Rajeev Suri
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead
Thanks, Matt. And thanks to all of you for joining today. Nokia’s second quarter results showed a sharp rebound from our weak Q1 with robust growth and improving profitability. When we announced our first quarter results, we said we expected meaningful progress over the course of the year and I can say that we delivered that progress in Q2 with good operational execution and momentum in the implementation of our strategy Nokia’s year-on-year revenue grew a strong 5% in the quarter in constant currency well ahead of a primary addressable market that we expect will grow slightly on a full year basis. As we tapped the opportunities to grow, we maintained our disciplined and enhanced profitability. Pleasingly, our 7.9% non-IFRS operating margin was up 160 basis points year-on-year and 910 basis points sequentially. The main area of disappointment in the quarter was our cash position, although our performance was not totally unexpected given large outflows for shareholder dividends, incentive payments and restructuring. Kristian and I will both talk about this subject in greater detail. Our Fixed Networks business is undergoing a transition and that caused some challenges as well. I will also come back to this near the close of my remarks. In addition to these issues, I would like to cover four other topics today, 5G both from Nokia and a market perspective, how the virtuous circle of investment that I've mentioned before is benefiting Nokia, progress and the execution of our strategy and an update on our 2019 expectations. Let me start with 5G, where we continue to win new deals and improve our product competitiveness. We now have 45 commercial 5G deals and are operational in nine live 5G networks. We also started to recognize 5G revenue in the second quarter including in North America and expect that recognition to continue to build in the second half of the year. As we sell 5G radio to customers, we are taking the opportunity to sell other things as well. Pleasingly, around half of our 5G radio wins contain additional Nokia products demonstrating the power of our end-to-end portfolio. As you know in earlier calls, I commented on our 5G radio roadmaps and while our progress is both fast and meaningful we still have work to do. Customers and lead markets like the United States, Korea and Japan are moving fast and we are working night and day to be there for them. While we continue to reduce R&D and legacy areas, our commitment to 5G is clear. Our end to end R&D capacity is larger than our European competitor giving us the resources to catch up where we are behind and further distance ourselves where we are already ahead. 4G field performance is one of those areas where we are ahead. This matters because for 5G non standalone the variant that is being rolled out today you need a strong 4G layer to deliver high performance. Nokia has that performance. For the first half of 2019, RootMetrics, an independent network testing company once again gave us the highest scores for 4G network performance across the 125 U.S. markets it tracks. This is not just a theoretical benefit. It is something that is helping us win in 5G. To date, all of the current Nokia 4G LTE customers who are deciding on their 5G and our supplier have selected Nokia. In addition to this excellent conversion rate we expect to gain share with some of these customers improving our 5G footprint compared to 4G. This progress is just the start, as we have over 300 4G customers to help transition to 5G over the 10 to 20 year investment cycle. From a broader market perspective it is clear that 5G is moving well beyond just capacity focused hotspots and campus networks for enterprises. Yes, those will be important for both our operator and enterprise customers, but nationwide coverage will also come and you will see 5G deployments that use low, mid and high band spectrum. In Korea for example, 5G that blankets the entire country will be a reality very soon. In the United States to provide another example, it will take a bit longer to get to full coverage as the mid band spectrum that will complement the low end high bands already allocated has not yet been made available. But there is no doubt that it will come. While there is a lot of 5G talk today and no shortage of activity, some of you may recall the 5G maturity index that we commissioned from Analysys Mason and that I shared at Mobile World Congress earlier this year. That study made two things very clear. First, that many countries will move fast to deploy 5G. We are seeing that process underway today. Second, that wider adoption would take longer. Most operators expect it to take about four or five years after that initial rollout to get 5G deployed to 75% of their customers. We're also seeing this play out today which is a good thing. It gives vendors time to be ready to deploy at massive volumes and ensures that a stable overall ecosystem will be fully in place. So to recap here, Nokia has a solid position in the early stages of 5G with our win rate and deployments, our 4G performance and deep customer base give us confidence about the opportunities to come and given the expected timing of large scale deployments as 5G moves beyond the lead countries, Nokia will be ready to support our customers at scale. Switching to the second point I want to make today. In earlier calls, I've talked about what we are calling the virtuous circle of investment, as operators and enterprises move to upgrade their networks to take full advantage of 5G. That circle is very much underway today. We see customer spending now to be ready for 5G, but also to avoid investments in both radio and transport peaking at the same time. This benefits both our IP Routing and Optical Networks businesses. To give a bit more detail on both, our IP Routing sales were up a stellar 18% year-on-year in constant currency. Much of this was driven by our highly competitive routing portfolio and the fact that our FP4-based products are now shipping in volume. We now have more than 100 FP4 projects and more than 70 of those represent new footprint for us. In almost 30 cases we have displaced a competitor at some of the world's largest operator’s, data center providers and enterprises. Pretty impressive. On the Optical side, constant currency sales were up again rising 9% year-over-year. With our new PSE-3 based products starting to ship in Q3, we will also once again leapfrog the competition. Turning to our strategic efforts to build a strong scalable software business and expand it to structurally attractive enterprise adjacencies, I'm pleased to say our progress was very good in the second quarter. Even if you adjust for some project timing that benefited Q2, Nokia software had a solid quarter, growing year-on-year sales by 8% in constant currency and posting a double-digit percentage point increase in its operating margin. As you will recall, we have two different parts of Nokia software, applications and core. Apps is delivering solid progress based on the improvements we have made to develop our products on the cloud native common software foundation and our investments in creating a strong standalone software sales organization. As core is now fully integrated into Nokia's software, it is in the midst of a portfolio modernization and sales transformation similar to that of the apps business. Our approach to cloud native is fundamentally different from and well ahead of what others in our sector are doing. The demands of 5G and digital services are such that you cannot just evolve old applications. Rather we have rewritten from scratch our integrated software suite for 5G to be cloud native, multi-network and multi-vendor. In addition, it is optimized for the leading cloud platforms, including Amazon, Microsoft and Google. Based on the quality of our work, our software portfolio is getting considerable external recognition putting us in a strong position to gain share in the future. Turning to Enterprise. We are continuing to target double-digit growth for full year 2019 despite the 6% year-on-year constant currency growth rate in Q2, which was driven by expected project timing challenges. We also expanded sales to new enterprise customers with 32 additions in the second quarter. One area where we see opportunity continuing to grow is private wireless, where we have won more than 80 deals. Private wireless is increasingly seen as a foundational Industry 4.0 capability with demand growing from many different kinds of customers, companies and verticals like utilities, transportation and logistics, as well as the public sector need large scale field networks. Railways need future communications systems to replace aging GSM-R technology. Factories, mines, airports and other enterprises need high performance wireless campus networks. Overall, the need is large and diverse and it cannot be met with a box cell approach. These enterprises after all are not like our service provider customers. Networking is not their core business and they are looking for a partner who can deliver a full end-to-end turnkey solution. Nokia is an ideal such partner, with the right solutions that span our full portfolio. You can see that in work that we are already doing. For example, energy company Electra in Brazil is using our full suite of customer premises equipment, radio packet core and management products, along with services to help them roll out private LTE for automating and managing their electrical grid. Other examples include Sempra Renewables which is using our technology to connect wind farms and target a 90% cost reduction and our work with Telefónica Peru to deliver a private wireless network for Minera Las Bambas, one of the world's largest copper mines. The third point I want to make is about cash. Yes, our cash performance was challenging in the quarter. No denial about that. But there is some context that must be understood. In particular, we expected the majority of what occurred, given roughly €900 billion used for our 2018 annual employee incentives, quarterly dividend payment and restructuring. We also had some expected inventory builds in order to deliver on customer demand for 5G network deployments. Then we did have unexpected issues, including some normal business that came very late in the quarter and that we could not immediately convert to cash. We expect that conversion to happen in the second half. Collection of a large receivable from a state-owned operator was also delayed, although we expect payments to start to flow later this year. Despite that context however, I remain unhappy with our overall working capital performance. We have a clear view of what needs to be done to get back on track and put in place a more structured program to improve results. The last point I want to make is about our expectations for 2019. As you will have seen today, we have maintained our guidance for a full year non-IFRS operating margin of 9% to 12%, non-IFRS diluted earnings per share of €0.25 to €0.29 and for slightly positive free cash flow. In Q2 we made progress in delivering on our targets, but at the same time risks remain. Those risks include, the execution demands of a very large second half of the year with particular intensity in the fourth quarter. Trade related uncertainty, challenges in China related to a clear preference for local vendors and pressure on profitability that could cause us to limit our participation in that market and the potential of an overall increase in competitive pressure. At this point, we expect that the pattern for the full year will reflect slower first and third quarters and more robust second and fourth quarters. Then just a brief comment on our €700 million cost savings program which is well on track. In addition to taking the committed costs out, our focus is on becoming a better, more productive company for the long-term. Before handing the call to Kristian, just a comment on fixed networks, which you will have seen had an 11% year-on-year constant currency revenue decline in the quarter. Fixed has long been a disciplined organization that delivered consistently good results. Today, however it is being impacted by the shift in spending away from traditional access product areas, as well as some tough competition. We see future opportunities in Fixed given our leadership in next generation technologies, such as Fixed Wireless Access where we are getting excellent traction in the market and have one views with customers like Optus, Dahlia [ph] and Rain [ph]. In addition, we continue to be well-positioned in both copper and fiber. We have more than 20 deployments of next generation passive optical networking and the largest deployment of the future focused copper technology known as G.Fast. These trends give us confidence in the future but the reality is that a turnaround will take some time in that business. With that, let me turn the call over to Kristian. Kristian?