Rajeev Suri
Analyst · UBS. Your line is open
Thank you Matt and thanks to all of you for joining. Nokia delivered strong year-n-year sales growth in the first quarter with weak net Nokia Networks profitability compensated by very good performances from Nokia Technologies and HERE. I will come back to the results of the quarter but would first like to take a moment to comment on two recent announcements, the proposed acquisition of Alcatel-Lucent and the strategic review of HERE. As I want to focus my time on these topics, I’ve asked Timo to cover most of the quarterly details related to HERE and Nokia Technologies. Let me start with Alcatel-Lucent. Given that Timo and I have talked with many of you when we announced the transaction and in that sense, I won't repeat the deal details or strategic rationale here. Rather, let me shares some thoughts about what we have learned since the agreement. First, I’ve met with many customers over the last two weeks and every single one has expressed their support. They see it as a way to ensure three strong global competitors and not as a reduction in competition. They see it as a way to protect their investments of the past while enabling the needed innovation in future technologies and services. They see the portfolio mix of the two companies as compelling and well-suited to meeting their future requirement. Second, we've had initial conversations with key government officials in many countries. And while it is still early, the tone has been quite positive. So some reason for optimism. Additionally, as you may have seen, a number competitor in both Europe and China has expressed for the transaction. Third, we've heard concerns about execution risk. Given the issues associated with similar transactions in the past that is a very fair concern. But I do believe that this time can be different. The transaction is not structured as a joint venture; it is an acquisition by Nokia with clarity in terms of leadership and governance. This will allow us to move fast to avoid politics and to show that history does not have to repeat itself. Both companies, Nokia and Alcatel-Lucent have been through significant recent transformation and restructurings and both have learned from those experiences. On the Nokia side, we have focused on creating a disciplined operating model that will serve us well as we proceed with integration planning and eventual integration execution. We have already appointed an integration leader and are moving fast to get detailed planning underway. As we do so, we will ensure the integration planning work is separated from our day-to-day business operations in order to minimize the risk of any disruption. In addition, technology has changed. As the telecom world has transitioned away from customized hardware and motor software and as open interfaces faces have become more prevalent, the pain of destructive and expensive swaps can be mitigated. Fourth, we've also heard questions from some of you on the call today about why now. And in my view, the answer that lies in the technology transitions that are underway and the progress that has been made at both Nokia and Alcatel-Lucent that I just noted. We are now in a cycle between 4G and 5G and the timing of this deal will allow us to accelerate spending on 5G immediately upon closing. In addition, the combined portfolio will put the company in an excellent position as the transition to cloud accelerates. Finally, we've heard some concerns about the commitments we have proposed to make to the French government in order to ensure their support for the deal. We believe those commitments are manageable within the business case of the transaction. And they include sufficient flexibility to align with our business needs. Also R&D capabilities that we will gain in France will make strong contributions to enhance the future of the combined company. Now let me turn HERE and the strategic review that we have announced. We embarked on that process in the context of two developments. The first is that location services are becoming of even greater strategic importance to automotive companies and others; second, it is clear that Nokia's portfolio will become increasingly networks focused once the Alcatel-Lucent transaction closes. In light of these two things, we wanted to take a step back and at least ask the question of whether owning HERE still made France. Following our review, we could choose to sell HERE in full or in part or we could decide to keep it unchanged from today. No one should assume that there is a predetermined outcome. We are looking for the best solution for Nokia and its shareholders for HERE and its employees and customers. We're in no rush, under no pressure of sale and regardless of the option we choose I have no doubt that the future of HERE is bright. With that, on to the quarter. At the group level, we delivered good results with sales of EUR 3.2 billion, up 20% year-on-year and non-IFRS diluted EPS up 25%. Non-IFRS operating profit of EUR 265 million or 8.3% of sales was down 13% year-on-year. HERE and Nokia Technologies, both performed very well in the quarter while good growth at Nokia Networks was offset by unsatisfactory profitability. Despite the slow start at Networks however, I am confident that we remain on track to meet our target for the full year. And let me now turn to Networks in more detail. As I noted, Networks delivered good year-on-year growth in the quarter of 15%. When you exclude the currency impact, net sales were up by 5%, still a healthy number; and the early signs are that we grew faster than the market in the quarter. Our Mobile Broadband and Global Services business units both grew with a particularly strong showing by the Services team which delivered year-on-year growth of 21%. Our business mix during the quarter was 52% Mobile Broadband versus 48% for Global Services. For the same quarter one year ago Mobile Broadband was at 54% although on a sequential basis the mix between segments has not changed. Within the segments however, there were some mix shifts in Q1. With more network implementation and less systems integration and services and more LTE and less core networking revenues in mobile broadband, these shifts were part of the reason for the quarter's weak profitability. On a regional basis, we saw year-on-year growth in four of our six regions with particular strength in North America, Greater China and the Middle East and Africa. India in particular was a standout performer, both on the Mobile Broadband and Global Services sides. Overall however growth was not the issue for Networks in Q1. The issue as you have seen was profitability. We saw a non-IFRS gross margin or operating margin the quarter of 33.7% and 3.2% respectively. We've done an intensive analysis to ensure that we understand what happened during the quarter and more importantly what we need to do to improve going forward. In today's press release, we called out a number of drivers for the profit decline. And I would like to take the next few minutes to give you some additional color. First, software sales were down by approximately 5 percentage points from the same quarter one year ago. This was driven largely by lower core networking revenue and lower software sales in Japan and North America. We do not see any evidence that this decline represents a structural change in our market but we continue to watch the situation closely and are taking actions to get software sales back on track. Second, strategic entry deals, particularly in China had a more significant effect in Q1 of this year than the same quarter last year. While we continue to require that such deals have the right long-term profitability profile, the short-term impact can be sizeable. That said, we expect the situation to ease as we head towards the second half of the year. Third, as I think you will have seen from the results of other companies in our sector, market conditions are challenging. While we believe that with our lean cost structure and disciplined operating model we are well positioned in this environment, there is evidence of a near-term shift in market behavior. Fourth, operating expenses, as I'm sure you understand a large portion of the OpEx increase reflected negative ForEx impacts; some of the increase also reflected increased investment in the growth technology areas including 4G, 5G and cloud core. Given the market environment that I just mentioned, we will continue to manage OpEx extremely prudently. Finally Global Services where we saw a 350 basis-point decline in operating margin. This was a result of a mix shift in the quarter which was heavier than normal in network implementation and lighter in systems integration. Systems integration has a challenging quarter although it is a relatively small part of our overall services business. In particular, systems integration was impacted by significantly lower very high margin business from one customer compared to the previous year. At the same time, our systems integration pipeline has continued to increase since the start of the year. And to give just one example, we won a very large new customer in Q1 that should benefit the business in quarters to come. Overall, I believe that our Global Services organization remains strong and its performance compares quite favorably to others in our sector. So, despite the slow start, we remain confident in our ability to deliver on our commitments for the full year. Let me just share a few other points that support that confidence. First, on the revenue side, our funnel of opportunities remains strong and our win rate remains high. Second, we’re launching several margin improvement actions including an expanded software up-sale program and sharper focus on earlier than planned recovery of entry and other low margin projects. Third, we continue to be very aggressive in driving cost and efficiency improvements to our business transformation board. We have active projects with clear targets and tracking mechanism spanning a wide range of areas, discretionary and overhead spending; improving cost of sales in both products and services; and further R&D transformation just to name a few. Finally, when we look at the strategic entry deals we have taken on, we see margins starting to improve as we head to the second half of the year, driven by contractual terms and ongoing cost and execution improvements. To sum up, we clearly cannot be satisfied with the network numbers we announced today but feel there are good reasons to have confidence for the full year. The Networks team has shown that they can deliver consistently strong results, and I know they are motivated to deliver better performance in the quarters to come. Then to HERE, HERE delivered excellent results with significant improvement in both year-over-year sales and profitability. The automotive segment continues to go from strength-to-strength. And shortly after the end of the quarter, I was particularly pleased to see that Jaguar Land Rover has decided to be the first car maker to implement HERE Auto, the industry's leading connected navigation fleet inside its cars. We look forward to seeing how that will be received by drivers this summer. This was a groundbreaking win for HERE; and the team is working very hard to follow that up with more. Other notable activities in the quarter included HERE launching its map app for iPhone users making it available for free download from App Store. To date, the reception has been excellent with the app downloaded a combined 6 million times for both iOS and Android and getting glowing reviews in the process. Finally, on to Nokia Technologies which also had a very strong quarter, with sales and operating margin up sharply, both year-on-year and sequentially. I am more confident than ever that licensing activities are tracking well and that there is a robust pipeline of potential new licensees. This is a business with a unique operating model, excellent assets and a world class team. And work is progressing well. Costs were higher in Technologies on a year-over-year basis due to investments in business infrastructure and new innovation but roughly flat on a sequential basis. While we will continue to invest where we believe there are compelling opportunities, we’re also taking steps to focus the work of the Technologies team on projects that present the most interesting opportunities. In short, more disciplined management of the licensing pipeline and sharper strategic focus to future investments. Let me now hand the call over to Timo for some more details and then we can turn to your questions. So Timo, the floor is yours.