Steve Taylor
Analyst · Wunderlich. Please go ahead, Jason
Yes. Thank you, Alicia and Ross, and good morning and welcome to Natural Gas Services Group’s second quarter 2016 earnings review. In the second quarter, we continued to see pressure on our business as a consequence of the worst downturn in decades. Notwithstanding recent gains, the rig count has dropped 47% over the last year, with oil prices approximately 60% lower. While most of the drilling-oriented industry saw their businesses retreat starting in 2015, we are just now seeing the primary impact on ours. NGS is typically shielded from declined activity two to three quarters due to our position on the production side of the business. But with U.S. oil and gas production starting to fall, not to mention last quarter’s extremely low oil price, we have experienced a greater contraction in the business recently. Rental activity in the second quarter continued to decline as a natural consequence of last quarter’s utilization drop and the bottoming of the oil price experienced in the first quarter. However we have seen this decline begin to mitigate itself from the second quarter and the month of July. Sales activity which is always volatile on a quarter-to-quarter basis also declined but our backlog continues to hold steady. Our rental gross margins were again very high due to excellent cost control and 53% of every revenue dollar was converted into free cash flow this quarter. The first part of the year has been difficult but continued upon the commodity price, we believe the worst is behind us. I’ll comment in more detail as I’ll review the financials. Starting with total revenue and looking at the year-over-year comparator quarters, the total revenues decreased 29% or $17 from $24.2 million in the second quarter of 2015 to $17.2 million in the second quarter of this year. Sales in rental revenue saw drops of $2 million and $5 million respectively. For the sequential quarters of first quarter of ‘16 compared to this current quarter, total revenues were off $4.4 million from $21.6 million to $17.2 million. Decrease was primarily in our sales component which saw a drop of $2.6 million. Rental decreased by $1.75 million. Reviewing the comparator six months year-to-date periods, total revenues were down 21% with rental revenues decreasing 23% or $9.25 million. Moving to gross margin and comparing the second quarter of ‘15 to this current quarter, total gross margins declined from $14 million to $9.5 million. We continued to hold strong at 55% of total revenue. Sequentially, total gross margin was down nearly $2.4 million from a little over $11.8 million to $9.5 million. Again total gross margin as a percent of total revenues held steady at 55% this quarter, the same as in first quarter 2016. On six month year-to-date comparisons, gross margin dollars were down 24% from $28.2 million to $21.3 million. As a percentage of revenue, year-to-date 2016 gross margin is averaging 55% compared to 58% for the prior year-to-date. Due to extraordinary cost control, we are holding our margins steady. Speaking of high margins and although I’ll address in more details later, I also want to point out that we had a very attractive rental gross margin of 63% this quarter. Our sales, general and administrative expenses decreased $725,000 or 25% in the year-over-year quarters, more than $400,000 in the sequential quarters of the first quarter 2016 compared to this quarter, and nearly $750,000 or 14% in the year-to-date comparisons over prior year. As a percentage of revenue, our SG&A expenses were roughly averaging 12% over the past 18 months, and we think quarterly cost of $2.5 million or less are sustainable through the rest of the year. If you recall, in the second quarter of 2015, we took a one-time non-cash charge of $4.5 million, primarily for fleet optimization. In the following commentary I will include references to 2015 results with and without this adjustment. Operating income increased almost $1 million in the comparative year-over-year quarters, up from $900,000 to $1.9 million with the adjustment but decreased $3.4 million compared to second quarter of 2015 operating income without the adjustment. When comparing year-to-date 2016 to 2015, operating income fell $1.1 million when considering the adjustment, and $5.4 million without the one-time charge. Sequentially operating income fell from $3.8 million to $1.9 million. In a comparative year-over-year second quarters, net income dropped from $3.5 million to $1.3 million this year without the adjustment. However, it is up $640,000 from the second quarter 2015 when considering the adjustment. Sequentially the second quarter 2016 saw net income decrease from $2.5 million to approximately $1.3 million. In the six month year-to-date periods, net income decreased $3.4 million to $3.8 million without the charge or little over $500,000 with the charges. On a year-over-year basis, EBITDA increased 8% from $6.8 million in the second quarter of 2015 to $7.3 million in the second quarter of 2016, considering the adjustment or decreased 35% from $11.2 million not considering the adjustment. Sequentially, EBITDA was down approximately $2 million to $7.3 million at 42% of revenue. On six month year-to-date comparison, EBITDA was down 10% with the adjustments, or were down 27% without the special charges included. However from an operating perspective, we continue to deliver principal cash earnings and maintained EBITDA on an average of 44% of revenue over the last 18 months. On a fully diluted basis, earnings per share this quarter, was $0.10 per common share. As I review our operating product lines, the comparisons will of course have no impact from the fleet optimization adjustments or charges from 2015. Total sales revenues, which includes compressors, flares and aftermarket activities fell almost $2 million in the year-over-year quarters from $4.3 million in the second quarter of ‘15 to $2.3 million in the second quarter of ‘16. Through sequential quarters, total sales revenues decreased $2.6 million from $4.9 million to $2.3 million. Reviewing compressor sales alone, in the current quarter, they were $1.7 million compared to $3 million in the second quarter of 2015 and $4 million last quarter. However recall that compressor sales have historically volatile quarter-to-quarter comparing these six months comparative periods shows that year-to-date sales are actually up 5%. Gross margins for the compressor jobs we completed in the quarter, was over 14%, which is a good margin in this market. But this does not include full absorption of all fabrication overhead. When this is applied, our compressor fabrication business fell into the negative. However our other sales activities, flares, parts and other aftermarket activities covered that deficit but that also minimized the positive contribution we used to get from those activities. Along these lines, I want to give just a little more detail on the dynamics of our fabrication business and cost during a downturn because we saw some of that downside this quarter. There are minimum fixed costs maintaining our fabrication operation. When things are busy, the equipment being built for regular sale absorbs the fixed cost of the business. However when things slowdown and there is very little fabrication activity, those fixed costs cannot be fully absorbed or allocate to specific activities. Obviously the variable cost or costs of goods are covered, but the fixed cost becomes stranded, that is those are real cost that are unabsorbed and have to be charged to the income statement. Our compressor and fabrication activity this quarter was at the lowest level we have seen in the last few years. Now because of this and the base level cost to maintain the facilities and our core group of people, the impact on the income statement this quarter was estimated to be $0.02 to $0.03 per share. Due to the inherent variability we see in fabrication throughput, our compressor sales were down this quarter and our compressor sales backlog continued to maintain the levels we have seen over the past year. Backlog was approximately $4 million on June 30, 2016, compared to approximately $5 million in the last quarter and $4 million at the end of 2015. Rental revenue had a year-over-year quarterly decrease of little over $5 million from $19.7 million in the second quarter of ‘15 to nearly $14.7 million for this current quarter. Sequentially rental revenues were down $1.75 million from $16.4 million in the first quarter of ‘16. The year-to-date review shows rental revenues down $9.3 million from $40.3 million to $31.3 million for the six months ending in June. With compressor rentals, the impact from terminations in the one quarter would impact revenue into the next quarter. So this current decline of rental revenues was not unexpected based on the utilization drop we’ve reported last quarter. With that in mind, the terminations this quarter were at lower rate. So on a positive note, we don’t expect near the rental deterioration going forward. As part of this, our gross margins continue to be very strong. We posted 63% this quarter against 65% last quarter, and year-to-date we’re averaging 64% compared to 63% last year. Average rental rates across the active fleet increased almost 2% over the second quarter of 2015 and were down 1.7% from the first quarter. However average rental rates for newly set units was more closely reflect the current market are down this quarter a little over 12% when compared to last year’s comparative quarter and 13% lower than last quarter. Obviously price has been much more competitive this quarter. Some of this price declines and mix shift this quarter contrary to last quarter towards smaller equipment being set but we’ve also seeing what I call predatory price in this year from competitors. I suspected it is driven by the requirements to service debt and make distributions. When our competitors price on a cash basis, you may choose not consider items like depreciation for example in the pricing calculations. For NGS, depreciation this quarter ran at 37% of our current rental cost. So ignoring it, which we don’t do but others may, would certainly drive pricing down but to unsustainable levels. I suspect that some competitors are pricing in this manner. Fleet size at the end of June was 2,626 compressors which is one unit less than last quarter. This loss of one unit was due to the decommissioning of five older fleet units for conversion to vapor recovery units, plus the building of four new vapor recovery units. Our active fleet utilization this quarter was 56%. This is a drop of 5 percentage points since last quarter. That also reflects the deceleration of the utilization drop we’ve seen so far this year. Our steepest decline at this downturn was in the first quarter of the year, so with this forming and other factors I’m expecting Q1 to be the worst quarterly decline we will see. Pressures on utilization and price will likely continue but I think the extreme deterioration is past us. Although oil price dropped significantly at the beginning of the year and the competitive pricing contraction in the market has been severe, NGS had been able to maintain a relative market share. In a market where pricing utilization is constantly under pressure, I think this is an accomplishment, especially when we continue to lead the market and pricing from a premium perspective. Last call I mentioned that we would earmark $5 million for CapEx in the first six months of the year, but then it was predicated on market demands. In the first quarter of ‘16, we spent a little under $2 million. In this quarter we capitalized only $700,000, so we need the first half of the year spending only little over $2.6 million of capital funds. This is in line with the depressed market we’re in and I think that $5 million mark for the second half of the year will be more than adequate. As mentioned we have recently approved the building of more VRUs. If you recall, we designed a line of vapor recovery units last year in order to take advantage of new EPA emissions regulations and we’re committed or sold out our initial run, so we have authorized the building of more of it. As I’ve mentioned in the past, this is not a needle mover in the short-term that this significance of any growth at the moment is important and we do think this would be a good future market. Going to the balance sheet, our total bank debt is $417,000 as of June 30, 2016, and cash at the bank was a little over $52 million. Our cash flow from operations is $9.8 million for the quarter. Free cash flow continues to be strong with $9 million in the second quarter of this year, $1 million higher than last quarter. As a percentage of revenue, free cash flow was 53% this quarter and is average 45% this year. So for every revenue dollar we generate, we are able to turn almost half of it into real spendable cash. From a macro point of view, things look to get better. The rig count has showed some minor increases recently, and oil supply and demand appears to be roughly balanced at present, however production continues to decline. Wildcard in this picture is a large overhang in crude inventory but that’s just a timing issue and it will get worked off. Even secondary effects start to show up. For example, rail shipments have all appear to have bottomed and are inching up also. Natural gas is even shying a little brighter. Natural gas consumption exceeded coal share in the U.S. for the first time ever in January this year and consumption this year is trending up. We have even, for the first time in recent memories, set additional dry gas units to some areas. I don’t think anyone is predicting a boom any time soon but the macro combined with what we see in the market gives us cause to peer out from under the covers now. Summarizing, NGS has positioned itself well for this downturn, as we have in the past, in spite of times our operating results continue to be enviable. Our margins continue to be among the highest in the business. Our sales backlogs remain steady. We are seeing some traction with our new VRU product and our ability to generate operating free cash is exceptional. Although some of the inherent fixed costs of the business are temporarily impacting our bottom line, these are transient and will be mitigated as activity picks up. That’s end of my prepared remarks and I’ll turn the call back over to Ross for any questions you may have.