Rajeev Suri
Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open
Thank you Matt and thanks to all of you for joining. In the fourth quarter of 2014 Nokia again showed great performance, with robust profitability and strong year-on-year growth for the second straight quarter across all three of our businesses. At the group level, we delivered net sales in the quarter of €3.8 billion, a 43.5% non-IFRS gross margin and non-IFRS operating profit of €524 million or 13.8% of sales. For 2014, the board of directors is proposing a dividend of €0.14 per share. These results are a great way to cap a truly transformative year for Nokia, one where we finalize the sale of our devices and services business to Microsoft and begin a new chapter in our history. In 2015, Nokia celebrates its 150 year anniversary, as we prepare to do that, I am confident in the strategic choices we have made for our three businesses and believe we have a solid foundation from which we can tap the opportunities of the programmable world. In terms of our businesses, let me start with Networks, which notched another strong quarter and is moving fast to capture opportunities in LTE. Our unique small cells offering and the transition to virtualization and the telco cloud. Net sales were up 8% year-on-year at €3.4 billion and up 14% versus the third quarter. At constant currency, networks net sales would have increased 8% year-on-year and 11% sequentially. For the full year, sales were basically flat compared to 2013. At constant currency, networks net sales would have increased 2% year-on-year and growth would have been 5% year-on-year, excluding the divestment of businesses not consistent with our strategic focus, the exiting of certain customer contracts and countries and foreign exchange fluctuations. Pleasingly in the fourth quarter we were once again able to show growth does not have to come at the cost of profitability. Non-IFRS gross margin reached 38.2% and non-IFRS operating margin was 14%, both very strong. We now have delivered seven consecutive quarters with non-IFRS gross margin over 36% with four straight quarters topping 38% and our non-IFRS operating margin was the second best in the history of the business. During the quarter, our deal momentum in the networks continued and we announced important contracts with customers, such as China Mobile, Mobily in Saudi Arabia and TATA DOCOMO and Bharti Airtel in India. For the year, to total value of business we won grew strongly versus 2013. Our win rate increased, and our overall sales pipeline expanded. Our business mix during the quarter was 52% mobile broadband versus 47% for global services, returning to a more normal balance after the spike we saw in mobile broadband in Q3. We have talked in the past about returning global services to growth, and in Q4 we delivered just that. The first year-on-year sales increased since the fourth quarter of 2012 combined with its seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit non-IFRS operating profit. Within services, systems integration was far in a way the best performer, with stellar improvement in sales. It is pleasing to see this from a business which is critically important to our telco cloud and virtualization strategy. I would also note, that we appointed Igor Leprince to run global services at the start of November and he is really already showing his value and his determination to maintain and build on our services momentum. Mobile broadband performed very well in both growth and profitability. Sales rose 13% year-on-year, while the non-IFRS operating margin was 12.5%, up some 500 basis points from the same quarter in 2013. As I look back at the year overall for mobile broadband, I am particularly pleased with two things. The massive transformation that took place during 2014 and our performance in core networks. In terms of transformation, some brief highlights. First, we significantly increased our R&D capacity through our focus on efficiency and effectiveness. This was partly achieved by a massive shift of work from sub-contractors to internal resources, as sub-contractors simply are unable to match our levels of quality and efficiency. Second, we increased our competitiveness by improving the strength of our product portfolio and continuing our momentum in quality. From a LTE to small cells, to LTE Advance, to core networks and beyond, we feel quite good about our position. Third, we improved our agility, allowing us to better respond to customer demands. Automation is key to this, so we can focus people where we need them most and I have just one example, we have massively increased the automated testing of software code over the past several years. Even while making all these changes, the employee engagement scores in mobile broadband remain very strong, among the highest of the large organizations in the company and overall attrition was at a good level, far below what we have seen in previous years. Turning to core networks, revenue growth and gross margin in this area was significantly ahead of the networks business as they hold. Growth was robust in key areas, like customer experience management, operations support systems and liquid core, which is our next generation core product. While much of the attention is on data traffic today, voice services still matter. We saw a ramp up of voice over LTE VoLTE in 2014 and believe it will become more mainstream in the current year. VoLTE delivers 15 times the efficiency of traditional network architecture, allowing call volumes to expand, while reducing total bandwidth demands. Then there is voice over Wi-Fi, which like VoLTE is a new means of providing voice service, in this case, extending the use of Wi-Fi to complement 4G networks. We see opportunities in this space and good momentum buildings, given the new devices in the market that support voice over Wi-Fi capability. Security is also a hot topic and our security group fits within our core networks business line, even it covers other parts of our portfolio. We are taking a holistic approach to the issue and using the same rigorous methodology that we used for our quality program to embed security into all of our products and services. Just like we believe, we have been able to start to differentiate by quality; we see an opportunity or differentiate in the security space. To further this ambition, we opened a mobile broadband security center in Berlin, designed to be a hub of leading expertise focused on ensuring robust telco security. This growing momentum in core networks has led to a number of very exciting new opportunities in North American and other regions that we expect will come to fruition in the future. I have mentioned in previous calls, that we are placing a high priority on partnering, and we are now starting to show some momentum. There is still plenty of work to be done. But we have gone through a detail process to select our top strategic partners and put in place a robust system for our corporation with them. We have progressed with testing of new products to expand into our portfolio and won a number of excellent new customer deals. Then to our regions. All showed sequential growth, with annual growth seen in North America, Europe, Middle East and Africa and Asia Pacific. North America was the absolute standout performer, with sales rising 95% year-on-year, thanks to LTE Network deployments, strong core network performance, services and our recent acquisitions of SAC Wireless. This was truly broad based growth, with an increase in sales to almost all customers, including T-Mobiles, Sprint, Verizon, US Cellular, some other small operators, plus a rise in our Canadian business. Our unique macro parity approach to small cells continue to get traction as we begin deployments for a major customer in a large metropolitan area. We are pleased to be proactively working with Google on the possibilities of opening up the ecosystem around 3.5 gigahertz spectrum for mobile broadband in the United States. Given our expertise in 3.5 gigahertz technologies and our approach to small cells, we believe there is great opportunity to be had using a shared access approach. While we were pleased with the quarter and momentum, we continue to watch North America closely, given the ongoing spectrum options and the developing operator competitive environment. Europe's sales remained strong after a good showing in the third quarter, rising 4% year-on-year, thanks to higher network deployments in Southern and Eastern Europe. In Asia Pacific, net sales were roughly flat year-on-year as network deployments in Vietnam, Myanmar, and India offset lower activity in Japan. Middle East and Africa was up 4% year-on-year and 25% sequentially due to higher network deployments and despite the ongoing challenges related to the political and security environment in several countries. Greater China slipped 3% versus a year ago, due to the timing of major TD LTE projects. I know, some of you maybe surprised to see this, but Q4, 2013 was a time for very large rollouts and I would also note that on a full year basis Greater China was up 16% year-on-year. In Latin America, net sales fell 9% year-on-year, primarily due to lower managed services activity in Brazil, but partially offset by higher network deployments in Colombia. As I said on the last call, we are still not out of the woods in Latin America and our efforts to improve performance there continue. As I think some of you are aware, at the end of the first quarter, we are planning to boost efficiency in our customer operations unit but uniting all our regions under Ashish Chowdhary, who has delivered superbly in Asia, Middle East and Africa and will now bring greater standardization and consistency across the globe. We think this move will allow us to better serve our increasing number of customers with global operations and also anticipate and proactively address long-term market opportunities. Before moving on to HERE, just to comment on the first quarter, while we believe our fourth quarter results show that our business momentum is good, I would also remind you that the first quarter of 2014 was a bit unusual, given the higher than usual software sales that we called out at that time. While the market remains competitive, as in previous quarters, we believe that our continued relentless focus on cost and productivity put us in a strong position to continue to win. In fact, we recently kicked off a program called Smarter that is designed to deliver further improvements to our cost base by addressing fully 90% of our total spend. To sum up, despite the strong performance we are not complacent and we will continue to drive the efficiency, while also making the necessary investments in our priority growth areas. On to HERE. Last quarter, I shared with you the appointment of Sean Fernback to lead HERE, as well as highlighted adjustments we were making to our strategy. I am pleased to say that Sean is now moving fast to execute those changes and put HERE on a path to stronger profitability. It is still early days of growth, but directionally the progress is good. We certainly saw progress in the fourth quarter, the momentum in our automotive business is excellent and we have won strong support from our customers in that segment. During the quarter, we also clearly benefited from a very competitive product offering and the good work of our sales team. In the past months, I've met with a number of my counterpart in leading car companies and increasingly they see us as a far better partner than others to whom they would have to surrender their customer data and relationships. This support is reflected in the company's results in the fourth quarter. For HERE as a whole, sales was strong at €292 million, up 15% year-on-year. Automotive was the biggest driver of this growth, followed by Microsoft becoming a more significant licensee of HERE services. We also had higher sales in our small, but growing enterprise segment and in the quarter we launched a new online self service portal to enable efficient sales to customers, an example of smart innovation as we seek to further expand. From a profitability perspective, HERE delivered a non-IFRS operating margin of 6.8% up from roughly breakeven sequentially, but down year-on-year. Operating expenses were up both sequentially and year-on-year. Both Sean I believe there is more we can do to optimize the business and reduce costs, while still investing to meet the needs of our targeted customers. I would expect to see the benefits of those actions starting to appear over the course of 2015. Timo will cover this in more detail in his prepared comments. Highlights in the quarter for HERE, included an agreement with Baidu, the leading Chinese language internet search provider to power its new desktop and mobile map services outside of China. HERE made its Android beta app available for all compatible android smartphones and made it available for downloads through Google Play. Today we have seen over 3 million downloads and this beta app has been received well by users, scoring an average of 4.4 stars from around 50,000 ratings in the Google Play store. HERE also launched Predictive Traffic, a new traffic forecasting product that can anticipate future traffic conditions in real time. And shortly after the end of the quarter at CES in Las Vegas, HERE and BMW announced their collaboration to create connected driver experiences and demonstrated the first results of their joint work, which is keeping pace with the changes in the first moving electronics industry. All in all, good momentum in the market for HERE. We have plenty of work to do internally, but our focus on execution and cost discipline is rapidly improving. Now, to Nokia Technologies, which had sales of €149 million in the quarter, up 23% year-on-year. As I am sure, some of you will have noted, that operating expenses were also up. This reflects ongoing investments in the business, inline with our long-term strategy and something we highlighted at our Capital Markets Day in November. That said, excluding litigation cost which can be lumpy, we do not expect increases in technologies operating expenses to be of a similar magnitude in future quarters as we are now starting to have more of the needed business infrastructure and development projects in place. We are putting the increased spending to good use. We invested in business activities, including launching our new brand licensing efforts and we exceeded our internal goal for patent filings in 2014. We also increased activities related to anticipated and ongoing patent licensing cases. Our commitment to driving value from our licensing activities has not changed and we see very good, short, medium and long-term opportunities. We are accelerating our efforts in this area in a smart way. The highlight of the quarter was the launch of Nokia N1 Tablet in November. We were pleased by the positive reviews and feedback from consumers and media, alike as well as the reception we saw in China when the N1 started selling earlier this month. We think this reflects the excellent design of the product and gives a taste of the long-term potential of our brand licensing model. Finally, we also good progress in less visible areas, where we continue to innovate, area such as imaging, audio, codec's and sensors, where we are doing some quite interesting things with graphene that could be used in a wide range of applications, particularly in the medical space. Before sharing some concluding remarks, I will now hand the call over to Timo.