Craig Abrahams
Analyst · UBS
Thank you, Robert and good morning, everyone. Following on Robert's comments, I want to take a moment to emphasize how the SuperPlay acquisition aligns with our broader financial strategy. Our focus on generating sustainable free cash flows allows us to support our capital allocation strategy, including M&A and returning capital to shareholders. The proposed acquisition of SuperPlay is a perfect example of our disciplined approach. We have structured this transaction with a balanced mix of upfront payments, as well as revenue and EBITDA performance-based earnouts which helps align incentives and ensures we maintain financial flexibility. This structure not only enables us to limit downside risk but also aligns our goal to reignite revenue and credit adjusted EBITDA growth, while driving long-term value creation. SuperPlay continued its impressive performance in the third quarter as consolidated revenues grew double digits sequentially and the studio had another record month in September, posting all-time highs of gross revenue per day. While the robust performance of SuperPlay highlights the strength and importance of our M&A strategy, it is equally important to recognize the continued contributions of the assets we acquired last year. Governor of Poker III continues to show growth potential and I'm pleased to report that this studio has grown sequentially every quarter since our acquisition. Animals & Coins delivered record-breaking performance in Q3, marking a significant turnaround after the economy challenges we faced in Q2. The game economy adjustments, combined with our strategic decision to restructure the earnout by lowering the maximum cap and spending incremental marketing dollars have driven the studio's success. As a result, Animals & Coins achieved all-time high revenues with strong month-over-month growth throughout the quarter. This momentum underscores the strength of the studio and validates the changes we made to position Animals & Coins for sustained long-term success. While executing on sustainable and value-enhancing M&A remains a priority, we are equally focused on managing liquidity, leverage and our capital structure. We will continue to proactively manage our capital allocation to support growth opportunities while maintaining a strong and stable financial foundation. Our approach is built to ensure that we can execute our strategy without compromising our commitment to financial health. We believe this disciplined approach will allow us to successfully support both organic growth and potential future acquisitions. In summary, we are excited about the potential the SuperPlay acquisition brings and confident in our ability to enhance our growth profile, all while maintaining a firm focus on financial discipline. With that, let us dive into our Q3 financial performance. For the quarter, we generated $620.8 million of revenue, down 1% sequentially and down 1.5% year-over-year. Credit adjusted EBITDA margins improved over Q2 as we generated credit adjusted EBITDA of $197.2 million, up 3.2% sequentially and down 4.1% year-over-year. Net income was $39.3 million, down 54.6% sequentially and up 3.7% year-over-year. Our direct-to-consumer business continues to outperform the overall business as we generated $174.4 million which was up 0.4% sequentially and up 8.3% year-over-year. Turning now to our business results in the quarter. Revenue across our top three games was up 1.1% sequentially and down 0.8% year-over-year. Bingo Blitz revenue was $159.9 million, up 2.7% sequentially and up 6.8% year-over-year. Bingo continued its strong execution of its direct-to-consumer business in the quarter, helping drive DTC revenue to a record high. In addition, Bingo achieved its highest revenue month in history in July. Solitaire Grand Harvest revenue was $79 million, up 6.5% sequentially and down 0.2% year-over-year. We are optimistic about the road map going into next year as Solitaire continues to regain its footing and drive incremental success. Slotomania revenue was $128.7 million, down 3.8% sequentially and down 9.3% year-over-year. While we increased our user acquisition spend for Slotomania this year, Q3 results did not meet our expectations. Moving forward, we are realigning our strategic focus in the studio, placing a greater emphasis on the product and feature roadmap to drive a meaningful increase in paying users. This shift includes the introduction of historic IP, such as Cleopatra II, launching in Q4 as the first in a series of leading titles under our licensing agreement with IGT. Additionally, we are implementing key product changes such as modifying the in-game experience for Albums and Slotomania Club which are designed to enhance engagement and monetization opportunities. Turning now to specific line items in our P&L for the quarter. Cost of revenue decreased by 3.3% year-over-year, driven by a change in revenue mix between direct-to-consumer platforms revenue and third-party platforms revenue as well as the decline in overall revenue. R&D expenses declined by 2.9% year-over-year. The decline in R&D were due to extensive cost management implemented consistently throughout the year. Sales and marketing expenses increased by 5% year-over-year. The increase in sales and marketing expenses was primarily due to the increase in performance marketing. As discussed in our Q1 earnings call, we anticipated that sales and marketing spend would be the highest in Q1, with year-over-year growth tapering in subsequent quarters. Accordingly, sales and marketing expenses declined by 11.5% sequentially. G&A expenses declined by 3.5% year-over-year. The decline in G&A expenses was driven by a onetime favorable adjustment of payable contingent considerations and reduced compensation expenses from lower headcount. As of September 30th, we had approximately $1.2 billion in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments. This does not incorporate the contemplated upfront payment of $700 million for the SuperPlay acquisition. Looking at our operating metrics, average DPU increased 1% sequentially and 0.7% year-over-year to $301,000. Average DAU decreased 6.2% sequentially and 9.5% year-over-year to $7.6 million. The decline in average DAU year-over-year was primarily due to the strategic decision to reallocate marketing dollars and R&D resources away from some of our smaller casual titles such as Just Play 1v1. ARPDAU increased 4.7% sequentially and up 9.9% year-over-year to $0.89. We are adjusting our guidance for the year as follows: revenue is now expected to range from $2.505 billion to $2.52 billion, reflecting our revised outlook. Meanwhile, we are raising our credit adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $755 million to $765 million. Finally, we are lowering our capital expenditure guidance to $90 million as we remain focused on maximizing free cash flow. Our guidance does not incorporate the impact of the SuperPlay acquisition as the acquisition is still pending and we expect to close later this quarter. With that, we'd be happy to take your questions.