Kevin Brackman
Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead
Thanks, Andrean, and good morning, everyone. Today, I’ll review our 2019 third quarter financial performance, including our balance sheet and cash flow. Please turn to Slide 4 of the presentation, and I’ll begin with a review of our third quarter operating performance. All numbers in the presentation reflect continuing operations. Net sales for the third quarter were $125 million, a decrease of 7% compared to the third quarter of 2018. The decrease was primarily due to a decline in the Material Handling Segment within the company’s food and beverage and industrial end markets. Adjusted gross profit margin increased 20 basis points to 31.5%. This was primarily due to favorable price-cost margin, which more than offset the lower sales volume and the charge we took during the quarter for estimated product replacement costs that Andrean discussed earlier. Our adjusted operating income increased 8% to $8.5 million for the quarter. This was the result of the higher gross profit margin, as well as a decrease in adjusted SG&A year-over-year, due primarily to lower variable compensation costs and savings from the Distribution Segment’s transformation initiatives. Adjusted diluted earnings per share were $0.15 or flat compared to the third quarter of 2018. GAAP earnings per share were $0.15 compared to a loss of $0.60 for the third quarter of last year. GAAP earnings per share in the third quarter of 2018 included $33 million of charges that we took related to the 2015 sale of the Lawn and Garden business. Now let’s turn to Slide 5 for an overview of our performance by business segment. Net sales in the Material Handling Segment decreased 14% to $84 million. The decline was driven by sales decreases across all of the segment’s end markets. The sales decreases by end market were highlighted earlier in the presentation by Andrean and are outlined here as well. Despite the lower sales, Material Handling’s adjusted EBITDA margin increased 90 basis points to 18.4%, which was primarily due to favorable price-cost margin and lower incentive compensation costs. In Distribution, net sales increased 10% to $41 million. Excluding the Tuffy acquisition, which contributed $2.4 million in sales during the quarter, net sales increased 4%. Distribution’s adjusted EBITDA margin increased 190 basis points to 9.5% as a result of the higher sales volume, savings from the segment’s transformation initiatives and the Tuffy acquisition. The segment continues to execute its transformation plan, which includes enhancements in its go-to-market strategy, the implementation of 80/20 to drive improved contribution margins and optimization of its logistics and overhead costs with the goal to expand the EBITDA margin to 10% by the end of 2020. Turning to Slide 6. We generated free cash flow of $22 million in the quarter, compared to $12.7 million for the third quarter of 2018. The higher cash flow was mainly due to a decrease in working capital year-over-year, which was primarily the result of lower accounts receivable due to the softer sales volume and a reduction in past due accounts. Working capital as a percent of sales at the end of the third quarter was 4.7%, which was in line with previous quarters. Now let’s turn to Slide 7 for our 2019 outlook for our end markets. As Andrean outlined earlier, several of our key end markets are challenged at the moment and we saw the results of that in the third quarter. This trend is expected to continue into the fourth quarter. As a result, we now anticipate that sales for 2019 will be down high single digits versus our previous estimate of down low to mid single digits. I’ll go into some detail now on the drivers behind this. Starting at the top with our consumer end market, we continue to expect that for the full-year, this market will be down high single digits. As we had anticipated, the softer market demand that we saw in the second quarter continued into the third quarter. Additionally, because we launched the new fuel container late last year, we don’t anticipate the same level of sales volume during the fourth quarter of this year, given that the fourth quarter is traditionally a softer quarter for fuel container sales. As a result, we’ve forecasted sales to be down in this market during the fourth quarter. In our food and beverage end market, we are lowering our outlook. We now anticipate that this market will be down double digits for the full-year compared to our previous outlook of down mid-teens. As we’ve stated earlier, a portion of the decline came during the first quarter of this year as there was a difficult year-over-year comparison due to a very high season in early 2018. Additionally, there has been a high degree of uncertainty across the ag sector. While that uncertainty has continued into the fourth quarter, we’ve had indication from some of our customers that demand for the fourth quarter will be softer than previously expected. While we do anticipate continued success in the food processing portion of our business, our volumes in that market, coupled with the growth we are experiencing, are not yet large enough to offset the overall impact of the ag portion of this end market. Turning to our vehicle end market. We continue to expect to be down high single digits, primarily driven by the decline in sales to RV customers that has been ongoing throughout the year. In our industrial end market, we’ve updated our outlook from up low single digits to down low single digits to reflect the sales decline we experienced during the third quarter as a result of softer than expected demand for our military packaging products. The pace of business with our industrial distributors remained steady to slightly down. Finally, in our auto aftermarket, we’ve updated our outlook from up low to mid single digits to up mid-single digits as a result of incorporating the incremental sales we anticipate from the Tuffy acquisition. Turning to Slide 8. I’d like to review our updated outlook for 2009 annual – 2019 annual guidance. We’ve already discussed the updated sales outlook. So let’s start with D&A and net interest expense. We’ve lowered our guidance for D&A and net interest expense to $24 million and $4 million, respectively, versus $25 million and $5 million previously. No changes were made to the anticipated effective tax rate of 27%. Diluted share count of 36 million shares or capital expenditures of $10 million. We are updating our EPS guidance ranges and are now expecting GAAP EPS to be in the range of $0.65 to $0.70 versus $0.62 to $0.72 previously and adjusted EPS in the range of $0.75 to $0.80 versus $0.75 to $0.85 previously. The updated GAAP and adjusted EPS guidance reflect the decreased sales outlook and the charges for the estimated product replacement cost, partially offset by a decrease in incentive compensation cost. The updated GAAP EPS guidance also reflects the reversal of approximately $2.3 million of stock compensation cost that we expect to recognize in the fourth quarter, resulting from the October departure of the company’s CEO. I will now turn the call back to Andrean for some closing comments.