John Van Heel
Analyst · FTI Consulting. Please go ahead
Thanks, Effie. Good morning and thank you for joining us on today's call. We are pleased that you are with us to discuss our performance for the first quarter of fiscal 2018. Before I turn to our results for the quarter, I would like to welcome Brett Ponton, who is joining us on today's call. Welcome Brett. Brett will join Monro as President on August 1st and assume the role of CEO on October 2. Brett has over 20 years of experience in our industry managing and growing both franchise and company-operated stores. In addition to his operational experience, Brett also brings additional consumer marketing expertise to Monro which I believe will complement our team's current efforts to improve our in-store and online customer experience. I can tell you that he has made a strong initial impression on our associates and I'm pleased he is with us today on this call. Brett will share his thoughts on Monro and our industry in a moment. But first Brian D'Ambrosia, our Chief Financial Officer, and I will review our first quarter results and our updated outlook for the year. The outperformance of our recent acquisitions, positive comparable store sales, combined with our continued focus on margin improvement drove first quarter earnings per share of $0.55 at the high-end of our guidance range after adjusting for $0.02 in management transition cost. The 18% sales increase in the quarter exceeded the high-end of our guidance range and was driven by better than expected top-line performance from our recent acquisition. The comparable store sales increase of 1.4% in the quarter was driven by higher overall ticket of more than 3% in both tire and service categories. Strong sales performance in brakes front end and shocks was offset by a slight decline in alignments with flat performance in both maintenance services and tire sales. As we enter the second quarter, we continue to see positive top-line trends with an increase in comparable store sales of 1.5% quarter-to-date once again led by higher ticket. As we noted on our May call, we expected to see higher average tickets due to the pass-through of higher material cost particularly in tires but we were unsure about traffic trends coming off of two consecutive warm winters and continued pressure on the number of vehicles in our sweet spot. As a result, we focused on sales execution supported by great offers on our drive card credit card to help motivate customers to perform much needed maintenance and repairs. We believe we are seeing some traction from our efforts in the brake and front end categories, while many consumers continue to delay tire purchases until this coming winter. From a geographic standpoint, both our Northern and Southern regions posted positive comps for the quarter with relative outperformance in our Northern and Mid-Atlantic markets. In fact, our strongest markets continue to be New Jersey, New York, and Maryland, where we saw high single and double-digit increases in comp sales for the quarter. Turning to gross margins, first quarter gross margin declined by 120 basis points versus the prior year, primarily as the result of the sales mix impact from the fiscal 2017 acquisition. On a comparable store basis, first quarter gross margin increased by approximately 110 basis points due to lower material cost as a percentage of sales reflecting the strength of our purchasing power and our sales execution. Total operating expenses for the first quarter increased $12.4 million and were flat as a percentage of sales as compared to the prior year period. The increase reflects the addition of 55 net new stores. On a comparable store basis excluding management transition cost, total operating expense dollars increased by approximately $2.9 million year-over-year, primarily driven by higher performance based store manager compensation and a shift of advertising expense marginally to the first quarter from later in the fiscal year primarily around test and initiatives to drive sales. We are bringing the most productive of these forward in the year. While our store manager's bonus plans are based on increasing four-wall profit which we saw in the first quarter, I expect to see the level of store manager compensation moderate for the remainder of the year as we adjust staffing level. Operating income for the first quarter increased 7.8% to $33.7 million demonstrating the team's hard work and gross margins store level profitability and integration of recent acquisitions. Now I would like to provide a brief update on our customer focused initiatives. As we discussed on our last call, in March, we launched our new private label credit card, the Drive Card which is replacing a Goodyear branded credit card. This new Bank sponsored credit card is exclusive to Monro's brands and provides us with complete control over customer targeted marketing and promotional offers which we believe will drive greater long-term customer loyalty. I'm very pleased that in the first quarter, we processed nearly 10% of our total retail sales on these credit cards which has already surpassed the 6% of sales we processed on the Goodyear branded credit card last year. We believe we can double the Drive Card's penetration to 20% of total retail sales given the six-fold increase in credit card accounts we opened in the first quarter. At present, our opened Drive Card accounts represent over $120 million in available credit and this will grow to hundreds of millions of dollars as we continue to open new accounts. Our fiscal 2018 program includes great Drive Card offers such as discounted oil changes, tire rebates, and service discounts, which we believe will drive new customers and more return visits starting this fiscal year. We expect that the Drive Card upgrades and customer communication, in-store video and other sales support, new comprehensive technician training, as well as improvements to our point-of-sales system will help our teams retain customers, drive sales, and achieve greater store efficiency in fiscal 2018 and beyond. We noted these enhancements on our May call and we are seeing increasing improvements at the store level which we believe will build as the year progresses as well as positively impact employee retention. We also see these positive results in our increasing number of customer reviews and ratings. Further, as we move to implement our new CRM system this year, we are increasingly focused on improving marketing and store execution to customers that represent the greatest opportunity for lifetime value. We're seeing positive results from this focus in our favorable ticket results in the first quarter and also see the impact of this selectivity in our traffic. Now let's turn to our growth strategy. We are continuing the integration of our fiscal 2017 acquisition which outperformed both in sales and profitability in the first quarter. Sales were higher than planned for the retail commercial location and were even stronger versus plan for the wholesale location which took advantage of Monro's tire sourcing and new and expanded delivery route, covering our stores to make additional sales and gross profit. The additional tire unit volume from these acquisitions about a 25% annual increase is providing Monro with the ability to mitigate tire cost inflation. Overall we believe these acquisitions will continue to improve in profitability as they fully benefit from our scale and integrated supply chain. This will further strengthen Monro's competitiveness in the market and expand our acquisition opportunities to include businesses with integrated retail, commercial, and wholesale location. I'm also pleased to announce that we have signed definitive agreements to acquire 20 stores including eight from an existing Car-X franchisee. These stores fill in our existing markets of Michigan, Illinois, and Indiana. The acquisitions are expected to add approximately 13 million in annualized sales representing a sales mix of 95% service and 5% tires. 12 of these stores will operate under the Monro name and the remaining eight will continue to operate under the Car-X brand. The acquisitions are expected to close this quarter and will breakeven for the fiscal year. Our pipeline of acquisitions remains robust with more than 10 NDAs signed each of them representing between five and 40 stores within our existing markets. However we continue to see larger transactions being put on hold at least until the beginning of 2018 are waiting potential tax reform. We are also continuing our Greenfield expansion with a goal of opening 20 to 40 stores per year. In the first quarter we opened seven locations and we expect to open another seven locations in the second quarter. This is on top of the 30 Greenfield locations we opened in fiscal 2017. As a reminder, Greenfield stores for us include new construction as well as the acquisition of one Q4 store operation. These locations are expected to add approximately 1 million each in annual sales. Turning now to our outlook. We expect total sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2018 to be in the range of $278 million to $285 million, representing an increase of 13% to 16% year-over-year. This is based on an increase in comparable store sales of 1% to 2.5%. We anticipate second quarter diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $0.52 to $0.56 including $0.02 in management transition cost. In light of comparable store sales trends fiscal year date, we now expect fiscal 2018 comparable store sales to increase 1.5% to 2.5% on a 52-week basis or 3.5% to 4.5% when accounting for the 2% comp sales benefits from a extra week in the fourth quarter. This compares to previous guidance of 2% to 4% on a 52-week basis. The lower fiscal 2018 comp guidance is offset by higher than expected sales in the first quarter and the incremental top-line contribution from today's announced acquisition. Therefore we now expect fiscal 2018 total sales of $1.135 billion to $1.155 billion, representing a 12% increase year-over-year at the midpoint of the range. For the fiscal year, we expect that a higher realized in tires largely driven by the pass-through of higher cost and the approved in-store sales execution will lead to sustained increases in our overall average tickets year-over-year. Further we are hopeful that we will finally see some normal winter weather which would be positive for our tire unit sales. We also believe that sales in the second half of the year will benefit as consumers meet their healthcare deductibles. Our fiscal 2018 guidance incorporates a cost increase for tires and oil combined which we believe is lower than that experienced by the majority of our competitors. Our guidance reflects higher costs for tires partially offset by lower oil cost. Please note that these lower oil costs begin to take hold in our second quarter. Over the past three months, we've seen tire manufacturers offering greater in off invoice rebates as a result of raw material declining from recent highs and soft sell-through of tires. We no longer expect additional higher cost increases this year whereas we have provided for at least one increase in the second half of the year in our prior guidance. Given these updated assumption, we now expect to generate operating leverage on a comparable store sales increase above 1.5% on a 52-week basis. This leverage point is 50 basis points lower than the 2% we guided to last quarter and offsets the impact of lower annual comparable store sales guidance. With that said, let me remind you that every 1% increase in comparable store sales above this 1.5% threshold generates an incremental $0.08 in EPS for the fiscal year excluding the extra week. We also expect to incur approximately $0.06 in incremental cost in fiscal 2018 related to the management transition. This includes the $0.02 that we incurred in the first quarter, $0.02 we have guided to in the second quarter, and $0.01 in each of the third and fourth quarters. For the fiscal year we now expect earnings per diluted share to be in the range of $2.05 to $2.20 representing a 15% increase year-over-year to midpoint of the range. This compares to our previous guidance of $2.10 to $2.30. The earnings guidance continues to include $0.10 per share in contribution from the extra week in the fourth quarter and $0.15 to $0.19 in accretion from recently completed and announced acquisition. Please note that our fiscal 2018 guidance does not assume any future acquisitions for Greenfield store openings. Lastly, as we have discussed with you on recent calls and as seen again this quarter the commercial and wholesale locations we acquired as a part the Eagan Park acquisitions in fiscal 2017 operate at a lower gross margin than our retail location primarily due to a higher sales mix of tires and with respect to the wholesale locations a higher sales mix of tires without installation. However these acquisitions also require a lower level of SG&A expenses. In our first quarter the improvement in comparable store gross margins and higher operating expenses somewhat mapped this impact. However we continue to expect that this change in our sales mix will reduce second quarter gross margin and be offset by a reduction in SG&A expense as a percent of sales until we fully lap these acquisitions in the third quarter. Also because these acquisitions are recent they are still dilutive to overall operating margin this year. And with that I would like to turn the call over to Brian D'Ambrosia for a more detailed review of our financial results. Brian?