Eric Langan
Analyst · Sidoti. Your line is now live
Thank you, Gary. Good afternoon, everyone. Please turn to slide four. I’d like to start this call again by thanking everyone for sticking with us for believing in us and for helping us to maintain the value of our stock. As we promised on our February 14th call, we have been working diligently to complete our first quarter 10-Q in order to get back on schedule by the second quarter. We are pleased to report that we filed the 10-Q after the market closed today and we are now current with all of our SEC filings. We are also pleased to report another quarter of strong core results. GAAP results were a profit of $1.47 per share, in line with previous announcements we have made. That included a $9.7 million tax benefit due to reduction in our deferred taxes as a result of the new tax bill. It also included $827,000 in added interest expense, covering debt issuance costs and prepayment penalties related to our new debt refinancing. On a more comparable non-GAAP basis, EPS increased 71% year-over-year, to $0.53 per share and free cash flow increased 47% to $7.5 million. Our outlook continues to be positive for the year. Favorable revenue trends have continued to-date. And with our first quarter performance, free cash flow is on track for our recently upwardly revised $23 million target. Please turn to slide five for an analysis of our first quarter operating performance. Total revenue increased 22% year-over-year. This reflected a 16% increase from new units and a 6.9% increase in same-store sales. There was not a lot of differences between GAAP and non-GAAP operating income. So, for consistency, I’ll focus my comments on the non-GAAP results. While revenues increased 22%, non-GAAP operating income increased 44%. That reflected increased operating leverages from higher sales and an overall improved portfolio of clubs and restaurants. As part of our operating results, we incurred about $500,000 in additional expenses. These related to the cost of transitioning to our new financial management system and work towards completing our year-end audit. The end result was that non-GAAP operating margins expanded 340 basis points year-over-year to 22.5%. Please turn to slide 6. Sales have been performing very well. Same-store sales have increased year-over-year for seven straight quarters. Total Nightclubs and Bombshells segment sales are also up seven quarters in a row. The largest gains began in the third quarter and fourth quarter of last year. That reflected the acquisitions of Scarlett’s Miami and the St. Louis club in the third quarter and opening of Bombshells 290 Houston in the fourth quarter. We are working very hard to continue to growing sales year-over-year. Keep in mind, our seasonally strong periods are Q1 and Q2, and that business is generally softer in the third and fourth quarters. Also keep in mind, same-store sales increases go in waves. They go to a period of up quarters, then they subside, and then we grow again. Please turn to slide 7 to review our cash generation metrics. We continued to do very well in the first quarter. Adjusted EBITDA increased 39% year-over-year to more than $11 million. This was the highest quarterly level in the last two years. Actual cash on hand as of December 31st increased 21% to $12 million as compared to the end of September 2017. As noted on our opening slide, free cash flow increased 47% year-over-year to $7.5 million. Please turn to slide 8 to review our long-term debt. Last call, we showed estimates as to our December 31st debt positions and rates. At the time, we wanted to show favorable impact anticipated from our new bank loan. This slide shows you the actual impact, which is very close to our estimates and continues to be highly favorable. Please turn to slide 9. Here, we show you our debt maturity schedule along with our occupancy costs. The debt maturity schedule is similar to what we’ve showed you on our last call. As you can see, our amortization and the few relatively small remaining debt balloons are very reasonable for us to handle, given our cash flow. If you recall, we calculate occupancy expenses, one of our largest cost areas, as rent plus interest as a percentage of revenues. As you can see on the slide, although we have acquired additional clubs and underlying real estate with debt over the years, our occupancy costs have dropped dramatically. They were 9.4% in fiscal 2014; and as of the first quarter, they were down to 7.7%. As we sell off non-income producing real estate and make this Scarlett’s balloons payments, we should see occupancy expenses decline a little more. If you’ll please turn to slide 10, review our capital allocation strategy. As you know, there is a key metric we look at to determine whether to buy, open or close units, buy back shares or pay down debt. That is our free cash flow yield on our market capitalization. At the target, $23 million free cash flow for fiscal 2018 and the recent $28 stock price, the yield works out to about 8.5%. According to our capital allocation strategy, if the yield is in double digits range, we would likely buyback shares; if it is below that, we would likely buy or open new units. But only if we can achieve our cash on cash returns of 25% to 33% buying strategic rationale. Now, for the longest time, we have been saying that the stock would have to be trading at substantially higher prices or to be worthwhile to pay down even our most expensive 12% debt. At a 37% effective tax rate, the after tax yield on paying down 12% debt was 7.6%. With $23 million of free cash flow, that would be like buying back stock at $31, some $3 above our current market price. However, the new tax law changes that dynamic. With our effective tax rate at 23%, the after-tax yield is 9.2%. That price buying back shares at 26, $2 below current price, that’s far more attractive. This is not to suggest that we’ll necessarily pay down our debt faster, but it shows you the rationale fits with our capital allocation strategy. So, please turn to slide 11 for an update on how things are going so far this year. The second quarter is continuing to do well from a sales point of view. As we mentioned in last call, January was good despite tough weather in some markets. February was good primarily due to traffic benefiting from the pro football championship in multiple markets. We are hopeful about March with something like half a dozen major college basketball tournaments in New York City and Charlotte where we have a total of four clubs including two of our largest ones. As I mentioned on previous calls, we have three new Bombshells in the works in the greater Houston area. The Pearland unit, which will be our largest Bombshells ever is now just awaiting to gas hookup. We continue to target opening it by the end of this quarter. The other two Bombshells, one on I-10 and one on the Southwest Freeway continue to be slated for opening in the fourth quarter of this fiscal year and the first quarter of fiscal ‘19 respectively. For modeling purposes, all three are likely to open towards the end of their respective quarterly period. As for operating expenses, we still have some residual costs for IT transition and yearend audit. I continue to hope to see a more normalized operating expenses by the third and fourth quarters. Insurance costs were up 34% year-over-year in the first quarter versus 22% sales increase. We’ve already started to work on ways we could potentially reduce this expense. We’ve also begun to see salary and wage pressures around the country, so we will have to be cognizant of that as well. On the upside, the new tax bill is already helping the bottom line. During the first quarter, we had a gain of $9.7 million. Excluding that, our effective tax rate was 25.4%. Some of our analysts may still be using a higher effective tax rate. For the full-year fiscal ‘18, we anticipate the effective federal tax rate of 24.5% and the total effective tax rate of 26.5%, which includes state and local taxes. To wrap up, I’d like to review our three-year goals for any new investors on the call. So, please turn to slide 12. One, we want to grow our free cash flow per share at 10% to 15% on year average and grow our total free cash flow to approximately $30 million. Two, acquire more great clubs in the right markets. On average, over the years, we have made more than one club acquisition per year and we are currently in discussions with multiple potential candidates. Three, continue to expand the number of Bombshell company-owned stores. Our target is three per year over the next three to five years, which would give us a total of 14 to 20 units. And four, while we are in growth mode, we will not be pressured into deals that we don’t like for the sake of growth. We will work to make sure that each new acquisition of restaurant is right for us, that it meets our requirements and adds to achieving our long-term goals and not add undue risk or stress on our systems. Thank you for listening and thank you to our staffs around the country for all their hard work and for all those that were involved in closing out the quarter and making us current with the SEC. Now, let’s open the call for questions.