Craig Abrahams
Analyst · BTIG
Thank you, Robert, and good morning, everyone. Last quarter, we began discussing our portfolio management approach, focusing on making targeted investments based on the scale, leadership position, and growth potential of our games. This strategy is part of a broader framework where we allocate resources to maximize returns and drive growth. For games with both scale and growth potential, we invest significantly to drive further expansion. For those with scale but limited growth potential, we focus on defending market share through targeted spending. Conversely, games that lack scale but show promising growth potential receive outsized investments, including our recently acquired studios. Historically, our growth strategy was based on acquiring and growing new studios. In this next phase, we are acquiring new studios and developing a pipeline of games. The objective is to revitalize our portfolio rather than focusing on individual game performance. By adding more games to our portfolio, we will become less dependent on any single game, making the portfolio approach more important and relevant. While we continue to highlight the performance of our top three games in the quarter, we will also provide regular updates on our acquired titles to highlight their progress. These titles include Animals and Coins, Governor of Poker 3, Dice Dreams, and Domino Dreams. Finally, we are changing how we present our EBITDA metrics. With the conclusion of the 2021-2024 retention plan, we no longer need to distinguish between retention plan-adjusted EBITDA and credit-adjusted EBITDA. Starting in Q1 2025, we will refer to credit-adjusted EBITDA as simply adjusted EBITDA. This change simplifies our reporting without altering the definition of adjusted EBITDA. In line with this transition, we are adopting a more market-based executive compensation structure. This shift moves away from cash-centric plans emphasizing compensation that is tied not only to our business results, but also our stock price performance and total shareholder returns. By further aligning executive rewards with the company's business results and adding stock market success as a driver, we aim to foster a culture of even greater ownership and accountability, ensuring that our leadership's interests are fully aligned with those of our shareholders. Turning now to our financial results for the year, we generated $2.549 billion of revenue, down 0.7% year-over-year, $162.2 million of GAAP net income compared to $235 million of GAAP net income in 2023 and $757.7 million in credit adjusted EBITDA, a 9% decline year-over-year . Our net income margin was 6.4% compared to 9.2% in 2023. Our credit adjusted EBITDA margin was 29.7% compared to 32.4% in 2023. We generated $396.8 million of free cash flow, a 9.1% decline year-over-year . We define free cash flow as cash flow from operating activities minus capital expenditures. For the quarter, we generated $650.3 million of revenue, up 4.8% sequentially and up 1.9% year-over-year . GAAP net income was negative $16.7 million compared to GAAP net income of $39.3 in Q3 and $37.3 million in Q4 of 2023. Credit adjusted EBITDA was $183.9 million, down 6.7% sequentially and down 2.6% year-over-year . Our net income margin was negative 2.6% compared to 6.3% in Q3 and 5.8% in Q4 last year. Our credit adjusted EBITDA margin was 28.3% compared to 31.8% in Q3 and 29.6% in Q4 of last year. We generated $174.6 million in revenue from our direct-to-consumer platforms, up 0.1% sequentially and 8% year-over-year . Turning now to our business results for the quarter. Bingo Blitz's revenue for the quarter was $159.1 million, down 0.5% sequentially and up 5.8% year-over-year . It was another record quarter for Bingo's DTC business, and we are pleased to see the underlying growth in year-over-year average daily paying users for the largest game in our portfolio. Slotomania revenue for the quarter was $118.4 million, down 7.9% sequentially and 13.5% year-over-year . It was a disappointing quarter for the Slotomania team, as game economy issues negatively affected performance for much of the quarter. Although these challenges were addressed in January, they contributed to significant underperformance in Q4. On a positive note, the studio's launch of Cleopatra II successfully re-engaged dormant players, leading to increased activity. We recognize the importance to maintain our leadership in the slots category by delivering innovative content that reactivates our extensive base of inactive players. To this end, we are developing a new slots game to help regain market share in the category, with further details to be announced in the future. Solitaire Grand Harves revenue for the quarter was $72.5 million, which was down 8.1% sequentially and down 4.3% year-over-year. Overall, Solitaire underperformed our expectations this past quarter, but we are encouraged to see the positive ramp in DTC revenues coming from the studio. This success underscores the effectiveness of our DTC platforms in deepening engagement with our most loyal players across different genres. In the fourth quarter, our acquired titles continued to demonstrate robust performance. Animals & Coins achieved another record quarter, showing strong sequential growth and delivering its best ever results during the Black Friday period. Governor of Poker 3 maintained its robust momentum from Q3 into Q4, with notable contributions from its DTC revenues. Finally, SuperPlay contributed approximately $48 million in revenue for the quarter, alongside minus $10 million in adjusted EBITDA losses. The SuperPlay acquisition closed mid-quarter, so these results reflect only a partial period contribution. These outcomes underscore the value of our acquisitions and their role in enhancing our portfolio's performance. Turning now to specific line items in the P&L for the fourth quarter. Cost of revenue decreased 1% year-over-year , and operating expenses increased by 13.7% year-over-year. The increase in operating expenses was primarily driven by our acquisition of SuperPlay. R&D costs decreased 5.1% year-over-year. The decline in R&D was largely due to savings and labor costs. Our ongoing efforts to optimize operational efficiency while sustaining our R&D capabilities were reflected in our results this quarter. Sales and marketing increased 23.6% year-over-year. The increase was primarily due to higher media buy expenditure coming from the acquisition of SuperPlay, and the investments behind Dice Dreams and Domino Dreams. G&A expenses increased 18.3% year-over-year, primarily due to deal-related costs associated with our SuperPlay acquisition. These expenses include transaction fees and other one-time costs related to the completion of the deal. As of December 31st, we had approximately $565.8 million in cash and cash equivalents. Looking at our operational metrics, average DPU increased 12.6% sequentially and 10.8% year-over-year. Average DAU increased 5.3% sequentially and decreased 7% year-over-year. ARPDAU was $0.89 in the quarter, flat sequentially and an increase of 11.3% year-over-year. Turning now to our guidance and financial outlook for 2025. We expect to deliver full year revenue between $2.8 billion and $2.85 billion. We expect adjusted EBITDA between $715 million and $740 million. We expect to deploy $95 million in capital expenditures. We estimate that our effective tax rate for the current fiscal year to be 35%. This projection is based on current tax laws and our expected income distribution across various jurisdictions. We are focused on building long-term sustainable revenue growth by transitioning our portfolio away from some of our declining legacy titles and expanding through recently acquired studios. While the end of the cash retention program yields cost savings, we are reinvesting a portion of these savings to support the development of our growth titles. The resulting near-term pressure on EBITDA reflects both the cost of scaling our growth titles, which often face early-stage losses, but are expected to become strong EBITDA contributors as they scale and the ongoing decline in our slot portfolio. At the same time, we are taking deliberate steps to stabilize our business. We are launching a new slot game to help mitigate declines in our slot portfolio while continuing to bolster our higher-margin D2C channels. Looking ahead, 2025 will be a transitional year as these investments and portfolio shifts unfold. Despite the EBITDA pressure this year, our strategy will position the business for renewed momentum as new titles scale and our slot game stabilize. Beginning in 2026, we expect our in-play and SuperPlay studios to become positive EBITDA contributors, further enhancing our long-term financial profile. We remain confident that our return-to-growth strategy will yield meaningful financial results supported by sustainable cash flow and stronger revenue mix. As we previously mentioned, we are updating our capital allocation framework to reflect our ongoing commitment to disciplined fiscal management. The overall premise remains unchanged. We intend to use the free cash flow that we generate to execute our capital allocation framework. We are proud of our attractive free cash flow profile, which demonstrates our ability to execute the business with a focus on maximizing free cash flow. This is a competitive advantage providing financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and return capital to shareholders. It is a key tool we leverage to generate shareholder returns. We currently offer an attractive dividend yield and initiated share repurchases in Q4. The objective of our buyback program is to provide another layer of systematic capital return to investors, specifically by offsetting dilution, investing employee equity. Regarding M&A, as previously discussed, we expect our M&A activities to be bolt-on in nature going forward. Over the next three years, we anticipate deploying $300 million to $450 million for M&A. This range does not include any potential future earn out obligations related to our past deals. Our approach to capital allocation is both disciplined and balanced, focusing on returning capital to shareholders while investing in growth opportunities. By maintaining this approach, we aim to drive long-term value creation for investors. With that, we'd be happy to take your questions.