Marshall Chesrown
Analyst · Ron Josey with JMP securities. Ron, your line is open
Thanks, Whitney. We’re happy to report record revenue and unit sales in the second quarter, significantly above our previous guidance. If you have not done so already, I’d encourage everyone to review our shareholder letter, which was posted to our Investor Relations website yesterday. In addition to providing our second quarter financials, operating results and business outlook, we also outlined our plan to reduce net loss by 35% to 45% in the second half of the year from first half results. My comments today will reiterate some of our key objectives and execution strategy as we make improvements to achieve sustainable, profitable growth. Steve will then provide further details on our financial results and then open the call to further questions. In the second quarter, we generated over $270 million in total revenue on nearly 14,000 units exceeding our expectations. on the heels of a landmark first half of the year, we are turning our focus to improving our cost structure and executing our multifaceted plan to aggressively accelerate revenue and unit sales in the first half of 2020 while making significant strides to profitability. We are already the premier re-distributor in powersports and we expect powersports to continue to grow as we have many exciting initiatives underway to assure our dominance in the quarters and years to come. Powersports has proven to be a great incubator for testing ideas and strategies never seen before in the vehicle market. When the early results are compounded to the much larger automotive market, we expect to see massive growth due to the sheer size of the automotive industry. Our powersports business is showing consistent quarter-over-quarter improvements across almost all metrics. We are on a clear path to leverage our experience and data to create the best automotive online marketplace as well. Similar to our learning curve in powersports in the early days, we are quickly accumulating data on the automotive side of the business that is driving early improvements to the business model. As an example, in Q3 last year, we reduced the valuation of cash offers on powersports made to consumers by approximately 10% and we also terminated low value acquisitions to improve inventory quality and margin expansion. This is the type of testing, assessing and readjusting that is critical to future performance and we are committed to leveraging data to support ongoing business improvements. We are making intentional changes to automotive in Q3 that will set us up for even more success in the future as we scale. The pre-owned vehicle market is massive, based on today’s market size; just 1% market share in the automotive market alone would represent over 390,000 units annually and nearly $8 billion in revenue. We are confident that we can reach more than 1% of the pre-owned vehicle market over time and will do so profitably. Through a combination of gross profit per unit enhancement and SG&A leverage, we expect to reduce our net loss by 35% to 45% in the second half of 2019 as compared to the first half. Management is confident that the benefits of refinements and improvements to the business model made in the second half of 2019 will garner tremendous rewards as we move into 2020. We are providing the same revenue guidance for Q3 that we provided for Q2 last quarter, $230 million to $240 million, and we are providing unit sales in the range of 11,500 to 12,500 due to the improvements we are making to reduce unprofitable units combined with a modest increase in ASP similar to our Q2 results. As we focus on optimizing for GPU enhancements and SG&A leverage, we will continue to drive very strong year-over-year revenue growth in both powersports and automotive. We have seen that our ASPs for automotive fluctuates significantly as in the early stages of powersports caused primarily from the addition of buying direct from consumers and not having robust data in the early days to predict ASP with a high level of accuracy. Thus making it hard to predict what inventory we will acquire or sell and what prices until we have such data. As we gather additional data and improve our algorithms as we did it with powersports, we’ll see less fluctuation and additional margin expansion become predictable at scale. I’m proud to report that RumbleOn has officially surpassed 300,000 cash offers made since the program’s inception roughly two years ago. 100,000 of those 300,000 were made in Q2 alone and the marketing cost per cash offer continues to improve quarter-over-quarter. To put that into context, in Q2 2018, just one year ago, we made less than 30,000 total cash offers. We acquired over 98% of all powersports inventory direct from consumers through cash offers in Q2 and the early results and performance of cash offers for automotive in Q2 were very encouraging. Another exciting milestone for the company was in RumbleOn Classifieds. Within just nine months, our site became the third largest consumer listing site for powersports in the country, surpassing eBay with virtually no marketing spend associated. We are planning to add cars and trucks to the platform before the end of the year as well as deploying resources to drive buyers and sellers to the site. We believe that we can surpass Craigslist as the largest free listing site for consumer vehicles over time. We view RumbleOn Classified as an important addition to our model since we are already seen encouraging conversion results back into our core business of buying and selling these assets, all of which is exactly what we envisioned. We certainly do not believe that this industry is a win or take all opportunity due to the size and competitive nature of the vehicle market. We believe there will be many winners in the end, especially those with an online solution. That said, we believe that the company that can grow quickly and profitably will have a compelling long-term advantage. From our perspective, our focus on balancing margin expansion, operating leverage and disciplined growth is a very important strategy in our early stages. We feel that we are best positioned to take advantage and become the first major participant in the online space of vehicles to reach profitability. We are benefiting from increasing predictability in powersports as we scale the business, because our platform is aggregating more and more data, and automotive is already showing many of the same dynamics we saw in the first year in the powersports market. We view this as an encouraging sign as our powersports offering is now generating greater gross profit than it has been in previous quarters and can be viewed as a playbook for our automotive business to follow a similar trajectory. In the first four quarters of powersports sales, Q3 2017 through Q2 2018, we grew units from 313% to 2013 for a 543% growth. Since then, over the past four quarters, we have grown total unit sales to 3,982, an additional 98% growth. Powersports revenue trajectory has followed a similar growth path growing 290% over the first four quarters in 119% sense. A very important part of the story is that we have grown our GPU 38% over the same time. I would now like to turn my attention towards RumbleOn’s path to profitability. There are two tracks to reach profitability in this industry. First, through achieving operating leverage in SG&A and second by growing improving gross margin per unit. In our shareholder letter, we have detailed how we can do both of these, but I will take a minute here to reiterate a few of the key points. As we have already shown, we can clearly scale this business and we are now focusing our efforts on being the first online pre-owned vehicle provider to reach profitability. We expect our gross margin to expand as we gather more data and become more established. We have already proven we can sell anything we can acquire, but during this process we realized we need to improve our acquisition strategy as not all purchases are great purchases. As we experienced steady improvement in the accuracy of our data, we have seen that we are already improving on the percentage of vehicles that we purchase then sell at a loss. We previously experienced this dynamic on the powersports side when we saw unprofitable sales in as much as 30% of our early transactions, but we have since brought that down below 10%. We have seen a similar early result in automobile space during Q2. We’re in the second quarter; approximately 30% of all transactions were not profitable on an individual vehicle basis. We are confident that over the remainder of the year, we can improve this metric in a meaningful way through prescriptive enhancements. A part of this is of course, increasing sales to consumers over time. We have intentionally not been focusing resources into our retail channel so far, because we believe the biggest opportunity to be a major competitor is to first master the acquisition side of the equation. Sales to consumers remains our largest margin expansion opportunity and we fully expect to take advantage of this high GPU channel. Although in the near future, we are focused on growing margins through our agnostic first come first serve approach to the distribution network, we intend to shift our focus towards sales to consumers in 2020, which we expect will drive additional GPU upside. Our current retail margins are some of the best in the industry today. The margin simply becomes the report card of a successful acquisition. A seldom recognized fact is our retail powersports gross profit per unit for 2019 year-to-date is $2,106 on an average sale price of $8,477. similarly, our retail automotive gross profit per unit this year is $3,034 on an average sale price of $26,159. our team’s long history in the industry has caught us that to dominate on the sell side of the vehicle industry, you have to first dominate on the buy side. We think it should be considered that although retail sales bring higher GPU and display impressive per unit top-line economics, the SG&A levels associated with retail are significantly more expensive on a per unit basis than sales through the dealer channel. On a dealer sale, the base cost of goods remains the same. However, lower shipping costs substantially lower reconditioning costs, consumer guarantees and the cost of returns, marketing cost in the retail channel is a much higher and let’s not forget the additional headcount and CapEx needed to facilitate these transactions. We firmly believe that our agnostic distribution in fast inventory turn model insulates us to some extent, to market fluctuations and interest rates, new vehicle competition of rebates and incentives and many other potential market conditions that can from time-to-time affect dealers and consumers, and modify their purchase intentions. Put simply, unless you can garner levels of GPU that we presently have in retail consistently at scale, the net profit on a dealer transaction can actually be better. Again, our focus is buying and selling more vehicles than anyone and do it all profitably. If you match our first 24 months to that of our peers, we feel we have set the bar at the highest level to-date in the online vehicle space. Beyond organically growing our consumer sales via size of our inventory offering, selection and content, which drives organic growth, we see our finance offering with RumbleOn finance as an additional way to make the purchasing process more seamless for customers as well as another opportunity to increase our margins. In my previous comments about retail GPU, please keep in mind that we have just started to underwrite financing and funding on powersports and intend to launch automotive later this year, which we are confident will create additional GPU enhancements as it does for our peers. That additional GPU on top of our already stellar retail GPU puts us in a position to spend accordingly to make a major impact at the right time. Additionally, we have also been testing holding back a small percentage of our automotive inventory for up to 14 days to offer consumers additional time to purchase prior to dealers, but only if such data tells us a particular vehicle has compelling consumer demand, a well-searched value proposition and conditioned quality dynamics that provide a high likelihood of transacting. As you probably notice, a large part of our automotive selection online continues to say coming soon, which with no pictures or condition reports is not a viable retail sale opportunity. This has caused by our fast turn and although it will remain at some level over time as we grow our total inventory, it will be less prominent. Since we have only just begun testing this process on a small amount of inventory, we did not yet have any results of this initiative to share. despite holding back some inventory temporarily, however, we will continue to maintain our industry best days to sale below 30 days. Our other focus for reaching profitability is in regards to SG&A’s leverage. last quarter, we saw a massive growth in our revenue even beyond our expectations. Part of this growth came at the expense of increased SG&A that can be attributed to scaling any business at this early stage. I will save the remainder of our SG&A discussion for Steve to elaborate on. And with that, I’ll turn the call over to Steve.