Steven L. Busby
Analyst · Cannacord
Thank you, Geoff, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Despite coming out of the third quarter of 2011 in very good shape to achieve our aggressive production and cash cost guidance, we did face 3 specific challenges that disrupted our normally predictable operating performance in the fourth quarter of 2011. Two of these challenges occurred at our Manantial Espejo mine, where an unexpected ball mill bearing failure led to a 2-week plant shutdown in the poor mobile mine equipment availability we've been experiencing due to the heightened restrictions on importations in Argentina, which impaired the flow of spare parts and led to reduced mine production. In addition, we made a decision to interrupt mine sequencing at Alamo Dorado in order to allow safe access for exploration drilling of our Phase 3 pit expansion, which allowed us to add a full year of reserves to the life-of-mine plan, but limited our ability to mine new ore during the quarter. As a consequence, our consolidated silver production in the fourth quarter, as Geoff mentioned, was 5.3 million ounces at a cost of $11.18 per ounce, bringing our full-year silver production to 21.9 million ounces at a cost of $9.44 per ounce. Our by-product metal production was 78,000 ounces of gold, 35,000 tonnes of zinc, 11,700 tonnes of lead and 3,100 tonnes of copper. We are finding it quite challenging to adapt our Manantial Espejo operation to the heightened importation restrictions in Argentina, where it has become very time-consuming to import the necessary spare parts, particularly for our mobile mining fleets, despite enormous efforts from ourselves and our primary equipment suppliers. Our mobile mine equipment availabilities are running well below expectations, and this has caused shortfalls in mining rates, delaying access to anticipated higher grade ores. In addition to increasing our efforts to find domestic purchasing alternatives, which have had limited success, we are stepping up efforts again to offshore purchasing in order to allow for even greater lead times, which we will -- we anticipate will eventually allow us to catch up with the delivery of critical spare parts and components necessary to move to a more normal equipment availability. We also faced an undetected primary ball mill lubrication system malfunction at Manantial Espejo during the quarter, which resulted in the failure of a critical trunnion bearing. Fortunately, we do carry spares for this critical bearing on site. However, we did have to mobilize special tools and manufacturer representatives, disrupting many Christmas holidays to conduct the repairs in December, resulting in a 2-week plant downtime. As a result of these factors, Manantial Espejo produced just over 800,000 ounces of silver during the fourth quarter of 2011 at a cash cost of $7.85 per ounce, which was 28% below the 1.15 million ounces and above the $2.52 cost expectations that we had planned. I'm happy to be able to report that after completing the repair, the plant restarted quite nicely and once again achieved plant throughputs in January of 2012. In fact, January's production at Manantial Espejo was over 300,000 ounces of silver and over 5,000 ounces of gold. At our Alamo Dorado mine in Mexico, we decided to extend the in-pit exploration drilling efforts into the fourth quarter after seeing some positive results from drill holes completed earlier in the year in anticipation of positive results, which could extend the mine life. The extended drilling required modifications to the mine sequencing and preventive mining at the rates necessary to access high grade ores that had been planned for the fourth quarter. The decision paid off with the addition of close to a full year of production to the mine life. As such, Manantial -- sorry, Alamo Dorado produced 1.2 million ounces of silver at a cost of $5.45 per ounce in Q4, which was 20% below our planned quarterly production and above our $4.89 per ounce expectation we had projected. Elsewhere, the remainder of our 5 operations produced reasonably in line with our fourth quarter projections. Our 3 operations in Peru were all in Morococha and Quiruvilca, produced right at 1.3 million ounces projected. La Colorada produced 1.1 million ounces, slightly ahead of our expectations, offset by a small shortfall at San Vicente, which produced 842,000 ounces. Our cash cost for the Peruvian mines collectively in Q4 was $19.65 per ounce, La Colorada was $9.26 per ounce and San Vicente was $13.35 per ounce, all about 13% higher than our expectations for the fourth quarter, primarily due to better-than-expected underground operating development advances at both Huaron and Morococha, which are already starting to show the benefits in early 2012. We continue to advance our growth project studies, as well as the Morococha infrastructure relocations during the fourth quarter of 2011. For the quarter, we invested $9.5 million, advancing the feasibility study at Navidad, which include a work on the basic project designs, as well as the purchase of additional surface rights. We also invested $1.4 million for engineering and feasibility studies at La Preciosa, and we spent $6.2 million advancing our Morococha mine infrastructure relocation. 2011 was a tremendous year on the project front. Total investments at Navidad was $51 million. We advanced our resource modeling and mine planning, conducted additional metallurgical tests, both to support the existing flow sheet and also to investigate potential value-added downstream processing alternatives. We significantly advanced the feasibility study in the Environmental Impact Assessment. We completed over 37 kilometers of infill and some step-out drilling. We supported local community programs that wouldn't help facilitate the Navidad development. And we also purchased the long lead time front-end crushing and grinding equipment for the project. Also, in 2011, a total of $3.8 million was invested at La Preciosa to advance environmental baseline studies and to complete the Preliminary Economic Assessment, which included mine planning, process facility and related infrastructure engineering and metallurgical studies. We invested a total of $27 million on our Morococha mine infrastructure relocation project during the year and virtually completed the construction activities, with only interior finishing, furnishing and power sewage and water hookups remaining to complete the project in early 2012. We ended 2011, producing 21.9 million ounces of silver at the $9.44 cost, short of our revised forecast of 22.5 million ounces and above our high-end cost projection of $8.50 per ounce, but quite respectable, taking into account the challenges that we face. With the Q4 issues behind us, it's rewarding to see that 2012 has started well, and we produced approximately 1.85 million ounces of silver in January, with all 7 of our mines producing very close to and above our planned outputs. As we look forward to the entire year of 2012, the company expects production of between 21.5 million and 22.5 million ounces at a cash cost between $12.50 to $13.50 per ounce. For 2012, we expect our direct operating cost to rise some 15% that were on Morococha, largely due to increased underground development and infill drilling rates. We are expecting to have to absorb another year of greater than 20% real dollar inflation in Argentina, and we estimate that the overall continued industry-wide escalations are close to 11% compared to our 2011 performance for all other direct operating costs. In addition, we are anticipating a substantial increase to our royalty payments at San Vicente, where the operating cash flow participation of COMIBOL, the Bolivian government's mining entity and Pan American's joint venture partner, will rise to 37.5% according to the terms of our original joint venture agreement, since we estimate successfully achieving the capital recovery milestone in early 2012. We also expect base metal by-product credits to trend marginally lower using our lower price forecast for 2012. The company expects to produce between 75,000 to 80,000 ounces of gold, 33,000 to 34,000 tonnes of zinc, 11,000 to 11,500 tonnes of lead and 2,500 to 3,000 tonnes of copper during 2012. The breakdown of the silver production that we see is that we're on, we expect to produce between 2.7 million to 2.8 million ounces at a cash cost somewhere between $20.90 and $22.70 per ounce. Morococha, we're expecting 1.7 million to 1.8 million at $24.60 to $26.50 per ounce. Quiruvilca, we're anticipating about 200,000 ounces of production at around $31.30 an ounce during the first quarter of 2012. San Vicente, we're expecting somewhere between 3.4 million to 3.5 million ounces at $18.40 to $18.70 per ounce, considering the higher royalty payment to COMIBOL. La Colorada, we're on track for a 4.1 million to 4.3 million ounces at between $9.50 and $9.90 an ounce. Alamo Dorado, we expect 5.1 million to 5.4 million ounces at between $6.40 and $6.80 an ounce. In Manantial Espejo, we expect between 4.3 million and 4.5 million ounces at between $8.60 and $10.40 an ounce. These cash cost forecasts assume by-product credit prices of $1,900 a tonne or $0.86 a pound for zinc, $2,000 a tonne or $0.91 a pound for lead, $7,300 a tonne or $3.31 a pound for copper and $1,600 an ounce for gold. We're also planning project expenditures of $23 million in Navidad to prepare for a positive law reform in Chubut, which would allow issuance of the feasibility study and submission of the Environmental Impact Assessment by mid-year, as well as further advancing the basic and detailed design engineering efforts to prepare ourselves for possible construction late in the year. We're also planning to spend $4 million on our Calcatreu property in the Rio Negro province of Argentina to complete a scoping study in light of the recently announced repeal of the ban on the use of sodium cyanide in mineral processing. We estimate spending $7.5 million to complete the relocation of our infrastructure and ancillary facilities at Morococha and another $1 million at La Preciosa to advance the feasibility study in the first quarter of this year. In addition, we forecast sustaining capital expenditure at our operations of approximately $88 million, primarily for mobile mine equipment additions and replacements, underground mine development, pit layback pre-stripping, tailing dam rises, site infrastructure upgrades and almost $16 million for on-site exploration drilling. The most significant expenditures include expansion of our mining fleet and capitalizing some of the pre-strip at Alamo Dorado to develop the new Phase 3 pit expansion. Pre-stripping an open pit expansion at Manantial Espejo, a modest sulfide plant expansion at La Colorada, the addition of a backfill plant at Morococha and significant tailing dam expansions at both Huaron and La Colorada. Relative to our exciting acquisition of Minefinders, which we are hoping to close by the end of March, we would expect the Dolores mine to contribute approximately 2.6 million ounces of silver production and 56,000 ounces of gold for the 9-month period, from April 1 to December 31, 2012. This expectation is based on Dolores' actual production from April 1 to December 31, 2011. The effect of bringing the Dolores mine production into the Pan American Silver group of assets could increase our overall consolidated 2012 production to between 24.1 million to 25.1 million ounces of silver and 131,000 to 136,000 ounces of gold. Before turning the call over to Michael, I'd like to extend my personal thanks to all our dedicated and hardworking employees and contractors in Peru, Mexico, Bolivia, Argentina and here in our head office. This team has proven again their ability to take on the most difficult challenges this industry faces today. Also, in anticipation of a positive outcome of our shareholder voting in late March, I'd like to extend a warm welcome to the Minefinders team into our organization. With that, I will now turn the call over to Michael Steinmann for the exploration update.