.For the legacy business, our second quarter media revenue guidance is 656 million to 686 million, down approximately 5% to 9% from last year. This is driven by a projected 32% to 39% decline in core advertising. EBITDA is expected to be a 107 million to 133 million as compared to 193 last year.On the flip side, we continue to expect strong political advertising which is highly concentrated in the second half of the year, and that will help offset some of the weakness in core advertising. For the Sports segment, second quarter media revenue is expected to be 748 million to 760 million, down 23% to 25% to pro forma last year's 992.We have assumed none of the professional leagues resume playing in the second quarter and that the DISH contract will not be executed in the second quarter. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be 190 million to 202 million as compared to 440. Pro forma last year with the decline primarily due to the reasons I just said.I want to point out that the largest decline in the expenses is the result of minimal fourth amortization. Since we have assumed no games in the quarter, there will be no sports rights amortization and while this reduces expenses, it is a non-cash item that does not impact EBITDA, which is based on sports rights payments, not amortization. And as Chris pointed out, we continue to pay the team and the distributors continue to pay off per the contract.And finally, for the consolidated company, media revenues are expected to be $1.379 billion to $1.421 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $297 million to $335 million and adjusted free cash flow of $125 million to $169 million. And on 80 million shares, this equates to free cash flow per share of $1.56 to $2.11 in the second quarter.And with that, we'd like to open it up to questions.