Steve Taylor
Analyst · Wunderlich. Please state your question
Well, it's hard to say, we haven't got enough of a trend yet of the quarter to really see if it’s staying the same or improving or whatever. Plus, we don’t answer the phone anymore, we’re so jumpy that we just wait for stuff to show up at the yard. But now, it surged, the terminations surged in the middle of the quarter, and just almost coincidentally when all dropped to the bottom, about mid-February, when oil went down 26, 27 bucks. And coincidentally, that’s when utilization, the terminations peaked right there. Now, March is a little better, but again, I don’t want to take that one point, to start trying to extrapolate that into a trend that I might be wrong on. I mean I think the operators are still I mean just weighed out back. And I think we can see another couple of quarters of that and again, I still think ‘16 might be the bottom of the cycle, but ‘16 is 12 months long. We’re in the right of the fifth month of it and I think we can bump along the bottom here for a bit. So we can still see some contraction in that number. I think a couple of things out of that number. It obviously is not as good an indicator of revenue decline it used to be. It used to be pretty well lock step. Utilization going down, revenue going down. But as I mentioned, now, we’re seeing this mix shift from smaller horsepower to larger horsepower. So even though, utilization is coming down, on a revenue basis, it’s probably come down 0.75 or what you would have thought. And then with our cost cutting, as I mentioned, revenues are off 1.2 million and gross margins are off 0.2 million. So, the change - the effect we’re having on gross margin and the change in horsepower per unit going out and coming back is skewing that number a little. Nowhere Like 61%, 62%, although again, the whole industry is seeing that, because our relative market share has stayed the same. But it’s not quite as the corollary it used to be with the time to market. So all that mean that I don’t have any clue Jason. I think it makes Q2 or Q3 can still be rough and then maybe we start picking up towards the end a little bit, but no matter what it does, I mean obviously from the numbers we’ve shown, we’ve got it under control no matter what happens that we can still generate cash, we can still make the margins and just got to kind of ride through this, we’re still maintaining some premium pricing. It’s of course all those price points have fallen, but we’re still maintaining some of our premium and staying out there. So that’s all we can ask for right now.