Marshall Chesrown
Analyst · Craig Hallum. Your line is open
Thanks, Whitney, and thank you everyone for joining our 2018 earning call. We're very excited to share our 2018 results and expectations for 2019. Hopefully you have all had a chance to read our Shareholder Letter, which is available on our Investor Relations site. Our Shareholder Letter not only highlights our results, progress and future expectations, but it also details key components of our model and answers common questions that we hear from investors. We like the format because it's easily assessable, transparent and affords us more time for Q&A on our conference calls. Rather than repeating everything in the letter, I'll make brief comments on our strategy, opportunities and expectations and then Steve will provide some color on our financial results and we'll open it up for questions. 2018 was RumbleOn’s first full year in operations and was marked with many exciting milestones for our company. Not long ago we made our first sale. And since June of 2017, we haven't looked back. We went from generating less than $8 million in total revenue in 2017 to over $61 million of revenue from powersports in 2018, including the revenue contribution from the two months we owned Wholesale Inc and Wholesale Express, 2018 total revenue was over $156 million. And for Q1 2019 we're guiding total unit sales in the range of 11,500 to 11,800 units and total revenue in the range of $210 million to $215 million. Our organic growth rate in 2018 solidifies that we have a winning strategy. That said, as we outlined in the Shareholder Letter, we faced challenges throughout the year that impacted our results and caused our 2018 revenue and unit sales results from the Powersports segment to come in below our prior guidance. Even with those challenges taken into account, our results from the combined company exceeded our prior annual guidance. This demonstrates the impressive progress we have already made integrating the three acquired business units. RumbleOn is an innovative supply chain solution in an industry that is already creating dramatic disruption. Our market opportunity is not the $40 billion preowned car and truck market, our opportunity is the well over $1 trillion supply chain in whole. Redistribution is a major opportunity with many fragmented but scalable and profitable segments. Our efficient software-based solutions and unique business model enables us to participate in more ways than anyone else. If we participate in just 1% of the total market over time, that would be over $10 billion in revenues and RumbleOn is a very young company and we have experienced some growing pains in our first year as a public company, but from that, we gained valuable insight on trends, market dynamics and mass critical proprietary data. We have a powerful business model, proven track record of delivering growth, immense market opportunity and a world-class management team. We are confident in our ability to execute against our key objectives and drive profitable growth over the long-term. Before highlighting our key accomplishments and turning to our outlook for 2019, I want to review the challenges we faced in Q4 and 2018 that contributed to our shortfall relative to guidance. Our management team's background is clearly dominated by experience in the automotive sector, not powersports. There are no larger participants in the powersports supply chain than RumbleOn. We spent the past year and a half gathering and garnering data and assumptions without the benefit of observations from others in the space. However, with that said RumbleOn is currently in the top position in the nation in the national market for powersports redistribution and we believe that our Q1 guidance demonstrates that we are leveraging our observations from our first full year in the powersports business in a very meaningful way. And we are already reaping huge rewards from our experience in automotive -- of our automotive part of RumbleOn. Our Powersports segment still represents a massive opportunity for potential growth and with the current lack of competitors we believe that we can build on our dominant position in the US and eventually reach many other countries around the world. In regards to our fast-growing automotive business Wholesale Inc has a well established brand built over 27 plus years which made it an ideal acquisition for RumbleOn. We have made solid progress against the ambitious timeline we set for ourselves and the AutoSport-USA further extended this plan. With the launch of our next generation of RumbleOn.com, which is scheduled for Q2 RumbleOn will enable both consumers and dealers to have the same luxury of fast, easy and friction free liquidity and unparalleled customer service across both our Powersports and Automotive segments. All of our technology is currently architected for our launch into the RV and Boats segment. We are extremely confident that the same dynamics exist, including the benefit of no meaningful competition. We expect to introduce RVs and Boats later in 2019. In the end our goal is to become the only online marketplace that allows the customer to buy, sell, trade and finance any vehicle with a VIN. Like our strategy in powersports our cash offers are highly competitive with what a customer would get from another buyer, whether bricks-and-mortar or an online competitor. Management is confident that our process for cash offers is significantly easier and keep in mind that we focus marketing and technology resources around vehicle acquisition due to our demonstrated ability to distribute all the vehicles we can acquire at a profit. Over time the size of our inventory offering and the value proposition that our model commands, we anticipate growing into an even larger player in all distribution channels, including consumer retail. Our strategy is not to acquire vehicles cheaper than competitors. We believe our data and testing clearly shows that lowball offers have very low capture rates, especially when contemplating the best quality inventory available. Our strategy is focused on making the customer experience significantly faster and easier and do it fairly. We believe that a strategy -- this strategy will propel RumbleOn into a brand that consumers trust for all their vehicle needs. We're midst the process of integrating our automotive business units into RumbleOn and we are leveraging our observations of the market dynamics outlined in our Shareholder Letter. While there are inherent risks and unknown factors associated with being a public company at this early stage of our lifecycle, we believe that our growth rate affirms our ability to successfully execute our business model. To frame our model, we believe investors should consider the following: Our proprietary technology, our inventory advantage, our industry low average days to sale, our growth in unit sales volume across all vehicle segments driving revenue growth and the efficiencies we realize by leveraging regional third-party fulfillment centers across the company. And to track progress against our strategic goals in the near to mid-term, we’d encourage investors to consider a few things. First, the strong results we drove by integrating our technology and process improvements quickly and efficiently across the acquired business units. Second, our plans to launch automotive inventory acquisitions and distribution for consumers in the automotive sector in Q2 and continuing to grow acquisitions from consumers in powersports further advancing our inventory advantage. Third, maintaining average days to sale to under 30 days. And fourth, guidance consistent and sequential year-end growth in sales volumes and revenue across all vehicle segments. And finally, further expanding our already national footprint which we did two quarters ahead of our previous plan as well as entering new geographic locations throughout 2019. Steve will discuss our expectations for Q1 and full year 2019 in more detail, but all of our expectations include progress against all of these benchmarks. For Q1, we expect total revenue in the range of $210 million to $215 million and total unit sales in the range of 11,500 to 11,800 and maintain average day sales to under 30 days. We expect our Q2 results to benefit from the enhancements we are making across the business including our plans to add automotive to RumbleOn.com and to begin buying the selling cars and trucks throughout different consumers as well as dealers through Dealer Direct. Over the long term, we are confident that we can leverage our low-cost and efficient acquisition and distribution model to achieve operating profitability. RumbleOn has incredibly low SG&A and CapEx requirements to scale compared to other vehicle sellers out there today. And we view all of that as a massive opportunity and significant competitive advantage. As a company we are still in early stages as I said of our total journey, and we'll continue to learn as our business evolves. We now have a clear understanding of inventory evaluation, availability and proper positioning in both high and low sessions -- seasons. And we have accumulated a host of data points that provide us enormous insights into the buying and selling habits of our customers in a dynamic marketplace that we believe will help optimize our forecast models moving forward. And with that, I'll turn it over to Steve.