Marshall Chesrown
Analyst · Craig Hallum. Please go ahead
Thanks, Whitney, and thank you everyone for joining our first quarter 2019 earnings call. We're happy to report our strongest quarter to date outpacing our prior expectations. For a detailed discussion of our operating results, please review the shareholder letter we posted to our Investor Relations website. Our shareholder letter not only gives an in-depth view of our results operating highlights and business objectives, but also outlines our future expectations and answers many questions we hear from investors. Rather than repeating everything in the letter, I will make brief comments on our strategy, opportunity and expectations, and then Steve will provide some color on our financial results before we open the call to questions. In the first quarter, we sold 12,103 vehicles producing record revenue of $223.2 million and expect to deliver steady growth for the rest of the year. Based on what we are seeing in the business today and including our expectations for incremental revenue from cars and trucks in Q2, we anticipate total revenue in the range of $230 million to $240 million. Our first quarter results were driven by successful execution and integration. We continue to gain market share in power sports with consumer and dealer customers, and our automotive group demonstrated impressive growth in the first quarter. Growth in auto was in the legacy automotive business alone, without adding any additional sales channels. We are excited to introduce cars and trucks to the RumbleOn suite including buying and selling to consumers on RumbleOn.com and creating a virtual inventory for dealers on dealer direct. We now have over 2500 vehicles listed on RumbleOn.com and expect to include autos on dealer direct and RumbleOn classifieds in the coming weeks. RumbleOn is an innovative disruptor in an industry that has seen little improvement or change in its entire history. RumbleOn’s goal is not to purchase vehicles at the lowest possible price, but to disrupt the highly inefficient friction laden, used vehicle supply chain. Our market opportunity is not only the 45 plus million unit pre-owned consumer vehicle market; our opportunity is the more than $1 trillion pre-owned vehicle supply chain. If we capture even 1% of the total market, we would be generating approximately $10 billion in revenue annually. RumbleOn is a young company with an incredible opportunity however, our management's long history in the industry reminds us we may experience growing pains along the way. We don't speak about it regularly, but the RumbleOn team from top to bottom has incredible history, background and a knowledge base of traditional vehicle sales and online vehicle sales to leverage. We clearly believe this experience has a lot to do with the rapid growth of the company in such a short window of time. Our team has built many companies from the ground up and scale with huge success. As a group, we believe RumbleOn has more potential than anything we have been involved in to date. We have learned a great deal since we began this business in the second half of 2017 and intend to leverage these observations as well as our industry experience to our advantage. Now that we have successfully completed several major milestones including adding automobiles and trucks to our platform, we have amassed valuable data on business and market trends that will help us continue to optimize and fine tune our forecasting models as demonstrated in Q1. With our proven competitive advantages, we are more confident in our overreaching strategy than ever before. As I'm sure you saw last week, we priced two offerings raising approximately $40 million which are expected to close today May 14, 2019. We intend to use the proceeds to pay off existing restrictive debt, and fund general corporate purposes. Let me take a couple of minutes to review some of the exciting opportunities on the horizon. The first being, the expansion of our sales channels. This includes sales to dealers through dealer direct platform, and sales to consumers through RumbleOn.com, and in concert with these, also increased online acquisition from dealers and consumers. We plan to do this in a variety of ways that are all anchored on enhancing the customer experience. By deploying industry leading technology, creating a fully transactional website and expanding into all vehicle segments. This week RumbleOn launched the next generation of RumbleOn.com enabling both consumers and dealers to have the same luxury of fast, easy and friction free liquidity and unparalleled customer service across both our power sports and automotive segments. All of our technology is architected in anticipation of our future launch into RVs and Boats. We are extremely confident that same dynamics exist in these markets that have propelled our power sports group including the benefit of no meaningful online competition. We expect to add RVs later in 2019 and pleasure boats in 2020. We also plan to introduce a securitized financing model RumbleOn Finance to our consumer facing retail website in the coming months. We assembled a team of industry experts at the end of last year to manage the entire process and we'll be ready to launch by Q3. The platform will be the first and only paperless and fully transactional online financing solution in power sports and one of the only in the automotive space. Consumers will be able to complete the entire buying process through our fully automated financing platform, creating a seamless, friction free customer experience. We expect this to drive an increase in higher margin consumer sales, driving margin expansion, and increasing overall revenue. RumbleOn Finance is a vertically integrated, retail financing platform, powered by proprietary technology that will enable RumbleOn to directly participate in more transactions, monetize loan origination and significantly change the miserable finance process, which exists in almost all vehicle transactions today. If a qualified consumer chooses to finance the RumbleOn.com platform RumbleOn Finance will originate the loans supported by a warehouse credit facility and subsequently sell thus securitize these loans to pre-identified Finance Partners. We expect this to have a small, short term impact to the balance sheet in the range of $5 million to $10 million throughout 2019, as RumbleOn Finance gains traction. We believe, this is an important competitive advantage for us and will unlock more opportunities for increased revenue and margin expansion, while further improving the customer experience to an unprecedented level. We continue to see strong adoption of our RumbleOn classified dot com site. This week RumbleOn classifieds anticipates surpassing eBay to become the third largest marketplace for pre-owned private party motorcycle listings only behind cycle trader and Craigslist. Peer-to-peer transactions, which represent nearly 50% of the total market are one of the most ineffective distribution solutions in the supply chain, and represent our biggest opportunity for disruption. Classifieds gives us a unique ability to eliminate the friction of private party transactions through a modern, sophisticated listing site, offering a much more pleasant experience for consumers. We have determined that the conversion rates of these quality listings that funnel back to our core business of buying assets, is potentially far more profitable than a small listing fee at this point. I would urge everyone to compare the site itself to the only other, no large free site, Craigslist, which is currently dominant in private party listings of all kinds of vehicles. You will see that our national search for potential buyers, the incredible level of services reducing risk inherent in private party transactions, and most importantly, the only site that also provides you with fair and real cash offers with every listing. Our cash offer is updated monthly as long as the vehicle is listed with RumbleOn. We have several additional opportunities to monetize the near-term use of the sites such as service charges for inspection, shipping, and our proprietary safe exchange, as well as many future opportunities such as outside advertising. As of March 31, we had 1051 vehicles listed on the site, and have seen impressive listing growth since then, nearly doubling the total number of listings in just the last six weeks. This rapid growth shows the customers want options outside the current friction laden peer-to-peer vehicle marketplace. We believe the improved security and customer experience is a huge advantage, and key to becoming a leader in power sports, and soon all vehicle segments. Again, classifies is designed to improve, enhance, and leverage our overall core business of buying and selling vehicles under the RumbleOn brand. We continue to drive average days to sail below 30 days. In the first quarter, power sports average days to sail was sub 30 days, as was automotive. While most others in the industry experienced days to sail times of greater than 60 days, we believe our quick inventory turn proves our agnostic distribution model is working. We continue to believe our fast inventory turn is one of our competitive advantages and shows that we can sell anything that we buy with incredible velocity. Management is committed to our goal of keeping average days to sail below 30 days as we continue to scale and introduce additional pre-owned vehicle segments to RumbleOn. As we've grown the business RumbleOn management has always had scalability at top of mind. We currently have third party fulfillment centers within 200 miles of over 80% of the U.S. population. We have more than enough capacity between our current 17 locations to accomplish our objectives beyond 2019. However, we will expand our regional network opportunistically going forward. Our current service providers for fulfillment have in excess of 300 additional locations strategically placed throughout the country, so we do not see any restrictions to expansion to more markets present or future. As example, since our addition of cars and trucks, we have increased the number of pre-existing fulfillment centers from two regional locations to six, from coast to coast, in under six months. The third party fulfillment allows us to remain capital infrastructure light, and key to making steady progress towards our long term operating margin target of 10%. For Q2, we expect total revenue in the range of $230 million to $240 million and total vehicle sales in the range of 12,700 to 13,300 vehicles while maintaining average days to sale of under 30 days. As a reminder, seasonality is important to consider when modeling this business, where the peaks are higher and the valleys deeper and power sports than in automotive market, although the timing of such fluctuations is very similar. We have a detailed plan to take advantage of such trends to ramp inventory in expectation of following seasonal effects. We saw the positive effects of seasonality in the first quarter, and expect to benefit from seasonality again in Q2, but even more in 2020 and beyond, as our data continue to get more robust. As we discussed in the past, we see positive seasonality trends in the first half of the year with modest flattening in Q3 and Q4, but we anticipate continued quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year improvements to our revenue and profitability. To support our rapid growth of vehicle inventory and sales, we have negotiated increases in all inventory financing lines of credit to support our incredible growth. Our well recognized and highly regarded floor plan financing partners have been wonderful partners in this area and have been very willing to provide the financing capacity needed to scale far into the future. Steve will discuss our expectations for Q2 in more detail, but to frame our model, we believe investors should consider the following; our proprietary technology, industry low average days to sail, hyper growth in unit sales volume and the efficiencies we realized by leveraging regional third party fulfillment centers across the country. To track progress against our strategic goals in the near to mid-term, we consider the following internally and would encourage investors to do the same. First, the strong results we drove by integrating our technology and process improvements quickly and efficiently across the acquired business units thus far and the opportunity for further expansion as we add cars and trucks across the full suite of RumbleOn platforms. Second, the launch of automotive inventory acquisitions and distribution to consumers in the automotive sector in the coming weeks, while continuing to grow acquisitions from consumers and power sports, further advancing our inventory advantage. Third, maintaining average days to sale under 30 days. Fourth, driving consistent and sequential quarter-over-quarter, year-over-year growth in sales volume and revenue across all vehicle segments, and finally, achieving a national footprint across both power sports and automotive, which we completed two quarters ahead of our previous schedule. We are extremely confident that we can leverage our low cost and efficient acquisition and distribution model to achieve operating profitability. RumbleOn has incredibly low SG&A and CapEx requirements to scale, compared to other vehicle sellers today. And we view that as a massive opportunity and a significant competitive advantage. We have already accumulated a host of data, which provides us enormous insights into the buying and selling habits of our customers, and we'll continue to identify business trends and capitalize on high growth opportunities that will benefit margin expansion. We are still in the early stages of growing our business, but we believe, we have a clear view and are more confident than ever. With that, I'll turn it over to Steve.