Selim Bassoul
Analyst · William Baird. Your line is now open
So I would like to recap where we've been and where we're going. So again, 2017 was the year of transformation for us. But I remain very pleased with our EBITDA to sales ratio, despite all the changes we made internally. We are now - if you take away the newly acquired company organically 25.7% very close to our target of 27% that I guided upon. And we are almost a year and a half or a year ahead of that target. And I continue now looking upping now for the next three years our running rate to be at 30% of EBITDA to sales ratio. When I look at our topline and 2018, as David mentioned we are - our chain business remain very solid. We're starting to ship. So we believe in 2018 and 2019 we will ship on those millions of dollars that I mentioned before and we'll continue growing. So 2018 should be a growth year for Middleby. Then we look at basically the challenges of our customers is to make sure that they overcome labor and that's where we're doing a lot of work there. It's simplifying their menu item. A lot of opportunities within emerging chains and CSRs for us. I look at also some food service trends. I look at chicken program where we are very strong in the chicken program with equipment taking place. I look at another trend that's happening which is interesting for us, we've gone from a three meal period to a six week period. Breakfast, lunch, dinner, snack, happy hour and delivery. So this extents the use of a kitchen and that's where we're very excited. The limited time offers bring, drive traffic to our customer, but it also drives complexity. So they need versatile equipment. Convenience and speed in food service is unbelievable. Every customer's who come here are talking about our motto. Our mantra at Middleby have been seconds and inches. If you come to Middleby its because we can cut back, inches off your kitchen, give you more space to open extend your bar or extend your dining room. But most important it's about speed. Speed is number one, is one of the number one reason people have competed. Chains have competing against each other on serving people in and out faster and fresher. So speak for us is not just using a microwave, but creating an amazing food experience with cutting seconds and sometimes minutes. And we are technology driven. That's what we do. We are more innovative when it comes to speed, delivery, convenience, automation. Then I continue looking into what's happening in energy. I will remind you I have told that and being saying that for now years. We are the first to create in 2000 when nobody spoke about energy-saving. In 2000 we were the first to create energy-saving equipment and practices across our platform. We started with the pizza oven, then we took to the fryers, then we took to the convection oven, then we took to the combi oven. And what happened today energy start rated kitchen equipment are very popular and we are very, very involved with them. We are the leader in this. If you look at it, there is a lot of opportunities I give you a perspective. Today when you serve the all restaurant chains only 22% today of all restaurant chains are using energy rated fryers. So the opportunity to switch those people from a non-energy rated fryer just as an example to one that energy rated at very little cost to them is a huge opportunity for us. I look at ovens, today 25% of all chains use energy rated ovens. I think we can bring those transformation a lot faster within that segment. Now what is even more interesting is that utility companies have created energy rebates from California to North Carolina to Florida and today only 16% of restaurant operators that have been surveyed took advantage of those energy rebates. So today I give you a perspective that our energy rebates in certain states that go up to a $1000 all you have to do is show that you have purchased an energy star appliance. By doing so it simple, you get up to a $1,000 rebate so you buy an energy star rate of fryers that might cost two grand, you get a $1000 right, within days from submitting that invoice as long as its energy star rated. So from that perspective I’m very excited and bullish about where we’re going to go irrespective where the industry going to go. Our technology will tell us that we’re going to basically switch people from increase or double the usage of energy rated fryers or energy rated ovens or energy rated simmers. Now the second one is water saving innovation. So when we look at water saving innovation, we have been one of the leader. We were the first to introduce a waterless steamer. We are the first to introduce [indiscernible] which eliminates steam table with a lot of water usage. We saved our customers in 2017 and 2016 over 1 billion gallons of water. We are so advanced on that technology and water today is another big challenges for many of our customers. Finally, I look at waste management. We have been a leader in waste management. So today food waste is an emerging area for action in almost every restaurant. And we are the leader in that and we are seeing significant growth in our waste management not only in the U.S. but overseas and we've been right now we’ve invested heavily in technology that allowed us to become the leader in waste management system for restaurant specifically. On the residential side, I would say that finally all the work that had been invested in innovation, in service, in parts, in recapturing our dealer system have paid off. We're seeing a positive order trend that has been ongoing for the last four months now you can say four months is short, I agree but it has been in a negative decline prior to that year-after-year. So finally it’s not - we don't have two years behind us or positive growth but we have at least four months that has been consistently positive for Viking. Now I am excited of our residential platform because it affords two things one, our EBITDA ratio on that platform has been the fastest, faster than food processing, faster than commercial. When you think about it, we started that platform five years ago with the acquisition of Viking, three years ago with the acquisition of AGA, today we are in a 20% EBITDA to sales ratio in that platform. We are going to basically move fast into 25% and 30% to be aligned with food service a lot faster than food processing. It took us 10 years in food processing to get to 25% I think we’ll most probably get a lot faster on residential. On the food processing platform we remain very, very bullish. It’s where we are a dominant player. We are number one and number two in most of the market we serve both in protein and bakery. The margin they are exceptional. Our customers are very much aligned with us. However, the only negative about that platform is cyclicality, it's lumpy. However, when it goes it goes well and we go sometimes through period of lumpiness but over 10 years that platform has been a fantastic value creation for Middleby over the years. From that perspective, I remain very excited about the reinvention of our company at all levels. Internationally, our doubling down internationally is something that has been fantastic. When we take basically a group that has done 20% to 24% and we say we are reinvention, I look at what we’ve done is bold. We’re not broken, the company was not broken. The company was not distressed. At the height of our performance in 2016, we sat down as a management team and said, we need to reinvent and it cost us significant setback in 2017. However, we're willing to take that step back to create a new company. I am very excited because there is not a lot of companies who reinvent when they are at the top of their game. From that perspective, I can talk about two companies, two restaurant companies that use our product of which I'm very proud. One of them is called Noma in Denmark. Rated one of the best restaurants in the world three years in a row. At the top of that game, their owner, founder and chef decided to reinvent the restaurant. He closed it down. Alinea here in Chicago is another restaurant concept that basically was in top of the game they had won James Beard award, they've won Michelin Stars, it takes months to get a reservation. And their two partners that run that concept also closed it down to reinvent. They were not in trouble, they were not distressed, but they believed that to make the future and to remain relevant, they need to disrupt themselves. I talked with those models and that's what happened in 2017. And it was painful because it took a lot of changes from people who have been with us for a long time in terms of reps from basically refocusing our energy with our channel dealers, where going direct in our distribution on residential and revamping our total international organization. However, we are now prepared to move forward and continue the greatness of this company over the last 20 years that will continue in the next five years. I thank everybody for listening to us and I hope to talk to you next quarter. Thank you. Bye, bye.