Operator
Operator
Good morning. My name is Kyle, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the Q3 2015 Noble Corp. Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will a question-and-answer session. Thank you. Mr. Chastain, you may begin your conference. Jeffrey L. Chastain - Vice President-Investor Relations & Corporate Communications: Okay. Thank you, Kyle, and welcome, everyone, to Noble Corp.'s third quarter 2015 earnings call. Your interest in Noble is appreciated. In case you missed it, a copy of Noble's earnings report issued last evening along with the supporting statements and schedules can be found on the Noble website, and that's noblecorp.com. I'm going to turn the call over to David Williams in a moment, but first I'd like to remind everyone that we may make statements about our operations, opportunities, plans, operational or financial performance, the Drilling business or other matters that are not historical facts and are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which are posted on our website, discuss the risks and uncertainties in our business and industry and the various factors that could keep outcomes of any forward-looking statements from being realized, including the price of oil and gas, customer demand, operational and other risks. Our actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements, and Noble does not assume any obligation to update these statements. Also note, we are referencing non-GAAP financial measures in the call today. You will find the required supplemental disclosure for these measures, including the most directly comparable GAAP measure and an associated reconciliation, on our website. And finally, consistent with our quarterly disclosure practices, once our call has concluded, we will post to our website a summary of the financial guidance covered on today's call, which will provide fourth quarter and full year 2015 figures. With that, I'll now turn the call over to David Williams, Chairman, President and Chief Executive of Noble. David W. Williams - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer: Thank you, Jeff. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our review of Noble's third quarter 2015 results. We very much appreciate your participation in today's call and your continued interest in Noble. I'd like to apologize for the late start this morning. Our conference provider had some challenges, as some of you might have noticed getting in; but I appreciate everybody staying with us. Jeff is joining me today in Houston. James MacLennan, our Senior Vice President and CFO, and Simon Johnson, our Senior Vice President of Marketing and Contracts, are participating this morning from London. And you'll hear from both of them in just a moment. Although the environment remains rough for offshore drilling, Noble continues to execute at a very high level. And the consistency of our operational performance is just one of our strengths that enables us to successfully manage the cyclical trough. I'll elaborate further on this point later in my prepared remarks, but I'll begin today with some comments on a few of the more notable third quarter achievements. I'll also offer some thoughts on our board's decision to reduce the quarterly dividend, which was disclosed on October 23. Once James has completed a discussion on our third quarter financial performance, along with some updated guidance for the last quarter of 2015, and Simon has updated you on our marketing efforts, I'll close with some final thoughts on where Noble stands as we conclude 2015 and approach the start of 2016. After that, we'll open the call up for your questions. I want to begin today with a brief comment on the arbitration involving the semisubmersible Noble Homer Ferrington, which was concluded during the quarter. Needless to say, we believe the arbitration process arrived at the correct conclusion, and the award to Noble of $177 million before taxes is appropriate, well timed and further supplements an already strong 2015 cash flow position. Outside of the arbitration award, impressive fleet execution and lower operating cost have been a consistent quarterly theme for us throughout 2015, and the third quarter was no exception. Total fleet downtime of 4.6% was, again, below our guided level for the quarter of 6% and resulted in total downtime through September 2015 of an impressive 4.3%. When we adjust total fleet downtime for downtime days paid, as some of our contracts provide, the quarterly unpaid downtime result was just above 2.5%. Either way you measure it, we're very pleased with this outcome and believe the systems and processes in place that address crew competencies, safety and rig efficiencies will contribute to an operating environment and culture capable of delivering continued exceptional fleet performance. Also, contract drilling costs continued a favorable trend in the quarter, declining 5% from the second quarter, excluding the impact of the arbitration matter, and were well below the low end of our range of guidance, as we realized further benefits from the ongoing review and implementation of cost control measures. These measures are expected to drive further cost reductions in the fourth quarter and into 2016. The combination of strong fleet performance with its positive impact on revenues and lower trending contract drilling costs have allowed us to maintain an operating margin well above expectations, holding at 59% for third quarter excluding the effect of the arbitration award, unchanged from the second quarter and well beyond the early 2015 expectations that were in the range of 50% to 53%. So I remain very pleased with the outstanding operational execution of the company and the timely adjustments we have made to more effectively manage through this difficult period in the offshore drilling industry. Our recent decision to reduce our quarterly dividend to $0.15 per share from the previous $0.375 per share represents what we believe is another timely decision by the company, which will preserve liquidity in an uncertain market and support future operational and strategic decisions. In spite of our exceptional performance so far this year and as we look to enter 2016, it became apparent that improving our liquidity was a higher priority through the middle and end of the cycle and better supported our long-term strategy. Therefore, our decision, we believe, was fairly clear. We believe the revised dividend appropriately addresses the present uncertainties in our industry, preserves liquidity and maintains what we believe is a meaningful and sustainable allocation of cash to our shareholders. Although we're confident industry fundamentals will improve in time, we must remain true to our management philosophy that has proven successful in building a strong, enduring legacy at Noble that in 2016 will reach 95 years. This philosophy includes a core focus on financial discipline, which is another way of saying a solid balance sheet, healthy debt metrics and a robust long-term liquidity are keys to long-term success in our industry. With that, I'll now turn the call over to James to take a look at our third quarter financial performance. James A. MacLennan - Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President: Thank you, David, and good morning to everyone on the call. As David already noted, our strong third quarter results were driven by excellent operations execution as well as the continuation of the favorable operating cost trend. I'll open this review with a brief comment on revenues in the quarter, followed by some detailed thoughts on three factors which contributed to the excellent quarterly results, while noting the impact on each from a Noble Homer Ferrington arbitration award. The three factors are fleet performance, contract drilling operating costs and the effective tax rate. Following my comments on these factors, I'll provide updated guidance on several P&L line items and capital expenditures for the final quarter of 2015, and also provide a preliminary look at 2016 capital expenditures. A more complete discussion on 2016 guidance will be provided as part of the conference call commentary in January, 2016, when we review fourth quarter 2015 results. To begin, contract drilling service revenues were $874 million in the third quarter, up $103 million from the second quarter. Revenues included $137 million from the Noble Homer Ferrington arbitration. From an operations point of view, third quarter revenues were supported by the continued favorable downtime performance throughout our fleet, which ran at 4.6% compared to a guided level of 6%. Additionally, we earned revenue on a portion of the operational downtime in accordance with the drilling contracts. The net result was a contribution of approximately $20 million in additional revenues for the third quarter, attributable to lower downtime and contractual obligations of customers to cover a portion of the downtime. The positive variance in contract drilling services costs represented another significant reason for the strong results in the quarter. These costs totaled $293 million, which compared favorably to our guided range of $325 million to $340 million, and below the $319 million of costs in the second quarter. The arbitration matter resulted in $10 million of cost recovery, which reduced our third quarter cost. After adjusting for the cost recovery, our operating costs at $303 million were about $30 million below the guided level, resulting primarily from cost control measures we continue to implement, along with the lower levels of operational downtime. The successful cost control measures include the elimination of certain employee retention and salary obligations, lower shorebase and operations support costs, and cost-cutting for idle rigs and newbuilds prior to entering service, such as the Noble Tom Prosser. We also experienced lower costs for certain stacked rigs. Finally, our effective tax rate for the quarter was 11% compared to a guided range of 18% to 20%. Better than expected operating performance, which produced higher net income before tax along with the favorable bookings of certain discrete items, were the primary drivers behind the lower rate. I'll also add that interest income included $30 million of interest received under the arbitration award. In total, the arbitration award provided $177 million pre-tax in the third quarter. Before I move on to guidance for the fourth quarter, I want to comment on third quarter CapEx, which was $70 million below the previously guided range. As we've indicated on previous calls, capital expenditures will be down significantly in 2015 due to the absence of newbuild rig deliveries this year. Capital expenditures in the third quarter totaled $110 million including capitalized interest, well below our guidance of $180 million. The lower spend was due to a combination of cost-control measures and the timing of spending across all capital categories. This brought our capital expenditures through the first nine months of 2015 to $280 million. The components of our year-to-date CapEx are as follows: $41 million for newbuild rigs, primarily expenditures associated with enhancements to the technical specifications on the jackup Noble Sam Hartley and progress payments on the Noble Lloyd Noble; $128 million for major projects; $93 million for sustaining capital; and $18 million in capitalized interest. I now want to focus on guidance for the fourth quarter of 2015, covering certain line items on the P&L as well as capital expenditures. First, we're maintaining our operational downtime guidance in the Noble fleet for the fourth quarter at an average of 6%, which should result in full year operational downtime of approximately 4.7%. We benefited from operational improvements that have contributed to the strong fleet execution over the first nine months of 2015, and we have a growing confidence that downtime can be maintained at 6% or lower. We believe the 6% rate for the remainder of 2015 is a prudent expectation and reflects our high mix of premium, complex floating and jackup rigs. Contract drilling services costs are now expected to be in the range $1.25 billion to $1.26 billion for the full year 2015. You will recall that we began 2015 assuming full year costs of $1.4 billion at the mid-point of our range. The assumption was lowered by $100 million during the July call and is now being reduced a further $45 million, or 10% below our initial assumptions for 2015 and 16% below full-year costs in 2014. The reduction in our cost outlook reflects the favorable impact of the cost reduction initiatives I mentioned earlier. These initiatives should provide further benefit in 2016, with preliminary contract drilling costs in 2016 expected to fall below the 2015 full-year range of guidance. As is our usual practice, expanded details on 2016 guidance will be provided during our review of fourth quarter results on the conference call to be held in January of next year. Addressing the fourth quarter of 2015, contract drilling services costs are expected to be in the range $310 million to $325 million, and primarily reflect the additional costs from the commencement of operations on the semisubmersible Noble Paul Romano and the jackup Noble Tom Prosser, as well as ramp up costs for the jackup Noble Sam Hartley as it prepares for its initial contract commencing in January 2016. We expect DD&A for the full year to be in the range $635 million to $640 million, slightly above prior guidance. For the fourth quarter, DD&A is expected to be between $160 million and $165 million. We expect SG&A to range from $80 million to $85 million in the year, with approximately $18 million to $20 million being spent in the fourth quarter. We expect interest expense net of capitalized interest to total $215 million to $220 million in 2015. Additionally, guidance is unchanged for capitalized interest in 2015 at $20 million to $25 million. Net interest expense in the fourth quarter is expected to be $55 million to $60 million. The minority interest line on our P&L, which is ultimately dependent on the operational performance of the two jointly owned rigs, Bully I and Bully II, is expected to total $70 million to $75 million in 2015, with approximately $15 million in the fourth quarter. Our effective tax rate in 2015 is being lowered from our previous guidance of 18% to 20% to a revised range 14% to 16%. Discrete items in the quarter, along with the better than expected year-to-date tax rate, contribute to a lower annualized rate, driving the guidance downward. As I've stated before, the level of pre-tax income, changes in the geographic mix of sources of revenue, tax assessments, settlements, and movements in certain exchange rates all can affect this line. With regard to our liquidity position, and considering our recently announced reduction in our quarterly dividend to $0.15 per share, we should end 2015 with available liquidity exceeding $3 billion, including a cash balance of more than $300 million. We will be free cash flow positive in 2015, and we forecast that we will end the year with a debt to capitalization ratio of approximately 37%, compared to where we began the year at 40%. We are again lowering our expected CapEx for 2015 to $450 million, or $75 million below our previously revised guidance of $525 million. Before I walk through the revised 2015 capital expenditure breakdown by major category, I want to remind you once again that our cost control efforts extend equally to capital expenditures to the extent preexisting commitments allow. As discussed on the last two calls, we've reduced major project and sustaining capital expenditures where we could do so without hindering the safe and efficient execution of our global operations. The breakdown by major spending category is as follows: in our newbuild program, we expect to spend $60 million relating largely to progress spend on our final newbuild delivery, the Noble Lloyd Noble, and the additional capital enhancements on the Noble Sam Hartley; the remaining CapEx needed to complete the newbuild program in 2016 and beyond should total approximately $470 million, with capital expenditures in 2016 for the Noble Lloyd Noble of approximately $460 million. Major projects in 2015 are expected to total approximately $215 million. This amount includes subsea component purchases and newbuild and other capital spares of $140 million, as well as several rig maintenance and regulatory inspection programs, including the recently completed shipyard program on the Noble Paul Romano, which in September began a four-well contract in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. Sustaining CapEx is expected to total $150 million in 2015. Total capital spending for the fourth quarter is, therefore, expected to be at about $170 million. Finally, our capital expenditure plan for 2016 is in the final stages of review and approval, and I would like to provide an early comment on the plan in an effort to assist you with your 2016 cash flow projections for Noble. We expect our capital expenditures for 2016 to be approximately $800 million, up from an estimated $450 million this year. The year-over-year increase is solely related to the second quarter 2016 shipyard delivery of the high specification jackup Noble Lloyd Noble. All other categories of capital spending, including major projects and sustaining capital, have been reduced as compared to estimated 2015 expenditures. Stated another way, when the expenditure for the Noble Lloyd Noble is excluded from 2016 totals, the residual amount is $340 million, and that compares to our revised guidance of $450 million in 2015, or $390 million excluding newbuild capital. As I mentioned earlier, expanded guidance related to 2016 capital expenditures will be provided during our review of the fourth quarter results on the conference call that will be held in January 2016. With that, I conclude my prepared comments and will now turn the call over to Simon for a review of the offshore market. Simon W. Johnson - Vice President-Marketing & Contracts: Thank you, James, and good morning to everyone. My prepared remarks will be brief today to allow more time to answer your questions. I'll speak to the recent progress we have made regarding new contract awards and extensions for certain rigs in the Noble fleet, provide an update on the company's backlog and address the handful of rigs with near-term availability. Although the challenges surrounding the marketing of rigs did not diminish in the third quarter, our efforts were rewarded with several new contracts and extensions. The newbuild jackup Noble Sam Hartley secured its inaugural contract following the rig's exit from the shipyard in September, receiving a six-well contract of three years anticipated duration from Total for high-pressure, high-temperature work offshore Brunei. The contract is expected to commence in January 2016, adding an estimated $122 million to the company's backlog, which is an exceptional achievement in the prevailing market conditions. The high-specification jackup Noble Regina Allen received a one-well extension of approximately 65 days duration at a day rate at $155,000, pushing the rig's contract term out to mid-November 2015. In Argentina, Total exercised a two-month option on another of our JU3000N jackups, the Noble Houston Colbert, at $175,000 per day. The rig is now contracted into early June 2016. For the floaters, the semisubmersible Noble Danny Adkins was awarded an estimated 80-day contract for work in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico with Talus. The contract should commence in early November at $206,000 per day. Given the well understood challenges of the cyclical trough the industry is in, we're delighted with capture of additional contract days for these rigs. Noble's ability to successfully compete for the thin work programs available today is a testament to the capability of our assets and the crews that operate them. We believe that our customers are firmly focused on performance and quality, and these recent extensions reflect how they rate Noble's value proposition relative to other players in the market. Interestingly, we also see oil companies paying closer attention to the financial health of their counterparties. Our customers are taking a far greater interest in their vendors' balance sheets and their ability to support liabilities indemnities under the contract. Following these contract awards and extensions, Noble's revenue backlog at September 30, 2015 totaled $8.1 billion, with $6.2 billion in the floating rig segment and $1.9 billion for the jackups. Approximately, 63% of the backlog is associated with integrated oil companies, 18% with national oil companies and 19% with the independents. For the final quarter of 2015, 78% of our available days are covered by contract, including 80% of our floating rig days and 74% of our jackup rig days. In 2016, 67% of our available days are under contract, with 58% and 76% of the floating and jackup rigs committed to contracts, respectively. As a final backlog statistic and on a rolling 12-month basis, the available days contracted stands currently at 72% with a related backlog of $2.6 billion for that time period. I now would offer some comments on those rigs in the Noble fleet that are rolling in the near term. Please bear in mind the highly competitive nature of the offshore market, and that necessitates that I keep my comments brief. Among our floating rig fleet, the Noble Danny Adkins is expected to be available during the first quarter of 2016, following completion of the (23:18) program I mentioned earlier. The rig has consistently demonstrated strong operational performance for our clients and is well positioned to compete for deepwater opportunities in the Gulf of Mexico. We remain reasonably confident in our ability to keep the rig operating into 2016 with short, but manageable, periods of idle time. The Noble Amos Runner and the Noble Jim Day in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, and the Noble Dave Beard in Brazil, are expected to complete their current contracts over a range of time beginning November 2015 to April of 2016. Each of these rigs is currently being considered for follow-on work. However, if we are successful, we believe there may well be gaps of a short to intermediate duration of the programs that we hope to string together. The Noble Clyde Boudreaux operating offshore Australia is expected to complete its current contract in December 2015. The rig is well placed to compete for a number of opportunities in the Asia Pacific region, and we remain relatively positive about securing work in direct continuation. Finally, following the conclusion of our 2015 drilling season, the Arctic drillship Noble Discoverer is demobilizing from Alaska. The unit remains under contract with Shell through the end of 2016. Following award of a long-term contract for the Noble Sam Hartley, our jackup fleet enjoys relatively strong contract cover through the first half 2016. The Noble Mick O'Brien will commence its fixture in the UAE in March 2016, leaving the Noble Regina Allen as the only other unit expected to have near-term availability. The rig, which could be available in December 2015 in the North Sea, is under consideration for follow-on work in and outside of the region, and we believe that any non-operational period will be of limited duration. A final thought to leave you with, despite the noticeable decline in offshore exploration drilling, we have seen worldwide exploration success in greater than 4,000 feet quietly build to 23 discoveries since the beginning of this year. This compares to just 14 discoveries in 2014 and 39 discoveries in 2013. The 23 announced deepwater discoveries were made offshore 11 countries around the globe. The breakdown shows 10 were operated by NOCs, 7 by IOCs and 6 by independents. While this will not translate into immediate rig demand, it does underline the prospectivity of the deepwater resource space. According to industry authority IHS, approximately 31% of global hydrocarbon production is derived from offshore reservoirs, and our belief is that its relative share will become more important and significant through time. Looking forward, the absence of near-term exploration plans, a cloudy seismic outlook and poor participation in recent licensing rounds remain a concern. Recovery and exploration activity is fundamental to restoring balance in the rig market, and each year of underinvestment by the operator community in replacing reserves holds both risks and opportunities for our sector. With that, I'll now turn the call back to David. David W. Williams - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer: All right. Thank you, Simon. I want to close my remarks this morning by offering you some facts to consider about Noble. I realize that it's easy to become distracted by constant reminders of adverse industry conditions, many of which are simply evolutionary stages of the cyclical trough that will ultimately lead to the inevitable recovery. However, in spite of the generally negative view of our industry by many observers, I'd like to highlight some interesting observations about Noble that are decidedly positive, given the current state of the industry. Noble continues to manage the cyclical weakness with strong contract cover provided largely by a young, modern and versatile offshore fleet. In 2016, we expect our current $8.1 billion backlog to provide potential revenues of about $2.5 billion with another $1.6 billion expected in – excuse me, in 2017. We also expect to supplement our backlog with additional contracts, as you've seen in recent weeks with the Noble Danny Adkins and the Noble Sam Hartley. As mentioned earlier, operational execution is running at a very high level, with fleet downtime below our revised lower expectations and contract drilling costs still in decline. In fact, with the guidance provided this morning, our expected contract drilling costs are now $150 million below guidance offered earlier in the year. We're achieving excellent performance for our customers and are very comfortable with the mix of our backlog amongst integrated, national, and independent customers. Further, revised 2015 capital expenditures of $450 million are now expected to be $135 million below expectations at the start of the year. And our preliminary guidance for 2016 suggests that capital expenditures of approximately $340 million before inclusion of the final payment of approximately $460 million upon delivery of the newbuild high specification jackup Noble Lloyd Noble. Cash flow from operations is running better than $400 million ahead of plan through September 2015, due largely to the strong operations execution and success with managing costs. And liquidity in 2016 will be enhanced by an estimated $220 million at the current quarterly dividend level. Finally, debt metrics have improved with a debt to total capital ratio of 37% at the end of the third quarter compared to slightly more than 40% at the start of the year, and liquidity sits at a robust $2.8 billion with nothing drawn against the available credit lines. We believe most of the facts that I've just run through were key considerations of the rating agencies during the recent industry-wide review and were instrumental in maintaining Noble's investment grade rating. Collectively, these facts strengthen an already strong industry position, and offer greater strategic flexibility as we close out 2015 and begin the new year. Noble remains committed to maintaining our strong industry position through the current downturn while pursuing opportunities that will strengthen our company for the future. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Jeff. Jeffrey L. Chastain - Vice President-Investor Relations & Corporate Communications: Okay, David. Thank you. And, Kyle, we're ready to begin the question-and-answer segment of the call. So while you start to build the queue, we'll – I'll remind everyone that we'll take as many calls as possible up to the top of the hour. And we would appreciate everyone limiting themselves to one question and a follow-up. Kyle, go ahead with the first question, please.