Michael Nierenberg
Analyst · FBR Capital Markets. Your line is open
Thanks, Mandy. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our Q2 earnings call. We had a terrific quarter and a very busy one. We announced the acquisition of HLSS, which gives us critical mass in our three core areas of our Company; MSRs, Servicing Advances, and Call Rights. During the quarter, away from the HLSS acquisition, we also acquired or agreed to acquire 59 billion of legacy MSRs, again which is separate from the HLSS acquisition, further growing our MSR investments in the company. In the quarter, our non-agency business took on a bigger role as a result of the acquisition of more Call Rights in the non-agency mortgage space. We grew our non-agency mortgage holdings by 35%. During the quarter, we announced record earnings, raised our dividend, and we put the Company on the path for future growth as we seek to grow our core earnings. We are now one of the largest capital providers to the mortgage servicing industry. As we look forward, we’re very excited as the second quarter’s activity puts the company in a great position for continued success. Within MSR portfolio of over $400 billion and the potential for the Federal Reserve to raise rates, we own one of the few asset classes that will likely go up in value as rates increase. Our Call Rights also put us in a very unique position in the marketplace, with the ability to call over $200 billion of non-agency mortgage security. Before I refer you to the supplement, which has been posted online, I want to spend a second and talk about the timing of our earnings release. Corporate acquisitions are not always easy. The closing and integration of HLSS was more challenging than expected. And quite frankly we needed a couple of extra days to tie up all loose ends and finalize numbers. I do want you to know that we’re still on target as we think about the future and while there was a bit of noise in getting this transaction closed, we’re thrilled with the transaction. I’ll now refer to the supplement which has been posted online, and I’m going to begin on Page 2. A few quarters ago, we set out to try and simplify the Company by focusing on three -- on our three core segments. We’ve done that by growing our Mortgage Servicing Rights, Servicer Advance business, and our Non-Agency business. We’ve grown our Q2 core earnings on a year-over-year basis by 13%. Our total return year-to-date is 20%. Life to date dividends paid by the Company have been $487 million. Overall, terrific metrics on all fronts. On Page 3, I want to talk about our financial performance. In the quarter, we had record core earnings of $92 million or $0.45 per diluted share. That compares to Q1 of $63 million or $0.44 per diluted share. Our GAAP income in Q2 was $75 million or $0.37 per diluted share versus $36 million or $0.25 per diluted share. And again in the quarter, we raised our dividend to $0.45 from $0.38, a terrific quarter. I do want to mention that in the quarter, there was a little bit of noise and certain things affected our core earnings -- had our core earnings go to $0.45, and I just wanted to touch on that for a second. Our MSR settlements were delayed a bit, and to the extent that they were settled earlier in the quarter, that would have resulted with an extra penny in core earnings. We also had some one-time acquisition costs of $0.05, and an additional cash drag of $0.01. So overall without these earnings drags, our earnings would have been $0.47 to $0.48 in core earnings. On Page 4, I want to spend a minute as to why we’re different -- why we think that we’re different than other mortgage REITs. Again, we own a very large portfolio of mortgage servicing rights over $400 billion. MSRs are one of the few investments that should rise again in value as REITs go higher, simply because prepayments will slowdown and you’re going to have more cash flow for a longer period of time. Our mortgage servicing portfolio is something that you simply can’t replicate in today’s market. We also -- I also want to be clear that we’ve no intention today of raising equity as our existing portfolio should give us the ability to excess liquidity of up to $1 billion for future investments. In the acquisition or investment, we will hopefully be able to funded with our own balance sheet. The other thing I want to point out as you look at the bottom of the page, again as we own over $200 billion of Call Rights on the Non-Agency Mortgage market and we think the optionality that that gives us over time should help differentiate us from the rest of the pack. On Page 5, it talks about we go through the second quarter and just talk about some of the things that we’ve done, so beginning in April we announced the acquisition of HLSS that was a $1.4 billion acquisition. In April and June, we raised equity to pay for the acquisition, as well as fund other investments. In May of 2015, we increased our dividend by 18% quarter-over-quarter. We also announced record core earnings for Q1 and today we’re announcing record core earnings for Q2. As you look to the right side of the page, the one thing I want to highlight is we continue to do a lot more marketing, work closely with our research coverage, and quite frankly we won't be happy until we see our dividend yield trading in a more normalized range of what we feel is right in the 8% to 10% range. Just to give you a benchmark, HLSS traded between a 6% and 7% dividend yield going back in time. On Page 6, I want to talk about our Q2 highlights. As I mentioned, in April we acquired HLSS for $1.4 billion. In that acquisition, what we acquired were -- was $156 billion of seasoned credit impaired non-agency mortgage servicing rights. We acquired $5 billion of Servicer Advances, and then we acquired some loans which I'll talk about in a little bit. We raised $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion of equity to pay for HLSS and fund our investments. On the Excess MSR side, I pointed out that we acquired or agreed to acquire $59 billion of legacy MSRs in the quarter. We also paid off -- we took out some short-term debt to acquire HLSS, and the short-term debt was around our MSR portfolio, and we pay down $650 million of the $850 million of MSR debt in the quarter. Our lifetime IRR on our MSR portfolio is currently 24%. On the Servicer Advance front, we increased our financing capacity to $11 billion, and we continue to improve the terms of our financing facilities. We are currently in the market today with a $1.5 billion term securitization around Servicer Advances. That deal will increase our advance freights, lower our cost of funds, and effectively the way to think about this is raise equity at a cost of funds of approximately 2.5%.On our Servicer Advance portfolio, our life to date IRR is 28%. On the non-agency side of our business, Non-Agency Securities and Call Rights in the quarter recalled 18 seasoned non-agency mortgage deals, which was approximately $369 million in unpaid principal balance. We then issued $334 million securitization and our life to date on our non-agency securities portfolio has been 44% IRR. We had a very, very busy quarter and the way that we think about the Company is we’re well positioned for all interest rate environments. On Page 7, this gives you a snapshot of our balance sheet and the way that we think about the Company. We currently have investments as you look in Excess MSRs of $1.7 billion, that compares to the end of Q1 of $750 million. Our Servicer Advance portfolio grew from $200 million to north of $600 million. Our Non-Agency Mortgage Securities portfolio grew from $200 million to north of $300 million and then the opportunistic investment bucket that’s really our consumer loans which we’ve spoken about in prior quarters, which we carried a basis of zero, and then we’ve some loans that we continue to acquire as a result of our call activities, and then as of 6/30 we had cash in our balance sheet of $246 million. So again our goal continues to be to simplify the Company, grow our business in our core asset classes, and continue to drive returns for our shareholders. Now if you will flip to the Excess MSR page, I’ll talk a little bit about our performance and again what sets us apart from the rest. Our Excess MSRs continue to perform very well. We grew our portfolio by 67% in the quarter to $415 billion with a market value again of $1.7 billion. Today our Excess MSR represents 57% of our total equity. As we look at the market and we think about acquiring MSRs, we’re very selective. We continued with our investment thesis to buy legacy or credit impaired MSRs, which we feel will have lower prepayment risk and will have a better ability to recapture that borrower to the extent that they refinance or try to pay off that loan. 85% of our portfolio is backed by credit impaired borrowers, with a FICO score of approximately $659 million. 98% of our portfolio is either seasoned or recently recaptured. On average, the portfolio is seasoned by 106 months or almost 10 years. Most of these borrowers have already seen a low in rates. While the second quarter saw speeds and the broader mortgage market increased slightly, we’ve already seen a drop with July prepayment REIT numbers published last week, slower by 10%. As we look at our recapture rates, our recapture rates for the quarter remain steady. For Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac collateral, they were approximately 30% to Ginnie Mae collateral bucket was 20% to 25%, and PLS has been around 10%. And typically on the PLS front most of those borrowers when they prepay its more from a default than it is an electric prepayment. As it relates to our recapture, we’re striving to try to get higher recapture numbers, one of the things that our partners at Nationstar have done, they’ve actually hired a new person to run their origination business with a large focus on recapture. Our lifetime IRR for our portfolio is at 24% and this includes the HLSS portfolio, which we recently acquired. On our Servicer Advances, the investment has been performing extremely well. Our team has done a great job working with our financing counterparties to increase capacity, increase advance rates, and lower our cost of funds. As I mentioned before, we currently have $11 billion of capacity to finance the investment and we currently have $3.5 billion of unused or -- of unused capacity, so to the extent that we acquire more portfolios of private-label mortgage securities, we are in a great place to be able to be fund more Servicer Advances. As we mentioned last quarter, we are still working on a large portfolio of private-label securities with an approximate UPB of $75 billion on the MSR front. The acquisition of HLSS brings our advance portfolio to approximately $8.5 billion of advances with equity invested of $638 million, that’s as of 6/30. Our advances have a 90% advance rate and a cost of funds of 2.2%. 68% of our advances are either fixed rate or we’ve purchased caps which mitigates increases in interest rates. So should short rates rise, we feel like we’re in a great place to be able to mitigate any increases that we potentially will see in interest rates. On the legacy side, pre-HLSS, our advance balances at the time when we announced that deal in December of 2014 have decreased from $5.2 billion to $2.5 billion. Our initial investment of $313 million is currently valued at $161 million and we have already received cash flow of $208 million. Our IRR on that investment has been 28%. As I pointed out earlier, we’re currently in the market with a termed securitization which we hope to price later this week. The effect of that will increase advance rates by about 6% and it is our intention to lower our cost of funds. All in all, we are very happy with the investment and continue to do what we can to increase advance rates and lower our cost of funds. Now I want to spend a minute talking about our Non-Agency Securities portfolio and our Call Rights. As I pointed out earlier, our non-agency business will continue to take on a greater role over the next couple of years as more and more of our call options become in the money, as deals pay down, delinquencies decrease, and advance balances come down. If you take a look at this page, we feel this is a great way to get grounded as how we make the money when we do a deal collapse. And simply, we buy bonds at a discount that accrete to par when we call them. We call the collateral at par plus expenses, we then securitize or sell the loans at a premium. The delinquent loans that we take back are retained on our balance sheet at fair market value and that those get liquidated or modified over time. Since we’ve begun this strategy, we’ve been averaging approximately two to three points of P&L per deal. If you flip to the next page, we attempt to show our pipeline and had a think about this. Today, the notional amount of -- were the UPB of our call pipeline is approximately plus $200 billion. We believe each and every one of these deals will get called at some point in the near future. As we look forward, we project the current balance to be approximately $100 billion at the time of call. If you think about this, two points times a $100 billion is $2 billion, so the optionality that we have in this business is enormous. I'm using this as an example to illustrate how we think about the power of our Company and the earnings potential down the road. As we look at 2015, and looking ahead, we’ve had a very transformative quarter and year so far. We continue to try and realize record core earnings, increasing our dividends, and simplifying our strategy. So far so good. We feel we’re in a unique position with plenty of liquidity. There is no need to raise equity, a robust pipeline and a robust pipeline of investments. We are really excited about the future and delivering results for our shareholders. In the following pages, there is more information on our portfolios for your reference. I'll now turn the call over back to the operator for Q&A. Operator?