Steve Taylor
Analyst · Sidoti and Company. Please state your question
Yes. Thank you, Alicia and Erika, and good morning and welcome to Natural Gas Services Group’s third quarter 2016 earnings review. Although our markets continue to be very competitive, I think NGS had another quarter, the rate of decline in our real utilization slowed for the second quarter in a row, our gross margin and operating income dollars were essentially flat between quarters, our rental gross margins hit a ten-year high of 66%, our compressor sales backlog grew, we were able to deliver higher earnings per share this quarter than last and we generated free cash flow at a rate of 55% of this quarter's revenue. There are some indications of a tightening market with the higher commodity prices but it is not fully settled into our business yet. If present trends continue, we may be in the bottoming of the cycle. Since our production oriented activities tend to lag the beginning of market upturns, I think all things being equal and as I have said before, we're still looking into 2017 before a definitive recovery we will be seeing. That being said, I comment in a more detail to review the financials. Starting with total revenue and looking at the year-over-year comparative quarters, our total revenues decreased $5 million and $21.2 million in the third quarter 2015 to $16.2 million in the third quarter this year. Quarterly sales were constant at $2.5 million while rental revenues dropped to $13.2 million this quarter. The sequential quarters of Q2 2016 compared to the third quarter of 2016, total revenues dropped $1 million from $17.2 million to $16.2 million. The decrease was due to rental revenues following $1.5 million but this was offset by increases in our sales and service and maintenance revenues. Reviewing the comparative nine month year-to-date periods, total revenues were down 20% with rental revenue decreasing 25% to $44.2 million. However, our compressor sales revenues are 10% higher than nine-month year-to-date period of 2016 compared to last year. Moving to gross margin and comparing third quarter 2015 to this current quarter, total gross margin declined from $12 million to $9.4 million but improved as a percent of revenues from 57% to 58% in the third quarter 2016. Sequentially and significantly, total gross margins softened only 1% from the previous quarter, the $9.5 million to $9.4 million and improved from 55% to 58% of revenue in the third quarter of this year. In the nine month year-to-date comparisons, gross margin dollars were down from $40.2 million to $30.7 million. As a percentage of revenue, year-to-date 2016 total gross margin is averaging 56% percent compared to 57% for the prior year-to-date period. Speaking of high margins and further illustrating our excellent cost control, we had rental gross margins of 66% in this quarter. This is the highest rental gross margin we have experienced in over ten years. I want to commend our employees for the extraordinary job they're doing. Margins like this in this environment we are in are truly remarkable. Our sales, general and administrative expenses decreased $566,000 or 21% in the year-over-year quarters, dropped 2% or $50,000 in the sequence quarters of Q2 2016 to Q3 2016 and is down $1.3 million or 16% in a nine month year-to-date comparisons over prior year. As a percentage of revenue, our SG&A expenses average 12% over the past 18 months. As you recall, in the second quarter of 2015, we take a one-time non-cash charge of $4.5 million primarily for fleet optimization. Noting that in the phone commentary, I’ll only reference our reported 2015 results which included that adjustment. Looking at our operating income, in the comparative year over year quarters, operating income decreased from $3.8 million to $1.8 million in the third quarter of 2016. Sequentially, we saw operating income drop less than $100,000 from $1.9 million to $1.8 million with both coming in at 11% of revenue. When comparing year-to-date 2016 to 2015, operating income fell from $10.5 million to $7.5 million. In the comparative year-over-year third quarters, net income dropped from $2.6 million to $1.5 million this year. Sequentially however, we saw net income increase 20% in this third quarter from $1.3 million to $1.5 million. This is helped by favorable tax rate resulting from some R&D tax credits would play in this quarter. However, even eliminating the lower tax impact and assuming the same income tax rate as prior quarter, our net income would have been essentially flat between quarters, still an accomplishment in this environment. In the nine month year-to-date periods, net income decreased from $6.9 million to $5.3 million. On a year-over-year basis, EBITDA decreased 23% from $9.4 million in the third quarter of 2017 to $7.3 million in this third quarter, the clock-in 45% of revenue compared to 44% last year’s comparative quarter. Sequentially EBITDA remained steady at $7.3 million and rose from 42% of revenue to 45% in the current quarter. Nine month year-to-date comparison, EBITDA was down 14%. From an operating perspective, we continue to deliver appreciable cash earnings and maintain EBITDA at an average of 43% percent of revenue in 2016 compared to 40% in the nine month period last year. On a fully diluted basis, earnings per share this quarter was $0.12 per common share compared to $0.10 and $0.20 a year ago. For the nine month comparative year-to-date periods of 2015 and 2016, EPS was $0.54 and $0.42 per share respectively. Sales revenues, we maintain total sales revenues which include compressors, flares and aftermarket activities, flat at $2.5 million when comparing the year-over-year quarters. For sequential quarter, total sales revenues increased from $2.3 million to $2.5 million. On a nine month year-to-date comparison, total sales are down from $10.7 million to $9.7 million, a 9% decline. A large part of our total sales decline has been in our flare business which is down $1.2 million in the comparative nine month periods. This business tends to track drilling probably closer than rest of our activities as supply is a natural extension of the rig count drop. Reviewing compressor sells alone in the current quarter, they were $1.7 million from Q3 2015’s $1.3 million and flat with last quarter. When comparing the nine month comparative periods, year-to-date compressor sales are up 10% from $6.8 million to $7.4 million, a commendable performance in this environment. Gross margin for the compression jobs refabricated in the quarter averaged 16%, but this does not include full absorption of our fabrication overhead. When that is applied, our compressor fabrication gross margin fell to 4%. But if you recall, this is an improvement from last quarter when overhead absorption issues caused a 10% gross margin deficit. This improvement enabled us to increase our total sales gross margin to 14% this quarter, up from 3% last quarter. Our sales backlog as of September 30, 2016 was approximately $6 million compared to approximately $4 million in the last quarter and $6 million a year ago. We were fortunate enough to pick a nice international job this quarter which will help maintain our compressor sales for another quarter or two. Rental revenue had a year-over-year quarterly decrease of a little over $5.3 million from $18.5 million in the third quarter 2015 to $13.2 million this current quarter. Sequentially, rental revenues were down $1.5 million from $14.7 million in the second quarter 2016. The year-to-date review shows rental revenues were down $14.6 million from $58.8 million to $44.2 million for the nine months ending in September. Our gross margins continue to be extremely strong. We posted a 66% gross margin this quarter as I mentioned a ten year high to give 63% last quarter and 60% in the third quarter of 2015. Year-to-date we are averaging 65% compared to 62% last year. Average rental rates across the active fleet decreased to little over 1% from the third quarter of 2015 and about 5% from the second quarter. When comparing the nine month year-over-year periods, our average rental rate for newly set units which more closely reflect the current market are off approximately 15%. Obviously pricing has been much more competitive this year. Fleet size at the end of September was 2,626 compressors which reflects no new net additions to the fleet. Although we have continued to repurpose some of our older depreciated equipment into new VRUs, Vapor Recovery Units. Our fleet utilization this quarter was 53%, this is a drop of 3 percentage points since last quarter but it also reflects a second quarter in a row that we've seen a slowing of the utilization drop. Pressures on utilization and price will likely continue but it appears that the extreme deterioration has passed us. In any market, there are always some bright spots and for us these came in the form of the new compressor products since last year, our vapor recovery line and a larger 400 horsepower units. If you recall, we brought these to market during this downturn with the intention of introducing our customers this new equipment now available from NGS. We want to make sure customers knew we have these new lines of equipment. So if when the recovery began, we didn't spend that time educating them. We want to be right off of this equipment when the market calls for it. Fortunately, we have rented all ten of the 400 horsepower units we've built and as of September 30, we have approximately 25 VRUs installed with a contractor rental backlog of another 25. So this market is getting traction and looks to pick up as we go forward. These are not large numbers in the realm of things but it does prove that we correctly identified have executed in these new markets. And I have authorized additional retiling has to be built. Additionally and a bit on the success, we are currently introducing our new 600 horsepower gas compression model which will be our largest unit. We have already sold a few of them and we will be building some rental free models too. In past calls I’ve noted that NGS probably wouldn’t spin over $5 million in capital for first nine months this year and in fact we spent only $3.4 million. Our CapEx spending in this fourth quarter will remain subdued. Our average is roughly the same as the past three quarters about $1 million to $1.5 million. However, the rental VRUs and larger units just mentioned we've built in the first or second quarter 2017, capital loan will equal how we spent this year-to-date. I don’t usually mention our service and maintenance activities because they are a small part of our company, usually about 1% of total revenue. Now I will note that our revenue just about doubled this quarter to $490,000 from what is normally $200,000 to $250,000 quarterly revenue business. This is driven by a surge of work we have performed for one of our larger compressor sales customers and while we continue to perform maintenance work for this operator, some of this initial work will not repeat. We are entertaining more of this type work and although we expect that go forward revenue stream will be a little higher, it will be closer to $250,000 to $300,000 per quarter mark. Going to the balance sheet, our total bank debt is $417,000 as September 30 of this year and cash in the bank was a little $61 million. Our cash flow from operations was $9.7 million for the quarter. Free cash flow continues to be strong with $9 million in the third quarter of this year which is consistent with the previous quarter. As a percentage of revenue, free cash flow was 55% percent this quarter and we average 48% so far this year. So, for every revenue dollar we generate, we realize almost half of it as real spendable cash. I read the other day that oil price has only two states of volatility, high or higher and we are certainly experiencing this. Any given day you can pick the oil price you prefer whether it is $30 or $70 and find an article supporting your view. And of course with OPEC and their constant state of confusion, it doesn't get any easier for us or our customers in trying to figure out what’s going on. I do getting encouragement from couple of items though. OPEC has at least announced that they intend to try to get prices up. That's the first part of the signal from them since the fourth quarter 2014. We know all the member countries need higher prices. We also know from history that it's a messy process they go through to achieve that goal. It's comical to me when I read our predictions that OPEC members, if they can reach foreign agreements, we’ll cheat on them. Of course they will, that's how OPEC works and I'm hoping as the trend in the intent the matter. Our second area of encouragement is various operators and customers are signally larger budget next year than they have had the past couple of years and most of these operators are announcing much better economic and production results than we've seen in a while. If our customers are healthy and active ultimately we will be too. Obviously these results and activities take a bit to work through the system and as I mentioned, our production or in services tend to lag, the start of recovery by two to three quarters. I think in 2017, we should start to see some recovery in our rental revenues. As I've noted in the past, NGS is positioned to sell well for this downturn in and spite of the times our operating results are enviable. Our margins continued to the highest in the business, our sales backlog has remained steady to up, we're seeing some traction with the new products our debt is negligible. Our ability to generate operating free cash is exceptional. Erika, that's the end of my prepared remarks. I will turn back to you for any questions you one might have.