Eric Langan
Analyst · Sidoti
Thanks, Gary. Good afternoon everyone. Please turn to Slide 4. After the market closed, we issued our third quarter earnings news release and filed our 10-Q. We reported another great quarter of strong core results. We are in active negotiations with club managers in multiple markets to purchase their clubs. Our newest Bombshells in Pearland, a Houston suburb, continues to do very well and all four of our Bombshells units in development are moving ahead on schedule. Turning to our results; we achieved record quarterly revenues a $42.6 million, up 14% year-over-year. GAAP EPS for the third quarter was $0.55, up 38% from a year ago. During the quarter one of our subsidiaries had approximately $500,000 lawsuit settlement, excluding that and other smaller items, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.58, up 24% from a year ago. Free cash flow increased 17% year-over-year to almost $8 million. Favorable trends are continuing, we believe we'll exceed our fiscal 2018 free cash flow target of $23 million and we'll announce our fiscal 2019 target in December when we report year-end results. Please turn to Slide 5 for an analysis of third quarter operating performance. Compared to the year ago quarter, total revenues reflect increases of 12% from new units and 5% from same-store sales. New units included a full quarter of the bombshell 290 in Houston which opened in the fourth quarter of '17, nearly a full quarter of the new bombshell in Pearland which opened in early April, and a small contribution from the renamed Kappa Men's Club. Last year's two major acquisitions, Carlos Cabaret in Miami and St.Louis transitioned in the same-store sales over the course of the third quarter. All of these translated into segment sales increases of 8% for nightclubs and 54% for Bombshells. In addition, all core revenue lines continue to grow with beverage up 14%, food up 33%, and high margin service revenues up more than 6%. GAAP operating profit increased 20.4% to $9.5 million. Key factors included big increases in segment operating margin for both, nightclubs and bombshells; this more than offset a modest increase in corporate overhead. Non-GAAP operating margin at 23.4% was about level with last year, in part due to significantly larger contribution from the bombshells in the mix. Please turn to Slide 6. A variety of other factors -- a variety of factors drove our performance. In general, we've benefited from the improvement in our portfolio of nightclubs and restaurants along with increased operating leverage from higher revenues, particularly in the bombshell segment. We have continued to see increased customer counts in nightclubs and restaurants, and strong marketing around pro-basketball playoffs and the start of the baseball -- and the pro-baseball season. There were some specific factors nightclubs benefited from the economy doing well which has been reflected in higher oil prices which helped revitalize the Texas oil patch. Bombshells continue to benefit from the interest of the Houston Rockets and Houston Astros', as well as the new menu items we introduced last quarter. As we discussed in our last conference call, corporate overhead increased; this was primarily due to hiring vendors to develop controls doubling our new financial IT systems and produced reports automating financial analysis. Having said that, I want to know there is a larger company we're exploring new ways to use our scale to reduce costs from vendors in areas such as insurance. Lastly, similar to our second quarter cost of occupancy continue to decline and because of the new federal tax law, our effective tax rate was 20% lower than last year. Please turn to Slide 7 for a look at our sales and margin trends over the last two years. Same-store sales are now up nine quarters in a row, this is the longest continuous quarterly up trend we've had since early fiscal 2013. In the third quarter we started the comp against year ago increases of 6% plus in same-store sales and increase in total revenue from this Carlos acquisition in Miami, and the acquisition in St.Louis. In the fourth quarter, we begin comping against Bombshell 290. This is where our new Bombshells Pearland has helped sales and our bombshells rollout plan will also help penning the acquisition of new clubs. As I mentioned earlier, the third quarter generated record quarterly total revenues. If all goes well over the course of fiscal '19, we will benefit from both, the new bombshells, as well as any acquisitions. As for non-GAAP operating margin, as we mentioned in the last quarter's call we expected to moderate somewhat in the second half. In general, however you can see we are on an upward trend. Please turn to Slide 8; our strong performance during the third quarter also led to strong cash. Adjusted EBITDA was up 14% year-over-year to almost $12 million. For the nine months, adjusted EBITDA was up 28% to more than $35 million. After cash itself, we had more than $13 million on the balance sheet on June 30. This was up more than 5% from March 31 and close to 33% from the start of the fiscal year. As free cash flow, it is now up 24% for the first nine months at close to $21 million. Please turn to Slide 9 to review our long-term debt. Debt continues to be very manageable, compared to March 31 it is up approximately $4 million, mainly in debt secured by real estate. There were small reductions in other types of debt across the board and our weighted average interest rate was up 5 basis points. Please turn to Slide 10. Regarding debt maturities, in the third quarter we extended $3 million in Scarlett's Miami seller financed, non-reality balloon, it now will balloon in fiscal '19. We add $4 million of realty balloon for property on U.S. 249, part of which is being used for new bombshells. This comes due in fiscal 2020 but this should be converted into a construction loan in the fourth quarter as we start building there. The only major balloon in the next five years is the $5.4 million in fiscal '20 related to the Scarlett's acquisition. If needed, we believe we can extend or refinance this before it balloons or pay it out of free cash flow. Even though total debt has increased, our higher revenues and lower interest rate on debt, cost of occupancy has continued to fall year-over-year. In the third quarter, it was 7.6% at total revenues, down from 8.2% a year ago. And for the nine months it was 7.6%. We added a new section to this slide on our total debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio. We'd like to keep this below 3x, currently at 2.95x, we are close to the 3x but that's primarily due to the extra real estate we acquired around our new bombshells. As this real estate was acquired with bank financing, and as we sell off the extra real estate over the coming months and pay down the bank debt our debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio will come down. Please turn to Slide 11 for an update on bombshells expansion plans. Our four bombshells locations in the greater Houston area continue on-schedule, we are building four locations that are the same as our prototype on Highway 290. This should assure us of consistent high quality results. In our latest developments construction is scheduled to start next week for our location on U.S. 249, and we have a location in key [ph] under contract and awaiting business permit -- our building permits to be approved. When possible we are using bank financing to purchase bombshells real estate and finance construction, fixtures and furniture to enhance our cash-on-cash returns. The new units will bring the change to 10 bombshells in operation by the middle of next year, the average bombshells will be -- has been running a little more than $4.5 million in annual revenues with segment operating margins around 20%. Doing the simple math, we are looking at having the bombshell segment by the end of the next fiscal year with an estimated run rate of $40 million to $50 million, and as revenues increase so should operating leverage which would help expand profitability. Our next target markets continue to be San Antonio and Miami. In case you didn't see it, we put out a news release last week announcing how restaurant business magazine named Bombshells to it's 2018 list of fastest growing new restaurant concepts. We greatly appreciate this third-party recognition, and this is especially rewarding since we've only open the first location five years ago. Please turn to Slide 12 to review our capital allocation strategy. We simplified the slide down to it's core tenants of our strategy, the key metric we look at is our free cash flow relative to our market capital. Based on free cash flow of $23 million and current market cap of more than $310 million the after-tax cash flow yield on our equity is in the mid 7% range. This is what we consider to be our risk-free return by buying back our own assets in the open market. At that yield however, we are more likely to use capital more productively for club of acquisitions or the open bombshells as we are doing. To compensate for this added risk our hurdle rate has to be at least 25% to 33% cash-on-cash return unless there is a significant strategic rationale to do otherwise. Should free cash flow rise or our stock price ease to the point where the yield is nearing that double digit percentage range, and it exceeds the yield of accelerating payments on our highest interest debt we would look at buying back shares again. Currently $25 is the breakpoint for these criteria, with the stock significantly above that price we would continue to use capital to acquire or open new units. So the stock fall below that point, it would use capital to buyback shares. We continue to apply this formulae in lessons learned from the past to almost all of our decisions involving capital investment. To wrap up, please turn to Slide 13 for a review of our three to five year financial goals. Our objective is to grow free cash flow by more than 50% from our fiscal '17 level to approximately $30 million a year. On a per share basis we'd like to grow that on an average of 10% to 15% per year. We have three strategies for achieving that; one, acquire more great clubs in the right markets. As I mentioned at the start of this call, we are currently in active negotiations with club owners in multiple markets to purchase their clubs. Two, continue to expand the number of company owned bombshells, our target is three per year. And third, is strict adherence to our capital allocation strategy. If we can't find the right acquisitions or bombshells locations we will sit, wait and let our capital build. Now let's open the calls for questions.