Operator
Operator
Greeting and welcome to the Reliance Steel & Aluminum Company's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2016 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Our question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Ms. Brenda Miyamoto, Investor Relations for Reliance Steel & Aluminum. Thank you. You may begin. Brenda S.Miyamoto - Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co.: Thank you, operator. Good morning. And thanks to all of you for joining our conference call to discuss our fourth quarter 2016 financial results. I'm joined by Gregg Mollins, our President and CEO; Karla Lewis, our Senior Executive Vice President and CFO; Jim Hoffman, our Executive Vice President and COO, and Bill Sales, our Executive Vice President of Operations. A recording of this call will be posted on the Investors section of our website at investor.rsac.com. The press release and the information on this call may contain certain forward-looking statements, which are based on a number of assumptions that are subject to change and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties or other factors which may not be under the company's control, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievement of the company to be materially different from the results, performance or other expectations implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to those factors disclosed in the company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015 under the caption Risk Factors and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The press release and the information on this call speak only as of today's date and the company disclaims any duty to update the information provided therein and herein. I will now turn the call over to Gregg Mollins, President and CEO of Reliance. Gregg J. Mollins - Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co.: Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Operationally, 2016 was a terrific year for Reliance as our focus on maximizing gross profit margin resulted in our first-ever annual gross profit margin above 30%. Although somewhat improved from 2015, the macro environment for our industry continue to be challenging with overall lower demand levels and pricing volatility, resulting in the sales decline of $737 million in 2016 compared to 2015, due mostly to lower metal pricing. However, the expansion of our FIFO gross profit margin to 29.8% for the 2016 year, a 380 basis point improvement over 26% in 2015, added $328 million more gross profit dollars, generally offsetting the reduction to our pre-tax income from our lower sales levels. We believe our ability to increase our gross profit margin was made possible by significant investments we have made in our value-added processing equipment to provide our customers with superior service and quality in combination with our pricing discipline and effective inventory management. Maximizing gross profit margin has always been a priority at Reliance, but in late 2014 we placed a renewed focus on properly pricing the value we provide to our customers, as well as being selective with the orders we fulfill, which is easier to do when your inventories are in good shape. This focus and effort produced six consecutive quarters of FIFO gross profit margin improvement and a 600 basis point improvement from 25.1% in the fourth quarter of 2014 to a peak of 31.1% in the second quarter of 2016. While rising metal prices supported our peak gross profit level in the second quarter of 2016, the fundamentals that I mentioned earlier, increased value-added processing, pricing discipline and inventory management have lifted our gross profit margin expectations to a new level. Assuming no significant changes in market conditions, we believe that we can sustain a reported LIFO gross profit margin within the range of 27% to 29%. Our 2016 inventory turn rate was 4.5 times based on tons, nearing our companywide target of 4.7 times. We believe an efficient inventory position benefits our gross profit margin, in that it enables us to focus on higher margin business. We experienced significant metal pricing volatility throughout 2016, especially for carbon steel products. Based on the CRU published pricing index, hot-rolled coil prices increased by $242 per ton in the first half of the year, declined by $151 per ton in the July to November period, and an increase by $140 per ton from December through February. In spite of these dramatic pricing swings, we were able to manage through this volatility, maintaining our FIFO gross profit margin at 29% or better throughout 2016. However, given our product mix, we ended the year with our 2016 average selling price down 6.8% compared to 2015. Metal pricing in 2016 was positively supported by trade cases filed by U.S. producers on various products, along with production capacity discipline and price increases in raw materials. The trade cases have helped stabilize import levels and lower the spreads, as metal prices overseas had increased to a level where it's not all that advantageous to buy foreign material. Although, metal pricing weakened in the third quarter, the environment recovered at multiple price increases were announced by mills throughout the fourth quarter of 2016 and that's continued into 2017. Our average selling price in the fourth quarter of 2016 was basically flat with the third quarter, which is better than our expectation of down 1% to 3%. As we begin 2017 there is some pressure on certain raw material cost. However, we anticipate a positive pricing environment in the first quarter of 2017 with current pricing levels holding and possibly improving. Customer demand levels have remained generally healthy, in line with the difficult seasonal slowdown, our fourth quarter tons sold declined by 5.6% from the third quarter, consistent with our expectation of down 5% to 7%. For the full year of 2016, our same-store tons sold declined by only 2.7% and once again outperformed the MSCI industry average shipments which were down 6.2%. We believe we've been able to continue growing our market share through our unique diversification strategy along with our decentralized operating structure, investments in value-added process and equipment, and focus on customer service, including small order sizes and just-in-time delivery. While overall demand for metal products was not as strong as we expected when we entered 2016, customer sentiment has improved and we anticipate improving demand level as we move through 2017. We believe our exposure to a broad array of products and end markets helps mitigate declines in any single market. The automotive and aerospace markets in particular have continued to be very strong for us. We have also performed well, servicing the non-residential construction market as it continues its slow recovery, and we are encouraged by early signs of life in the energy market. In regard to energy, the general consensus from our customer base throughout the country is more positive today than it was 90 days ago. We've been seeing improved quoting activity and order flows, though order sizes have been much smaller. As the downturn in oil prices and drilling activity began toward the end of 2014, we proactively addressed the declines in this market through facility closures and asset write-downs at certain of our energy-related businesses and believe we are well-positioned to participate in any recovery. With incremental spending in both infrastructure and energy on the horizon, we expect overall metals demand in the U.S. to improve, which ultimately benefits Reliance. Turning to M&A. In 2016, we successfully completed three acquisitions, increasing our total to 62 quality companies acquired since our 1994 IPO. Since joining the Reliance family, each of these three acquisitions has performed in line with our expectations. These companies fit our acquisition strategy of growth and specialty and high margin products and services and all were immediately accretive to our earnings. The acquisition Tubular Steel strengthen our foothold in the energy end market. Although current activity levels are lower than normal in energy, we are confident in this market's long-term strength and Tubular Steel's ability to benefit during the recovery. Best Manufacturing increased our high margin value added processing capabilities and Alaska Steel broadened our geographic reach with our first entry into the Alaskan market in diverse industries, including infrastructure and energy. Looking ahead in 2017, the acquisition pipeline remains active and our two-pronged growth strategy remains unchanged. We will continue to focus on organic investments, primarily in cutting edge, value added processing equipment that will enhance our earnings. And we are always interested in and continuously evaluating well run companies that complement our diversification strategy and meet our stringent acquisition criteria. Our strong cash flow generation has enabled us to grow both organically and through acquisitions, while simultaneously returning cash to our stockholders through quarterly dividends and opportunistic share repurchases. We increased our regular quarterly cash dividend to $0.45 per share effective in the first quarter of 2017, a 6% increase. We have paid dividends for 57 consecutive years and this is our 24th increase since our 1994 IPO. In summary, 2016 was a solid year for Reliance. We could not be more pleased with the strong operational performance by our managers in the field. Their strict pricing discipline and diligent expense and inventory management enabled Reliance to thrive, despite challenging market conditions. We look forward to 2017, which we expect will feature a renewed enthusiasm for infrastructure and equipment spending, as well as improvement in the energy market and we believe that Reliance is very well positioned to capitalize on these opportunities. I will now hand the call over to Jim to comment further on our operations and market conditions. James Donald Hoffman - Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co.: Thanks, Gregg, and good morning, everyone. First off, I would like to recognize our folks in the field that contributed to our many successes in 2016 and particularly our enhanced gross profit margin. I'm very proud of these achievements. Now, I'll comment on both pricing and demand for our carbon steel and alloy products, as well as our outlook on certain key end markets we sell those products into. Bill will then address our aluminum and stainless steel products and related end markets. Demand for automotive, which we service mainly through our toll processing operations in the U.S. and Mexico, remains very strong at current production rates. The increased usage of aluminum in automotive has been the primary driver behind our growth activities. Given our significant capital investment, we expect to further increase our volume of aluminum processed in 2017, surpassing our record levels obtained in 2016. In addition to investments in processing equipment, we've been expanding our facilities to support the higher levels of automotive demand for both carbon and aluminum processing. Our new facility in Monterrey, Mexico commenced operations in July of 2016 to support automotive activity in that area is already running at close to capacity, in line with our expectations. In regards to our new U.S. facility in Kentucky, construction remains on schedule and we expect that facility will become operational in mid-2017. Our Kentucky facilities will be used to support both aluminum and steel processing in that region. We will continue to strategically add incremental capacity to drive higher levels of profitability in our toll processing operations. Fourth quarter demand in heavy industry, which includes railcar, truck trailer, shipbuilding, barge manufacturing, tank manufacturing and wind and transmission towers, was comparable with levels experienced in the third quarter of 2016, though still down on a year-over-year basis. As a reminder, heavy industry includes sales to agriculture equipment OEMs, which has been a weaker area of the market. That said, our heavy industry exposure is mostly to small and mid-size agricultural equipment rather than the larger equipment, which is experiencing greater weakness. Also of note, we are experiencing improved demand trends in the road construction equipment market due to the five year infrastructure bill, which was passed in December of 2015. Demand in non-residential construction market continues to experience steady upward growth. We expect improvements in our tons shipped will continue in 2017 at a slow but steady pace, though volume is still far below peak levels. We're continuing to invest in processing equipment for the businesses that sell into non-residential construction to ensure we are providing the highest possible level of service to our customers and we are positioned to absorb increased volumes in our existing footprint and cost structure as this end market improves. In addition, the prospect of adding additional spending on our domestic infrastructure bodes very well for Reliance. Demand for energy, which is mainly oil and natural gas, improved somewhat versus the prior quarter. Though drilling activity levels remain low, rig counts continued to increase throughout the fourth quarter and into January. In fact, for the first time in about a year, rig counts in January were up year-over-year, though still far below peak levels. As Gregg mentioned, quoting and overall activity has been on the rise, which has created a much more positive environment for our customers in our energy businesses. These encouraging signs of new activity lead us to believe that the bottom of this downturn is behind us. Because of the proactive measures we took to right-size our energy businesses during the downturn, we feel positioned to support new activity as drilling and rig counts continue to improve. Pricing for carbon steel products, especially hot-rolled coil, improved significantly in the fourth quarter of 2016, with multiple mill price increases announced throughout the quarter. Increased raw material pricing, especially scrap, as well as multiple carbon steel trade cases filed in the U.S. throughout 2016, helped support the domestic pricing trends. Increases were also announced on plate and long products, which represents our largest product exposure. Although there is potential for scrap to decline, we believe increased customer demand and fewer imports in the first quarter should support current pricing levels. Lastly, for alloy products, the majority of which are sold into the energy end market, our volumes continued to decline in 2016, but given our expectation of the improved demand for these products, we anticipate flat to higher pricing. I will now hand the call over to Bill to comment further on our non-ferrous markets. Bill? William K. Sales, Jr. - Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co.: Thanks, Jim. Good morning, everyone. Let me also start by congratulating our folks in the field on an outstanding operational performance in 2016, especially in regard to our gross profit margin improvement in a difficult pricing environment. Keep up the great work. I will now review pricing and demand for our aluminum and stainless steel products. I'll also discuss some of the key industry trends in the markets for these products. I'll begin with aerospace which continues to be a very strong end market for Reliance. We consider mill lead times, build rates and backlogs to be a key indicators of the health of the aerospace market. Today, lead times continue to be about seven to nine weeks for aluminum aerospace plate. Build rates should improve modestly in 2017, led by single-aisle planes. And we expect build rates to continue to increase through 2018 and 2019. The backlog for orders of commercial planes remains very healthy. Overall demand in the aerospace market continues to be solid, especially for aluminum plate where we experienced healthy volume growth in 2016. Based on these trends, our outlook for the aerospace market remains positive. Of note, 2017 marks the beginning of our involvement with the five-year $350 million Joint Strike Fighter program, strengthening our already strong position in the aerospace and defense markets. In addition to the JSF program, we are seeing increased activity from many of our defense customers as spending on defense ramps up. I'm also pleased to announce that we're in the process of expanding our aerospace presence to India through our All Metal Services subsidiary based in the UK that we acquired in 2014. This expansion represents our first entry into India and we are excited to be able to support our aerospace customers on a more global basis. We expect the business to become operational by the end of the third quarter of 2017. Turning now to pricing trends. The majority of the products that we sell to the aerospace market are heat-treated aluminum products, especially plate, as well as specialty stainless steel and titanium products. Prices for heat-treated aluminum plate have remained fairly stable with the prior quarter. Common alloy aluminum conversion pricing has remained fairly stable, as did our volume levels in 2016. Most of our common alloy aluminum products are sold to sheet metal fabricators that support a variety of end markets. Pricing of common alloy aluminum sheet follows the price of ingot. We expect some modest improvement as the Midwest spot price trends up slightly. Lastly, demand for our stainless steel flat products, which are primarily sold into the kitchen equipment, appliance and construction end markets remained solid. Pricing has continued to improve as a result of that solid demand with both the base price and surcharge increasing in January. Thank you for your time and attention today. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Karla to review our fourth quarter and 2016 financial results. Karla? Karla R. Lewis - Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co.: Thanks, Bill, and good morning, everyone. Our net sales in the fourth quarter of 2016 were $2.1 billion, up 1.7% from the fourth quarter of 2015 with our tons sold down 1.1% and our average selling price per ton sold up 2.7%, compared to the third quarter of 2016, our net sales were down 5.7% with our tons sold down 5.6% and pricing was flat. The decline in tons sold compared to the third quarter was due to normal seasonal factors, including fewer shipping days as a result of holiday-related customer closures and was in line with our guidance of down 5% to 7%. We had expected our average selling price to decline 1% to 3% in the fourth quarter as compared to the third quarter. However, due to the multiple mill price increases during the fourth quarter, our average selling priced held in higher than we had anticipated. We were very pleased with our ability to sustain our strong gross profit margin throughout 2016. Our FIFO gross profit margin of 29.0% in the fourth quarter of 2016 was up 230 basis points from 26.7% in the fourth quarter of 2015. Although, metal pricing trends were improving in the fourth quarter of 2016, our year-end cost of inventory on hand was lower than at the end of the 2015 year, resulting in a LIFO inventory valuation adjustment of a credit or income of $35 million for the full year 2016 compared to income of $117 million in 2015. At December 31, 2016, our LIFO reserve was a debit balance of $52 million. Because our LIFO inventory cost on hand at December 31, 2016 was higher than current replacement cost, we recorded a lower of cost or market reserve of $42 million. In our fourth quarter guidance, we estimated a pre-tax LIFO inventory valuation adjustment of $15 million of income for the 2016 year anticipating $3.8 million of income in the fourth quarter. The actual adjustment recorded in the fourth quarter of 2016 was income of $16.2 million, resulting in $0.11 more earnings per share than we had estimated. At this time, we anticipate that metal prices will increase in 2017 compared to our inventory cost on hand at the end of 2016. If prices increase, we anticipate a LIFO charge or expense in 2017 which could be at least partially offset by adjustments to our lower of cost or market reserve. As in prior years, we will update our expectations quarterly based upon our inventory costs and general metal pricing trends. Metal pricing has a significant impact on our sales and earnings levels. For the full year of 2016, our sales of $8.6 billion were down 7.9% from 2015. Our average selling price for 2016 was down 6.8% or $107 per ton from our average selling price in 2015, reducing our sales by about $624 million solely due to lower metal prices. And this also reduces our gross profit dollars, most of which would also reduce our operating and pre-tax profits. However, because we were able to increase our FIFO gross profit margin by 380 basis points to 29.8% in 2016, we earned $328 million more gross profit dollars than we would have earned at our full year 2015 FIFO gross profit margin of 26.0%. In other words, compared to our full year 2015 financial results, in 2016, we generated more gross profit dollars on $737 million of less sales, demonstrating the importance and positive impact of our higher gross profit margin. Our effective income tax rate for the full year of 2016 was 28.0% compared to 31.1% in 2015. Our lower rate in 2016 was mainly due to the favorable resolution of certain tax matters in the first quarter of 2016. And we currently expect that our full year 2017 effective income tax rate will be approximately 31.5%. Net income attributable to Reliance for the fourth quarter of 2016 was $61.7 million or $0.84 per diluted share. Our non-GAAP diluted earnings per share were $0.84 in the fourth quarter of 2016 compared to $0.87 in the fourth quarter of 2015 and $1.25 in the third quarter of 2016. For the full year of 2016, our earnings per share were $4.16, the same as in 2015, despite our low sales levels, resulting mainly from lower metal pricing, which was offset by our improved gross profit margin, effective expense management and lower tax rate. Please refer to our earnings release issued earlier today for a reconciliation of our non-GAAP adjustments. Turning to our balance sheet and cash flow. Because of our effective working capital management and strong gross profit margin, we generated $238.9 million of cash from operation during the fourth quarter, resulting in $626.5 million for the full year of 2016. At December 31, 2016 our total debt outstanding was $1.9 billion consistent with December 31, 2015 and our net debt to total capital ratio was 30.3%. At December 31, 2016, we had just under $900 million available on our $1.5 billion revolving credit facility. Our strong cash from operation enabled us to both grow the company and return value to our stockholders. In addition to funding the three acquisitions we completed in 2016 for a total of $348.7 million, we use our cash from operations to fund $154.9 million of capital expenditures and to pay quarterly cash dividends totaling $120.4 million to our valued stockholders. Looking ahead to 2017, we expect to continue executing on our balanced capital allocation strategy that includes growth through both acquisitions and organic investments, as well as stockholder return activities, including payments of our increased quarterly dividend and opportunistic repurchases of our common stock. Our 2017 capital expenditure budget is $200 million, the majority of which will be used to support our ongoing organic growth initiatives, including opening new facilities and increasing our value added processing capabilities. Turning to our outlook, given the positive sentiment for both metal pricing and demand in early 2017, we are optimistic in regard to those business activity levels and metal pricing. We estimate tons sold will be up 8% to 10% in the first quarter of 2017 compared to the fourth quarter of 2016 due to normal seasonal factors as well as our January shipment levels exceeding year ago levels. Metal pricing continues to trend higher for almost all of the products we sell. Therefore, we expect our average selling price in the first quarter of 2017 will be up 2% to 4% from the fourth quarter of 2016. As a result, we currently expect earnings per diluted share to be in the range of $1.25 to $1.35 for the first quarter of 2017. In closing, we continue to be very pleased with our overall financial performance, and I'd like to thank all of our employees for their outstanding execution in 2016 that contributed to our strong performance. We look forward to continued success in 2017. That concludes our prepared remarks. Thank you for your attention. And at this time, we would like to open the call up to questions. Operator?