Jeffrey Ventura
Analyst · Rehan Rashid with FBR Capital Markets
Thanks, John. I'll begin with the Marcellus update. Our exit rate for the third quarter of 2010 in the Marcellus was 191 million cubic feet equivalent per day net, with approximately 71% of the production being natural gas and 29% NGLs and condensate. At the end of the third quarter, approximately 34 million cubic feet equivalent per day of net production was shut in and waiting on gathering and compression facilities currently under construction. By year end, we expect all of these production will be online. We announced a series of great wells in the liquid-rich portion of the Marcellus play last week in our operations release. These 18 new wells look like they will exceed our five Bcfe average reserve estimate for the Southwest part of the play. The five Bcfe reserve estimate is comprised of 3.6 Bcf of gas and 239,000 barrels of liquids. At a $4 flat gas price for ever a $60 per oil price flat for ever, the rate of return from Marcellus well and the wet gas area is 60%. Fully loading this case with 100% of our current corporate G&A rate and with all land costs, the rate of return is still 47%. Running the base case with current script pricing versus the $4 flat gas and $60 flat oil, the rate of return goes from 60% up to 75% and looking at the fully loaded case and assuming script pricing, the rate of return goes from 70% up to 60%. Given a low gas price in our development plan to hold acreage, our plan is to drill fewer wells per pad with moderate lateral lengths and frac stages. Doing this will keep our cost to drilling complete at approximately 4 million in the Southwest, given the economics I just stated, and will keep our rate of return at 60%. We have tested longer laterals of the 5,000 feet and up to 17 frac stages. Others have experimented with even longer laterals. We'll continue to watch the long-term production data from these tests, which will help to determine a way to optimally drill and complete these wells from an economic point of view. The longer lateral wells are significantly more expensive and have higher mechanical risks. In the meantime, we know that in a multi-well development mode, we can drill and complete for approximately $4 million per well, which generates a 60% rate of return. We know that these economics are excellent. And we know by doing so, the wells are less expensive, and we will conserve capital. Like most others in this low gas price environment, we'll be capital-constrained. So for the same dollar amount, keeping our well costs down will allow us to drill more wells. More drilling, coupled with fewer wells per pad, will hold more acreage. There are other advantages as well. Drilling four wells per pad, for example, versus eight wells per pad will allow us to hook up wells faster. In practice, we drill all of the wells on a pad and frac them altogether. Logistically, it's also easier. For example, getting enough water at one time to frac four wells is easier than doing so for eight wells. We announced in our operations release last week that we recently completed the trade of Marcellus Shale acreage. We acquired 42,000 net acres in Washington County, Pennsylvania and transferred 55,000 net acres, of which 47,000 net acres were in West Virginia and 8,000 net acres were in Sullivan and Bradford counties in Pennsylvania. This trade worked well for both sides of the deal. From Range's perspective, we're not active in West Virginia. And the acreage positions in Sullivan and Bradford counties are scattered. The exact opposite is true from the perspective of the company we traded with. It helped them consolidate and block out in their core areas. For Range, the acreage we acquired in Washington County in essence filled in a lot of the missing pieces of the puzzle, or put another way, filled in a lot of the remaining gaps on our position there. Range has a very significant position in Washington County. We now have approximately 280,000 net acres there. This is an area where we have the most well performance, best gathering system and the most consolidated acreage position. In essence, all of this acreage is de-risked. Operationally, it's much more efficient for us to drill, complete and gather here. In addition to making Range's acreage position more operationally efficient with the trade, the term left on the leases we acquired is longer than the leases we traded. However, we acquired fewer acres than we traded. For Range, the benefits clearly outweighs the net loss of acreage. This is the fifth trade like this we've done in pursuing our long-term strategy of acreage consolidation in our key areas. Consolidating and blocking up our acreage makes our position more efficient in many ways. When we drill in a blocked up area, that one well holds more acreage than if it's not blocked up. It makes our gathering more efficient, and the wells are more concentrated and not as far apart, which makes our gathering cost less. The more blocked up position minimizes the cost to rig moves. It's also more efficient and a single water impoundment can service more pads than when the acreage is more consolidated. It's also easier on the land development and other groups in many ways, and it also benefits the community where we operate. And it allows us to better optimize our infrastructure to limit the impact on the surface. As a result of these trades, we now have fewer acres. But what we have is clearly higher quality, blocked, more efficient and increases our drillable acreage position in a number of available drill sites in the wet gas area of Southwest Pennsylvania. Our total number of acres in the fairway is now about 850,000 net acres. Of this, approximately 40% is held by production. About 600,000 of the 850,000 net acres are in the Southwest portion of the play, and the remaining 250,000 acres are in the Northeast. Going forward, In addition to drilling the whole acreage, we'll continue to work on acreage trades so we can continue to consolidate our acreage position. We also have and will in the future let some of our non-strategic and isolated acreage expire. These are smaller, scattered tracks that are more on the edges of the fairway or small positions in the dry gas area, which we cannot efficiently develop. Although we will have fewer acres, we believe that by concentrating in the highest productive areas, we will still have the same upside and make it easier to capture. Last week in our operations release, we disclosed the result of our first upper Devonian Shale test. The average seven-day test rate for this well was 5.1 million cubic feet equivalent per day. This is a very significant test for us. It shows that the interval that looked productive on logs and then had gas shows is indeed productive. Also for our very first try out-of-the-box in this horizon, the rate is pretty impressive. It's doubtful that on our first try, we landed the lateral with the optimum location. I'm also pretty confident that we didn't optimally stimulate it, so there's likely significant upside. It's encouraging that the reservoir pressure that we encountered is about the same as in Marcellus in this area, which is over-pressured. If thermal maturity is also similar to the Marcellus and should roughly track it in regard to the wet and dry portions. The gas in plays for the bulk or where we believe the play is most prospective ranges from 60 to 100 Bcf per square mile. Importantly, it directly overlies a lot of our Marcellus acreage in the Southwest, where the Marcellus gas in place averages 75 to 125 Bcf per square mile. Since it stacks together on our acreage, the aggregate gas in place in the Southwest is estimated to be 135 to 225 Bcf per square mile. It literally sits right on top of the Marcellus. We're still holding our Utica test results confidential for now. Range drilled the first horizontal Utica well in the Appalachian Basin. CNX is still holding [indiscernible] the well, and others are currently drilling. We feel that a lot of our acreage is prospective for the Utica Shale as well. The build-out of the infrastructure continues on schedule. Details were outlined in the operations report last week and are listed on our website. First production in Lycoming County is expected at year end. I'll now move to the Midcontinent and talk about some of our plays there. In our release last week, we announced a couple of outstanding Woodford wells that are in the Ardmore Basin in Marshall County, Oklahoma. The first well tested at an average rate of 801 barrels of oil and NGLs per day and plus 2.3 million cubic feet of gas per day or 1,176 barrels of oil equivalent per day. And the second well tested 1,064 barrels of oil and NGLs per day and 2.7 million cubic feet of gas per day or 1,514 barrels of oil equivalent per day. We have 19,200 gross acres and about 7,800 net acres in this play. About 3/4 of this acreage is currently held by production. There are 221 well locations on this acreage, of which Range would operate about half of them. We have drilled and completed 12 operated wells to date. And our more recent wells look like they will recover on a per well basis about four Bcf, 35,000 barrels of oil and about 625,000 barrels of NGLs. That is about eight Bcfe or 1.3 million barrels of oil equivalent per well depending on how you look at it. The wells have a TVD of about 7,000 feet and the current laterals are about 5,000 feet. The cost of drilling complete is about $4 million per well. At the current script pricing, the rate of return is 98%. The next play in our Midcontinent division that I want to discuss is our horizontal Mississippian play. In Northern Oklahoma, Range has announced another strong horizontal Mississippian well that tested at a rate 410,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. We now have five wells in the area. Currently we have approximately 15,000 net acres in this play. This is a horizontal redevelopment of an old field that was drilled vertically. We have identified 108 wells to drill here. About half of our acreage in this play is held by production. The true vertical depth of the Mississippian section here is about 5,000 feet and the laterals are about 2,200 feet. The horizontal wells in the development mode will cost about $2.1 million to drill and complete. Reserves are estimated to be about 300,000 barrels per well. This is comprised of 536 million cubic feet of gas, 80,000 barrels of oil and 128,000 barrels of NGLs. At current script pricing, this results in an 80% rate of return. In addition, Range controls about 80,000 gross for 42,000 net legacy acres that are all held by production in the Cana Shale play in the Anadarko Basin. Roughly 2/3 of the net acreage is in Blaine and Canadian counties and roughly 1/3 is in the very southern part of Major County. The Blaine and Canadian County acreage is either in the heart of the play or directly on trend with industry activity. The southern part of Major County is where the Cana is in the oil window and shallower. In souther Major County, the true vertical depth of the Cana well would be about 85,000 feet versus about 13,000 feet in Blaine and Canadian counties. Recent Devon completions have reported sustained 30-day rates from seven million to eight million cubic feet per day and are located about three to four miles southeast of Range's holdings. Additional activity by Continental Resources has been reported at 5.1 million cubic feet equivalent per day and lies on trend within 10 to 12 miles of Range's legacy acreage. Numerous well permits have been issued adjacent to a large range block in southern and central Blaine County, which lies between both areas of activity. In the Southwestern division, we announced three new wells in the Barnett Shale and Denton County that were brought online with a gross combined rate of 15 million cubic feet equivalent per day. That's comprised of 8.1 million cubic feet of gas per day and 1,156 barrels of NGLs and oil. In addition, we've just recently completed five new wells at Tarrant County and are in the process of completing three more wells. In aggregate, we expect these wells to come online at rates of 32 million per day gross or 22.5 million per day net. We also continued our successful deepening of wells in Conger Field coupled with the successful Wolfcamp recompletion. These four wells averaged 561 barrels of oil equivalent per day each. We have been mapping the horizontal oil potential work properties in the Permian basin. To date, we believe we have about 155 gross and 118 net locations combined between our Conger Field and Powell Ranch properties in West Texas and Loving properties in Southeast New Mexico. Our first well will be in Powell Ranch and should spud early next year. The target formation at Conger and Powell Ranch is primarily the Wolfcamp Shale and the target formation in New Mexico is the Avalon Shale in Bone Spring. All of our acreage in these three field is held by production. In the Nora area, which is all dry gas and all either held by production or we own the minerals, we have significantly slowed down our drilling. For example, our CBM drilling this year is about half of our 2009 program, which was significantly less than the prior year. Our high graded efforts are focused on re-completions, optimizing the compression and gathering in the field and drilling in our most prospective areas. Back to you, John.