Edward White
Analyst · Tim Thein with Citigroup
Thanks, Al. Let's begin our financial review, with the first quarter reconciliations for sales, operating profit and EPS on Chart 4. First quarter 2011 segment sales increased 10% to almost $1.7 billion. The combined effect of price and mix was essentially flat with last year. While average selling prices increased slightly compared to the prior year, this increase was offset by a shift in product mix as beer business began to improve. Normally, we break out the impact on price of North American monthly or quarterly cost pass-through provisions. However, the impact was immaterial in the first quarter as natural gas prices have not shifted much, and escalating freight costs should be passed through in future periods. 7% higher sales volume increased the top line by $95 million, reflecting both additional organic sales and benefits from last year's acquisitions. Finally, currency translation increased our top line by $59 million in the first quarter. Moving over to segment operating profit. The first quarter was $199 million, up $6 million from the same period last year. Segment operating profit benefited slightly from price and mix. Higher volumes improved operating profit by $18 million, largely driven by strong growth of higher margin business in South America. Manufacturing and delivery costs increased $6 million. The combination of inflation of $49 million this quarter and the $9 million impact of the Brisbane plant flooding, offset the $52 million benefit from last year's footprint activities and from higher capacity utilization this year. As expected, operating expense increased $12 million, reflecting investments made in several initiatives that Al mentioned, including Glass Smart and our North American SAP deployment. And currency translation provided a small benefit this quarter. Overall in the first quarter, we saw about $40 million to $45 million of contribution from positive operating leverage, driven by organic growth. This is reflected in both the volume line and the benefit of the higher capacity utilization, which flows through manufacturing and delivery. Operating leverage was most pronounced in Europe and was the biggest factor that led to Europe's 27% year-over-year increase in segment profits this quarter. However, cost inflation offset operating leverage, and we will review this factor more in a minute. Finishing with the EPS reconciliation, our adjusted net income was $0.47 per share in the quarter compared to $0.48 in the prior year quarter. Operating profit was up $0.03 from the prior year and reflected the benefits of higher sales and production volumes this quarter. Earnings were impacted $0.04 from unfavorable nonoperating items, largely due to higher interest expense on incremental debt to fund future acquisitions as well as those completed during 2010. Corporate and retained costs were down slightly from the prior year, mostly due to the benefit of additional machine and equipment sales during the quarter. Furthermore, certain corporate initiatives, including our glass advertising campaign, as well as other supply chain and IT projects, were light in the first quarter but will ramp up as the year progresses. Finally, our only Note 1 item this quarter was a $6 million after-tax restructuring charge related to the closure of our plant in Guangzhou and the planned sale of its property that Al mentioned earlier. Let's move to Chart 5 for more detail on our balance sheet and free cash flow. On March 31, 2011, cash was $430 million, and total debt was nearly $4.4 billion. So net debt was $3.9 billion, an increase of over $900 million from the first quarter of last year as we put our balance sheet to work to fund several acquisitions in 2010. Our net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio was about 3 at the end of the first quarter, and that's at the upper end of our annual leverage target of between 2x and 3x EBITDA. Shifting to free cash flow. Please keep in mind that seasonality in our business usually results in the use of cash in the first half of the calendar year, followed by a strong source of cash in the back half of the year. The first quarter was a $158 million use of free cash flow compared to $80 million use of cash in the first quarter last year. This greater use of cash was due to a larger increase in working capital compared to the first quarter of 2010. The working capital increase this year reflected higher receivables due to sales growth and additional inventories to support seasonally stronger shipment. However, the working capital investment was partially offset by lower capital expenditures, restructuring payments and asbestos payments. Regarding asbestos, let me reiterate our position, given the recent unfavorable jury verdict in McLean County, Illinois. First, our basic fact pattern has not changed, and asbestos remains a limited and declining liability for the company. As far as the recent jury verdict, we continue to deny the conspiracy claim made in this case and will vigorously challenge this verdict if necessary in the appellate courts. O-I, as well as other defendants, have successfully challenged similar conspiracy jury verdicts in the past. Therefore, we have not made any changes to our asbestos-related liability, and we do not anticipate any changes to our 2011 financial outlook as a result of this case. Now moving to the right side of Chart 5, you see our debt maturity schedule as of the end of the first quarter. Our most current bonds are not due until 2014, that leaves only the bank debt due prior to that time. Given current attractive credit markets, we are in discussions with our bank group regarding refinancing options of our bank credit agreement in the second quarter. On Chart 6, we present our business outlook for the second quarter. I will walk through the usual directional guidance on key business drivers that affect earnings and cash flow and will also provide an update on cost inflation. Let's review each of the key business factors, starting with price mix. Given modest cost inflation in 2010, we saw only minimal benefit from annual cost pass-through provisions in the first quarter this year. Consistent with this, prices should be up only slightly in the second quarter, and we expect this benefit will be offset by a change in mix. However, we anticipate a more receptive marketplace for higher pricing over the course of this year, particularly in Europe. Al will expand on this shortly. Sales volume, like the first quarter, we expect second quarter shipment trends will remain in line with our full year outlook for volume, which we anticipate will improve between 5% and 10% from 2010 levels. Cost inflation. On our last earnings call, we provided a 2011 inflation outlook that ranged between $150 million and $180 million. Since that time, we've seen a number of events impact the global energy markets. Well I would like to update you on our energy exposure by region. In South America and Asia Pacific, the clear majority of our energy is purchased under annual fixed agreements. In North America, more than 85% of our customer agreements include monthly or quarterly cost pass-through provisions. So we have limited exposure to further escalating energy prices in those regions during 2011. In Europe, a majority of our energy spend is fixed for 2011, but the remainder is subject to market pricing, especially natural gas. Given recent volatility in European energy prices, which is impacting our variable price position, we are providing more information on the right-hand side of this chart. If average first quarter energy prices in Europe persists for the full year, our global 2011 cost inflation should approximate $200 million. The annualized impact would, of course, be even higher than this projection if we didn't have the majority of energy already covered by fixed price contracts. We estimate that a 5% change in European energy prices, mostly natural gas from the first quarter average, impacts our energy costs in the region by $7 million to $10 million on an annual basis. While it is very difficult at this stage to accurately forecast energy inflation this year, this information should provide additional insights on our cost profile. Now moving to other manufacturing and delivery costs. We expect to see footprint savings and higher operating rates benefit our manufacturing costs in the second quarter. Other costs. Regional operating expense should increase $10 million from the prior year due to the investments in Glass Smart and SAP. Corporate costs will increase about $8 million to $10 million from the prior year, mostly due to higher pension expense and various corporate initiatives. Finally, second quarter net interest expense should remain in line with first quarter levels. Now I will turn it back to Al.