Eric Langan
Analyst · Sidoti
Thank you, Gary. Good afternoon everyone. Please turn to Slide 4. After the market closed, we issued our Second Quarter Earnings News Release and filed our 10-Q. We reported another great quarter of strong core results. The new Bombshells in Pearland, a Houston suburb, is doing very well. We now have four new locations in various stages of development that will expand the chain to 10 units by the middle of next year. We also announced we have reactivated discussions to acquire a number of night clubs from several owners. Turning to our results. GAAP EPS for the second quarter was $0.48 a share, up 23% from a year ago. During the quarter, we wrote down the note from the sale of Robust and settled two lawsuits. Excluding those and other small items, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.65, up 59% from a year ago, and free cash flow increased 9% year-over-year to more than $5 million. Our outlook continues to be favorable for the second half of the fiscal year and we are reiterating our fiscal 2018 cash flow target of $23 million. Please turn to slide five for an analysis of our second quarter operating performance. Total revenue increased more than 19% year-over-year to more than $41 million. 16% of the increase came from new units and 5% from same-store sales. All core revenue lines continued to grow. Beverage was up 22%. Higher margin service revenues were up 14% and food was up 25%. GAAP operating profit increased 10% to more than $8 million. On a non-GAAP basis, you can see the real strength of our business. The nightclub segment maintained a high 35% margin. Margin for Bombshells segment expanded approximately 200 basis points to more than 20% for the first time. Corporate overhead costs fell 17% to about $3 million as a percentage of total revenues. They declined to 7.2% from 11.8% in the preceding first quarter and from 10.3% in the year ago second quarter. All told, non-GAAP operating income increased 38% as margin expanded to 25.7% of total revenue compared to 22.2% in the year ago quarter. Please turn to slide six. A variety of factors drove these revenue and margin gains. In general, there has been an improvement in our Nightclub and Restaurant portfolio. Along with increased operating leverage from higher revenues, we have also seen increased customer counts in both nightclubs and restaurants. As we have previously reported, the quarter also benefited from the strong marketing around the Pro Football Championship in February and the Pro and College Basketball games in March. There were some significant factors that provided a tailwind to our major segment. Nightclubs saw higher spend per customer. Bombshells benefited from continued success of the Houston Rockets and an updated menu featuring new items. Corporate costs were down sharply. On a sequential quarter basis, this reflected in part completion of our extensive fiscal 2017 audit and the transition to our new financial IT system. The second quarter is likely to be a low quarter for these costs. In general, we anticipate overall expenses in absolute dollars will rise going forward. That would be due to the opening of Bombshells in Pearland and on I-10 East and the hiring of vendors to help us develop controls governing our new financial accounting system, and to write reports automating business and financial analysis. There were two other factors that contributed to our second quarter performance. Cost of occupancy, which we calculate as a combination of rent and interest as a percentage of revenues continued to decline. And because of the new federal tax law, our effective tax rate was approximately 30% lower than a year ago. Please turn to slide seven. Same-store and total club and restaurant sales are up now for 8 quarters in a row. This is the longest continuous quarterly uptrend we've had since early fiscal 2013. In the third quarter, we start comparing against year ago increases of 6% plus in same-store sales, and increases in total revenue form the acquisitions of Scarlett's Miami and the club we renamed Scarlett's in St. Louis. And in the first quarter, we begin comparing against Bombshells 290. This is where our new Bombshells Pearland and our Bombshells rollout plan will help to enhance future sales gain, while we pursue the acquisition of new clubs. As for non-GAAP operating margin, we are pleased to see year-over-year growth. The quarter's margin was the highest it has been in the last 2 years. Based on my comments on the previous slide, operating margin is likely to moderate somewhat in the second half. Please see slide eight. Cash generation continued to do well. Adjusted EBITDA was up 35% to more than $12 million. This too is the highest quarterly level in the last two years. As for the six months, adjusted EBITDA was up 37% at close to $24 million. As for cash itself, we have $12.5 million on March 31. Even with all of our expansion activity, cash increased nearly 5% from December 31 and has grown 26% from the start of the fiscal year. As for free cash flow, we are now up 28% for the first 6 months to just under $13 million. That gives us even greater confidence of hitting our target for the year. Please turn to slide nine. Debt continues to be very manageable. It is up approximately $1 million from December 31. Weighted average interest rate is down 7 basis points with declines in all categories. Our real estate debt now includes $10 million related to Bombshells properties. As we've discussed in previous calls, when possible, we are using bank financing to purchase Bombshells real estate and finance construction, fixtures, and furniture to enhance our cash-on-cash returns. Please turn to slide 10. Regarding debt maturities, in the second quarter we refinanced the Bombshells $1.9 million realty balloon into a construction loan and began construction on Bombshells I-10 East. In May, we refinanced $3 million in the Scarlett's Miami seller-financed non-realty balloon. It now balloons in May of 2019. The only major balloon in the next five years is $5.4 million related to the Scarlett's acquisition. We believe we can extend that if needed or we can refinance it before the balloon is due. Even though total debt has increased slightly, with our higher revenues and declining interest rate, cost of occupancy has continued to fall. In the second quarter, it was 7.4% of total revenues, down from 7.7% in the first quarter and down from 8.3% for all of last fiscal year. Please turn to slide 11. On April 11, we opened our sixth and largest Bombshells in the fast growing Houston suburb of Pearland. For the first three weeks, sales have averaged more than $160,000 per week, making it our most successful Bombshells launch to date. We now have four locations in various stages of development in greater Houston. I-10 East Houston under construction and scheduled to open in September of this year. U.S. 59 in Southwest Houston is under construction. That unit is scheduled to open in December. We recently closed on a property in U.S. 249 in Tomball, north of Houston, and that unit should be open in March of 2019. And we are finalizing site selection for a location in Katy, Texas, a fast growing West Houston suburb. That location should be open by the end of June 2019. Over the last year, we have assembled a strong group of architects, contractors, and vendors for the creation of 290 in Pearland. Based on this experience, we're hopeful barring unforeseen delays of being able to deliver new Bombshells on a regular schedule. The new units will bring the chain up to 10 Bombshells by the middle of next year and based on recent results, the average Bombshells is now running at $4.5 million annually in revenues with an operating margin of 20%. Doing the simple math, we are looking at having a Bombshells business by the end of fiscal year with an annualized run rate of $40 million to $50 million in addition to operating leverage to continue to expand segment operating margin. Our next target market for Bombshells are in San Antonio and Miami. Please turn to slide 12. We continue to apply the lessons learned from the past and apply the formula we have developed to almost all of our decision making involving capital investment. We look at our free cash flow relative to our market cap. With an estimated free cash flow of $23 this fiscal year and the current market cap of more than $280 million, we currently have an after-tax yield in the low 8% range on our equity. That is what we consider to be our risk free return for buying back our own assets in the open market. At that yield, we are more likely to use capital for clubs acquisitions, or to open Bombshells as we are doing. To compensate for the added risk, our hurdle rate has to be at least 25% to 33% cash-on-cash return unless there is a significant strategic rationale to do otherwise. If an existing club or restaurant is not generating a significant return, we are more likely to dispose of it, free up the capital, and use that money for more productive purposes. Should free cash flow rise or our stock price ease to the point where that yield is in double-digit percentage range, we would look at buying back shares again. For the longest time, we have been saying the stock would have to be trading at a significantly higher price for us to consider accelerated paydown of our most expensive 12% debt assuming no onerous penalties. The new tax law changes that dynamic. With the estimated tax rate of 23%, the after-tax yield of paying down 12% debt is more than 9% and that's far more attractive. To wrap up, please turn to Slide 13 for a review of our 3 to 5 year financial goals. Our objective is to grow free cash flow by more than 50% from our fiscal 2017 level to approximately $30 million a year. On a per share basis, we'd like to grow that on an average of 10% to 15% a year. We have three strategies to achieve that. One, acquire more great clubs in right markets. On average, we have made more than one club acquisition per year and last year, we acquired 2. Two, continue to expand the number of company owned Bombshells. Our target is 3 per year. And three is strict adherence to our capital allocation strategy. While we are in growth mode, we will not be pressured into deals that we don't like for the sake of growth. Our aim is to make sure that each new acquisition or restaurant is right for us. If we can't find the right acquisition or Bombshells location, we will sit and wait and let our capital build. And if our stock price doesn't adequately reflect our cash generating power, we'd be happy buying back shares. Now, let's open the call for questions.