Todd Morgenfeld
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead
Thanks, Ben. I want to give some brief color on the trends we've seen to-date in revenue, as well as to provide an informal outlook for both revenue and costs in Q3. I'll begin with a summary of the headlines and then we can go into more detail. Starting with Q2 revenue, we saw advertiser demand improve each month of the quarter. April was the weakest month in the immediate aftermath of sheltering in place. May growth rates improved and June showed further improvement. In July, we've seen a sharp acceleration in revenue to about 50% year-over-year growth, through July 29. We expect that revenue will grow in the mid-30s percent range year-over-year in Q3, this growth rate assumes a deceleration from the strong growth we've seen so far in July. I'll say more about this shortly. First to unpack what we've seen to-date and what we currently know to be driving our results, then I'll discuss our outlook and the significant uncertainties that we're facing. Q2 is characterized by initial softness in advertising demand and then a partial return of that demand. The formula was triggered by COVID-19-related lockdowns and the latter by the return of economic activity as those lockdowns eased. We saw ad demand recover across many verticals starting in May, with CPG showing particular momentum in the latter part of June and into July. The retail vertical lagged CPG, but has recently begun to recover as well. This was the pattern in both the U.S. and in international markets, but non-U.S. markets recovered a bit faster. On top of the macro driven recovery and advertising demand, we're seeing a lot of demand for Pinterest ad products in particular. Here's what our advertisers are telling us. First, our ads are working, especially for marketers seeking sales and conversions. The investments we've made in conversion optimization or OCPM shopping ads and auto bids are making it easier for these advertisers to hit their goals. In a world where their balance sheets are at risk, marketers want ROI accountable ads and we are delivering them. This has bolstered our ability to attract performance oriented medium-sized advertisers, a group that emerged as a key driver of our resilience in Q2. Second, the commercial mindset of our users is very attractive right now, because many advertisers want to drive online sales and Pinterest tend to be in market consumers. The early commercial intent on our platform also informs the insights we share with advertisers. And they are increasingly using these insights to understand leading indicators of demand in this unprecedented environment. In the words of the Head of U.S. Media at Ford, "I received a report that was incredibly interesting from Pinterest. They showed how people's behavior on the platform is changing from the types of behaviors you'd expect during shelter-in-place, recipes, crafts with kids, baking bread, deploying oriented behaviors, for example, thinking about vacations. Sure, we can always look at the quant data, leading indicators, traffic reports, et cetera. But to get at something that unlocks what people are actually thinking about, even if they're not saying it is really important. That's where the relationships really come to life between marketers and the platforms." Finally, advertisers feel Pinterest is brand space relative to other platforms. In a moment where there is a lot of hostile political conversation happening on social media, advertisers are looking for new places to put their dollars. We benefited from this in July. As I noted earlier, we expect that revenue will grow in the mid-30s percent range year-over-year in Q3, which implies a deceleration from the roughly 50% year-over-year growth rate we've seen quarter to-date through July. Let me unpack this. One month may not be representative of the full quarter and there's significant uncertainty for the following reasons. First, cases of COVID-19 arising and any new lockdowns would likely have a negative impact on advertiser demand. Second, our main seasonal moment in Q3 back-to-school will likely look very different this year, as schools across the U.S. embrace distance learning. This could lower both engagement and advertiser demand. Third, it's not clear, if or how long the tailwind we've experienced in July from advertisers boycotting social media will last. Finally, revenue growth in August and September 2019 was stronger relative to July 2019, when a product change briefly lowered our conversion optimization revenue. So year-over-year comparisons will be harder for remainder of the quarter. I also want to address our costs before opening it up for Q&A. On our Q1 call, I said we expected to grow operating expenses year-over-year in the second quarter, but we just reported a slight decline in this number. This was the result of implementing cost savings measures more quickly and our work from home model to a larger extent than we originally expected. We continue to invest for growth across our key strategic priorities of content, ads diversification, use case expansion and shopping. To that end, we grew headcount 21% year-over-year and 5% sequentially during the second quarter. We expect to grow OpEx in Q3 both sequentially and year-over-year to pursue the long term vision of the company, while continuing to monitor and to respond to the ever changing environment. I hope this detail has been informative and helpful. With that, I can turn it back to the operator and we can begin to take some questions.