John Pinkerton
Analyst · Simmons & Company
Thanks, Jeff. Terrific update. Before we look to the remainder of 2010, I'll spend a few minutes in summarizing of what we we've accomplished so far in the first half of the year. As we discussed production in the first half exceeded expectations, due to better-than-expected drilling results, and due to these results and the small Virginia acquisition, we're increasing our production guidance for the year from 12% to 14% and this does include the impact of the asset sales. On the cost side, we continue to drive down our unit cost, in particular the reduction in direct operating cost and DD&A are particularly encouraging. The good news is that these are not onetime events. We expect the unit cost to continue and decline in the quarters ahead. Another significant accomplishment was completing the Ohio sale earlier in the year, when gas prices were higher and by completing the initial closing in the first quarter, where we're able to lock down our drilling plans for the year. Next, the Virginia acquisition we completed in June couldn't have come along at a better time, and we're excited about the potential of the properties as Jeff has mentioned. Acquiring the properties at good prices and using the 1031 account proceeds were the home run. As I've said many times, I love the Nora area. It is our Energizer bunny and that it keeps on going and going and gets better and better. The most significant achievement in the first half of 2010 is clearly the progress we continue to make in the Marcellus Shale play. As Jeff mentioned, our well performance continues to improve, our returns continue to improve. The infrastructure buildout was right on track, the quality and depth of the field service partners continues to improve, and the regulatory environment is becoming more predictable. While we haven't said much about the other formations due to competitive reasons, we made progress identifying and quantifying the potential of the other formations and are extremely excited about their potential. Bottom line is, that we are even more convinced today versus at the beginning of the year, that we have found a giant gas field that generates very attractive returns, at very low natural gas prices. Importantly, we have accumulated an extremely large, attractively-located acreage position in the play. Every month, more and more of our acreage is being derisk and we really like what we see. Lastly, given that most of our capital spending in 2010 is focused in the Marcellus Shale play. The results there will drive our production reserve results for the year. Due to the excellent drilling in the first half of the year and the Virginia acquisition as I noted before, we've increased our production guidance. With regard to reserves, we currently believe we are on track to record an all-in find development cost of less than $1 per Mcfe for 2010. This will be the first time in our history to go below $1. This is key, as it clearly indicates the quality of the Marcellus and its superior economics. Looking through the remainder of 2010, we see continued strong operating results. For the third quarter, we're looking for production to average $495 million to $500 million a day, representing a 14% increase year-over-year. Our third quarter production, where we'll reflect the sale of both the New York properties we sold last December, and the New York properties we sold at March of this year. So the 14% third quarter target equates to 19% after adjusting for the asset sales. Now that we closed the Ohio property sale, I'll take a moment to look at the impact of our divestiture program. Over the past few years, we've reduced our well count by roughly 6,000 wells. As Jeff mentioned, this represents 50% of our well count, but they only represent approximately 9% of our production reserves. The properties we sold were more mature, higher cost properties. The good news is that while we were selling our more mature higher cost properties, we refocused on our capital in our higher return properties like the Marcellus, the Nora area and the Barnett Shale. As a result, despite the assets sales, the production reserves continues to increase rapidly. Over the same three-year period, we've seen our well count declined, our production is driven by over 50%. As a result, Range is a much more efficient company, we like to say we're doing more with less. By less we mean less wells, low refining development cost, lower operating cost and lower year end cost per Mcf. We believe this is critical in a low-cost environment. Turning to the topic of joint ventures. We were often asked about the various joint ventures that are either coming through or completed and what our current thoughts are. We prefer not to complicate our operations, in the way we do business. We continue to have discussions internally and with third-parties regarding joint ventures. I think it's important to differentiate between the industry joint ventures versus what we call the large financial joint ventures. Industry joint ventures or JVs where two companies in the industry pooled their acreage primarily for efficiency reasons and to jointly share the risk of developing the combined acreage position. Financial JVs, where one company contributes to land and the second company contribute to help defer the cost of development. So far nearly all the joint ventures associated with the shale plays have been the large financial joint ventures. Due to our drilling results and other industry wells, a substantial portion of our acreage has been derisked in the Marcellus. Because of the reduced risk of our acreage, we can reasonably model our acreage and from a NAV per share basis. Bottom line, if we received an offer that is NAV accretive, we'll seriously pursue it. As Jeff mentioned, we believe that our Marcellus acreage could result in production one day, and potentially 2 or 3 BCF per day. Assuming we entered into a large financial joint venture, where we gave up a third of our acreage, we would be given up a third of the production or roughly 700 million to nearly 1 BCF per day. While I want to make clear this is a very simplified analysis, one can readily see that we should be extremely careful in considering the NAV per share impact of any large financial JV. That being said, at Range, we focused on NAV per share. I believe we've demonstrated this over the years in a very disciplined way. I'll now take a moment to discuss the regulatory environment in the Marcellus play. While challenging, the regulatory environment has improved in many ways over the past three years. First, the drilling permit process in Pennsylvania has gotten much more predictable, and we're regularly receiving permits in 30 days or less. Second, the water access and flow back process is much more predictable, especially given that Range is recycling 100% of its flowback water in the southwest portion of the play. The Pennsylvania DEP is very supportive of our recycling program. It's not only a better environmental solution, but it also saves us money. With regard to the severance tax in Pennsylvania, the good news is the state has not yet enacted the tax. In the past the past several years, we and the rest of the industry have worked hard to educate and worked with the Pennsylvania legislature about issues surrounding the severance tax, encouraging them to take a holistic approach, whereby, any severance tax would come with a balance regulatory modernization. Recently, the Pennsylvania legislation announced that it would work for the severance tax proposal causing for enactment on or before October 1, 2010, and effective January 1, 2011. We are continuing to closely monitor the situation and believe a holistic balanced approach will likely result. There's also been much discussion pro and con about hydraulic fracturing. As we discussed this issue with many people in Pennsylvania, the clear message we received was that there was a great desire to know more about the makeup of our frac-ing fluid. As a result, we have spent several months working with our service partners that we could disclose the content of our frac-ing fluid. On July 14, we announced a voluntary disclosure initiative regarding the Marcellus Shale frac-ing fluid. We announced that we'll submit to the Pennsylvania DEP additional information about the content of the fluid on a well-by-well basis and also posted information on the website. We also announced that the current frac fluid moisture contains 99.86% water and sand, with the remaining 0.014% being chemical additives. Of the additives, 0.004% are considered hazardous in a concentrated form, according to the Federal Regulatory Classification, and like most common household chemical substances, in a diluted form, post no harm. Our objective with this initiative is to continue at Range this philosophy of transparency and to provide all the citizens of Pennsylvania an accurate record of our frac fluid content and put their concerns at ease. Our recent survey data indicates that a great majority of the citizens of Pennsylvania support Marcellus drilling. We felt that our voluntary disclosure initiative was simply the right thing to do. We have received very positive feedback from nearly everyone regarding our initiative, including regulatory environmental legislators, land owners and other Marcellus operators and the general public as a whole. We are hopeful that other Marcellus operators will follow through, but we understand it will take them a while to work through the disclosure issues with their service companies. We are actually convinced that the Marcellus can be developed in a way that it's safe and environmentally sensitive for the benefit of everybody. We don't believe it's an either/or situation. By developing low-cost, clean burning natural gas in a safe and environmentally sensitive way, everybody wins. In the weeks and months ahead, we will be coming out with initiatives towards better educating Pennsylvanians about how we go about developing natural gas on the Marcellus in a safe and environmentally sensitive way. We have been working on this broader initiative for some time and look forward to rolling it out. With it, we would be taking a proactive position, with the goal of beginning to dispel many of the non-taxable statements that others have made. Our number one goal is to simply educate. We believe that the Marcellus Shale play and natural gas is a great opportunity, and once more and more people understand and better understand the issues, they will embrace the safe and environmentally sensitive development. Finally, I'll take a few minutes to discuss capital expenditures and funding. As Jeff discussed, Range is in an admirable position as we believe we can now grow the Marcellus production from 116 million a day, net, where we are today to 2 or 3 Bcf net over the next several years strictly through the drill bit, I may add. To add to what Jeff said, we believe we can do this at a fine development cost of $1 per Mcf or less. This is extremely good news for Range and its shareholders. Because Range is not a major oil company or an extremely large independent, we were able to accomplish this high growth at extremely low cost. The impact on our NAV per share will be extraordinary. The challenge is how do we capture as much of the NAV impact for Range's shareholders? We firmly believe that if we stick to our disciplined approach, by focusing on NAV per share, we will put ourselves in the best position to drive up our NAV in the medium to long term. Instead of trying to douse you with some of the new financial maneuvering, I'll first review what our past track record had been. Over the past two and a half years, I think since the end of 2007, we have expended $4.6 billion of capital. 51% of funding has come through operating cash flow, 19% from asset sales, 18% from the issuance of debt and 13% from the issuance of equity. Since 2007, we have increased the shares outstanding by 7% in total or about 2.8% per year on average. Looking forward, we plan to take the same approach. That being said, developing a giant gas field in a low-price environment will be challenging. However, we have several advantages going for us. First, the Marcellus Shale, and especially the liquid-rich portion of the Marcellus, is extremely economic even at low gas prices. Our analysis indicates that $2.50 flat NYMEX gas and $60 flat oil or liquid ridge area in Southwest PA generates a 35% rate of return. So it makes sense for us to aggressively develop our Southwest PA acreage position in the current gas price environment as we'll be generating attractive returns, increasing NAV per share and fast forwarding the net present value. The increase of the 2010 capital budget is a reflection of this. Funding the increase will come from a combination of additional asset sales and draws under our credit facility. The second advantage is that the Marcellus Shale is uniquely located in the best gas market in the world. Therefore, Marcellus ore [ph] gas will have a location premium over other large gas plays in the U.S., Canada and throughout the world. Third, there's a significant and existing large pipeline infrastructure already in place to move Marcellus gas to market. While there'll be investment necessary to interconnect the large existing pipeline systems to the Marcellus gathering systems, the investment will be far less than the other major new gas plays. Fourth, Range has a significant amount of other production that it can sell from time to time to help fund the Marcellus. Fifth, Range has a strong balance sheet and nearly $1 billion of liquidity to help fund our growth. Sixth, Range has an attractive hedge positions for 2010 and 2011 that will help underpin our cash flow. Most importantly, because the Marcellus is so economically attractive, over time, it will become self-funding. The self-funding point will depend on a number of factors, including natural gas prices, the pace of development and the cost to develop. With understand the concerns of shareholders who worry about dilution through the issuance of equity. We are right with you there as all of us at Range have a great majority of our net worth in Range stock. However, I'd be misleading you if I didn't expect that all of us would suffer some dilution in the future. However, I will commit to you that we would do the best and minimize the NAV dilution from where we are to reach the point of self-funding. These are extremely exciting times at Range. We have a great team of people at Range, highly motivated to bringing forward our NAV per share as quickly as prudently possible. The second quarter results are reflection of our passion and our ability to succeed. We truly appreciate our shareholders' continued support. The future is extremely bright at Range. With that, operator, let's turn the call open for questions.