Todd Morgenfeld
Analyst · Barclays. Your line is now open
Yes, sure. So, Ross, I heard a couple of questions in there. One was an update on what we’re seeing into the early part of Q2 through April? And the second was a little bit more color on what we’re seeing in terms of vertical impact? And I’ll take those in turn. So first, on the revenue side through the course of April, we’re still obviously in the middle of a highly uncertain environment, driven by COVID-19. And so what we wanted to do on this call was share what we know, what we’ve actually experienced rather than project things that we don’t yet know because of the amount of uncertainty in the market. We had a very strong start to Q1 that persisted through January and February. But as we noted in the letter, we had a sharp deceleration in year-over-year growth trends that really started in earnest in mid-March. That sharp deceleration persisted through the latter half of March, and then we began to see stabilization in our revenue – year-over-year revenue growth in early April. That stabilization persisted through the course of the month and into early May. To quantify that a bit further, our revenue for the month of April on a year-over-year basis declined 8%. And what I want to note here is, as a reminder, if you remember the call from a year ago, around Q2, we talked about Easter timing. And a year ago in the month of April, Easter provided a little bit more than an extra week of benefit. So on a normalized basis, we’re probably a point or two better than the 8% decline that we noted or experienced in the month of April. So that’s the April trends point. On the vertical piece, the impact has been uneven across the verticals where we’re in market. And that’s not – shouldn’t be too much of a surprise, because the impact of the pandemic has been relatively uneven across verticals as well. Our major verticals, CPG and retail, I’ll pick those, I think, you highlighted those, it’s two that you wanted a bit more color on. In the CPG space, things like food and beverage, health and beauty had relatively better demand in the early part of this crisis, because people were preparing to shelter in place in their homes. But even those advertisers began to experience supply chain difficulties that had various impacts on their appetite for spend. In retail, the impact was a bit more pronounced. You might imagine that omni-channel retail stores – or omni-channel retailers that had stores that were closed had a significant pullback on spend, whereas direct-to-consumer brands grew relatively faster. In fact, our direct-to-consumer advertising cohort grew significantly faster than the rest of the business. But those advertisers, as we’ve noted, historically, are not a huge part of our revenue mix. We’ve also noticed historically that some of the most impacted verticals, areas like travel, automotive and restaurants were significantly impacted, but those constitute relatively smaller exposure for us. So hopefully, that gets to your two points on recent revenue trends and some of the color around our vertical exposure. The only thing I would add there, just one extra point, and you didn’t ask, Ross, but it’s probably worth noting that we have these joint business partnerships that we sometimes sign with prospective advertisers. So these are not contracts to spend, but they’re indications of intent to spend. And we saw the number of those deals grow over the course of Q1 this year relative to last year, and the dollars covered by those agreements more than doubled year-over-year. So that was a good indication of intent to spend across our advertising base and that trend has persisted even through April, where we’ve continued to sign some of those deals. So I wouldn’t want to over-index on what that means, because none of those deals are a contractual obligation. But we’re still very actively involved with major retailers and seeing good intent there.