David Banyard
Analyst · Baird
Thanks, Kevin. Let's switch to Slide 7 for an overview of our 2019 fiscal year outlook. As I mentioned earlier, several of our key end markets are challenged at the moment, and we saw that manifest itself in the second quarter. Trend is expected to continue into the third quarter. As a review, we typically see a lower second half in our overall business due to seasonality. This year, we're expecting that same dynamic, although we anticipate a softer third quarter than fourth quarter. I'll go into some detail now on the drivers behind this. Turning at the top with our consumer end market, we're now expecting that for the full year, this segment will be down high single digits. We previously anticipated this market to be up mid-single digits, but we're revising our outlook due to softer market demand we saw in the second quarter, which we believe will ultimately carry over into the third quarter as well. We did see some uplift in revenue from our new product launch, so we outperformed the market, but we think it's not going to be enough to overcome the market softness. As an example of this decline, the power equipment index, which is a good bellwether for us on actual market demand, was down 21% in the second quarter. In our Food and Beverage market, our outlook remains unchanged as we expect this market to be down mid-teens for the full year. Did have a big chunk of this decline come out of this year's first quarter, as you might remember, highlighted by a difficult year-over-year comparison from a very high season back in early 2018. We did see some of that demand fall out of our results already in the first quarter. Looking forward, we have seen some challenging growing conditions as we head into the back half of the year. The unprecedented wet weather we saw in the spring of this year in a number of regions caused many farmers to plant later than usual. Puts a high degree of uncertainty into this market. We usually have a good indication of the upcoming season from our customers by this point in the year, but due to the uncertainty in the farm sector, we don't have that yet. We're looking forward with caution in this particular market for the coming season. Slight counterbalance, we continue to have success in the Food Processing portion of our business. However, the market share and the growth we're seeing are not yet large enough to offset the overall decline and uncertainty in the ag portion of this market for us. In our Vehicle end market, we expect to be down high single digits compared to our previous outlook of down mid-single digits, primarily driven by the decline in sales to RV customers that we experienced in the first half of the year. We do expect that the third quarter will be a continuation of that trend. For the fourth quarter, we believe that the combination of annualizing declines seen in last year's fourth quarter, combined with the recent new wins, could lead to top line stabilization, but are again cautious because of the trends at automotive OEMs, which fits into this market for us. In our Industrial end market, our outlook remains unchanged as we continue to expect it to be up low single digits for the year. Pace of this business is steady to slightly down. However, we have already had a decent start to the year. And although we don't see a robust market here currently, we continue to hold serve. Finally, in the Auto Aftermarket, our outlook remains unchanged, and we expect this business to be up low to mid-single digits. We expect sales to increase as we continue to implement the actions from our transformation plan. As I mentioned earlier, we're seeing some early success from the new multichannel approach to the market, which includes digital as well as large account strategies. Turning to Slide 8, I'd like to spend a moment on our 2019 guidance. In terms of net sales growth, we do see some headwinds in the back half of the year and are looking with caution through the fourth quarter. So we thought it was prudent to revise that outlook to down low to mid-single digits from our current guidance of flat. We are reiterating the other components of our guidance with the exception of our GAAP diluted earnings per share, which we are now guiding to $0.62 to $0.72 based on the adjustments we had to make in the second quarter due to the environmental charge. We still believe we can hold our previously estimated adjusted earnings per share of $0.75 to $0.85. We've done an effective job of managing costs and delivering on operational improvements, which we expect to continue. With that, we'll now open to questions.