Earnings Labs

Onity Group Inc. (ONIT)

Q2 2014 Earnings Call· Thu, Jul 31, 2014

$46.73

+1.87%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Ocwen Financial Second Quarter 2014 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to Michael Bourque, Executive Vice President and CFO. Please go ahead, sir.

Michael R. Bourque

Analyst

Thank you, Jamie. Good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining us today for Ocwen's Second Quarter 2014 Earnings Conference Call. Before we begin, please note that a slide presentation is available to accompany today's call. To access the presentation, please go to Shareholder Relations section on our website at www.ocwen.com and click on the Events and Presentations tab. As a reminder, the presentation and our comments this morning may contain forward-looking statements made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements may be identified by reference to a future period or by use of forward-looking terminology. Forward-looking statements by their nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause the company's actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in these forward-looking statements. In addition, the presentation and our comments contain references to non-GAAP financial measures such as normalized pretax earnings and adjusted cash flow from operations. We believe these non-GAAP financial measures may provide additional meaningful comparisons between current results and results in prior periods. Non-GAAP financial measures should be viewed in addition to, and not as an alternative for, the company's reported results under accounting principles generally accepted in the United States. For an elaboration of the factors I just discussed, please refer to today's earnings release as well as the company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including Ocwen’s 2013 Form 10-K and quarterly 10-Qs. Note that we expect to file our second quarter 2014 Form 10-Q in the coming days. Joining me on the call today are Bill Erbey, our Chairman; and Ron Faris, President and Chief Executive Officer. Now I will turn the call over to Bill.

William Charles Erbey

Analyst

Thank you, Michael. Good morning, and thank you for joining us for today's call. As on our recent calls, I'm going to focus my comments specifically on why Ocwen enjoys a unique market position which should support continued portfolio growth going forward, and more importantly, how we believe the macro trends are truly aligned with Ocwen's strengths. I'll then close with a discussion on how we think about new business opportunities and share one idea we're in the process of launching. Ron will then provide an overview on the regulatory and compliance environment before discussing some highlights from the recent U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development report on Making Home Affordable Program. Finally, he'll provide an update on our partnership with various constituencies on VAR outreach programs and our efforts to encourage dialogue around positive changes in the housing policy. Michael will then summarize our financial results for the second quarter and review our balance sheet and recent capital activity. First, let me address the macro environment, which we believe aligns extremely well with Ocwen's strengths. There are 4 key points: First, an improving U.S. economy increases the value of our business; second, the increased regulatory scrutiny presents both challenges and opportunities to Ocwen; third, large banks have a strong preference for outsourcing delinquent servicing; and fourth, there is a significant population of non-prime consumers whose financial needs are not being met. The U.S. economy continues to improve, albeit slowly. An improving economy serves to increase the value of our portfolio of MSRs by reducing the reasons for delinquency and lowering prepayments. Second, the heightened regulatory environment, of which we are all keenly aware, is both a challenge and an opportunity. Obviously, it's a challenge in the near term because it increases operating risk costs and can result in…

Ronald M. Faris

Analyst

Thank you, Bill. This morning, I will cover 3 main topics in my prepared remarks. First, I will provide an update on the regulatory environment and the impact this is having on Ocwen and the industry. And second, I would like to share with you some recently released results from the U.S. Treasury that highlight Ocwen's performance in the Making Home Affordable Program. And third, I will review our recent Housing Policy Day in Washington, D.C. and discuss our recent announcement about our Community Advisory Council. Let me start -- let me begin by stating that the notion that non-bank servicers are subject to less stringent regulation is simply untrue. We are subject to federal regulatory oversight by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau or CFPB. In addition, we are subject to oversight from a host of others, including state regulators, Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, FHFA, Ginnie Mae, FHA, private trustees and a broad range of clients for whom we service or sub-service loans, including some large national banks. Overall, we welcome regulatory oversight because it is good for the industry as it increases confidence in the markets, raises the standards for all servicers and removes marginal players from the market. Moreover, we believe that stricter regulation is ultimately a competitive advantage for Ocwen, as we're the only large non-bank fully subject to its own National Mortgage Settlement and monitoring. Certainly, in the near term, the imposition of higher regulatory standards can increase operating costs and extend process time. For example, the new CFPB rule that went into effect earlier this year extends foreclosure processes by generally not allowing foreclosures to be filed until a loan is 120 days delinquent versus the prior industry standard of 90 days. Also, the emerging compliance structures are driving towards near zero tolerance for error,…

Michael R. Bourque

Analyst

Thank you, Ron. Today on the call, I will review our financial results and then update you on our balance sheet and recent capital repurchase activity. Beginning with a review of our financial results for the second quarter 2014. Ocwen generated a total revenue of $553 million, which was flat from the first quarter 2014. Servicing revenue was $520 million and was also flat sequentially. Higher REO commissions and residential servicing fees offset the impact of a 3% decline in the unpaid principal balance. Lending revenue of $31 million increased 8% from the first quarter of 2014. During the quarter, Ocwen originated $1.2 billion of forward loans and $145 million of reverse loans. Total operating expenses for the company were $345 million, of which -- sorry, which was down 1% versus the first quarter and down 8% year-over-year. On a normalized basis, operating expenses would have been up $6.1 million or 2% versus the first quarter. As I will discuss later, total operating expenses included about $20.3 million of costs that we will eliminate in our normalization. Total other expense in the second quarter 2014 was $130 million, which was 100 -- which was 15% higher than the first quarter. The big driver was a $12.7 million increase in interest expense payable to HLSS, which I will explain further on our normalization page. The second impact was the increased interest expense from having a full quarter of the OASIS notes, as well as our new high-yield bond offering. Collectively, they added $5 million in interest expense in the quarter. As a result of these factors, we reported second quarter 2014 net income of $67 million, which was down 12% sequentially. From an EPS standpoint, our reported diluted net income per share was $0.48 in the quarter, a decrease of 11%…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Henry Coffey from Sterne Agee. Henry J. Coffey - Sterne Agee & Leach Inc., Research Division: I don't -- when we look at the servicing market right now, it sounds like a logjam. There seems to be ample willingness on the servicers to buy troubled assets, ample -- particularly when you listen to comments coming out of the likes of JPMorgan, ample interest in moving past these problems. And so I would describe it as a logjam. But when you look at the output, it looks more like a drought. And I was wondering if you could give us a sense of how you see the market.

William Charles Erbey

Analyst

Henry, this is Bill. I think we're really cautious on commenting on how we see the market or what's coming into the market at present time. I think there are a variety of different factors that can affect that, and I think it's just -- it's not appropriate for us to comment on that. Henry J. Coffey - Sterne Agee & Leach Inc., Research Division: And then a second question, talking about the securitization buyouts. Can you give us a sense of what the economic cycle looks like that, given that you'll end up owning a bunch of whole loans? Do those goes to the likes of RESI, or do they stay with Ocwen? Or what would the life cycle look like on that investment?

William Charles Erbey

Analyst

We would -- we think there is an arbitrage by creating those loans in REO, and we would auction them off into the market. There's very -- exceptionally strong bids today for both performing, re-performing and nonperforming loans in REO. And it was an attractive transaction even before the run-up in price, and now it's become even more attractive. So our call rights enable us basically to truncate the time until one gets control of that value. And so we've -- once we do that, then we would look to sell the majority of those assets. Henry J. Coffey - Sterne Agee & Leach Inc., Research Division: And do you own these call rights now or they something that's going to require investment?

William Charles Erbey

Analyst

No. When you -- all -- servicing comes with call rights. Generally, 10% the right -- when the unpaid principal balance declines to 10%, it was -- it's embedded in there basically to achieve cost savings. When the security gets very small, it becomes less economical to service it. And that's why these were originally built into all the -- servicing agreements there in the business. So today, we own call rights somewhere between $150 billion and $200 billion of call rights.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Bose George from KBW. Bose T. George - Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods, Inc., Research Division: Just a follow-up on Henry's question, did you guys give the expected IRR on these kinds of investments?

William Charles Erbey

Analyst

They -- we're -- they differ by the way in which you execute it. It depends on whether or not they are longer-term positions that you hold before you execute the call, or whether you are able to do it almost simultaneously. So we prefer not to spend a whole -- for competitive reasons, not detail a lot of the reasons of why we would do that. But we certainly expect the business to meet our hurdle, expected hurdle of 25% return on equity. Bose T. George - Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods, Inc., Research Division: Okay, great. And then just switching to operating costs, is there room to take costs down from current levels, especially if the portfolio continues to shrink?

Ronald M. Faris

Analyst

Yes. As we talked, there are some offsetting factors as we've been building up our compliance infrastructure and absorbing some of the monitoring costs. That is still going to be a significant cost on a go-forward basis. But as the portfolio -- if it does run-off and as the compliance environment stabilizes, I think there's going to be meaningful opportunity to become more efficient. The value of moving towards 0 errors is, it eliminates a lot of the other costs that you end up incurring to address things that sort of are -- that don't go through the process perfectly the first time. So it's going to be an ongoing process. But I'm very excited and optimistic that we're going to have some good opportunity down the road to become even more efficient than we are today. Bose T. George - Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods, Inc., Research Division: Great. And actually one last one, just on the point you guys made about potentially fair valuing the MSR. I mean, if you did that, I guess amortization would go up. I'm just curious how you weigh sort of that factor? What are the factors you guys weigh in if you would make that decision?

Michael R. Bourque

Analyst

That's a process that we go through typically every year starting about this time, and we look at various factors including the performance. One of the, I think, bigger advantages or disadvantages, depending on how you look at it is, we don't get the full equity credit of having those MSRs at fair value as you look at our capital base. And so that as the industry is talking about increased capital standards and the like, it's an important determination. But there's a whole host of factors including the accounting elements, the volatility in the quarterly earnings, the split of amortization versus the marks that we -- that we're making sure that we understand that and get our heads around as we make that evaluation. But as we do and have anything to announce or nothing to announce, we can talk more about that when it's appropriate.

Ronald M. Faris

Analyst

Yes. So, we'll continue to evaluate that. And clearly, normally you'd think of the way we do it as resulting in less volatility. But here we are in a situation where there's a value increase on a portion of portfolio, requiring us to basically increase the liability, increase interest expense and not be able to show the corresponding increase in value of the assets. So even though our accounting policy today normally would be considered less volatile, there's a lot of factors coming into play, in this particular quarter, that's actually creating volatility.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Michael Grondahl from Piper.

Michael J. Grondahl - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst

Your approximate $300 million of operating expenses in your lending segment. Can you help us think about what percent of those are fixed and what percent are variable? And then secondly, on that sort of run rate level, do you have a lot of capacity to put on more volume without adding expenses?

Michael R. Bourque

Analyst

So Mike, we don't generally disclose the split of variable cost within our business, first, but also within the lending segment. We've seen a relatively consistent level of volume here over the recent period of time and are evaluating our opportunities to grow the business. I think against obviously, increased cost investments and maybe just other things that we can do around enhancing -- the effectiveness of partnerships we have that could grow our business effectively without adding costs. So I think -- I guess, the short answer, I'd say there is opportunity probably to grow with adding costs and also opportunity to grow without.

William Charles Erbey

Analyst

And I would think the same way like the servicing business, Mike. I mean, we're much further along, but there are still significant opportunities to improve -- reducing -- improve quality, at the same time, reduce costs. There are even greater opportunities in the lending side of the business where we're nowhere near where the same level we are in the servicing business. So I think you saw some of the effects of that this quarter, which is just more efficient operations.

Michael J. Grondahl - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And did you guys break out legal cost in the quarter?

Michael R. Bourque

Analyst

No, we didn't. I think you'll see more cost detail when we release our Q. I'd say the only, I guess, comments we've made around that effective impact of increased regulatory and compliance costs, which is a significant component of that, as Bear [ph] was always legal-related. But that's the -- I believe that's the extent of it.

Michael J. Grondahl - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And then any update on OASIS and any thoughts about another transaction there?

Ronald M. Faris

Analyst

Well, we continue to kind of evaluate all of our alternatives around effectively hedging our prime portfolio and recognizing some of the embedded value that is not there today. So OASIS is a very innovative structure that serves us well, and it's -- we are not going to comment on timing, but it is definitely still part of our longer-term strategy.

William Charles Erbey

Analyst

I think too, one of the reasons we've been slow is because you can see the impact of carrying excess cash on your balance sheet in terms of excess interest expense, because you're really avoiding very low cost of advance financing charges. And also I think there's been some additional development work to be done in terms of another method for hedging the portfolio that may be more efficient, shall we say, than even OASIS transaction.

Michael J. Grondahl - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And then maybe just one last question. Your strategy for the RMBS kind of cleanup calls, if you will, what type of capital does that require?

William Charles Erbey

Analyst

Again it's -- it relates to the duration of how long you're holding the securities that you purchase in terms of, to get to a position that you need to put on the balance sheet. We really -- we prefer not to disclose exactly how much that is at the present time, because it is tells a little bit -- it gives more information than we would like about our strategy.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Kevin Barker from Compass Point. Kevin Barker - Compass Point Research & Trading, LLC, Research Division: Regarding the investment in cleanup calls relating to MBS, some of these whole loans are left over. Do you plan to sell them to potentially Altisource Residential? Or would you expect it to be bid out to several parties?

William Charles Erbey

Analyst

We would have to bid those out. We just can't assign them to one company. But I think you'll see a large -- it will create a meaningful amount of product that will be coming to market as a result of that. Kevin Barker - Compass Point Research & Trading, LLC, Research Division: Can RESI participate in these auctions? Or is that off limits?

William Charles Erbey

Analyst

That would be something you'd have to ask RESI. Kevin Barker - Compass Point Research & Trading, LLC, Research Division: Okay. And then regarding the potential change to fair value on the MSR, can you explain the strategy behind why you would change the fair value versus keep low comp? And how that would affect your balance sheet over a longer period of time?

Ronald M. Faris

Analyst

As Michael said, I mean, we're just -- at this point, we're just in the evaluations phase. We have until the end of the year really to make that determination. As Michael pointed out, I think the biggest impact is our equity base, as we pointed out in prior calls is really understated relative to our competitors because we're not reflecting that significant increase or difference in fair value versus our carrying value. But there are a whole host of other things to consider. If you do make that adjustment, basically it's -- as I understand it, will be adjustment directly to your equity and you would not see the earnings come through the income statement, we just see it as a direct increase to equity. So there's a whole bunch of factors that we need to consider. I think we're still very early on in that evaluation phase. But I think, as I pointed out just a few minutes ago, it kind of becomes top of mind when we look at a quarter like this and see volatility driven largely because the fact that we're not at fair value. Kevin Barker - Compass Point Research & Trading, LLC, Research Division: So would that allow you to increase leverage or look better in regards to the capital requirements that may come out in the future?

Ronald M. Faris

Analyst

That's one of the things we're considering because we are not sure that lenders and others are able to distinguish between those companies that are on fair value, which is basically almost everybody, and Ocwen, who is not. And so we do think that we probably are not getting, in all cases, fair treatment. So that's one of the factors that's going into this consideration. Kevin Barker - Compass Point Research & Trading, LLC, Research Division: Then one more, you -- in the last presentation, you mentioned that the internal valuation of the MSR was upwards of $3.7 billion and incrementally could be up as high as $4 billion. Now in your presentation in this quarter, you mentioned that the fair value is roughly, I believe, $390 million above low comp. It looks like it's about -- it was $850 million last quarter. What was the change in the fair value of the MSR between this quarter and last quarter, and maybe some of the details?

William Charles Erbey

Analyst

It wasn't a change, Kevin. It's like if we're going to mark it to market on our balance sheet, we're going to have rely -- it's going to be have to be marked based upon other people's cost, not ours.

Michael R. Bourque

Analyst

Yes, that's right. The other difference is, when we talk about the -- there's a range of values typically these brokers give you. There's a midpoint value and then a high-end value. So the midpoint value is what's reflected here as that's what would ultimately be used for a test of impairment. But as Bill alluded to, there's other factors like costs and things like that, that help kind of the Ocwen story as well as the fact that there's other range of assumptions in the actual model themselves that could lead a higher value closer to the $800 million that you've seen in the past. What I'd tell you, Kevin, is there really wasn't a material change in the underlying value of our MSRs kind of in that broader context, from the first to second quarter. It's more of a presentation on midpoint of the range versus the high end, and if you're looking at the broker assumptions versus what Ocwen may represent. Kevin Barker - Compass Point Research & Trading, LLC, Research Division: Okay. So there was internal and external valuations, is that the way you'd look at it?

Michael R. Bourque

Analyst

Yes.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Ken Bruce from Bank of America.

Kenneth Bruce - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

I've got a number of questions. So maybe to get started, I guess I'd like to understand the cost structure that you're looking at right now. And so I think if I heard you right, some of the cost savings that were anticipated later in 2014 are likely more in 2015. Could you maybe detail how we should be thinking about that? And -- yes, so that's question number one.

Michael R. Bourque

Analyst

Sure, Ken. I mean, one of the, I would say, larger cost that's, I think, been out there on the horizon was when we actually would kind of flipped the switch and exit the legacy ResCap servicing platform and switched over entirely to real service, the Real servicing platform. And so as the delay has -- or, I'd say, as we've seen a delay in the actual transition, the timing of that payment is pushing out as well. And so that is what we are alluding to in the comments that some costs may fall into '15. And so that's going to depend largely on the timing of when they are complete. I also mentioned that we would give folks a more detailed update around the third quarter's -- third quarter earnings call. And I think it's probably more appropriate when we have moved closer to that timing and have more detail there. So that would be the most significant item that we think would fall into next year.

Kenneth Bruce - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. So the termination fee, which was I think $20 million, is really what you were referring to in that case?

Michael R. Bourque

Analyst

That declines basically on a monthly basis. So that's been -- that will be lower in the future than it would have been if we had to pay it in July, let's say.

Kenneth Bruce - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And so you're really not prepared to talk about what the cost savings will be when you are able to move on to real servicing versus the ResCap? Because there were some significant cost savings, if I understood the way that you've talked about the operating margins returning back to something that would be discussed as more normal.

Ronald M. Faris

Analyst

I think the best way to look at it is to take a look at the normalization that we do on the expense side. That's why we normalize, to try to give investors a better sense as to what we think our cost structure will look like once we're -- we've completed the integration. So I think, yes, we're not ready to go beyond that, but I think that's the best thing for you to look at.

Kenneth Bruce - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And in the quarter, there was roughly $12 million of monitoring costs. How sticky are these monitoring costs? Can you give us some better detail as to what they are? I mean, that's a run rate of close to $50 million a year.

Ronald M. Faris

Analyst

Yes. So keep in mind that with our new National Mortgage Settlement, we now have a second monitor. We previously had just a monitor for the state of New York, now we have the national monitor. And so one of the big reasons for the increase in the quarter was related to the fact that we now have a second monitor that is in there, that wasn't in there before. And those costs will run for the next 3 years. The New York monitor was a 2-year period, and we're about a year into it, maybe a little bit more. So there is some volatility month to month, quarter to quarter, simply because largely you're paying for direct costs and time that professional firms hired by the monitor to do the work. How much time they spend in a quarter can vary from month to month, quarter to quarter. So as Michael said, our best estimate of the coming quarter would be it would be down some, down to $9 million, but I think he also said in his prepared remarks, but we -- at this point, it's difficult for us to give you a pinpoint amount for every quarter going on into the future because it varies depending on how much time the professional firms spend in any particular period.

Kenneth Bruce - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

I understand. Is there any way to think about that on an annualized basis in terms of what you think the cost burden on the company will be?

Ronald M. Faris

Analyst

Yes, not really. And not to kind of make a projection, but I think you can think about it that we think $9 million is going to be -- our best estimate for this coming quarter. So that might be something that you want to think about on a run rate, but again, it can vary. So I need to put that caveat there, but I think that might be a good way to think about it.

Kenneth Bruce - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And the additional 325 individuals in terms of headcount, are those largely domestic employees or are those overseas?

Ronald M. Faris

Analyst

Yes, we're not going to get into the exact mix of that, but it is -- they are in both domestic and offshore. I would say generally not quite at the same mix that we have for the broader, say, servicing operation. It's probably more heavily weighted towards onshore, but it is a mix between onshore and offshore. So again, I think for us, our ability to build out a world-class compliance and risk management structure, we have the opportunity to be world class and still be more cost efficient than other servicers who are not set up to do some of that work offshore. So I think it just, in some ways, enhances our advantage long-term over the competition.

Kenneth Bruce - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

And I think it's been described, this -- the additional increase in costs associated with compliance was viewed as possibly a temporary inflated cost structure. Do you feel that that's still the case?

Ronald M. Faris

Analyst

Well, I mean, certain things like the monitoring costs, at least as best we know, should be temporary in that it monitors are for set periods of time and then those costs will drop off. I think on the infrastructure that we put in place, we'll, of course, always try to look to make it more efficient, and to the extent work can be done in a lower cost labor environment, we'll always look at that. What I think is going to be the real benefit down the road is our ability by having a stronger, more robust compliance and risk structure, will be the ability to actually take costs out of the actual servicing and origination businesses, because we're going -- it's going to basically drive us to higher quality, lower error rates, faster identification of things that may not be working as intended, and long term, will allow us to bring costs down in the actual core operations, maybe more so than bringing it down into compliance fixed cost structure that we'll be putting in place.

Kenneth Bruce - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

Yes. And I appreciate that, and obviously, would like to see that sooner than later. I guess really where I'm going with this is, if we look at just the cost structure that's been put together around compliance and monitoring, you're really talking about something that is borderline between $0.40 and $0.50 of earnings per share. That costs us, from a market -- just from a valuation standpoint, something close to $5 per share. I think the market is really struggling with understanding what the overall operating costs in this business are going to look like, which has a tremendous impact in terms of the longer-term earnings outlook and the way that the Street's going to value the stock. Now -- I know you know that, but we need to get some very good understanding as to how these costs are going to play out over the next several years.

Ronald M. Faris

Analyst

We appreciate the feedback. That is something we're looking at very hard internally as well, and at the appropriate time, hopefully, we can provide more clarity for you all on what that cost is going to look like long term.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for attending the Ocwen Financial second quarter 2014 earnings conference call. This concludes the conference. You may now disconnect. Have a good day.